River spills into Bangkok, floods the Grand Palace

BANGKOK: The main river in Thailand’s capital swelled to a record high on Friday, spilling over its banks and sending water rippling into the grounds of the Grand Palace , a primary historical monument of temples and gilded spires.

The amount of water entering the palace grounds was small, but the breach was symbolically significant as Bangkok enters a crucial period when high tides to the south are pushing back at runoff from the north that has breached the city’s outer defences and is now flooding some outlying districts.

“The crisis we’re facing today is the most critical natural disaster that ever happened in Thai history,” PM Yingluck Shinawatra said.

Chinatown, not far from the palace, was flooded, and concerns grew that floodwaters could reach the commercial center of the city, with its banks and shopping malls and five-star hotels, scene of the “red shirt” protests early last year that were Thailand’s most recent crisis. The commercial center was quiet on Friday as Bangkok residents continued to flee by the thousands after the government warned that there was little more that it could do to stop deluge.

“What we’re doing today is resisting the force of nature ,” the prime minister had said on Thursday. “We cannot resist all of it.” A huge mass of flood water has coursed down over recent weeks from the north, following an unusually heavy monsoon season , taking a steep economic toll as it inundated cities and industrial estates. Several feet of stagnant water continue to paralyse the ancient capital of Ayutthaya, to the north of Bangkok. With bad news continuing , and the prospects for recovery becoming an increasingly steep challenge, the Bank of Thailand cut its economic growth forecast for 2011 to 2.6% from 4.1%.

“The widespread flood, now affecting not only agricultural production but also manufacturing activity, is likely to weigh on the fourth quarter’s growth substantially ,” the central bank said. Floodwater breached the defences of the domestic airport , Don Muang, earlier this week. Airport director, Kanpat Mangkalasiri, said that 90% of the airport was now flooded. The main international airport, Suvarnabhumi , continued to function normally.

©2011 The New York Times News Service

End of the road for gold?

No, surely not. However it is time to be cautious for sure. What are the risks in gold? Or is it that there are no risks at all, as some readers would like to believe?
Well let us look at some of the risks:

1.    It is not an essential commodity: You cannot eat gold. If prices go beyond a point, people will just not consume it! It is not air or water.

2.    Remember in the year 2008 gold lost MORE THAN 30% of value — clearly the hedge theory goes. A hedge asset SHOULD move in the other direction, not in sympathy.

3.    In the 1980s gold lost about 65% of its value in about 2 years time! Remember both these events happened against a not very strong currency — the US dollar!!

4.    When fear subsides, and things return to normal, the law of demand and supply will apply to all assets — including gold.

5.    The Chicago Mercantile Exchange has a very high margin now for gold — and CME is a good reader of volatility. Expect volatility, margin calls, and sales by the lenders — all these do not sound good.

6.    No income generating capability: If you go wrong in a portfolio of good shares (i.e. prices have fallen!) at least you are sure of getting a 2% to 4%p.a. return in dividends. This is not great, but will FORCE lenders / investors to discount the cashflow and arrive at a new price. If the company does well, dividends will increase, forcing the value to go up. Sadly in case of gold, I have to hope that there is a GREATER FOOL THEORY and I will be able to find him, so that I can sell. This is not easy.

The author P V Subramanyam is a Chartered Accountant by qualification and a financial trainer by profession. Writing being a passion he also regularly pens his thought in his blog Subramoney.com

Tonnes of toxic water leaking from Fukushima

TOKYO: Tonnes of radioactive water were discovered on Tuesday to have leaked into the ground from Japan’s Fukushima nuclear plant, the latest in a series of leaks at the plant damaged in a March earthquake and tsunami, the country’s nuclear watchdog said.

More than three months after the disaster, authorities are struggling to bring under control damaged reactors at the power plant, 240 km north of Tokyo. About 15 tonnes of water with a low level of radiation leaked from a storage tank at the plant on the Pacific coast, the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said. Tepco said it was investigating the cause of the leak which was later repaired.

No date for draft basin plan

The chairman of the Murray Darling Basin Authority has refused to commit to when the draft basin plan will be released.

Communities around the basin are anxiously awaiting the draft plan, which will include the sustainable diversion limits that are expected to take water away from irrigators.

Despite media releases and authority documents indicating a mid-year release, Mike Taylor says it is impossible to be specific.

“It’s a very comprehensive and complex task and this is a very major undertaking and we’ve made it clear right from the beginning that we’re working as hard as we can to get this plan out and into the public arena,” he said.

Water flows into Lake Boga

Ten-thousand megalitres of water finished flowing into the dry bed of Lake Boga yesterday morning.

The decision to allow water into the lake came without notice midway through March and residents complained it did not allow the lake bed to be properly prepared.

Goulbourn Murray Water’s Ross Stanton says recent rain of about 10 millimetres did not make much of an impact.

“It reduces the evaporation a little bit while it’s raining but we had most of the water in by the time it rained in this last event … the previous event before we started filling would have helped considerably, it would have wet the bottom of the lake before we actually started those flows,” he said.

Algae alert likely to be downgraded

Water authorities are hoping to downgrade an alert for a blue-green algae outbreak in Sunraysia today.

There is still a red alert in place between Mildura and Wentworth, but the region’s algae coordinating committee says counts are dropping and it is likely to be downgraded today.

The committee’s Owen Russell says the outbreak has been moving downstream on the Murray, but appears to be breaking down when it mixes with the muddy floodwaters from the Darling.

“Cell counts were high in the Wentworth Weir Pool area but then once it went over the weir it does appear that algae counts dropped dramatically, so we do expect that’s what’s occurred,” he said.

Water study tender looms

The chairman of the Namoi Water Study, Mal Peters, says the tender for an expert to conduct the study is days away from being released.

But he says last-minute horse trading between the state and federal governments is holding up the tender’s official release.

The office of federal Water Minister Penny Wong wants changes to the terms of reference before it delivers its promised $1.5 million – the New South Wales Government is still refusing to make any contribution.

Mr Peters says he is optimistic the matter can be speedily resolved.

Allocation relief for Murray irrigators

Victorian Murray irrigation towns have welcomed a 100 per cent water allocation for the first time in four years.

Late last week, Goulburn Murray Water announced final allocations for the irrigation season.

It said the 100 per cent Murray allocation was possible after heavy rains earlier this month.

The Moira Shire Mayor, Ed Cox, says it will result in an economic boost to the region.

“Farming is our number one generator for income in the shire and it’s had a significant impact on our shire with how we’ve battled for the last four years with the restrictions and the dry times, so it’s certainly been an issue,” he said.

Water buybacks should be delayed: report

The Productivity Commission says much could be done to improve the Federal Government’s $3.1 billion Murray-Darling water buyback program.

The Government is using a three-prong attack to deal with water shortages in the Murray-Darling Basin.

It has set aside $3.1 billion for water buybacks, $5.8 billion in water saving infrastructure upgrades and it has asked the Murray-Darling Basin Authority to design a basin management plan to set sustainable limits.

But that plan is not due until mid-next year and now the commission has questioned why the Government went ahead with the program before completing the plan.

That blueprint will spell out how all water should be allocated for consumption, production and environmental use, and the commission has been heavily critical of the Government’s multi-billion dollar water-saving infrastructure upgrades.

The commission’s Dr Neal Byron says the Government is buying back water now, without yet having a basin management plan in place.

“We have no problems really with the three different parts of the planning,” he said.

“But we think much better outcomes could have been achieved, probably for less money too, if they’d done the planning first and then worked out, knowing how much water you need to recover in each district, then have the buy-back that was actually targeted and calibrated to achieve that amount of water.

“And the infrastructure upgrades – some money could be spent on that, but we couldn’t understand why twice as much money was going into infrastructure upgrades as was going into buybacks.”

Flawed buyback program

In short, the commission says insufficient thought has been given to the design of the buyback and infrastructure programs.

It says further buybacks should be delayed until a basin plan is in place and the Government ought to consider clawing back the billions it has set aside for infrastructure.

The commission says its more cost-effective to buy water back instead of repairing and upgrading infrastructure.

Dr Byron says the $5.8 billion spend on water-saving infrastructure could be a waste of taxpayers’ money.

“They’ve allocated that much and that goes back to three years ago I guess, the previous government, but not much of that has been spent yet,” he said.

“That’s because a lot of the infrastructure upgrades haven’t yet passed through the basic tests of whether they’re actually worth doing.

“Some of the proposals that have come in were just so expensive that there was no way that anybody could justify spending that much money to save so little water in building large amounts of new infrastructure.

“So although there’s money notionally set aside for that, we’re suggesting that as much as possible that could be reallocated in order to get more environmental water at lower cost.”

States hampering buybacks

The Productivity Commission found that state restrictions on water trading are hampering buybacks and distorting markets, and should be abolished as soon as possible.

South Australian Senator Nick Xenophon had insisted the Government order the report as a trade-off for support of the Government’s $42 billion stimulus package.

Now Senator Xenophon says the commission’s report is more evidence that there should be a full federal takeover of the Murray-Darling Basin.

“You can’t get a good result for the river system and for the communities that rely on the river unless there’s a full federal takeover of the river system,” he said.

“Right now the states are standing in the way of sensible solutions because of parochial interests.”

On Tuesday the Coalition’s spokesman on water, Barnaby Joyce, ridiculed Productivity Commission reports, saying he used them when he had run out of toilet paper.

He says he has not read this report yet and will not comment until he has.

Water Minister Penny Wong has issued a statement saying it is likely the Government will not accept all the commission’s findings.

Water buybacks have been embraced by the current and previous Federal Government as a cost-effective way of forcing irrigators into using lower amounts of water, while at the same time giving more of the precious resource back to the environment.

It has become a red-button issue in regional areas as wetlands have been cut off and irrigators have struggled with the prolonged drought.

Drought-hit farmers offer up irrigation entitlements

The prolonged drought has prompted 60 farmers in south-west New South Wales to offer their irrigation entitlements to the Federal Government under its buyback program.

They are offering to sell about 42,000 megalitres of water entitlements along irrigation channels in the Wakool area west of Deniliquin.

The estimated sale price is between $50 million to $60 million.

Murray Irrigation Limited has taken the offer to the Federal Government and its chairman, Stewart Ellis, says some of the sellers may retire rather than continue farming without water.

“They’ve assessed their own situations and given the tough years of drought and low water allocations, we’ve had two years of zero and then a 9 and now a 22 per cent allocation this year, so they’ve been particularly tough years on the farm,” he said.

“They’ve come forward on a voluntary basis, put forward their own proposal which has been assessed by Murray Irrigation and then put together into a proposal and taken to the Commonwealth Government for consideration.

“What the people are looking for is something over and above the market price of water entitlements.

“They’re not just looking at selling all of their water.

“They’re actually selling all of their water and disconnecting their farms permanently from a connection to our channel system, so they will truly be dryland farms in the future if this proposal is accepted.”

Mr Ellis says the sale would mean the closure of more than 100 kilometres of channels.

“The proposal is that the infrastructure like within Murray Irrigation’s channel system, the bridges, culverts, regulators, would be removed and the channels actually filled in, so it is a physical disconnection from the system,” he said.

“We would say this type of buyback is a more strategic approach because all of these schemes that have come forward for closure are either on the end of channel systems or on the end of spur channels, so there’s no-one actually irrigating on the channel below them so we can actually close down that section of channel, so in effect this type of buyback should be helping the rest of remaining irrigators because it leaves Murray irrigators with a smaller footprint and a more efficient delivery system as a result.

“We’re expecting something back from the Government this week and then we have a meeting arranged with these proponents on the 12th of April, so whatever the offer that comes from the Government will be passed onto the people, to the proponents of these shutdowns.

“Then we’ve got this meeting arranged on the 12th to ascertain how many of them want to be part of the deal and whether we’ve got a deal going forward.”

Residents face looming water price rise

The looming increase in electricity prices will have a flow-on effect for residents of the Leeton Shire.

Leeton Shire Council is proposing to increase water access and usage charges next financial year, with average households expected to pay about $50 extra over the year.

The changes will apply from July and the council’s draft management plan and budget is open for public comment for several weeks.

The council’s general manager, David Laugher, says the council has no option but to make the move because of higher operating costs affecting its water supply fund.

“The two that stand out are substantial increases in the chemical costs for the treatment process but more particularly the projections of up to 60 per cent increase in electricity tariffs over the next three years,” he said.

“Clearly we recognise that this was a large percentage increase but it’s the only way that we can ensure we don’t project out an unrecoverable debt over the next decade.

“We’re concerned that if we continue on our current projections we were projecting a deficit of somewhere around $294,000-$295,000 in this next year blooming out over the next decade to almost $3 million, so clearly we need to start to make some moves to ensure that the water fund, which is a self-funded program, could at least maintain some sort of equity on the way through.”

Water carryover rises

The Central Irrigation Trust (CIT) says higher access to allocations and changing trends in water management have led to big jump in the amount of water being carried over to next season.

Applications for carryover close tomorrow and the operations manager, Gavin McMahon, says CIT customers have applied to carryover some 70,000 megalitres, up from about 24,000 last season.

“The allocation’s this year at 62 per cent, and last year we were only in the 30s, so there is substantially more water around,” he said.

“Growers have also built up a bank of water over the last few years through being frugal and purchasing water as well, so I think at their disposal they’ve just had much water available from a number of sources and they’ve been able to carry that through.”

Action group says water study funds too slow

The New South Wales Minerals Council is facing criticism for being slow to put forward funding for the Namoi Water Study.

On Friday, the council responded to accusations the mining sector had failed to pay up by releasing a $3 million commitment.

The study, on the impact of mining and exploration on water resources in the Namoi Valley, is being jointly funded by industry and the state and federal governments.

The spokesman for the Caroona Coal Action Group, Tim Duddy, says it is the first time the mining industry has offered a figure.

Barraba threatened with tougher water bans

Barraba residents are being urged to cut their water use by 10 per cent or face harsher restrictions.

The drought-stricken town is using 500 kilolitres a day, 100 more than emergency bores can supply.

The Tamworth Regional Council is hopeful the federal and state governments will fund a pipeline from Split Rock Dam.

The director of water enterprises, Bruce Logan, says under level four restrictions, residents cannot use town water outside.

“What we’ve been doing to date is supplementing the bore supply from the Manilla River and or the Barraba Creek, but flows in the Manilla Creek have stopped and the Barraba Creek is falling at the moment and if that continues we won’t be able to supply the existing level of demand,” he said.

“So we’re asking people in Barraba to reduce their consumption or else we’ll have to introduce level four restrictions.”

Joyce not wading into Murray spat yet

The Federal Opposition’s new water spokesman, Barnaby Joyce, has declined to show support for Tony Abbott’s plan to take over control of the Murray-Darling Basin.

The Opposition Leader’s policy is to hold a referendum to refer full control for the system to the Commonwealth if the states do not agree.

Nationals Leader Warren Truss has indicated the party does not favour that approach.

And Senator Joyce, the Nationals Senate Leader, has today declined to show support for the plan.

“I realise there are so many people in so many areas throughout the basin who want to have input into where the Coalition’s policy is going,” he said.

“I intend to give them that grace and that capacity to have a discussion about where the policy’s going.

“As it’s my first day, and as I’ve been up since 3:00am, I’m not going to jump into the intricacies of policy positions at this point in time.

“I’m going to be talking closely to my National Party colleagues in Canberra and talking closely to the Coalition, and then we will see where the policy is and where it’s off to.”

Water study funding worries farm group

The New South Wales Farmers Association is warning that the Namoi Water Study could be compromised due to a lack of funding.

The Federal Government has not paid the $1.5 million it has committed, even though the tender for an expert is ready to be released.

Farmers’ association president Charlie Armstrong says the Federal Government’s failure to pay could slow the study’s progress.

“It seems to have taken an inordinate amount of time to get to the stage of employing or seeking the independent expert,” he said.

“But the study ultimately of course is into the impacts of mining and gas explorations on the valuable water resources in the Namoi catchment, so it’s extremely important that is done without restricting the resources needed to do it.

“We don’t want to see it cut short because funding is not available to do it properly.”

SA Murray minister facing tough time: Wong

Federal Water Minister Penny Wong says her new state counterpart Paul Caica will face a tough time with the water and Murray portfolios.

Mr Caica is the new minister for Water, the River Murray and Environment in Labor’s third-term ministry in South Australia.

Two of the portfolios had been held by Nationals MP Karlene Maywald who lost her seat in the election.

Senator Wong is planning a meeting with Mr Caica.

“It’s a difficult portfolio because we’re in the middle of an enormous change,” she said.

“Until the most recent rains we’ve seen record lows, at the same time we’re managing a major change, a huge adjustment in the Murray-Darling.”

The new SA Agriculture Minister has talked up his credentials for the job, saying he has a better knowledge of the sector than rural Liberal MPs.

Michael O’Brien is now Minister for Forests and Regional Development.

He says his work in the agribusiness sector in the past makes him ideal for the job.

“I believe I’ve got a very well-rounded and deep understanding of the sector and I would say that I would have a better knowledge than probably even members of the Liberal Party that hail from rural electorates,” he said.

Meredith’s water making us sick: residents

Residents of Meredith, north of Geelong complain their town water is so salty it is making some of them sick.

The local water authority says a new pipeline will make a big difference next year.

In the meantime locals just have to put up with the bad taste in their mouths.

After consulting a doctor, Carol Broadhurst is convinced she is allergic to Meredith’s drinking water.

She gets weepy eyes and skin irritations whenever she takes a shower.

“I had seven sties in five weeks, irritation all the time, weeping discharge out of both ears and the top of my eyelids are slimey, that’s the nicest word to use,” she said.

“It really is a bit of a joke that you can’t turn the tap on.”

She now relies on rainfall to fill her tank.

Other residents have told ABC News they suffer chronic stomach cramps.

One local egg farmer, Vincent Colla, carried out independent water testing which also revealed a high level of carbon.

He says that is affecting the health of his hens.

“You keep checking with other farms and you think there’s something not right here,” he said.

He complained to Barwon Water

“All they said was it’s not killing them. That tells me there’s something in there that shouldn’t be there.”

The water is sourced from the Moorabool river and services 370 households.

Reduced flows have almost pushed salinity levels above Australian drinking standards.

But Carl Bicknell of Barwon Water says the water is safe to drink.

“We have accelerated a project to put in a pipeline to give them a better supply,” he said.

“Barwon Water recognises the water isn’t up to the standard we’d like to supply.”

The water company says the town will be connected to Geelong’s supply by next year.

Horticulture shock over water rights grab

The Northern Territory Horticultural Association is shocked by news that Indigenous groups are seeking to claim water rights.

Aboriginal groups from across the north of Australia are calling for the legal ownership of water in rivers, lakes and aquifers.

If the rights are granted to traditional owners, developers would need to get permission and pay royalties.

The NT Horticultural Association president, Jan Hintze said its too early to predict any outcomes … but hopes there’ll be extensive consultation.

“I’m absolutely amazed,” Ms Hintze said.

“I had not heard of any suggestion such a claim was going to be made.

“The implications of it all are very vast.

“I mean how many years it took to sort out Aboriginal land rights.

“I don’t know how many years it would take to sort out water rights over such an extensive area.”

She said it was unclear how a claim might affect the industry.

“Well almost any growing crop that is produced during the dry season needs quite a bit of water everyday, and here of course it doesn’t rain,” Ms Hintze said.

“Most of the water that we use comes from underground aquifers.

“The water resources people are operating very carefully to make sure that we don’t overdraw the water that is available.”

Shires ‘misunderstanding’ algae sampling costs

Grampians Wimmera Mallee Water (GWMW) says it will continue talks with the Hindmarsh and West Wimmera shires about managing blue-green algae outbreaks.

The two shires have refused to take on the position nominated by the water authority, saying costs for sampling and signage are too high for local councils to bear.

But GWMW’s Stephen Jewell says councils are the best placed bodies to manage outbreaks because of the potential risk to public safety.

He says sampling only costs several hundred dollars, not up to $90,000 as suggested by the Hindmarsh Shire Council.

“We’re not convinced there hasn’t been misunderstanding on what the role entails including time, money and responsibility,” Mr Jewell said.

“It’s not particularly onerous in terms of all three of those, if you look at the number of outbreaks we’ve had in recent years – very, very few and relatively minor.”