Ryanair Q1 profit falls on ash, keeps FY forecast

July 20 (Reuters) – Irish airline Ryanair (RYA.I) posted a 24 percent drop in first-quarter profit due to disruptions caused by a volcanic ash cloud and maintained its forecast for full-year earnings growth.

Europe’s biggest low-cost carrier said on Tuesday its net profit for the three months to the end of June came in at 93.7 million euros ($122 million) after accounting for the 50 million euro cost of almost 10,000 flights cancelled in April and May.

Adjusted net profit rose 1 percent to 138.5 million euros and Ryanair maintained its forecast for full-year net profit to rise by between 10 to 15 percent to between 350 million and 375 million euros — a forecast which it last month said excluded the 50 million euro ash cloud charge. (Reporting by Andras Gergely; Editing by Mike Nesbit) ($1=.7706 euros)

UPDATE 1-EasyJet June passengers rise 9.4 pct

LONDON, July 6 (Reuters) – British budget airline easyJet (EZJ.L) flew 9.4 percent more passengers in June year-on-year, its largest monthly increase since before flights were interrupted by a volcanic ash cloud from Iceland in April. The airline carried 4.54 million passenger in June, up from 4.15 million a year ago, while its load factor — a measure of how it fills its planes — increased 0.9 percentage points to 87.2 percent.

Passenger numbers at rival Ryanair (RYA.I) rose 15 percent in June, the Irish airline said on Monday, while they fell 11.1 percent at strike-hit British Airways (BAY.L). [ID:nWLA7687] [ID:nLDE6640HR]

(Reporting by Paul Sandle, Editing by Rosalba O’Brien)

UPDATE 1-BAA lowers 2010 profit guidance by 10 mln stg

LONDON, June 24 (Reuters) – British airport operator BAA on Thursday lowered its 2010 earnings forecast by 10 million pounds ($15 million) reflecting the impact of the volcanic ash cloud, strikes by British Airways (BAY.L) cabin crew and bad weather.

BAA, which is owned by Spain’s Ferrovial (FER1.MC), on Thursday forecast that its 2010 adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) would be 946 million pounds based on its expectation of 85.2 million passengers passing through its airports.

BAA, which owns London’s Heathrow and Stansted airports but sold Gatwick for 1.5 billion pounds in December, said the combined impact from the ash cloud, strike action, and winter snow is forecast to be 40 million pounds.

However, that had been offset by higher than anticipated passenger numbers at times when disruption wasn’t taking place, passengers spending more at retail outlets and lower operating costs.

In a separate statement, BAA said its investment plan for Heathrow airport is expected to be within its original 5.1 billion pounds target.

(Reporting by Matt Scuffham; Editing by Sarah Young)

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Swedish pilots strike after wage talks fail

June 16 (Reuters) – Nearly 2,000 pilots went on strike in Sweden on Wednesday after several weeks wage negotiations with employers collapsed, leaving thousands of passengers stranded across the country.

Industrials

The pilots’ strike, scheduled to start at 0300 GMT and last for eight hours on Wednesday, will affect all domestic flights and a significant portion of international flights, airports operator Swedavia said in a statement on the Stockholm Arlanda Airport website.

It said Scandinavian airline SAS (SAS.ST), still reeling from the effects of a volcanic ash cloud from Iceland which grounded airlines across the region, would see its Stockholm-based non-intercontinental flights affected.

At least four airlines would not fly for the rest of the day, the statement said.

The Swedish Airline Pilots Association (SweALPA), representing some 1,900 pilots in Sweden, said the union was unable to resolve a dispute over wages with employers.

The union had offered to take a 10 percent wage reduction while employers demanded wage cuts of 20 percent, it said in a statement.

No further negotiations are scheduled. (Editing by Hans Peters)

UPDATE 1-Alexon sales down on lower consumer confidence

June 15 (Reuters) – British fashion retailer Alexon Group Plc (AXN.L) said on Tuesday its like-for-like sales for the 19 weeks ended June 12 fell 5.4 percent on lower consumer confidence amid continued economic uncertainty.

The company, whose brands include Ann Harvey, Eastex and Dash, also said its margins were hurt in the period due to increased levels of promotional activity.

The company said recent sales of Ann Harvey were hit by transport distribution issues caused by the volcanic ash cloud, which delayed a key high summer stock package.

Eastex’s performance significantly deteriorated around the UK election reflecting low consumer confidence, Alexon said.

The company said it expected the current challenges to continue following the upcoming budget.

“However, subject to a return to normal trading patterns for Eastex over the coming months, we remain on track to deliver a good performance for the full year,” the company said in a statement.

Separately, British designer brand Ted Baker (TBK.L) on Tuesday reported an 18 percent rise in its revenue for the 19 week period and said gross margins were in line with expectations.

Alexon shares closed at 21.25 pence on Monday on the London Stock Exchange. (Reporting by Tresa Sherin Morera in Bangalore; Editing by Don Sebastian)

Vienna airport had 11.4 pct more passengers in May

June 10 (Reuters) – Flughafen Wien AG (VIEV.VI) said on Thursday it registered 11.4 percent more passengers in May, for a cumulative rise this year of 4.3 percent to 7.1 million passengers.

Industrials

The figure resumed its rise after a decline in April due to the volcanic ash cloud that caused airspace closures. (Reporting by Marcel Michelson; Editing by Mike Nesbit)
Industrials

UPDATE 1-Aer Lingus May traffic down on ash disruption

DUBLIN, June 8 (Reuters) – Irish airline Aer Lingus (AERL.I) carried fewer passengers in May year-on-year after a volcanic ash cloud disrupted flights again.

Aer Lingus, which has been cutting costs to survive against former suitor Ryanair (RYA.I), carried 876,000 passengers, down 9.9 percent on May 2009 however its load factor — a measure of how well it fills planes — rose by 5.6 percentage points to 79.3 percent.

The spread of ash from an erupting volcano in Iceland grounded much of European air traffic for nearly a week in April. It also periodically forced the short-term closure of parts of airspace across Europe in May.

As a consequence of the disruptions caused by the ash clouds, Aer Lingus said there there were 11 days in May when it did not operate all of its scheduled flights.

The former state carrier has said that the closures would cut earnings by about 20 million euros ($24 million). [ID:nLDE64304U]

Ryanair said last week May booked passenger numbers rose 17 percent year on year to 6.44 million, before accounting for ash cloud closures. [ID:nWLA5565] (Reporting by Marie-Louise Gumuchian; Editing by Mike Nesbit) ($1=.8375 euros)

Airlines body IATA demands unions quit picketing

(Reuters) – The global airline body slammed unions for walking off the job at a time when carriers are struggling to turn a profit, dealing with a toxic mixture of ballooning costs, airspace closures and a weak economic environment.

“Pilots and crew must come down to earth. Strikes at this time are short-sighted nonsense,” International Air Transport Association (IATA) Chief Executive Giovanni Bisignani said in his opening address at the body’s annual meeting on Monday.

IATA said earlier on Monday it now expects the world’s airlines to post a $2.5 billion profit this year, an improvement of more than $5 billion from its March forecast.

But airlines in Europe will report a combined $2.8 billion loss this year, hit by fallout from a volcanic ash cloud that swept across Europe in April and shut airspace across large parts of the continent as well as labor strikes, it said.

“Labor needs to stop picketing and cooperate,” IATA’s Bisignani said.

Thousands of travelers have been stranded around the world this year as cabin crew and pilots walked off the job to push for higher wages or more job security.

British Airways (BAY.L) cabin crew on Saturday started a five-day strike — their latest in a series of walkouts since March — in a long-running dispute that has so far cost the London-based airline about 120 million pounds ($173.2 million).

German flagship carrier Lufthansa (LHAG.DE) lost almost 50 million euros ($59.7 million) when its pilots went on strike in February and took its union to court to stop the walkout.

Lufthansa Chief Executive Wolfgang Mayrhuber told Reuters on Sunday talks with the pilots were progressing but gave no indication of how close the parties were to an agreement.

BA CEO Willie Walsh, taunted by union leaders for going to Berlin for the meeting and not staying in London to negotiate, roundly criticized the Unite union that represents cabin staff.

“They failed in their efforts to ground BA and they will fail in any future efforts to do so,” Walsh told Reuters on the sidelines of a Oneworld airline alliance presentation, of which BA is a member.

Walsh said there was no point at which there would be an unacceptable trade-off between the savings from the cuts and the cost of the strikes, the cuts had to be implemented to preserve the airline’s future.

U.S. airlines have also been struggling to cut labor costs.

American Airlines owner AMR Corp (AMR.N) has long maintained that its labor costs are above industry average partly because it restructured outside of bankruptcy, while some rivals have used Chapter 11 protection to slash costs in recent years.

U.S. airlines have also been struggling to cut labor costs.

American Airlines owner AMR Corp (AMR.N) has long maintained that its labor costs were above industry average partly because it restructured without declaring bankruptcy, while some rivals were able to slash costs under Chapter 11 protection.

American Airlines Chief Executive Gerard Arpey told reporters on the sidelines of the IATA meeting his company had a staff cost disadvantage of $600 million a year compared to other major airlines.

($1=.6929 Pound)

($1=.8375 Euro)

(Reporting by Maria Sheahan, Ben Berkowitz and Adrian Murdoch; editing by Karen Foster)

Airlines body IATA demands unions quit picketing

BERLIN, June 7 (Reuters) – The global airline body slammed unions for walking off the job at a time when carriers are are struggling to turn a profit, dealing with a toxic mixture of ballooning costs, airspace closures and a weak economic environment.

“Pilots and crew must come down to earth. Strikes at this time are short-sighted nonsense,” International Air Transport Association (IATA) Chief Executive Giovanni Bisignani said in his opening address at the body’s annual meeting on Monday.

IATA said earlier on Monday it now expects the world’s airlines to post a $2.5 billion profit this year, an improvement of more than $5 billion from its March forecast. [ID:LDE6560L6]

But airlines in Europe will report a combined $2.8 billion loss this year, hit by fallout from a volcanic ash cloud that swept across Europe in April and shut airspace across large parts of the continent as well as labour strikes, it said.

“Labour needs to stop picketing and cooperate,” IATA’s Bisignani said.

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Thousands of travellers have been stranded around the world this year as cabin crew and pilots walked off the job to push for higher wages or more job security.

British Airways (BAY.L) cabin crew on Saturday started a five-day strike — their latest in a series of walkouts since March — in a long-running dispute that has so far cost the London-based airline about 120 million pounds ($173.2 million). [ID:nLDE653210]

German flagship carrier Lufthansa (LHAG.DE) lost almost 50 million euros ($59.7 million) when its pilots went on strike in February and took its union to court to stop the walkout.

Lufthansa Chief Executive Wolfgang Mayrhuber told Reuters on Sunday talks with the pilots were progressing but gave no indication of how close the parties were to an agreement.

BA CEO Willie Walsh, taunted by union leaders for going to Berlin for the meeting and not staying in London to negotiate, roundly criticized the Unite union that represents cabin staff.

“They failed in their efforts to ground BA and they will fail in any future efforts to do so,” Walsh told Reuters on the sidelines of a Oneworld airline alliance presentation, of which BA is a member.

Walsh said there was no point at which there would be an unacceptable trade-off between the savings from the cuts and the cost of the strikes, the cuts had to be implemented to preserve the airline’s future.

U.S. airlines have also been struggling to cut labour costs.

American Airlines owner AMR Corp (AMR.N) has long maintained that its labour costs are above industry average partly because it restructured outside of bankruptcy, while some rivals have used Chapter 11 protection to slash costs in recent years.

U.S. airlines have also been struggling to cut labour costs.

American Airlines owner AMR Corp (AMR.N) has long maintained that its labour costs were above industry average partly because it restructured without declaring bankruptcy, while some rivals were able to slash costs under Chapter 11 protection.

American Airlines Chief Executive Gerard Arpey told reporters on the sidelines of the IATA meeting his company had a a staff cost disadvantage of $600 million a year compared to other major airlines. ($1=.6929 Pound) ($1=.8375 Euro) (Reporting by Maria Sheahan, Ben Berkowitz and Adrian Murdoch; editing by Karen Foster)

Airline finances improve in 1st qtr except in Europe

GENEVA, June 3 (Reuters) – Airline finances rebounded strongly in the first quarter of this year, as a strong increase in cargo and passenger demand far outweighed extra capacity from new planes, the industry association IATA said on Thursday.

The recovery in airline performance seems to have resumed in May after disruption to flights from the volcanic ash cloud emanating from Iceland and economic concerns hit share prices, particularly for European carriers, the International Air Transport Association said in its airlines financial monitor.

A sample of 50 of IATA’s 230 member airlines saw net post-tax losses halve to $2.0 billion in the first quarter of this year from $4.1 billion a year earlier, while operating losses shrank to $447 million from $2.9 billion.

Strong improvements were recorded in all regions except Europe, where net losses deepened, with airlines in the sample from Latin America and the Asia-Pacific moving back into net profit reflecting stronger economic recovery in those areas.

IATA noted that first-quarter financial results are always weak for seasonal reasons, and airlines typically make 80 percent of their earnings in the second and third quarters.

“This year there were signs of a significant improvement in all regions at the operating level, though Europe stands out as the weakest performer — even before the impact of the ash plume,” IATA said.

It said there was little reason for jet kerosene prices to break out of the $80-100 per barrel range they have held for the past six months, as ample inventories were likely to outweigh the impact of any resurgence in economic optimism.

Prices fell back during May as the Greek sovereign debt crisis raised uncertainties about the strength of the recovery.

The pace of improvement in passenger load factors — a measure of capacity usage — slowed in March and April but it remains near records when seasonally adjusted. However further capacity utilisation gains will be hard over the rest of the year as a further 1,340 aircraft are delivered, it said.

But higher load factors for both passengers and freight are allowing fares to rise, with premium fares now rising by about 10 percent a year and economy fares at half that, indicating stronger market conditions.

IATA forecast in March that the industry would lose $2.8 billion this year after $9.4 billion in 2009, with the crisis taking accumulated losses over the past 10 years to $50 billion. [ID:nLDE62A0OH]

IATA, whose members include British Airways (BAY.L), Lufthansa (LHAG.DE) and Singapore Airlines (SIAL.SI), will unveil a revised forecast on June 6 at an air transport conference in Berlin. (For full IATA monitor go to link.reuters.com/byg97k ) (Reporting by Jonathan Lynn; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

BUY OR SELL-Will tie-ups, cost cuts give BA long-term boost?

LONDON, June 2 (Reuters) – British Airways’ (BAY.L) merger-driven cost-cutting plans and improving underlying business could make the stock an attractive long-term proposition, but costly disruptions pose potential hurdles.

Shares in BA fell 11 percent in May, compared to the European travel sector’s .SXTP 7 percent drop. Some see the sell-off as an opportunity to buy into BA as restructuring efforts and imminent tie-ups with Spain’s Iberia (IBLA.MC) and American Airlines (AMR.N) could reap long-term rewards.

Others fear the fallout from continued strikes, the sluggish global economic recovery and the volcanic ash cloud from Iceland could weigh on the stock.

BA trades on 102 times forecast 2011 earnings, compared to 33 times for Lufthansa (LHAG.DE), 11 times for Iberia and 11.6 and 13.6 times for low-cost carriers easyJet (EZJ.L) and Ryanair (RYA.I), according to Thomson Reuters StarMine.

BUY

BA has predicted a return to break-even next year after two years of record losses as a slump in travel caused by the global economic downturn eases, helped by a recovery in first- and business-class traffic — the most profitable part of its passenger business.

Of the top 20 analysts covering BA, 12 have a ‘buy’ rating on the stock, seven rate it ‘hold’, while one recommends investors sell, according to Thomson Reuters StarMine.

“The return of the long-haul premium customer should have significant implications for profitability going forward,” said Nomura analyst Andrew Evans, who rates the stock a ‘buy’.

“Long-haul premium revenue accounts for 40 percent of passenger revenues and is currently growing at between 10 and 15 percent.”

The Iberia merger, which BA expects to complete by year’s end, will save it around 400 million euros ($486 million) a year, while a three-way alliance with American — should it be cleared by regulators — will help it slash staff and pricing costs.

“The American tie-up is expected to be approved by July and although cost savings from this have not been quantified by BA, we expect around 150 million pounds ($219 million) of revenue synergies,” said Citigroup analyst Andrew Light, who is a ‘buy’ on BA.

“We expect cabin crew strike situation to be resolved shortly and would buy on strike action.”

SELL

Others, however, are much more pessimistic about the implications of further industrial action. [ID:nLDE64U10P]

“If the current cabin staff dispute is not settled soon, far from breaking even current year results could be even worse than last year,” said BGC Partners senior strategist Howard Wheeldon, who would sell the stock given the uncertainty surrounding BA.

“Even before the second month of BA’s new financial year is over we may need to build in a 300 million pound loss effect from strikes and volcanic dust.”

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Societe Generale analyst Jonathan Wober, who has a ‘hold’ rating on BA, is cautious on flag carrier stocks due to “uncertainties over the ongoing recovery” because of “macroeconomic factors and any further volcanic ash disruption”.

BA’s 2.7 billion pound pension deficit could also be a deal breaker in its merger with Iberia, which has reserved the right to walk away if the UK pensions regulator forces bigger costs on BA to sort out the shortfall than it thinks is affordable.

(Editing by Michael Shields)

($1=.6852 Pound)

Air travellers can face problems as volcanic ash returns to threaten flights

London, May 4 (ANI): Air travellers could face further problems on Tuesday as experts monitored the return of the volcanic ash cloud over UK airspace

The skies over parts of Scotland were closed as a precaution last night after an increased concentration of volcanic ash was detected in the atmosphere, the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) said.

The ash is forecast to exceed the safe level agreed by the CAA and airlines in the Outer Hebrides today, The Scotsman reports.

Airspace over the Outer Hebrides was closed to all operations at 6 p.m. following advice from the Met Office.

The closures could see flights to and from the Western Isles cancelled, but the situation will be constantly reviewed. Passengers are advised to check with their airline before travelling, The Scotsman reports.

The move came as flights in and out of Ireland, including Dublin, Cork and Belfast were grounded for six hours from 7 a.m. this morning as a dense plume travels across the island

The Irish Aviation Authority (IAA) said the decision to ground aircraft was based on the safety risks to crews and passengers as a result of the drift south of the volcanic ash cloud caused by the north-easterly winds, The Scotsman reports. (ANI)

Volcanic ash chaos turns romantic for Chace Crawford

London, April 24 (ANI): The Icelandic volcanic ash cloud, that left passengers stranded at European airports, brought romance for actor Chace Crawford – the Gossip Girl star was seen enjoying a date in London, it has emerged.

Crawford, 24, who flew into London early last week for the promotion of his new flick Twelve, found himself stuck in the UK after flights across northern Europe were cancelled due to the heavy ash cloud floating in the skies.

But Crawford used the opportunity to his favour and was spotted with a Brit actress, named only as Tessa.

He was reportedly seen enjoying an evening with the blonde, and was snapped leaving a London night spot with his arm around her waist.

“Chace was trapped in London, so he spent his time with Tessa. They were introduced by a friend and really hit it off. He had to return to the U.S. for work, but he hopes he”ll see her again,” the Daily Express quoted a source as telling the New York Post. (ANI)

Riding surge in support, UK’s third party in spotlight

The leader of Britain’s third largest political party surged in popularity after a televised election debate last week but his rivals are likely to give him a much tougher time in Thursday’s next round.

Nick Clegg, head of the centrist Liberal Democrats, faced scathing attacks by Britain’s right-wing newspapers on Thursday, hours before the second leaders’ debate at 1900 GMT which will focus on foreign policy.

Clegg transformed the campaign for the May 6 election last week when he emerged as the surprise winner in the first live leaders’ debate, even giving his perennially third-ranking party a slim lead in some opinion polls over the ruling Labour Party and the main opposition Conservative Party.

Election system quirks mean Clegg’s lead is too small to sweep him to power, but his sudden rise has rattled David Cameron’s Conservatives, who have seen a 20-point opinion poll lead crumble in the last year.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos MORI poll showed a surge in support for the Lib Dems in Labour-held marginal seats which the Conservatives must win for an outright victory.

The findings indicate Britain is headed for a hung parliament, where no party has an overall majority, with the Conservatives as the largest party.

“There is only one issue that matters in this debate,” Professor Mark Wickham-Jones of Bristol University said. “Can Clegg sustain the impetus, initiative and the momentum he established last week and keep Cameron on the backfoot?”

The TV debate in the port city of Bristol will focus on foreign policy, reinvigorating the campaign after a week dominated by travel chaos caused by a volcanic ash cloud.

BALANCE OF POWER

If Clegg can again outpunch Cameron and Prime Minister Gordon Brown, it will all but guarantee a hung parliament, where the Liberal Democrats could play a pivotal role, analysts said.

“Whether or not we have a hung parliament in Britain could depend on what happens on Thursday evening,” Ben Page, chief executive of polling company Ipsos MORI, said.

It would be the first such outcome since 1974 and would fuel market worries that the new government will struggle to take the action needed to cut a record budget deficit.

In the fiscal year ending in March, Britain’s public finances suffered their worst year since World War Two, official data showed on Thursday, with public sector net borrowing at 163.4 billion pounds ($252.5 billion).

A Confederation of British Industry survey showed factory orders remained weak in April, but firms were at their most optimistic in two years about raising output in the coming months.

British jobless claims fell faster than expected last month, giving a boost to financial markets, although the upbeat message was undercut by the rise in a broader unemployment measure to a 14-year high, official data showed.

In a Guardian newspaper article, Clegg called “ludicrous” Conservative warnings that an inconclusive election result would damage Britain’s economic recovery and force it to seek help from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Analysts said Clegg could expect a much harder fight in the second debate, with opponents scrutinising his policies closely.

Clegg’s party was the only one of the main three to oppose the Iraq war. All would keep British troops in Afghanistan.

Brown, whose centre-left Labour has governed since 1997, is widely regarded as the weakest TV performer. However, his record of meeting heads of state and taking a lead in areas like the global economic crisis could give him a boost.

The centre-right Conservative leader, a former TV public relations executive who failed to shine in the first debate, will be under more pressure than Brown.

Cameron, 43, has let his poll lead shrink, lacks experience on the international stage and leads a party split over whether Britain should embrace Europe, analysts said.

“For Cameron, it’s a disaster,” Wickham-Jones said. “The capacity for him to mess up is immense.” (Editing by Janet Lawrence)

Lib Dems face tougher fight in 2nd UK vote debate

The leader of Britain’s third biggest political party faces a challenge on Thursday to cement his unexpected surge in support when he enters a televised election debate focused on foreign policy.

Nick Clegg, head of the Liberal Democrats, transformed the election race last week when he emerged the surprise winner in the first live debate, giving his perennially third-ranking party a slim lead in some polls over governing Labour and the main opposition Conservatives.

While election system quirks mean Clegg’s lead is too small to sweep him to power, his sudden rise has rattled David Cameron’s Conservatives, who have seen a 20-point lead evaporate in the last year.

“There is only one issue that matters in this debate,” Professor Mark Wickham-Jones of Bristol University said. “Can Clegg sustain the impetus, initiative and the momentum he established last week and keep Cameron on the backfoot?”

With Clegg’s rise dominating the campaign, many of Britain’s newspapers that traditionally support the Conservatives ran front page stories on Thursday critical of the Lib Dem leader.

His party issued a statement denying any wrongdoing over a Daily Telegraph report that party donors had paid money directly into his bank account, saying there had been nothing irregular about the arrangement.

The Daily Express blared “Clegg’s Crazy Immigration Policy” and the Daily Mail headlined “Clegg in Nazi Slur on Britain”.

In an article for the Guardian, Clegg hit back at what he called “ludicrous” warnings from the Conservatives that an inconclusive election result would damage Britain’s economic recovery and force it to seek help from the International Montery Fund (IMF).

The TV debate in the port city of Bristol will focus on foreign policy areas such as Afghanistan, Iran and nuclear weapons, reinvigorating the campaign after a week often dominated by the closure of British airspace due to a volcanic ash cloud.

BALANCE OF POWER

If the centrist Clegg can again outpunch Cameron and Prime Minister Gordon Brown, it will all but guarantee a hung parliament, where no party wins overall control and the Liberal Democrats potentially hold the balance of power, analysts said.

“Whether or not we have a hung parliament in Britain could depend on what happens on Thursday evening,” Ben Page, chief executive of polling company Ipsos MORI, said.

It would be the first such outcome since 1974 and would fuel market worries that the new government will struggle to take the action needed to cut a record budget deficit.

Analysts said Clegg could expect a much harder fight in the second debate, with opponents scrutinising his policies more closely.

Clegg’s party was the only one of the main three to oppose the Iraq war. All would keep British troops in Afghanistan.

Brown, whose centre-left Labour has governed since 1997, is widely regarded as the weakest TV performer. However, his record of meeting heads of state and taking a lead in areas like the global economic crisis could give him a boost.

The centre-right Conservative leader, a former TV public relations executive who failed to shine in the first debate, will be under more pressure than Brown.

Cameron, 43, has let his poll lead shrink, lacks experience on the international stage and leads a party split over whether Britain should embrace Europe, analysts said.

“For Cameron, it’s a disaster,” Wickham-Jones said. “The capacity for him to mess up is immense.”

- To see the latest Reuters stories on the UK election, click on

(Editing by Angus MacSwan)

Minister says Icelandic volcanic ash cloud will not affect Scot human health

Edinburgh (Scotland), Apr.19 (ANI): Scotland’s First Minister Alex Salmond has said that dust from the volcanic ash cloud coming from Iceland presents no risk to health, agriculture or the environment of his country.

He said ongoing analysis of dust samples by the Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA) had identified no current danger to human health.

But, according to The Scotsman, health experts have advised those with respiratory conditions, such as asthma, to keep medication to hand when they are outdoors.

Environmental monitoring, using information from the network of 75 air and 25 radioactivity-monitoring sites across Scotland, is set to continue.

Yesterday, Salmond said: “SEPA”s ongoing analysis of volcanic dust has shown that it contains no harmful material and presents no risk at present to public health, agriculture or the wider environment.”

The First Minister”s comments came after a meeting of the Scottish Government Resilience Cabinet sub-committee (SGoRR). (ANI)

Brisbane couple stranded by volcano ash cloud take wedding vows online

Melbourne, April 19 (ANI): A couple from Brisbane were forced to exchange marriage vows online with guests watching them tie the knot over the internet – because flight cancellation following the volcanic ash cloud over Europe left them stranded in Dubai.

Although Sean Murtagh, 24, and Natalie Mead, 30, tied the knot at a civil ceremony in inner-city New Farm, Queensland, three weeks ago, Sean”s mum organised a second reception in the UK since they could not attend the wedding.

But when Sean and Natalie landed in Dubai they found that there was no connecting flight to England.

“Everyone pray to volcano gods that I can get on a plane today, or I am going to miss my wedding,” the Courier Mail quoted Natalie, as stating on her Facebook page.

But staff at the Millennium Airport Hotel came to the aid of the couple and arranged a web-video link-up in their room.

Sean said: “They have decorated the lobby of the hotel. They made us a three-tier wedding cake, set up a laptop with Skype and a projector.”

Finally Sean and Natalie exchanged marriage vows again with 80 guests watching the ceremony online from London.

Natalie posted on Facebook: “Bugger if we are going to let a little thing like a volcano stop us from getting married and sharing it with Sean”s family and friends.” (ANI)

Iceland volcano ash unlikely to cool planet, says Australian climatologist

Melbourne, April 19 (ANI): An Australian climatologist has said that the volcanic ash cloud that exploded from an Icelandic volcano is unlikely to have an impact on global temperatures.

The volcano, which is located under the Eyjafjallajokull glacier, had erupted on April 15, producing a 10-kilometre high plume of ash and rock that extended across most of northern Europe.

And while the particles may have a short-term effect on the local temperature, experts believe that it will not have the same impact as the Pinatubo eruption did two decades earlier.

In June 1991, Mount Pinatubo, an active volcano in the Philippines, launched ten cubic kilometres of material into the atmosphere.

Particles from the eruption entered the Earth”s stratosphere resulting in a 10 percent reduction in sunlight reaching the Earth”s surface, and a 0.4°C drop in global average temperatures.

Dr Blair Trewin of the National Climate Centre in Melbourne says, in its current form the ash cloud is unlikely to have the same impact on global temperatures.

“For a volcano to have a significant global cooling effect it has to get its ash up into the stratosphere,” ABC Science quoted him as saying.

“If it doesn”t, the ash will get rained out fairly quickly,” he said.

But he said that even if the particles managed to reach the stratosphere, the location of the volcano will mean the ash will likely stay in the northern hemisphere.

“Once you”re in the stratosphere the winds tend to flow out from the equator to the poles,” Trewin said.

“So if you get a big eruption in the tropics the winds in the stratosphere will tend to spread out material over the whole globe.

“Whereas if it happens in the polar regions the stuff tends to get stuck – it doesn”t spread up to lower latitudes,” he stated.

Trewin says the volcanic ash cloud may have an impact locally.

“When Mount St Helens erupted in 1980 it had no significant global impacts, but in the days immediately after the eruption you had cooling of daylight temperatures by 10°C or more in some parts of the northwestern United States,” he revealed.

Dr Jeff Masters, Director of Meteorology at Weather Underground says the eruption isn”t expected to have a significant impact on weather patterns in the northern hemisphere.

“However, the ash could bring spectacular sunsets to Europe over the next week, and to North America by sometime next week, as the jet stream wraps the ash cloud eastwards across the northern hemisphere,” he added. (ANI)

Brisbane couple stranded by volcano ash cloud take wedding vows online

Melbourne, April 19 (ANI): A couple from Brisbane were forced to exchange marriage vows online with guests watching them tie the knot over the internet – because flight cancellation following the volcanic ash cloud over Europe left them stranded in Dubai.

Although Sean Murtagh, 24, and Natalie Mead, 30, tied the knot at a civil ceremony in inner-city New Farm, Queensland, three weeks ago, Sean”s mum organised a second reception in the UK since they could not attend the wedding.

But when Sean and Natalie landed in Dubai they found that there was no connecting flight to England.

“Everyone pray to volcano gods that I can get on a plane today, or I am going to miss my wedding,” the Courier Mail quoted Natalie, as stating on her Facebook page.

But staff at the Millennium Airport Hotel came to the aid of the couple and arranged a web-video link-up in their room.

Sean said: “They have decorated the lobby of the hotel. They made us a three-tier wedding cake, set up a laptop with Skype and a projector.”

Finally Sean and Natalie exchanged marriage vows again with 80 guests watching the ceremony online from London.

Natalie posted on Facebook: “Bugger if we are going to let a little thing like a volcano stop us from getting married and sharing it with Sean”s family and friends.” (ANI)

Iceland volcano ash unlikely to cool planet, says Australian climatologist

Melbourne, April 19 (ANI): An Australian climatologist has said that the volcanic ash cloud that exploded from an Icelandic volcano is unlikely to have an impact on global temperatures.

The volcano, which is located under the Eyjafjallajokull glacier, had erupted on April 15, producing a 10-kilometre high plume of ash and rock that extended across most of northern Europe.

And while the particles may have a short-term effect on the local temperature, experts believe that it will not have the same impact as the Pinatubo eruption did two decades earlier.

In June 1991, Mount Pinatubo, an active volcano in the Philippines, launched ten cubic kilometres of material into the atmosphere.

Particles from the eruption entered the Earth”s stratosphere resulting in a 10 percent reduction in sunlight reaching the Earth”s surface, and a 0.4°C drop in global average temperatures.

Dr Blair Trewin of the National Climate Centre in Melbourne says, in its current form the ash cloud is unlikely to have the same impact on global temperatures.

“For a volcano to have a significant global cooling effect it has to get its ash up into the stratosphere,” ABC Science quoted him as saying.

“If it doesn”t, the ash will get rained out fairly quickly,” he said.

But he said that even if the particles managed to reach the stratosphere, the location of the volcano will mean the ash will likely stay in the northern hemisphere.

“Once you”re in the stratosphere the winds tend to flow out from the equator to the poles,” Trewin said.

“So if you get a big eruption in the tropics the winds in the stratosphere will tend to spread out material over the whole globe.

“Whereas if it happens in the polar regions the stuff tends to get stuck – it doesn”t spread up to lower latitudes,” he stated.

Trewin says the volcanic ash cloud may have an impact locally.

“When Mount St Helens erupted in 1980 it had no significant global impacts, but in the days immediately after the eruption you had cooling of daylight temperatures by 10°C or more in some parts of the northwestern United States,” he revealed.

Dr Jeff Masters, Director of Meteorology at Weather Underground says the eruption isn”t expected to have a significant impact on weather patterns in the northern hemisphere.

“However, the ash could bring spectacular sunsets to Europe over the next week, and to North America by sometime next week, as the jet stream wraps the ash cloud eastwards across the northern hemisphere,” he added. (ANI)