EURO GOVT-Bunds rise on weak U.S. economic outlook

July 29 (Reuters) – Bund futures opened higher on Thursday, lifted by concerns over the U.S. economy after weak data in the previous session, with a euro zone sentiment survey seen adding to safe-haven bids if it fails to meet expectations. The euro zone survey released at 0900 GMT is expected to show a small gain in economic sentiment, but could lend further support to Bunds if it falls below the forecast of 99.0.

“The risk is that it comes in below forecast and people start questioning the strength of the recovery,” a trader said.

On Wednesday, a Federal Reserve report showed lacklustre growth and U.S. durable goods orders unexpectedly fell.

“It feels like we might have seen the lows of the week. I think the market is looking for signs of (risk appetite) calming down,” the trader said.

At 0605 GMT, the Bund future FGBLc1 was 8 ticks up on Thursday’s settlement close at 127.89, although slightly below the official close after a rally in late trading.

The 10-year German bond yield DE10YT=TWEB was 2.742 percent, down around 1 basis point while the two-year Schatz yield DE2YT=TWEB was flat at 0.852 percent.

In supply, benchmark peripheral sovereign Italy will come to market with auctions of conventional and floating-rate bonds worth up to 9.5 billion euros.

Although recent warmer sentiment towards the euro zone’s higher-yielding countries has seen peripheral debt sales draw good demand, a trader said there was likely to be some attempt to cheapen the Italian paper further ahead of the auction. (Reporting by William James)

EURO GOVT-Bunds higher after Bernanke

July 22 (Reuters) – German Bunds rose on Thursday, tracking overnight moves in U.S. Treasuries after the Federal Reserve Chairman said that the world’s largest economy faced “unusually uncertain” prospects, prompting a sell-off in riskier assets.

Ben Bernanke said the Fed stands ready to ease monetary policy further if the budding U.S. economic recovery withers [ID:nN21165172].

Two year US Treasury yields US2YT=RR hit a record low in the wake of the testimony and ten-year yields US10YT=RR held near 15 month lows.

“Those looking for imminent quantitative easing were probably disappointed, but the ‘uncertain outlook’ and talk of taking action is pretty dovish,” a trader.

At 0603 GMT, September Bund futures FGBLc1 were 40 ticks higher at 129.30 having risen above the 21 day moving average at 129.10 at the market open.

Traders were looking to July’s high of 129.54 as the next key resistance level, to break out of the recent trading range.

Two-year bond yields DE2YT=TWEB were 1.8 basis points lower at 0.706 percent, with 10-year yields DE10YT=TWEB almost 4 basis points lower at 2.599 percent .

Euro zone flash manufacturing and services PMIs are released from 0658 GMT, with the regional manufacturing index expected to slip to 55.2 from 55.6 in June and the services index seen falling to 55.0 from 55.5.

Irish/German government bond yield spread widens

July 19 (Reuters) – The premium investors demand to hold 10-year Irish government bonds rather than euro zone benchmark Bunds rose on Monday after ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the sovereign’s debt.

Moody’s downgraded Irish debt by one notch to Aa2 from Aa1, but raised the outlook to stable from negative, capping the risk of further downgrades. [ID:nWLA8628]

Analysts also said that ahead of Irish bond supply on Tuesday, the country’s bonds were cheapening off, driving yields higher agains Bunds. [EURODEBT/O]

The 10-year Irish/German government bond yield spread IE10YT=TWEBDE10YT=TWEB widened by nine basis points since the Friday settlement close to 300 bps, its highest since July 2. (Reporting by George Matlock)

EURO GOVT-Bonds higher after Moody’s downgrades Ireland

July 19 (Reuters) – German Bunds advanced nearly a fifth of a point early on Monday after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded Irish debt. [ID:nSYU010299]

Bunds had opened flat after Germany’s Finance Ministry said the euro zone’s biggest economy is likely to have grown more robustly in the second quarter than the first three months of the year.

The German prediction countered pre-market expectations of a safe-haven rally by Bunds in the face of news that Hungary failed to agree with lenders on its economic plans and risked putting Austrian debt yield spreads under pressure. [ID:nLDE66H021]]

Austria’s banking sector is highly exposed to Hungary.

By 0626 GMT, the September Bund future FGBLc1 was up 13 ticks at 129.29 since the settlement close on Friday.

The two-year Schatz yield DE2YT=TWEB was down 0.6 basis points at 0.779 percent.

Bunds are likely to be supported by expectations that equities will open weaker .FTEU3 at 0700 GMT as markets continued to absorb some poor U.S. earnings data.

On Friday, Bank of America (BAC.N), the biggest U.S. bank, slid more than 9 percent after its quarterly earnings disappointed and the S&P financial index .GSPF dropped 4.4 percent as investors fretted about how banks will make money going forward.

(Reporting by George Matlock; editing by John Stonestreet)

EURO GOVT-Bunds slip, growth worries to underpin demand

July 6 (Reuters) – German Bund futures opened slightly lower on Tuesday with European equities predicted to rise though worries over global growth were set to underpin safe-haven demand.

Activity is expected to be thin with some investors remaining on the sidelines before Thursday’s European Central Bank meeting.

Data showing the U.S. labour market shrank for the first time this year in June and slower Chinese manufacturing activity has fuelled concerns over prospects for the global economy, supporting demand for safe-haven Bunds.

“The recent bunch of significant U.S. data disappointments has fuelled the debate about a double dip (recession) and even though there is little new data on the calendar over the next days, the talk about a U.S. double dip is unlikely to fall silent soon,” said Commerzbank strategists in a note.

At 0605 GMT, the Bund future FGBLc1 was 10 ticks lower at 129.60. The 10-year German bond yield DE10YT=TWEB was 2.562 percent, up 1.5 basis points while the two-year Schatz yield EU2YT=RR was 1 basis point higher at 0.638 percent.

“It’s trying to go higher to that 130.00 level but volumes are thin,” a trader in London said. (Reporting by William James)

EURO GOVT-Bunds higher as periphery pressured, stocks fall

June 24 (Reuters) – Core German Bunds turned positive on Thursday as peripheral euro zone issuers remained under pressure and after cautious comments on the economy from the US Federal Reserve.

Bunds further extended gains as European equities .FTEU3 turned negative.

At 0727 GMT, September Bund futures FGBLc1 were 11 ticks higher at 128.73. Two-year German yields DE2YT=TWEB were 1.5 basis points lower at 0.582 percent, with ten-year yields DE10YT=TWEB down a similar amount at 2.632 percent.

European shares .FTEU3 reversed earlier gains to stand 0.24 percent lower on the day.

Peripheral yield spreads were steady in early trade, but held close to levels seen the previous session after a bout of widening.

MONEY MARKETS-Dollar funding rate edges up, Spanish banks eyed

HONG KONG, June 17 (Reuters) – Dollar borrowing rates inched up on Thursday, nearing highs seen earlier this month, and bellwether U.S. 2-year swap spreads widened as investors remained concerned about funding problems faced by some Spanish banks.

While traders reiterated there were no strains in the Asian dollar funding market, there were still concerns there could be a spillover effect from strains in the euro zone financial system.

Spain’s banking system has largely weathered the global financial storm, but the country’s 45 savings banks have seen their capital base eroded by soaring bad loans due to their excessive exposure to the property and construction sectors, now in steep downturn.

Madrid has repeatedly denied it is seeking a bailout with the latest rumour triggered by the talks between the Spanish prime minister and the International Monetary Fund chief set for Friday. Spain said the talks are unconnected with media reports Madris is seeking Greek-style aid.

In Singapore, three-month dollar funding SIUSD3MD=ABSG costs edged up to 0.54108 percent from 0.54042 percent on Wednesday.

These rates have been meandering in a tight quarter-basis point range in June, wrapped around the 0.54 percent level this month after rates rose 20 bps in May.

Rates struck an 11-month peak of 0.54667 percent last month following renewed concerns about Europe’s debt problems.

U.S. two-year swap spreads USD2YTS=TWEB, which widen during times of financial stress, moved up a quarter basis point to 37.50 bps, still well below a 13-month high of 64 bps struck last month.

“Spanish banks borrowed a record amount from the ECB last month and the CEO of BBVA noted earlier this week that many Spanish banks and corporates are being frozen out of the capital markets,” said a client note from Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.

“The premium that Spain is being forced to pay over Germany for 10-year money is at the widest since the advent of the euro,” the note said, underlining the signs of strain.

But traders said any spillover effect from Europe would be limited given the swap lines offered by the various central banks in a joint arrangement with the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve has established swap arrangements with the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Japan.

The swap facilities respond to the re-emergence of strains in short-term funding markets in Europe.

“The previous funding squeeze was because memory of Lehman was still fresh but central banks have come in to provide liquidity and calm to the markets. That seems to have worked for now,” said a Singapore-based trader.

Meanwhile, financial markets are awaiting release of the results of stress tests carried out on all Spanish banks to verify whether they have enough capital to withstand economic downturns. [ID:nLDE65F1AL]

This move is being perceived by some analysts in the market as a positive sign.

“The Bank of Spain is confident that the consolidation of domestic banking sector has made good progress, so confident that it plans to publish banks’ stress tests,” said a report from Goldman Sachs.

In India, the announcement of a central bank bond buyback helped ease tight cash conditions.

The one year overnight indexed swaps rate INRAMONMI1Y= fell basis points to 5.36 percent, pulling further away from an 18-month peak struck earlier in the week.

An expected outflow of over 1.36 trillion rupees between late May and June towards 3G telecom spectrum payments, advance taxes and broadband auction payments has tightened liquidity in the banking system, sending cash rates to the repo rate.

The central bank said the auction would be via multi-security multiple price method and will be funded through the current surplus cash balances of the government. [ID:nSGE65G01T] (Reporting by Umesh Desai; Editing by Kim Coghill)

EURO GOVT-Bonds open lower ahead of supply

June 16 (Reuters) – German bond futures opened lower on Wednesday, after strong gains by U.S. equities overnight and weighed down ahead of a 10-year Bund auction this session. Germany will issue 5 billion euros of 10-year Bunds, the euro zone’s benchmark issue.

European equities .FTEU3 were expected to open higher at 0700 GMT, feeding off Wall Street’s gains .GSPC.

Although German Bund yields are 20 basis points higher than when they set a record low of 2.497 on June 8, one trader said more concession-building was likely ahead of the auction if Bund futures remained lower.

Bids for the auction close at 0900 GMT.

“The main focus today is the Bund auction and equities, and there is room for more cheapening off in the Bund leading up to the tender,” he said. At 0606 GMT, the September Bund future FGBLc1 was down 29 ticks at 128.01.

The two-year Schatz yield DE2YT=TWEB was up 1.5 basis points at 0.529 percent while the 10-year Bund yield DE10YT=TWEB was up 2.4 bps at 2.703 percent.

In data, euro zone final consumer prices for May are due at 0900 GMT but unlikely to turn heads unless they are revised. The market forecast is for a gain of 1.6 percent in the headline year-on-year figure.

(Reporting by George Matlock; editing by John Stonestreet)

EURO GOVT-Bunds open higher after Greek downgrade

June 15 (Reuters) – German government bonds opened higher on Tuesday after Moody’s investors service cut Greece’s credit rating to junk late the previous day, refocusing market attention on Europe’s debt problems. Moody’s downgraded Greece four notches to Ba1, citing risks in the euro zone/IMF rescue package for the debt-stricken country. It was the second agency to strip Athens of its investment grade rating after Standard and Poor’s made a similar move in April.

The downgrade was expected to prompt equity investors to book profits after a brisk four-session winning run, sending regional shares lower.

“This puts the focus back on the periphery. There are going to be people who are forced sellers now with two junk ratings,” said a trader.

“The ECB are the only bidder so we would expect them to be quite active today, but the worry now is the contagion into other peripherals and the question being asked is who will be next to be downgraded.”

At 0604 GMT, September Bund futures FGBLU0 were at 128.95, 42 ticks higher from Monday’s settlement, although little changed from levels seen in after-hours trading. Two-year bond yields DE2YT=TWEB were 1.2 basis points lower at 0.488 percent, with 10-year yields DE10YT=TWEB almost 3 basis points lower at 2.60 percent.

With peripheral bonds likely to be under pressure, Ireland will auction up to 1.5 billion euros of 2016 and 2018 government bonds.

Ahead of that, the German ZEW sentiment indicator for June, released at 0900 GMT, is seen slipping to 42.0 versus 45.8 previously.