UPDATE 1-Fitch downgrades Vietnam to B-plus on fiscal concerns

HANOI, July 29 (Reuters) – Fitch Ratings downgraded Vietnam’s sovereign rating by a notch to B-plus on Thursday, citing inconsistent state policies, worsening external finances, higher funding needs, its dollarised economy and weak banks.

Economists said downgrades could follow from other ratings agencies on one of Asia’s most promising emerging markets, where the move which was widely expected.

Vietnam’s sovereign dollar bonds due in 2020 VN048365868= fell a point to 109.50 cents on the dollar. Its credit default swaps (CDS) were not traded, traders said. [ID:nTOE66S04B]. There was no immediate reaction in the local currency market.

Vietnam’s external finance position had yet to stabilise despite additional foreign exchange reserves, Fitch sovereign analyst Ai Ling Ngiam said. Vietnam was also suffering from a highly dollarised economy and a weak banking system, Ngiam added.

“Vietnam’s track record of stop-go policy tightening and easing has been ad-hoc, reactive and inconsistent,” Ngiam said.

Fitch’s last downgrade of Vietnam was on June 29, 2009, when it knocked the country’s local currency rating to BB- from BB.

The new rating is now four notches below investment grade. It also puts Vietnam three steps below Indonesia and two under the Philippines, countries seen as its investment peers in Southeast Asia.

Fitch expects Vietnam’s government deficit to remain high and added the country’s public debt situation, a traditional area of strength, had also deteriorated.

Matt Hildebrandt, an economist at JP Morgan in Singapore, said the rating came at a time of some improvement for Vietnam in terms of inflation, the budget deficit and foreign exchange reserves, but said the downgrade was justified.

“I think the issue is even if things are getting better do you fundamentally think it should be rated where it is, and I think the answer they came up with was: no. I think the downgrade is warranted,” he said.

Vietnam’s sovereign five-year credit default swaps VNGV5YUSAC=R have signalled that the market considered Vietnam significantly risker than Indonesia or the Philippines, and on Thursday Vietnam’s CDSs were quoted about 60-70 basis points higher than those of the other two.

Rival agencies Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s both have a negative outlook on Vietnam’s rating.

Moody’s has rated Vietnam Ba3, while S&P has a BB rating on the Southeast Asian country, three and two notches below investment grade respectively. (Additional reporting by Umesh Desai in Hong Kong; Editing by Jason Szep)

REFILE-UPDATE 1-Malaysian billionaire to privatise Tanjong

KUALA LUMPUR, July 29 (Reuters) – Malaysian billionaire Ananda Krishnan is set to buyout utilities and gaming company Tanjong Plc (TJPL.KL), the second of his listed firms in three days in a deal worth 4.4 billion ringgit ($1.38 billion), two sources with direct knowledge of the deal said.

Ananda’s Usaha Tegas investment vehicle will launch a bid for Tanjong on Friday at 20.50 ringgit per share for 53 percent of the 403 million shares not held, said the two sources who declined to identified as they are not authorised to speak to the media.

That is a 14.65 percent premium to the last traded price for Tanjong, in a move that comes after another Ananda vehicle launched a 662 million ringgit cash buyout for MEASAT Global (MTCB.KL) on Wednesday. [ID:nSGE66R0GY]

Analysts say Ananda’s plan is to restructure and recapitalise the companies as private firms in order to increase their profile and expand their businesses.

Reclusive tycoon Ananda has launched a slew of corporate deals over the past 12 months, relisting a part of his Maxis (MXSC.KL) telecoms company in November in what was Southeast Asia’s biggest initial public offering. [ID:nKLR501438]

He also privatised Malaysian pay-TV monopoly Astro All Asia Networks Plc in March after a loss-making expansion in Indonesia and India weighed on the company’s finances. [ID:nSGE62G085]

Usaha Tegas and other Ananda-linked associates currently own 47 percent of the electricity to gaming company, the sources said, with one adding that the gaming operations would be sold under the proposed deal.

Investment banks Standard Chartered (STAN.L) and RBS will provide 2.1 billion ringgit in funding to help finance the deal, a source said, and the move reflects Krishnan’s belief that the companies are undervalued.

Tanjong officials were not immediately available for comment.

Tanjong shares were suspended on Tuesday and the stock last traded at 17.88 ringgit. ($1=3.193 Malaysian Ringgit) (Additonal reporting by Saeed Azhar; Writing by David Chance; Editing by Dhara Ranasinghe)

By-election offers glimpse into Thai political mood

BANGKOK, July 25 (Reuters) – A jailed Thai anti-government protest leader accused of terrorism faces the ruling party on Sunday in a Bangkok by-election that could signal whether a bloody army crackdown has changed the political landscape.

The vote for just three seats in parliament won’t affect Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s ruling Democrats’ hold on power but it could signal whether the unrest that killed at least 89 people will hurt his party in national elections next year.

“The race is very important for both parties because the result, as well as the margin won, will be seen as a symbolic statement in a tense and divided political landscape,” said Karn Yuenyong, director of the independent Siam Intelligence Unit.

The seat, covering only part of the capital, is expected to be won by the ruling Democrats whose fractious six-party coalition has a 75-seat majority in the 480-seat parliament.

But the margin could offer a critical measure of support for the anti-government “red shirt” protest movement in Bangkok after their festive, flag-waving rallies in March descended into gun fights and violent clashes in April and May that frightened off tourists and hurt Southeast Asia’s second-biggest economy.

Unofficial results of the vote in Bangkok’s Constituency 6 are expected before 8 p.m. (1300 GMT).

The opposition candidate, 45-year-old businessman Korkaew Pikulthong of the Puea Thai Party, was arrested in May for allegedly encouraging violence, a charge he denies. He has put his chances of winning at 50-50 while campaigning from prison, saying he has public sympathy for being held without bail.

He faces formidable odds but a victory would be a powerful blow to Abhisit and “symbolically show there is real opposition, even in Bangkok, to the government’s recent action”, said Karn.

A loss would reinforce the view that Bangkok generally backs Abhisit’s tough measures, but extrapolating the result as a clear prediction of the general election is hard because the district has voted differently from other regions in the past.

EMERGENCY DECREE

Korkaew says the government has helped his rival by maintaining a state of emergency in Bangkok since April 7, allowing authorities to detain opposition members without charge, censor the press, ban public gatherings and freeze bank accounts.

Korkaew’s party, closely allied with self-exiled and graft-convicted former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, is facing Democrat Panich Wikisreth, a former deputy Bangkok mayor allied with royalist “yellow shirts” who led a successful 2006 campaign to oust Thaksin by military coup.

A win for the opposition, while unlikely, cannot be ruled out. Historically, the seat has gone both ways.

A candidate for a Thaksin-allied party lost the district in 2007 to the Democrats by just a few thousand votes. The seat became vacant when the incumbent, a Democrat, died.

No single party has historically dominated the district of about 536,000 people. Thaksin’s now-defunct Thai Rak Thai Party has won the seat in the past.

The vote is the first in Bangkok since troops forcibly dispersed thousands of protesters in a May 19 operation that sparked deadly rioting. Nearly 40 buildings were set ablaze, including the stock exchange and Thailand’s top shopping mall.

Thailand’s economy and its financial markets have recovered, helped by an air of stability since the army operation. An opposition win could raise new questions over whether Abhisit can sustain that stability, especially if the decree is lifted.

The red shirts, supporters of twice-elected Thaksin, say Abhisit has no popular mandate and came to power illegitimately, heading a coalition the military cobbled together after courts dissolved a pro-Thaksin party that led the previous government.

Abhisit says he was voted into office by the same parliament that picked his Thaksin-allied predecessors. (Additional reporting by Ambika Ahuja and Ploy Ten Kate; Editing by Sugita Katyal)

Malaysia Airlines to Equip Boeing 737-800s with Blended Winglets

FARNBOROUGH, England, July 19 /PRNewswire/ — Aviation Partners Boeing Blended Winglets will be installed on all 35 of the 737-800 aircraft that Malaysia’s national carrier, Malaysia Airlines, has on order with Boeing. The first aircraft will deliver later this year, with deliveries continuing into 2013.

“We are very pleased that Malaysia Airlines decided to install Blended Winglets on its entire fleet of 737-800 aircraft,” says Aviation Partners Boeing CEO John Reimers. “This commitment assures they are operating the most efficient aircraft available with greater flexibility to meet the changing needs of the industry in Southeast Asia.”

Malaysia Airlines already has experience with Blended Winglets on a small fleet of leased 737-800 aircraft. APB’s operational performance claims were verified in the daily operations of the aircraft and led to the fleet-wide investment decision.

“We hope this is the first of many orders from Malaysia Airlines,” says Reimers. “Blended Winglets will differentiate them from the aggressive low cost market in the region and provide a visible cost advantage over their competition.”

Blended Winglets are ideal to address the challenging operating conditions in Southeast Asia as they provide takeoff weight capability improvements of up to 6 tonnes from high altitude, hot and obstacle-limited airports while dramatically reducing fuel and engine maintenance costs on normal operations.

More than 3,600 Blended Winglet Systems are now in service with over 120 airlines in more than 80 countries. APB estimates that Blended Winglets have saved airlines worldwide more than 2.1 billion gallons of jet fuel to-date. Aviation Partners Boeing is a Seattle based joint venture of Aviation Partners, Inc. and The Boeing Company.

www.aviationpartnersboeing.com

Patent No. 5348253

SOURCE Aviation Partners Boeing

UPDATE 1-Indonesian telecoms firms lift subscriber forecasts

JAKARTA, July 14 (Reuters) – Two of Indonesia’s biggest telecoms firms PT Telkomsel and PT XL Axiata (EXCL.JK) on Wednesday lifted their forecasts for mobile subscribers in 2010, reflecting strong consumer demand growth in Southeast Asia’s biggest economy.

The bullish forecasts, after better than expected subscriber numbers for the first half of the year, may not translate into higher profits as firms splash out on advertising campaigns and low pricing packages amid fierce competition in the sector.

Telkomsel, a unit of Indonesia’s top telecoms firm PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM.JK), saw 88 million subscribers by the end of June and lifted its full year forecast to 100 million, from a forecast of 91 million made just last month.

PT XL Axiata (EXCL.JK), Indonesia’s third biggest phone company, revised its full year target for subscribers to 38-39 million, after hitting its previous full year target of 35 million by the end of June.

“It’s beyond our expectation, especially XL that has beaten our full year forecast of 34.1 million subscribers,” said Harry Su, head of research at PT Bahana Securities.

“However, the subscriber growth doesn’t instantly relate to growth in profits as telco companies always spend huge amounts of money on advertising costs.”

XL Axiata’s president director Hasnul Suhaimi also revised up the firm’s 2010 revenue growth target to 17-18 percent from a forecast of 15 percent previously, but did not comment on profits.

Investors have been ploughing into Indonesia’s stock market .JKSE, which is close to a record high, and brokers say consumer stocks are attracting the most interest as they have outperformed the resources sector this year.

Shares in XL traded up 0.6 percent by 0656 GMT, while Telkom shares gained 1.3 percent, versus the index’s 0.7 percent rise. XL’s stock has more than doubled this year, outperforming the index’s 17 percent gain, though Telkom has lagged, falling 17 percent. (Reporting by Fathiya Dahrul and Janeman Latul; Editing by Neil Chatterjee)

NORDIC STOCKS – Factors to watch on July 6

July 6 (Reuters) – The following stocks may be affected by newspaper reports and other factors on Tuesday:

ROCKWOOL (ROCKb.CO)

Danish insulation maker Rockwool said early on Tuesday it would acquire the Asian stone wool-based insulation business of Australia’s CSR Ltd (CSR.AX) for A $128 million ($119 million) to extend its reach in Southeast Asia and establish a bridgehead in China. [ID:nSYU010209]

“The acquired businesses complement very well the existing Rockwool business in Asia centred in Malaysia,” it said.

For more on the company, double-click on [ROCKb.CO]

** For a summary of upcoming results and forecasts, double click on [NORD/EQTY]

** For the western European company diary covering earnings, shareholder meetings, news conferences and analysts’ meetings, click on [WEU/EQUITY] or type in the code and hit the f9 button.

** Double click on <0#.INDEX.ST> for Swedish indices, <0#.INDEX.CO> for Danish indices, <0#.INDEX.HE> for Finnish indices and <0#.INDEX.OL> for Norwegian indices

** For real-time moves on Nordic blue-chip indices double click on .OMXS30, .OMXH25, and .OBX

** For constituent stock moves highlight the above codes in the command box and press the f3 button on your keyboard

** For Nordic top news items, double click on [TOP/NORD]

** For the latest news on Nordic stock price moves double click on [HOT-NORD-RTRS]

(Additional reporting by Copenhagen, Oslo and Stockholm newsrooms) (Helsinki Newsroom; +358-9-6805-0244) ($1=1.076 Australian Dollar)

S.Korea SK Group says to invest $14.3 bln by 2020

SEOUL, July 1 (Reuters) – South Korea’s SK Group, whose major businesses are crude oil refining and telecom via SK Energy (096770.KS) and SK Telecom (017670.KS), said on Thursday it would invest 17.5 trillion won ($14.32 billion) by 2020 to develop energy resources and technologies.

The group also said in a statement that it would strengthen its global businesses mainly in China, South America, Middle East and Southeast Asia.

Of the total investment, the group would spend 4.5 trillion won to secure low-carbon energy, including solar, bio fuel and rechargeable battery, along with overseas natural resources such as oil, gas, iron ore and rubber, it said.

The group, via this overseas resource development, aims to raise its contribution to energy independency rates of South Korea, the world’s No.5 crude oil and No.2 liquefied natural gas

(LNG) buyer, to 13 percent by 2013 from 6 percent in 2008.

SK Energy said last month it would focus on exploration and production (E&P) of oil, and research and development (R&D) of energy by doubling the success rate of exploration to 20 percent and enhancing E&P business through various strategies, while enhancing its Chinese businesses. [nSGE65K026]

According to Thursday’s statement, SK Group would focus on developing crude oil, LNG and iron ore in South America, and petroleum, coal, rubber along with enhancing its telecom infrastructure business in Southeast Asia.

In the Middle East, the group said it would work on construction business of power-generating facilities and plants.

Of the total investment, 4.2 trillion won would be to establish “smart” environment, like a smart grid to raise energy efficiency via computerised monitoring of electricity flowing through a power grid, the statement said.

It added the remainder of the investment would go for developing innovative technologies, such as for bio businesses.

($1=1222.1 Won)

(Reporting by Cho Mee-young; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

((meeyoung.cho@thomsonreuters.com; +82 2 3704 5653; Reuters Messaging: meeyoung.cho.reuters.com@reuters.net))

((If you have a query or comment on this story, send an email to news.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com)) Keywords: SKGROUP KOREA/

(C) Reuters 2010. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution ofReuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expresslyprohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuterssphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group ofcompanies around the world.nTOE66003F

REFILE-Munich Re builds on Asia insurance expansion plans

June 24 (Reuters) – German reinsurer Munich Re (MUVGn.DE) has embarked on its plans to expand in primary insurance in Asia by providing the reinsurance for a new direct online insurance facility launched in Singapore on Thursday.

Munich Re, which helps insurance companies pay for major losses, has teamed up with global insurance investor and services provider, Whittington Group, to launch DirectAsia.com, which will offer motor, travel, home and personal accident insurance through the website.

The world’s biggest reinsurer said it was seeking expansion in primary insurance in Asia, mainly through joint ventures and organic growth. [IDn:TOE65LO2K]

“The introduction of direct insurance is long overdue in most Asian countries,” said Anthony Hobrow, group chief executive of Whittington Group.

Whittington Group said virtually all personal lines insurance in Asia is sold through agents – who take commissions ranging from 10 percent to 50 percent.

“We have already seen the success of the direct business model in many other markets around the world, including Japan and South Korea,” he said.

Alexander Lay, head of casualty underwriting at Munich Re Singapore, said the move highlights the reinsurer’s position as a high value solution provider in Southeast Asia.

“Our reinsurance agreement gives DirectAsia.com access to our international network, consulting expertise and extensive motor insurance know-how,” he said.

This is not the first time Munich Re has provided reinsurance support for a primary insurance venture. The German reinsurer has a long-standing contract with Admiral Group to provide part of its reinsurance for its Elephant car insurance operation in the United States.

Munich Re’s chief executive officer Nikolaus von Bomhard told Reuters on Tuesday it expects to generate 15 percent of its business from Asia in the near future, up from 11 percent now.

He said the German reinsurer is looking for partnerships in China and India to start life or non life insurance businesses.

DirectAsia.com will be licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

(Additional reporting by Samuel Shen and Jane Lee)

IFC invests $1.7 mln in Thailand solar power plant

June 24 (Reuters) – The International Finance Corporation (IFC) has invested $1.7 million in equity for a 20 percent stake in Thailand’s Solar Power (Korat 1) Company Ltd., Southeast Asia’s largest solar power plant, the IFC said.

Financials

The funding would help expand private power generation and help develop rural Thailand, the IFC, the investment arm of the World Bank, said in a statement.

“IFC’s support to renewable energy generation in Thailand, specifically solar, will encourage similar investments in the region,” Anita George, IFC director for infrastructure, said in the statement.

Solar Power (Korat 1) owns and operates a 6-megawatt grid-tied solar power plant in the Nakhonratchasima province, in northeastern Thailand, the IFC said.

The project supports the government’s goal of generating at least 20 percent of energy from renewable sources by 2022, which will improve the supply of clean energy, help move Thailand toward low-carbon growth and reduce reliance on imported energy, it said.

The Thai firm is majority owned by Solar Power Company Ltd. (SPC), a Thai developer of large, grid-connected, solar photo-voltaic projects. Kyocera Corp (6971.T) has a minority shareholding in SPC.

IFC’s investment rights in SPC and its related companies could amount to as much as $20 million if fully exercised, it said.

SPC Korat 1 also has received a minority equity investment from the Energy for Environment Foundation and debt financing from Kasikornbank (KBAN.BK).

Since 2005, IFC has invested more than $1 billion in renewable energy projects. ($1=32.37 baht) (Reporting by Arada Kultawanich; Editing by Robert Birsel)

UPDATE 1-Xstrata unfazed by ban on $5.2-bln Philippine project

MANILA, June 11 (Reuters) – A unit of global miner Xstrata (XTA.L) vowed on Friday to proceed with public discussions and technical studies on a $5.2 billion copper-gold project in the southern Philippines despite the risk of a ban on the venture.

Manila has ambitious plans to pull the mining sector from its current moribund state by luring billions of dollars of foreign investment for development, but analysts warn the ban could prove a major test case of its policies, and derail such moves.

The Tampakan mine, considered Southeast Asia’s largest undeveloped copper-gold prospect, was opposed by local residents who feared the open pit mining method to be used by Xstrata’s Philippine affiliate Sagittarius Mines Inc would pollute a major river irrigating farms. Mine production is set to start in 2016.

“We will continue with our engagements and with whatever studies,” said John Arnaldo, spokesman of Sagittarius Mines.

“Of course, our shareholders are concerned,” he told Reuters. “We will respect whatever decision the provincial board and the governor may have and we will take it a step at a time.”

Xstrata could continue its pre-development work on the mine because the ban has yet to take effect, state agency the Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) said.

The agency also said it may question the ban with the courts as a last resort, adding the measure could hinder investment in the mining sector.

On Wednesday, the legislative council of South Cotabato province in the southern Philippines passed a law banning open pit mining due to environmental concerns, a move that directly hits the Tampakan mine project of Xstrata — the world’s fourth largest copper producer. [ID:nSGE6590LL]

Provincial governor Daisy Avance-Fuentes had told Reuters she was likely to approve the measure because of its wide local support, adding the ban could take effect before local officials step down on June 30.

LEGAL ROUTE

The government would use all means to assure residents all necessary safety and environmental safeguards would be in place around the Tampakan mine, MGB director Edwin Domingo said. He added that Manila was hopeful the new local government taking over by the end of June would reconsider and amend the ban.

“There’s still the legal process because we sincerely think that national laws are superior over local laws. As much as possible, we don’t want to go into that angle,” Domingo told Reuters on Friday.

“We would rather exert and maximise all available efforts to really discuss further with the stakeholders their various issues and concerns.

“This is going to have a negative impact on our future investors. A lot of our copper and gold deposits can be technically and viably developed only through open pit mining.”

Analysts criticised the local government’s action, saying it ran counter to the Philippines’ policies and national interests.

“It’s very bad,” Peter Wallace, head of investment consulting firm Wallace Business Forum, told Reuters. “To impose a restriction, it’s short-sighted.”

“You can write mining off because Xstrata has gone a long way and is now well known in the mining community,” he said. “People are watching that. What is happening here is an indicator of the acceptability of other companies coming in as well. So it’s a major test case.”

Xstrata has completed a feasibility study of Tampakan, which has an estimated resource of 2.2 billion tonnes containing 12.8 million tonnes of copper and 15.2 million ounces of gold at a 0.3 percent copper cut-off grade.

Other analysts say the Philippine measure could prompt other countries to take similarly stringent action to protect the environment.

Australia’s Indophil Resources NL (IRN.AX) has a 34 percent stake in the Tampakan venture. The mine, discovered in 1991, never left the drawing board because it was dogged by environmental woes, communist insurgencies, and political instability. (Writing by Rosemarie Francisco; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

S.Philippines eyes open pit mine ban; Xstrata’s project hangs

June 10 (Reuters) – The southern Philippine province of South Cotabato is likely to ban open pit mining due to environmental concerns, its governor said on Thursday, a move that could halt Xstrata Plc’s (XTA.L) $5.2 billion copper-gold project.

The province’s legislative council approved the ban on third reading earlier this week and the measure will soon be endorsed to the governor.

“The vote by the provincial council was unanimous so how can I veto it?,” Daisy Avance-Fuentes, governor of South Cotabato province, told Reuters in a phone interview.

The state’s Mines and Geosciences Bureau said in position paper a looming ban “effectively means a ban on the development of the Tampakan copper-gold mine,” considered Southeast Asia’s largest undeveloped copper-gold prospect. (Reporting by Manolo Serapio Jr.)

UPDATE 1-Malaysia says to cut subsidies, boost investment

KUALA LUMPUR, June 10 (Reuters) – Malaysian premier Najib Razak set out on Thursday a five-year plan to cut subsidies and accelerate investment but outlined few measures to boost competitiveness, reinforcing doubts about his reform agenda.

In the blueprint, Najib said the government would reduce its fiscal deficit and gradually phase out subsidies while aiming for average 6 percent annual economic growth.

“This plan is critical to make sure our ambition to become a fully developed country by the year 2020 succeeds,” the prime minister said when presenting the plan in parliament.

“The target to reach 6 percent growth needs a massive leap in investments, especially more robust private sector investment.”

He gave few clues on how the government would attract more investment apart from a plan for it to partner private firms in 63 billion ringgit of “high-impact” projects including building highways, a new financial district in the capital and coal electricity generation plants.

Malaysia needs an average 115 billion ringgit ($34.66 billion) in private investment annually to achieve its target of growing investment by 12.8 percent a year, the plan said. Investments grew only 2 percent on average between 2006-2010.

The government will cut its subsidy bill to 15.7 billion ringgit in 2015 from 18.3 billion ringgit this year, according to the plan.

But the plan avoided thorny issues such as dismantling a four-decade old race-based policy in favour of the politically dominant Malays, a change that analysts say is crucial for Malaysia to compete with other economies.

Financial markets want to see more aggressive reforms after a recent string of government policy reversals cast doubt on Najib’s commitment to open up the economy to more competition.

The stock market .KLSE was little changed after the announcement, up about 0.2 percent by the midday break.

A decade ago Malaysia accounted for half of total capital inflows into Southeast Asia’s emerging economies that included Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Increasing competition means it now accounts for about a third. [ID:nKLR450668]

Net portfolio and direct investment outflows MYFLO=ECI hit $61 billion in 2008 and 2009, according to official data, although money came back into the bond market this year fuelled by two Malaysian interest rate hikes and the use of the ringgit MYR= as a proxy for a possible Chinese yuan revaluation.

VOTES OR REFORM?

Critics have charged Najib with sacrificing Malaysia’s economic interests for political expediency, and say he needs to act decisively to win over voters.

“He will try to carry out (reforms) as soon as possible, since he has to show the electorate that he can push through unpopular but necessary policies. Time is not on his side,” said Ooi Kee Beng, a political analyst at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies of Singapore.

“His coalition is also in a bad way, and the only chance he has of winning back Chinese votes is to be steadfast in his reform agenda.”

Najib’s 14-month old government had previously U-turned on its decision to raise fuel and electricity prices, and delayed the implementation of a goods and services tax after a public outcry. [ID:nSGE62D03R]

Analysts said Najib’s reforms so far including liberalising 27 service sub-sectors have avoided core issues like dismantling the pro-Malay New Economic Policy. The prime minister has promised to make the policy more needs-based but has not detailed how he will do so.

A recent survey by independent polling outfit Merdeka Center showed 43 percent of the 1,028 respondents were not confident Najib would meet his economic targets within two years.

More than half the respondents polled from May 6 to 16 also felt that Najib’s reforms merely repackaged old ideas and would be fouled by weak implementation. ($1=3.318 Malaysian Ringgit)

(Additional reporting by Loh Li Lian and Soo Ai Peng; Writing by Liau Y-Sing; Editing by Jeremy Laurence)

UPDATE 2-Grain handler Viterra’s profit falls 30 pct

Manitoba, June 9 (Reuters) – Quarterly profit at Viterra Inc (VT.TO), Canada’s biggest grain handler, fell 30 percent, pulled down by lower world grain prices, but earnings per share were slightly ahead of expectations.

Profit for the second quarter ended April 30 dropped to C$18.4 million ($17.7 million), or 5 Canadian cents a share, from C$26.3 million, or 11 Canadian cents, a year earlier, Viterra said on Wednesday.

Revenue rose 28 percent to C$2 billion, reflecting the major purchase of Australia’s ABB Grain last September.

Analysts, on average, had expected earnings of 4 Canadian cents a share on revenue of C$2 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Viterra’s performance generally surpassed expectations due to stronger than expected demand for fertilizer and seed, said analyst Robert Winslow of Wellington West Capital Markets.

The company’s shares were up 5.2 percent at C$8.17 on the Toronto Stock Exchange early on Wednesday afternoon.

Viterra shares are down 17 percent on the year as excessively wet weather on the Canadian Prairies and poor Australian exports have battered the stock, leaving some investors to conclude better conditions lie ahead.

Chief Executive Mayo Schmidt called Viterra’s first-half performance solid, with strong North American agri-product sales and results from Australian operations adding to revenue and gross profit.

Australian grain movement picked up in May and should continue in June, while South Australian crops have sufficient moisture to give seeding a good start, he said.

In Canada, the company should see solid grain movement through the end of the year, despite excessively wet weather in Saskatchewan, where Viterra is based, Schmidt said.

The company is aggressively pursuing sales to Southeast Asia, starting with its acquisition in Australia. Viterra also said this year it would build a joint-venture canola crushing plant in China and has bulked up its U.S. processing operations with the pending acquisition of 21st Century Grain and purchase of Dakota Growers Pasta Company.

($1=$1.04 Canadian) (Reporting by Rod Nickel; editing by Peter Galloway)

Indonesia president proposes Nasution as c.bank gov -lawmaker

June 2 (Reuters) – Indonesia’s president on Wednesday proposed acting central bank governor Darmin Nasution, seen as dovish by markets, as the candidate for central bank governor, a legislator from the president’s party said.

The post of central bank governor has been vacant for a year after the former governor Boediono quit to team up with President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and run as his vice president in last year’s elections.

Achsanul Qosasi, a lawmaker from Yudhoyono’s Democrat Party, said that the president had nominated Nasution.

Nasution, 61, has said inflation will likely remain within the central bank’s target range of 4-6 percent this year, and that should allow Bank Indonesia to keep its key interest rate BIPG at a record low of 6.5 percent for the rest of 2010, stoking growth in Southeast Asia’s biggest economy. (Reporting by Adriana Nina Kusuma and Sonya Angraini; Writing by Gde Anugrah Arka; Editing by Sara Webb)

Chevron, ConocoPhillips sign Indonesia gas supply deal

May 31 (Reuters) – Chevron Corp (CVX.N), the biggest oil producer in Indonesia, has signed a final supply deal to buy natural gas from ConocoPhillips (COP.N) on Sumatra island, the head of Indonesia’s energy watchdog, BPMIGAS, said on Monday.

Stocks | Global Markets | Energy

ConocoPhillips has agreed to two separate deals, amending terms to an existing deal after some politicians complained that the deal was unfair because of the rise in oil prices.

It will supply a total of 77.9 trillion British thermal units of gas during a four-year period, and an additional 1,177 trillion British thermal units over a 12-year period, Priyono, BPMIGAS chief, told reporters.

ConocoPhillips will supply the gas from its fields in South Sumatra.

The gas deal will replace a previous agreement under which Chevron swapped about 50,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil from Duri for about 400 million cubic feet per day of natural gas from ConocoPhillips’ gas field in South Sumatra.

“This final deal will guarantee long-term gas supply to support Chevron’s operations in Sumatra,” Priyono said.

Chevron needs the gas to support technology used to coax more oil from its Duri field in Central Sumatra. The technology, known as steamflood, can enhance recovery on oil fields where output is declining.

Priyono said that Chevron currently produces about 370,000 barrels per day of crude oil, including Minas and Duri, from its operation in Central Sumatra.

Indonesia has turned into a net importer of crude in recent years, as production has slumped after a failure to tap new fields fast enough.

Southeast Asia’s biggest economy produced about 1.5 million bpd about a decade ago, but production has now slumped to below 1 million bpd. (Reporting by Muklis Ali; Editing by Sara Webb)

Leading Indonesia party elects reformist chairman

Indonesia’s Democrat Party, the largest in parliament and the reformist president’s main power base, elected a new chairman on Sunday, a position seen as a stepping stone to power in the 2014 elections.

Anas Urbaningrum, an advocate of civil service reform who wants to modernise the party, won a vote that puts him in pole position to run for president or vice president when President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s second — and final — term ends.

Yudhoyono, a former general, was elected in 2004 and again last year on promises to tackle graft in a country that routinely ranks among the most corrupt in the world.

He also pledged to attract investment, spur economic growth, and create jobs.

While foreign investors rushed to buy Indonesian assets last year, Yudhoyono’s top reformers have met strong resistance from the political old guard and vested interests in Southeast Asia’s biggest economy, giving rise to a power struggle between reformers and those opposed to change.

Urbaningrum, 41, faces the challenge of turning a party seen as a Yudhoyono fan club into a modern political organisation in a country where patronage-style, dynastic politics are the norm.

The quiet, bookish Urbaningrum beat his rivals — Sports and Youth Minister Andi Mallarangeng and Parliament speaker Marzuki Alie — at the party’s national congress in the West Java city of Bandung.

Yudhoyono at the congress opening on Friday urged members not to let internal rifts destroy the party, which holds more than a quarter of the seats in parliament and relies on the support of several coalition partners.

“However tough the competition, don’t overstep the boundaries of what is appropriate. Avoid (internal) politics, money politics, and unnecessary violence. Don’t start fights,” he said in a speech.

However, conference proceedings on Saturday were marred by interruptions and disorder, including at least one case of pushing and shoving between cadres dressed in the Democrat’s signature blue jackets.

(Editing by Sara Webb and Michael Roddy)

Early Thai election possible – finance minister

Thailand, battered by the worst political violence in its modern history, may hold fresh elections, possibly as early as November, the country’s finance minister said on Friday.

Troops manned razor-wire roadblocks and searched vehicles for weapons in Bangkok on Friday, two days after they ended nine-weeks of anti-government protests.

Hundreds of troops again swept through the capital’s posh central shopping area, once a barricaded camp for thousands of “red shirt” protesters, searching for weapons and explosives in the now-deserted battleground. Department stores still smouldered after Wednesday’s violence.

Anti-government “red shirt” protesters have demanded new elections, saying Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva lacks a popular mandate after coming to power in a controversial parliamentary vote in 2008 with tacit military support.

Abhisit last week withdrew an offer of fresh elections.

But Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said he still expected an early poll, adding it was highly unlikely the government would stay in office for its full term that ends in 2012.

Korn told a news conference in Tokyo he could not be sure if Thailand would hold an election in November, but he would not rule out the possibility.

The prime minister will address the nation in a live television broadcast on Friday, a government spokesman said.

Cleaning ladies scrubbed the entrances to Bangkok’s ritziest stores on Friday to remove soot left from burning tyre barricades. Firemen trained a hose on a mass of rubble and twisted metal that was once part of Central World, Southeast Asia’s second-largest department store.

Outside the 6 sq-km (2.3 sq-mile) ringed-off area, Bangkok’s chaotic traffic clogged roads as travellers were forced around the military zone. Many shops and banks were closed, public transport was limited and a week-long public holiday ensured many of the 15 million residents stayed at home.

Finance minister Korn expressed confidence that the economy would pick up fairly quickly if the stability seen over the past 24 hours was maintained.

But he acknowledged that tourism, which employs at least 15 percent of the workforce and accounts for 6 percent of the economy, would take much longer to recover.

“Clearly, with the events that took place the past several weeks and pictures of those events flashing across TV screens around the world, it is going to have a very disastrous impact on tourism as a sector, probably, frankly speaking, for the remainder of the year,” Korn said at a seminar in Tokyo.

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A NATION DIVIDED

With an overnight curfew in force for at least two more nights and mopping-up operations continuing under a state of emergency, officials may have their work cut out trying to reassure foreign investors and tourists Thailand is safe.

“This has gravely shaken confidence in Thailand. What businesses need now is that the government and security forces restore law and order and existing businesses can resume their operations,” Nandor von der Luehe, chairman of the Joint Foreign Chambers of Commerce of Thailand, told Reuters.

“At the same time, the government should ensure that the armed elements do not go underground and start a guerrilla war in Bangkok and around the country. If such a scenario happened, it would drive businesses away from Thailand,” he said.

The military crackdown on the nine-week anti-government protest in Bangkok began before dawn on Wednesday, killing at least 15 people and wounding nearly 100.

Erawan Emergency Medical Centre said 52 people had died and 408 were wounded in the latest flare-up since May 14.

Dozens of buildings were torched, including many banks and the stock exchange. The stock market is closed but the central bank said banks inside shopping malls could reopen on Friday.

Modern Thailand has never seen such a protracted period of urban violence or teetered so close to full civil conflict.

“Thailand has become a nation deeply divided, and although talk of a civil war may still be premature, there is a high risk that civil unrest and political violence will not be contained,” said Danny Richards at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

The red shirts want fresh elections, saying Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva lacks a popular mandate after coming to power in a controversial parliamentary vote in 2008 with tacit military support. Abhisit last week withdrew an offer of fresh elections.

The red shirts broadly support former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, ousted by the military in 2006 and now living in self-imposed exile to avoid a jail term for abuse of power.

Thaksin has been sighted in Paris recently and had planned to hold a news conference there to discuss events in Bangkok, but the French authorities have warned him off.

“Given the context of violence in Thailand … we informed Mr Thaksin, who is on a private trip, that he should avoid making any public displays or statements during his stay on our territory,” French Foreign Ministry spokesman Bruno Valero said.

(Additional reporting by Viparat Jantraprap; Editing by Alan Raybould)

Malaria control to overcome disease spread as climate warms

London, May 20 (ANI): Opposing a widespread assumption, two University of Florida researchers have found that global warming is unlikely to expand the range of malaria because of malaria control, development and other factors that are at work to corral the disease.

Scientists and public policy makers have been concerned that warming temperatures would create conditions that would either push malaria into new areas or make it worse in existing ones.

But the team of six scientists, including David Smith and Andy Tatem, analysed a historical contraction of the geographic range and general reduction in the intensity of malaria — a contraction that occurred over a century during which the globe warmed.

They determined that if the future trends are like past ones, the contraction is likely to continue under the most likely warming scenarios.

“If we continue to fund malaria control, we can certainly be prepared to counteract the risk that warming could expand the global distribution of malaria,” Nature quoted Smith as saying.

The team, part of the Wellcome Trust’s multinational Malaria Atlas Project, noted that malaria control efforts over the past century have shrunk the prevalence of the disease from most of the world to a region including Sub-Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia and South America, with the bulk of fatalities confined to Africa.

This has occurred despite a global temperature rise of about 1 degree Fahrenheit, on average, during the same period.

“The globe warmed over the past century, but the range of malaria contracted substantially. Warming isn’t the only factor that affects malaria,” said Tatem.

The reasons why malaria has shrunk are varied and in some countries mysterious, but they usually include mosquito control efforts, better access to health care, urbanization and economic development.

“There is no one tale that seems to determine the story globally. If we had to choose one thing, we would guess economic development, but that’s kind of a cop out” because the specific mechanisms may still remain unclear, and controlling malaria might also help to kick-start development, said Tatem.

In any case, current malaria control efforts such as insecticide-treated bed nets, modern low-cost diagnostic kits and new anti-malarial drugs, have proved remarkably effective, with more and more countries achieving control or outright elimination.

Unless current control efforts were to suddenly stop, they are likely to counteract the spread of mosquitoes or other malaria-spreading effects from anticipated temperature increases, said Smith.

Simon Hay, an author of the paper, noted that modern malaria control efforts “reduce transmission massively and counteract the much smaller effects of rising temperatures.”

“Malaria remains a huge public health problem, and the international community has an unprecedented opportunity to relieve this burden with existing interventions. Any failure in meeting this challenge will be very difficult to attribute to climate change,” he said.

The study was published in the journal Nature. (ANI)

Malaysia’s rebuilt Tirupati Venkateswara temple set to draw thousands of worshippers

Klang (Malaysia), May 19 (ANI): The newly rebuilt Sri Sundararaja Perumal temple, known worldwide as the Tirupati Venkateswara temple of Southeast Asia, will be the first all-granite and hand-carved religious place of its kind in Malaysia.

Devoted to the worship of Lord Vishnu, the temple will draw devotees in large numbers and has enlisted the efforts of 50 stone carvers and their families in Kanchipuram near Chennai to craft the all-granite temple.

Temple president S. Ananda Krishnan, who initiated the idea to rebuild the temple using granite, said work had began last year and would be completed in 2014.

“Stone blocks from Sirudamoor Hill, some 20km from Kanchipuram will be carved. No machines will be used so as not to disturb the living energy in the granite,” The Star quoted him, as saying.

“It is believed that Vishnu is in everything and using granite would cause the vibrations of the mantras to resonate at a higher level,” Krishnan said, adding that the granite structure follows the precise design formulas defined by southern Indian temple builders thousands of years ago.

He added that the Sri Sundararaja Perumal temple would be 15m high including a dome and copper crown. The first shipment of seven, 40ft containers of pillars weighing at least three tonnes will be brought in soon for assembling, Krishnan said.

R. Selvanathan, the chief executive officer of the Chennai-based Sri Vaidyanatha Sthapati Associates – an architect, sculptor and building firm – said the all-granite temple project was a rarity even in India where granite has yielded to concrete and steel. (ANI)

Q+A – What’s happening in turbulent Thailand?

Thai troops fired at protesters on Saturday in a third day of fighting on Bangkok’s streets that has killed 16 people and injured scores as troops try to isolate an encampment of demonstrators seeking to topple the government.

The crisis has paralysed Bangkok, squeezed Southeast Asia’s second-biggest economy, scared off tourists and choked off investment in one of Asia’s most promising emerging markets.

The fighting is the latest eruption in a polarising five-year crisis between the rural and urban poor, known as the red shirts by the clothing they wear, who accuse an “establishment elite” — comprising royalists, big business and military brass — of colluding to bring down two elected governments.

Those governments were led or backed by exiled former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, a graft-convicted populist billionaire ousted in a 2006 coup who is a figurehead of the protest movement.

The red shirts say the politically powerful military influenced a 2008 parliamentary vote, which took place after a pro-Thaksin party was dissolved, to ensure the British-born, Oxford-educated Abhisit rose to power.

The revered but ailing King Bhumibol Adulaydej, 82, who has intervened in past crises during his 63-year reign, has been hospitalised for months and has not commented on the political turmoil in his kingdom.

Here are some questions and answers on the crisis.

WHAT IS THE MILITARY’S STRATEGY FOR ENDING THE PROTESTS?

The army spokesman said the plan is to basically to starve thousands of protesters out of their fortified encampment, occupying a 3-sq-km (1.2 sq-mile) area of central Bangkok along roads lined with embassies, hotels, malls and office towers.

The military is attempting to throw a security cordon around the encampment to keep people and supplies from coming in. They have made some progress, but skirmishes have continued on roads around the encampment and the cordon is incomplete.

Analysts say if the military regains control of the streets in the next few days, it stands a good chance of ending the six week-occupation that has closed businesses, and thrown tens of thousands out of work in the area.

The military has repeatedly said it is unwilling to wade into the encampment ringed with walls of tyres, bamboo stakes and concrete to break up the protest site, which 10,000-20,000 people, including women and children, have occupied at various times. A crackdown could be a bloodbath that security forces have no guarantee of winning, especially given the trouble they have had so far in establishing a perimeter around the encampment.

The military has offered to let any rank-and-file protesters safely leave the camp, but red shirt leaders all face arrest warrants on various charges. The military hopes peaceful red shirts come out, leaving only a small hardcore to be rounded up.

Mobile generators provide power to the encampment, and its residents are tapping into fire hydrants for water, but food supplies are dwindling, with trucks prevented from coming in.

“What we are getting is less than what we are consuming daily,” said one protest leader, Kwanchai Praipanna. “So we are figuring out a way to bring supplies in. We’re urging people to come in with a few boxes and bottles each.”

WHAT DO THE RED SHIRTS WANT?

They say if the military pulls out of the streets, they will call their supporters back to the encampment and restore peace to the city. But they won’t end their sit-in until the deputy prime minister is charged in connection with the violence that has killed at least 46 people and injured at least 1,500 since April.

They want the prime minister to step down over the violence, dissolve parliament, and call elections.

The protesters say Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva came to power illegitimately in a parliamentary vote engineered by the military. Parties allied to Thaksin have won the past three general elections by landslides and would be heavily favoured to win the next one as well.

The red shirt protesters have a 22-member leadership council and don’t always speak in one voice. They are split between moderates who favour ending the protest, and hardliners who want to press on. Some of the leaders face terrorism charges punishable up to death, and so perhaps feel little incentive to peacefully end the protests.

WHAT ARE THE PROSPECTS OF A POLITICAL DEAL NOW?

The latest bout of violence has hardened positions on both sides, making any political deal extremely difficult. Abhisit withdrew his offer of a Nov. 14 election, under a five-point reconciliation plan, and says he will offer no more olive branches after the red shirts refused to end their protest.

The red shirts had agreed to Abhisit’s plan, but then insisted that Deputy Prime minister Suthep Thaugsuban, who is in charge of security, be prosecuted.

Abhisit said the deal was non-negotiable and ordered the red shirts to leave. They have refused and his government says it will scrap the polls — which were due to take place more than a year early — but proceed with the reconciliation plan without the red shirts on board. Officially, talks between the government and the protesters have ended. But government and red shirt sources say back channel talks continue with moderate protest leaders.

HOW WILL THE CRISIS IMPACT MARKETS AND THE ECONOMY?

The crisis has scared off investors, decimated the tourism industry and has begun to hit the wider economy.

The occupation of Bangkok’s ritziest shopping area by protesters has forced hotels, malls and offices to close doors and cut jobs. The tourism sector makes up 6 percent of the economy, but employs 15 percent of the national workforce. So loss of tourism has a knock-on effect on economic activity.

The cost of insuring Thai debt (five-year credit default swaps) jumped the most in 15 months and Thai bond yields fell to a nine-month low on Friday as the violence propelled investors to the safety of government debt.

Foreign investors have turned negative since violence flared in April and have sold $584 million in Thai shares this month. Thai stocks are now among the cheapest in Asia with shares trading at 10.5 times 2010 earnings.

Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said on Wednesday the protests could cut 0.3 percentage point off his 4.5-5.0 percent growth forecast. Kasikorn Research Centre said growth could be cut by as much as 2 points if there were more clashes.

Consumer confidence fell in February and March, after hitting a 21-month high in January, due to political turmoil, sinking to its lowest since July 2009, with sentiment eroded by political unrest and the possibility of a crackdown.

(Editing by Jason Szep)