Yemeni tribe, Shi’ite rebels fight as truce broken

SANAA, July 25 (Reuters) – Fighting broke out on Sunday between a pro-government tribe and Shi’ite rebels in Yemen, hours after the two sides agreed to a truce following battles last week which threatened to re-ignite a civil war.

Tribal leader Sheikh Saghir Ibn Aziz blamed the rebels, named Houthis after the clan name of their leaders, for the renewed fighting after clashes killed up to 70 people last week.

“The Houthis did not respect the agreement and attacked us. We responded,” he told Reuters by telephone.

Al Arabiya television said the latest fighting, which it said killed four rebels, broke out after the tribesmen did not withdraw from a position as demanded by the rebels, who said it was part of the truce accords.

There was no immediate comment by the rebels on their website.

Last week’s fighting, in which government forces were also involved, was the bloodiest in the north since a truce in February ended a war between the state and the rebels that has raged intermittently since 2004 and last year drew in neighbouring Saudi Arabia.

Earlier on Sunday, Yemen’s President Ali Abdullah Saleh called for a permanent end to fighting in the north, especially in Saada province, the rebels’ stronghold.

“Six wars are enough. Yes to security, stability and peace in Saada. No to the latest war,” Saleh said in remarks carried by regional television stations.

Yemen’s Western and Saudi allies want Sanaa, also trying to quell southern separatism, to resolve domestic conflicts such as the northern war so it can focus on fighting a resurgent regional arm of al Qaeda, seen as a bigger international threat.

Tension between the rebels and the Ibn Aziz tribe, from the same Zaidi sect of Shi’ite Islam but which sided with the state during the civil war, has been growing for months.

The tension exploded into violence after rebels attacked Sheikh Saghir’s home in early July, killing three of his followers. Clashes broke out again last week, prompting government forces to intervene to assist the tribe. Five government soldiers were among those killed.

Qatar has offered to revive a 2008 peace deal it brokered between Sanaa and the rebels to end the war, which displaced 350,000 people. (Reporting by Mohammed Ghobari; Writing by Cynthia Johnston and Firouz Sedarat)

Yemeni tribe, Shi’ite rebels agree truce in north

SANAA, July 25 (Reuters) – A pro-government tribe has agreed a truce with Shi’ite rebels in Yemen to halt battles which caused up to 70 deaths last week and threatened to re-ignite a civil war, a provincial official said on Sunday.

The latest fighting, in which Yemeni government forces were also involved, was the bloodiest in the north since a truce in February ended a war between the government and Shi’ite rebels, known as Houthis, that has raged intermittently since 2004 and last year drew in neighbouring Saudi Arabia.

“Battles between the Houthis and followers of Sheikh Saghir Ibn Aziz were halted after the success of tribal mediation in establishing a truce between the two sides,” the official told Reuters.

The official said the truce, sealed late on Saturday, provided for the withdrawal of all gunmen from their positions, the lifting of checkpoints and roadblocks and the removal of mines from roads. Between 53 and 70 people were estimated to have been killed in the fighting.

Yemen’s Western and Saudi allies want Sanaa, also trying to quell southern separatism, to resolve domestic conflicts like the northern war so it can focus on fighting a resurgent regional arm of al Qaeda, seen as a bigger international threat.

Tension between the rebels and the Ibn Aziz tribe, from the same Zaidi sect of Shi’ite Islam but which sided with the state during the civil war, has been growing in the Harf Sufyan area for months.

The tension exploded into violence after rebels attacked a tribal leader’s home in early July, killing three of his followers. Clashes broke out again last week, prompting government forces to intervene to assist the Ibn Aziz tribe. Five government soldiers were among those killed.

Qatar has offered to revive a 2008 peace deal it brokered between Sanaa and the rebels to end the war, which displaced 350,000 people.

Under Saturday’s truce, the Ibn Aziz tribe and rebels are expected to hold talks with mediators to resolve differences.

“Yes, we signed the agreement but there are still violations by the Houthis which we hope will stop,” tribal leader Sheikh Saghir told Reuters, accusing the rebels of trying to exact revenge on their wartime foes. There was no immediate comment from the rebels. (Reporting by Mohammed Ghobari; Writing by Cynthia Johnston; Editing by Andrew Dobbie)

SNAP ANALYSIS – Unrest grips southern Kyrgyzstan: what next?

Outbreaks of unrest across southern Kyrgyzstan on Thursday, staged by supporters of ousted President Kurmanbek Bakiyev, appear to be well-organised and may spark chaos in the impoverished Muslim state.

The quick seizure of key government buildings in the turbulent and ethnically divided south by crowds of Bakiyev supporters is a slap in the face of the Central Asian nation’s interim government, whose legitimacy was quickly recognised by regional powers Russia and the United States.

Bakiyev fled the country after losing power during a popular uprising in April, which exploited discontent with government corruption and growing authoritarianism to push him out.

CIVIL WAR OR ETHNIC CONFLICT?

Bakiyev’s native Jalalabad region has always been considered his stronghold in the south, which has a sizeable ethnic Uzbek minority and is much poorer than the depressed north in the country of 5.4 million.

Kyrgyzstan’s ethnic divide spreads along the snow-covered Tien Shan mountain ridges, and analysts have long warned of regional separatism that could split the north and the south.

The scenario of a north-south clash — easy to achieve if the only north-south national motorway is blocked and airports are closed — may give way to the still more dangerous prospect of inter-ethnic carnage in the volatile south.

Many ethnic Kyrgyz in the south still support their fellow countryman Bakiyev, while numerous local Uzbeks living in southern Kyrgyzstan rushed to swear loyalty to the interim government after Bakiyev’s ouster last month.

Osh, the capital of the south and Kyrgyzstan’s second largest city, saw bloody clashes between ethnic Uzbeks and Kyrgyz in 1990 when the Soviet Union was still alive. Hundreds were killed in that massacre — sparked by land disputes — before Moscow brought in troops to separate the warring sides.

Voicing fears of a repeat of these events, an Uzbek imam of a mosque in Bakiyev’s native Jalalabad region told Reuters by telephone on Thursday: “We are not going to bed with an easy heart tonight. We Uzbeks fear the Kyrgyz backing Bakiyev can attack us. The situation is tense indeed.”

HOW MUCH IS THE INTERIM GOVERNMENT IN CONTROL?

Former Soviet diplomat Roza Otunbayeva’s interim government, which has been promised financial assistance by the West and former imperial master Russia, tried to put a brave face on its apparently tenuous control over the three southern regions.

A government official declared that the authorities in the capital Bishkek were in full control of the army, but admitted at the same time that the turmoil could last for “a few weeks”.

It is unclear why police took no action while crowds of Bakiyev supporters stormed regional administration headquarters in the south. It also remains uncertain how loyal Kyrgyz security service officers are. The army is small, poorly equipped and is largely demoralised after the April 7 bloody turmoil in Bishkek when it mostly stayed in the barracks.

WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR REGIONAL STABILITY ?

Erstwhile Cold War foes Russia and the United States both have military air bases in Kyrgyzstan.

Russia’s base in Kant appeared shortly after Washington opened a much larger operation at Kyrgyzstan’s main civilian airport Manas outside Bishkek. Manas is important in supplying U.S.-led troops fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan.

Some analysts say that if southern Kyrgyzstan, part of the deeply impoverished and overpopulated Ferghana Valley shared with Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, explodes, this may give a rise to purist, militant Islam sponsored by heroin cash.

Human rights bodies blame poverty, widespread corruption and repressive state policies in Central Asia’s largest state Uzbekistan for the rise of popular discontent and the growing appeal of purist Islam in the Ferghana Valley.

The Islamist Movement of Uzbekistan, a close Taliban and al-Qaeda ally, was founded in the valley.

WHAT ABOUT INVESTORS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH?

Kyrgyzstan has so far been mainly bypassed by direct foreign investors and remains heavily reliant on loans from international lenders and grants from donor states. Remittances from its citizens working abroad are also vital, making up as much as 40 percent of its gross domestic product.

The mountainous nation has attracted few major private investors, with Canada’s miner Centerra Gold alone accounting for 7.3 percent of Kyrgyzstan’s GDP, a quarter of its industrial output and a third of all exports last year.

Continued political turmoil can only damage investor confidence further.

Kyrgyzstan’s GDP was expected to expand by about 5.5 percent in 2010, but economists say the growth is from a very low base, and the size of the economy is still far below its Soviet-era level. Wages average some $130 a month.

(Editing by Michael Stott and Reed Stevenson)

Australia becoming ‘breeding ground’ for Tamil rebels

The Sri Lankan government says Australia could become a breeding ground for Tamil separatism if more Tamil asylum seekers are allowed into the country.

Sri Lankan foreign affairs minister Rohitha Bogollagama says Tamil separatists have no need to leave Sri Lanka and will “spoil” Australian soil.

He says the asylum seekers could turn Australia into a breeding ground for separatism.

“This is a breeding ground if you are providing the passage through asylum-seeking avenues,” he said.

“Therefore we should discourage, and I call on the Australian Government not to recognise, the asylum seekers under any circumstances from Sri Lanka.

“I don’t want Australian soil to be once again spoiled with the type of asylum seekers who are seeking [asylum] for political purposes,” he said.

Mr Bogollagama has made the remarks as Sri Lankans prepare to go to the polls later today in the country’s general elections.

The ruling alliance is expected to win a large majority.

Xinjiang separatists are doomed to fail, says Chinese President

Uygur (China), Aug. 26 (ANI): Chinese President Hu Jintao, who made his first trip to the Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region since last month’s deadly riot, has warned the separatists that they are “doomed to fail”.

The July 5 riot, which killed 197 people and injured more than 1,600, were masterminded by the “three forces” of terrorism, separatism and extremism both at home and abroad, he said.

“The separatists don’t have the people’s hearts and are doomed to fail. Their sabotage activities will not shake the stable development of reforms in Xinjiang,” China Daily quoted Hu, as saying.

The president promised that more solid measures would be taken to beef up economic growth and social development in Xinjiang, and to improve the living and production conditions of the people of various ethnic groups.

Hu congratulated the armed forces, militia and police for their role in ending the July 5 riot in Urumqi, saying: “The key to our work in Xinjiang is to properly handle development and stability.”

He added that the success in quelling the riot and maintaining stability in Xinjiang fully demonstrated the power of the Party and the people as well as the strength of solidarity among ethnic groups in Xinjiang.

“Neither will they (separatists) sway the Xinjiang people’s determination to build a prosperous and harmonious socialist Xinjiang,” he said. (ANI)

US should support Pashtun demands to merge NWFP, FATA: Expert

Washington, May 12 (ANI): The United States should support Pashtun demands to merge Pakistan’s NWFP and FATA, and follow it up by a consolidation of those areas and Pashtun enclaves in Baluchistan and the Punjab into a single unified “Pashtunkhwa” province that enjoys the autonomy envisaged in the inoperative 1973 Pakistan constitution, feels a US expert on South Asian affairs.

In an article for the Washington Post, Selig Harrison, the author of the report “Pakistan: The State of the Union,” based on a six-month study of ethnic tensions in Pakistan, says: “To American eyes, the struggle raging in Pakistan with the Taliban is about religious fanaticism. But in Pakistan it is about an explosive fusion of Islamist zeal and simmering ethnic tensions that have been exacerbated by U.S. pressures for military action against the Taliban and its al-Qaida allies.”

Therefore, he says there is a need to understand the ethnic dimension of the conflict if Washington wants to evolve a successful strategy for separating the Taliban from al-Qaida and stabilizing multiethnic Pakistan politically.

He also is critical of sending a Punjabi-dominant Pakistani army to an area that is entirely Pashtun.

“Sending Punjabi soldiers into Pashtun territory to fight jihadists pushes the country ever closer to an ethnically defined civil war, strengthening Pashtun sentiment for an independent “Pashtunistan” that would embrace 41 million people in big chunks of Pakistan and Afghanistan,” he warns.

“While army leaders fear the long-term dangers of a Taliban link-up with Islamist forces in the heartland of Pakistan, they are more worried about what they see as the looming danger of Pashtun separatism,” he adds.

So how should the Obama administration proceed?

Militarily, Harrison says the United States should lower its profile by ending air strikes and politically, U.S. policy should be revised to demonstrate that America supports the Pashtun desire for a stronger position in relation to the Punjabi-dominated government in Islamabad.

The Pashtuns in FATA treasure their long-standing autonomy and do not like to be ruled by Islamabad. Conventional wisdom suggests that either Islamist or Pashtun identity will eventually triumph, but it is equally plausible that the result could be an “Islamic Pashtunistan.” (ANI)