Australia’s Mitchell recommends $324 mln Aegis bid

July 29 (Reuters) – Australia’s Mitchell Communication Group (MCU.AX) said on Thursday its board had agreed to accept a A$363 million ($324 million) takeover bid from British media buying group Aegis (AEGS.L).

The company said Aegis had offered A$1.20 per share including options and performance rights.

Mitchell shares were earlier placed in a trading halt as Britain’s Daily Telegraph newspaper flagged the deal. The stock last traded at A$1.04. (Reporting by Michael Smith; Editing by Balazs Koranyi)

Australia’s Charter Hall to launch A$200 mln fund

July 27 (Reuters) – Australia’s Charter Hall (CHC.AX) is launching a A$200 million ($180.5 million) industrial property fund, an executive from the property firm said on Tuesday, in a sign of recovery in the unlisted retail market previously hit by redemptions.

Charter Hall, which earlier this year bought Macquarie Group’s (MQG.AX) real estate business, hope to raise as much as A$110 million in the next two years from retail investors with a target of buying a portfolio of assets of up to A$200 million with debt, Richard Stacker, chief executive officer for Charter Hall’s direct property business, told a briefing. The closed-end fund will aim to deliver an average annualised yield of 8.7 percent.

The unlisted retail market was one of the sectors hardest hit by the global financial crisis with many funds frozen, but some high net-worth clients remain keen to get steady income returns from property, he said.

Stacker said raising new funds “would definitely be a challenge” but some self-managed pension funds targeting high-net worth individuals were seeking such investments.

He also said demand for unlisted property products was firm, with the listed property trusts trading at a discount and seeing volatile sessions.

Charter Hall has more than A$10 billion assets under management through listed and unlisted vehicles.

Demand for industrial space was picking up in Australia and Grade A warehouse rents were expected to rise 3 to 4 percent each year for a few years from 2011, Kevin Stanley, executive director for CB Richard Ellis, told the same briefing.

(Reporting by Eriko Amaha; Editing by Ed Davies)

UPDATE 1-Australian Sigma gets bids for two drug arms – report

MELBOURNE, July 19 (Reuters) – Australia’s Sigma Pharmaceuticals (SIP.AX) has received three bids for its Herron drugs arm and three bids for its Orphan Australia drugs business, as it seeks an improved bid from South Africa’s Aspen Pharmacare (APNJ.J), a newspaper reported on Monday.

Sigma declined to comment on the report.

The company is battling to pay off A$100 million in debt by March under pressure from its lenders after it broke its loan covenants, reporting a loss for the year to January 2010. The first A$40 million is due in September.

The bidders for Herron and Orphan are local and overseas-based drug and healthcare companies, The Age newspaper reported.

Their bids are dependent on the outcome of talks with Aspen on its A$648 million ($563 million) offer.

Sigma’s shares jumped 1.2 percent to A$0.425, bucking a slide in the broader market on hopes it might be able to ease its debt woes, but remained well below Aspen’s offer price of A$0.55 a share.

Orphan licenses specialty drugs from foreign pharmaceutical companies to treat life-threatening diseases, which are mostly sold to hospitals. Herron owns a portfolio of over-the-counter pain killers and vitamins, which struggled to expand sales last year due to tough competition in supermarkets. (Reporting by Sonali Paul; editing by Balazs Koranyi)

DEALTALK-Australian buyout firms tempted by secondary deals

MELBOURNE, July 14 (Reuters) – Australia’s private equity firms are more likely to offload their companies in the months ahead to other deal-hungry buyout firms than brave fragile equity markets with a float.

So-called secondary deals between private equity firms are relatively rare in Australia, partly because of the smaller scale of the industry, compared with the U.S. and UK markets.

But pressure to deploy funds raised during the boom years and a re-opening of credit spigots mean that buyout firms are taking a closer look at the assets of their rivals, often with a view to growing a company beyond its initial phase of development.

Trade sales or initial public offerings have traditionally been the preferred exit strategies in Australia, but two secondary deals have been put through this month.

These were CHAMP Private Equity’s $570 million sale of university programme provider Study Group to U.S. buyout firm Providence Equity, and CHAMP’s purchase of temporary fencing group ATF from Quadrant, which had been headed for a stock market listing. [ID:nSGE660087]

Volatile equity markets and “a disconnect between buyer and seller expectations” have closed the door for IPOs and made trade sales harder to come by, according to the Australian Private Equity and Venture Capital Association (AVCAL).

“We see the potential for increased activity in the secondary sponsor-to-sponsor market, as PE firms look to exit from the large volume of deals made during fiscal 2006 and 2007,” said AVCAL Chief Executive Katherine Woodthorpe. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

For a graphic on Australian private equity deals, click on:

here ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

SLAMMED SHUT

The door for IPOs was unexpectedly slammed shut this month when the float of Bilfinger Berger’s (GBFG.DE) Australian unit Valemus was pulled. Investors had been keenly awaiting the pricing range for an indication of demand and were taken aback by the decision to shelve the float. [ID:nSGE6640HO]

Adding to the pressure, some of the world’s largest buyout firms such as the Carlyle Group [CYL.UL], KKR (KKR.AS) and TPG [TPG.UL] are sitting on billions of dollars of uninvested funds raised globally during the boom years.

While some question what a buyout firm would see in an asset of one of its rivals, since the business has already undergone a turnaround or expansion, industry sources say that as a company grows, it may outgrow its original sponsors and a new owner could add more value.

For the buyer, a privately owned business will also come with a set of bankers attached to it that are familiar with the firm.

“So for a PE manager in the current environment, that can be attractive as well — you don’t have to introduce a new set of bankers,” an industry source said.

If a company still needs a fresh injection of capital, it may be a better strategy to remain in private hands than go public.

Kevin Skelton, head of corporate finance and advisory for Merrill Lynch in Australia, said the terms that banks are prepared to lend on for private equity deals have improved this year and large global buyout firms were eyeing Australia.

“Deals that didn’t stack up a year ago now stack up because you can put more leverage into the transaction,” he said.

Assets that could draw the interest of other PE firms are generally at the smaller end of the market, but some of the larger deals in sectors with attractive returns could include MYOB, owned by Archer Capital, or Healthcare Australia, owned by CHAMP.

Uncertainty over the tax regime has delayed exits this year, as the Australian Taxation Office threatened to tax private equity profits at a higher rate. The issue has been shelved by a government gearing up for an election.

Over the medium term, several private equity floats that have been put on hold could be revived if the tax issue is resolved and markets lift.

Among companies with better brand recognition that are considered the best IPO candidates are cinema chain Hoyts, bookstore chain and owner of Borders, REDGroup, and retailer Rebel Sports. Australian IPOs often attract a larger retail investor base than overseas.

“If we see more stability in the listed markets and more stability in the credit markets then we will see more exits happening, including secondary deals,” said Jon Schahinger, managing director of listed private equity investor ING Private Equity Access. (Additional reporting by Michael Smith; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

UPDATE 1-ANZ sells A$1.25 bln bond to over 50 investors

(Adds pricing details, comments)
(For the latest Australia and New Zealand bond news, double
click on [AU/CRD] and then double click on the ID number)

SYDNEY, July 13 (Reuters) – Australia & New Zealand Banking
Group (ANZ.AX) (ANZ), the nation’s fourth largest lender, has
priced a A$1.25 billion ($1.1 billion) three-year bond issue at
90 basis points over swap and BBSW, it said on Tuesday.

Around 50 investors participated in the trade which was
initiated by a buyer, it said.

The margin was spot-on relative to Australia’s top banks
yield curve, according to analysts and investors.

“There is a concensus that bank supply will keep on growing
and investors need incentives to jump in,” said an analyst who
is not authorised to speak to the media.

Rival, National Australia Bank (NAB.AX), sold late June a
similar 3-year offer at 85 bps.

Funding could prove a challenge to Australian banks in the
next 18 months, according to a Morgan Stanley research note.

The investment bank estimates a total of A$140 billion in
funding is required by the country’s four major banks in the
2010 fiscal year. Another A$162 billion will be needed in the
2011 fiscal year, of which A$80 billion is to refinance
maturities.

“Banks realise they have to start funding now to get ahead
of the curve…The quicker they can do it, the better,” said
the analyst who can’t speak to the media.

Australian banks typically raise most of their term funding
offshore due to the relatively small size of the domestic
market.

ANZ said it has raised over A$21 billion of term funding
during its financial year, against a target of A$20 to A$25
billion.

ANZ’s offer, also led by ANZ, consisted of A$250 million in
fixed rate notes and A$1 billion in floating rate notes.

Deal details are as follows:

Issuer: ANZ

Facility: Domestic fixed and floating rate

transferable certificates of deposit

Law: Australian

Amount issued: A$1.25 billion

Maturity: July 12 2013

Set date: July 16

Lead(s): ANZ

Issue ratings: AA (S&P), Aa1 (Moody’s)

Tranche: fixed FRN

Amount: A$250 mln A$1 bln

Coupon: 5.75% +90bp/3mBBSW

Yield: 5.9775% +90bp/3mBBSW

Spread: +90bp/swap +90bp/3mBBSW

Issue price: 99.384 100
(Reporting by Cecile Lefort; Editing by Balazs Koranyi)

ANZ prices A$1.25 bln 3-year bond at 90bp/swap

(For the latest Australia and New Zealand bond news, double
click on [AU/CRD] and then double click on the ID number)

SYDNEY, July 13 (Reuters) – Australia & New Zealand Banking
Group (ANZ.AX) (ANZ), the nation’s fourth largest lender, has
priced a A$1.25 billion ($1.1 billion) three-year bond issue at
90 basis points over swap and BBSW, it said on Tuesday.

The offer, also led by ANZ, consisted of A$250 million in
fixed rate notes and A$1 billion in floating rate notes.

ANZ is rated AA by S&P and Aa1 by Moody’s.
(Reporting by Cecile Lefort; Editing by Balazs Koranyi)

Australia mine tax favours multi-nationals-Fortescue

July 13 (Reuters) – Australia’s watered down tax on mining profits favours multi-nationals and diversified commodity producers at the expense of smaller companies, iron ore miner Fortescue Metals (FMG.AX) told a government hearing on Tuesday.

Australia’s initial 40 percent profits tax proposed for the mining sector was changed to 30 percent and exempted all but coal and iron ore miners earning more than A$50 million ($43.82 million) a year.

With profits last year of $508 million, Fortescue is almost certain to pay what’s now called the minerals resource rent tax (MRRT) if it is introduced July 1, 2012 as scheduled.

“Compared to the multi-commodity, multi-national companies which negotiated the MRRT, we have no other minerals to offset the costs associated with the MRRT,” Fortescue Chief Financial Officer Stephen Pearce said in a presentation to the Senate Select Committee on Fuel and Energy.

“The proposed MRRT does not seem fair and, on face value, appears to favour the bigger companies, which have assets that sit outside the MRRT.”

The government sought to end the damaging dispute with mining executives and investors by dumping the far-reaching “super profits” tax, clearing a major hurdle to call an early election, which polls suggest Prime Minister Julia Gillard can win. Three of the world’s biggest mining houses, BHP Billiton (BHP.AX) (BLT.L), Rio Tinto (RIO.AX) (RIO.L) and Xstrata (XTA.L), met privately with Gillard and members of her cabinet to hammer out a compromise.

Under the new tax, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton will liable on iron ore and coal mining in Australia, while base and precious metals businesses would fall outside the tax. Likewise, Xstrata would only face a tax bill on coal mining.

Pearce said Fortescue was unable to determine the full impact of the proposed new tax as it had not seen the details of the confidential heads of agreement signed by the government and BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Xstrata.

He also raised doubts about the government’s ability to raise a targeted A$10.5 billion from the tax by 2014. (Reporting by James Regan; Editing by Ed Davies)

Australian PM may call election within days-media

SYDNEY, July 12 (Reuters) – Australia’s ruling Labor party is set for a narrow victory in upcoming elections, two new opinion polls showed on Monday, as speculation grew that Prime Minister Julia Gillard could call an election as soon as this week.

While the robust economy, in its 17th year of growth, should be a winning ticket for Gillard, voters believe the opposition is the better economic manager, according to the polls.

Gillard has also been seeking to reframe government policy in key areas such as climate and asylum seekers.

Opinion polls published in Fairfax and News Ltd newspapers put Labor ahead of the conservative opposition at 52 percent versus 48 percent. For Reuters Poll Trend [ID:nSYU010167]

“They’re in front and they’ve got a primary vote that can deliver victory,” John Stirton, research director with pollster Nielsen, told local radio. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

TAKE-A-LOOK-Australia’s Greens to sway policy [ID:nSGE667085]

Reuters Poll Trend [ID:nSYU010167] ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Gillard, 48, is Australia’s first woman prime minister. She replaced Kevin Rudd on June 24, in a move that has resurrected Labor’s electoral standing and reshaped Australian politics.

Speculation Gillard may be set to call an election grew after Governor-General Quentin Bryce delayed leaving for a trip to Europe by a day until Saturday, sparking talk that Gillard could ask the representative of Australia’s head of state, Queen Elizabeth, to dissolve parliament as early as this week.

Gillard declined to comment on the timing when questioned by reporters on a trip to Adelaide, but said in a speech “in the days to come I will be putting forward more detailed arguments about some of the biggest challenges facing our nation.

“I will be explaining the steps I think we need to take and asking for people’s consideration of those steps. I will ask for the Australian people’s trust to move Australia forward,” she said.

Political commentators said Gillard’s words meant she may seek to call an election on Thursday or Friday this week.

But commentators warned that Labor still risked losing an election expected in late August. [ID:nSGE6600MU]

“The coming of Julia Gillard to the Labor Party leadership appears to have stopped the decay in her party’s fortunes,” said The Age newspaper’s national editor Tony Wright.

“She has stopped the Rudd rot, though she hasn’t been able to make any serious inroads into Labor’s loss of the disaffected to the Greens.”

Labor took power in 2007 promising to tackle climate change, but under Rudd failed to implement a carbon trading scheme, a disappointment that saw Green voters desert Rudd.

Labor needs to woo them back to ensure victory over the Liberal-National opposition.

Gillard has acted quickly on key policies, ending a three-month row with mining companies over a new tax that was hurting the government in the polls, and proposing a regional asylum processing centre, possibly in East Timor, to curb boatpeople arrivals. [ID:nAUTAX]

The tax deal has been generally accepted by voters, but her asylum policy has received criticism for being in its infancy.

The cabinet will meet on Tuesday and was expected to discuss a new climate policy, but it is not clear whether Gillard will go as far as announcing a carbon tax as an interim measure before a full blown carbon trading scheme can be created.

She has said a carbon price is inevitable, probably via a market-based scheme, but that any decision on such a scheme would not be until 2012 and not without community consensus.

But voters want quick action on climate change, according to opinion polls and public comments in local media.

Until now the political risk of announcing a carbon price ahead of an election has been the threat of rising power bills. But two new surveys suggest power bills will rise and energy investment will fall because of a lack of a carbon price.

The lack of an emissions trading scheme and price on carbon would cost the Australian economy and consumers an extra A$2 billion by 2020 due to investment in less energy efficient coal-fired power plants, The Climate Institute estimates. (Additional reporting by Ed Davies; Editing by Alex Richardson)

Australia’s Centennial says backs Banpu offer

July 9 (Reuters) – Australia’s Centennial Coal Co Ltd (CEY.AX) on Friday told shareholders its board had recommended a $2 billion takeover offer from Thailand’s Banpu Public Co Ltd (BANP.BK).

Centennial said Banpu had indicated it would maintain the company’s current operations and employees.

It recommended shareholders take no action at this time. A bidder’s statement and a target’s statement was expected at the end of July or in August.

(Reporting by Michael Smith; Editing by Ed Davies)

Q+A-Small Australia iron ore miners eye tax breaks

By James Regan

SYDNEY July 6 (Reuters) – Australia’s burgeoning magnetite iron ore mining industry is seeking exemption from the country’s new 30 percent tax on iron ore and coal mining due from 2012, arguing it faces additional costs compared to sector giants.

The government watered down the tax last week after talks with top miners including Rio Tinto (RIO.AX) and BHP Billiton (BHP.AX), which only mine higher value hematite ore, but made no distinction for magnetite producers. [ID:nSGE664083]

Here are some questions and answers about hematite and magnetite in Australia:

* WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN HEMATITE AND MAGNETITE ORE?

Hematite — from the Greek for “blood,” for its red colour — is often referred to as direct shipping ore or “DSO” because it is mined and beneficiated via a simple crushing and screening process before export for use in steel mills. Magnetite — iron that is strongly attracted by magnets — has lower iron content and must be upgraded at a cost of about $15 per tonne to yield a suitable equivalent to hematite.

* IS THERE A DIFFERENCE IN IRON ORE GRADES?

Hematite ore in Australia is typically mined with an average iron content of 61 percent. Magnetite, which usually has around 36 percent iron, is used to produce almost half the world’s steel but in Australia accounts for less than 4 percent of overall production. It is mined in Tasamania and Western Australia states.

* WHY IS THERE CHINESE INTEREST IN MAGNETITE?

Australia’s magnetite reserves are being targeted by Chinese firms intent on reducing reliance on the giant hematite deposits mined by Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton. Baosteel Iron & Steel Co 600019.S, Anshan Iron & Steel Group (Ansteel) (0347.HK), Sinosteel, Citi Pacific Mining (0267.HK), China Metallurgical Corp and others are backing projects that industry majors have largely ignored because they contain magnetite ores.

* WHO PAYS THE NEW AUSTRALIAN TAX?

Both hematite and magnetite producers are liable under the tax in its current form, as it applies to all iron ore miners with profits above A$50 million ($42.09 million) a year.

* WHY DO MAGNETITE MINERS WANT SPECIAL TREATMENT?

As the tax now stands, magnetite producers will receive no credit for the cost of upgrading ore to in effect match the iron content of hematite ore.

From the perspective of capital costs, operating costs, processing requirements, and use in steel making, hematite and magnetite might as well be different commodities.

Some analysts, including Credit Suisse, believe it’s almost misleading to refer to both hematite and magnetite as iron ore.

Australian Resources Minister Martin Ferguson met representatives from the magnetite sector this week, and he acknowledged issues needed to be addressed, although gave no guarantees.

HOW MUCH MAGNETITE IS PRODUCED IN AUSTRALIA?

Magnetite output should be around 3.3 million tonnes this year, compared with 440 million tonnes of hematite production. But by 2012, magnetite production should increase to close to 25 million tonnes, largely owing to development work by Gindalbie Metals (GBX.AX) and Grange Resources (GRR.AX). Also, Citic Pacific plans to export the first shipload of iron from its Sino Iron project by the end of next year, rapidly working up to 27 million tonnes per year.

WHAT IS MAGNETITE’S POTENTIAL?

There are more than 20 identified magnetite deposits and prospects in Australia. State by state, this amounts to an estimated 4.7 billion tonnes of magnetite resources in Western Australia, 1.6 billion tonnes in South Australia and 700 million tonnes each in Tasmania and Queensland. ($1=1.188 Australian Dollar) (Editing by Ed Davies)

Australia eyes iron ore tax breaks -mine group

July 5 (Reuters) – Australia’s government may make more concessions on its mining tax to iron ore miners after a meeting with miners on Monday, the Chamber of Minerals and Energy of Western Australia said on Monday.

Federal Resources Minister Martin Ferguson has agreed to consider requests to provide tax rebates for exploration costs and to exempt the burgeoning magnetite sector from the tax, the chamber’s chief executive, Reg Howard-Smith, told Reuters.

“The minister indicated these issues would be included in the terms of reference,” establishing parameters for modifying the tax under a government-backed panel, he said. (Reporting by James Regan; Editing by Ed Davies)

Australia govt, miners making progress on tax -Atlas

July 1 (Reuters) – Australia’s government and miners are making significant progress in negotiation over a controversial mining tax, Atlas Iron managing Director Dave Flanagan, who is not directly involved in the talks, said.

“I have been talking to people who are involved in the majors … and it does appear there has been significant progress,” Flanagan, told Reuters on Thursday. (Reporting by Jim Regan; Editing by Balazs Koranyi)

Australia’s CHAMP says to buy ATF Services

July 1 (Reuters) – Australia’s CHAMP Private Equity has agreed to buy temporary fencing provider ATF Services from Sydney-based Quadrant Private Equity, the company said on Thursday.

CHAMP, which earlier announced it had sold university programme provider Study Group, did not disclose financial terms.

Sydney-based Quadrant Private Equity had earlier been looking to float ATF Services. (Reporting by Michael Smith)

Australia’s CHAMP says to buy ATF Services

July 1 (Reuters) – Australia’s CHAMP Private Equity has agreed to buy temporary fencing provider ATF Services from Sydney-based Quadrant Private Equity, the company said on Thursday.

CHAMP, which earlier announced it had sold university programme provider Study Group, did not disclose financial terms.

Sydney-based Quadrant Private Equity had earlier been looking to float ATF Services. (Reporting by Michael Smith)

UPDATE 1-Australia govt, miners on brink of tax deal-report

July 1 (Reuters) – Australia’s government and key mining companies are on the brink of a framework agreement on a mining tax compromise, the Sydney Morning Herald reported, quoting sources with knowledge of the talks.

Based on the proposed deal, the government has given ground on the headline 40 percent tax rate and the new trigger point for the tax would be around 12 percent up from an initial proposal for about 5 percent, the paper said on its website.

The tax deal would also give miners a break on retrospective projects, enabling them to roll lucrative iron ore operations in the Pilbara and coal mines on the east coast, into the new tax regime at market value.

“It’s understood that BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Xstrata have agreed with the government now on the key elements of a new resources tax structure…,” the Herald report said, citing sources close to talks between the government and miners.

The government and global miners Rio Tinto (RIO.L) (RIO.AX), BHP Billiton (BHP.AX) (BLT.L) and Xstrata Plc (XTA.L), are locked in a second day of talks on Thursday over the tax.

“We’re not commenting,” a BHP spokesman said of the report.

Government officials were not immediately available for comment.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 rose around 1/3 percent to $0.8366 from around $0.08335 before the report.

An agreement would remove uncertainty in the market and any watering down of the tax proposal is considered positive for investments and hence the Aussie dollar, traders say.

The stock market .AXJO also came off its lows off the day, as did global miners BHP Billiton and Rio tinto, on news of the report.

The proposed mining tax threatens more than $20 billion in investment, according to mining companies, but no major project has yet been scrapped and several have actually been advanced since the tax was unveiled on May 2.

The Australian mining index .AXMMA has underperformed the global mining sector .TGLOB100 by about 4 percent since the mining tax was first announced on May 2, despite a weakening in the Australian dollar over that time.

Analysts say that any firm deal would be a positive for mining shares as it removes a key risk factor while any easing in terms of the tax would be a clear positive as investor have already priced in the worst-case scenario.

“This would signal the first major development in the debate between the government and the mining industry over the tax,” said Grant Craighead, a mining analyst for Stock Resource in Sydney. (Reporting by Michael Perry; Editing by Ed Davies)

Australia govt, miners on brink of tax deal -report

July 1 (Reuters) – Australia’s government and key mining companies are on the brink of a framework agreement on a mining tax compromise, the Sydney Morning Herald reported, quoting sources with knowledge of the talks.

Based on the proposed deal, the new trigger point for the tax would be the 10-year Australian government bond yield plus 7 percentage points, or around 12 percent now, up from an initial proposal for 5 percent, the paper said on its website on Thursday. (Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Ed Davies)

Australia’s Gillard unlikely to shift foreign policy

(Reuters) – Australia’s foreign policy and strategic reliance upon the United States will be unlikely to change after Julia Gillard replaced Kevin Rudd as prime minister, analysts said on Friday.

World

Gillard was sworn in as Australia’s first female prime minister on Thursday after the ruling Labor Party dumped Rudd due to falling opinion poll support ahead of elections due before the end of the year.

She spoke to U.S. President Barack Obama and Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono on Friday, and told reporters she remained committed to the 60-year Australia-U.S. strategic alliance and would maintain Australian forces in Afghanistan.

“Nothing will change. I can’t see that she will make any changes to foreign policy,” Michael McKinley, from the Australian National University’s school of international relations, told Reuters on Friday.

“She has reassured the Americans that Australia will be as obsequious as we have been in the past. And I can’t see her changing our commitment in Afghanistan, or to the U.S. alliance.”

Rudd, a Mandarin-speaking former diplomat, kept tight control over the foreign affairs portfolio. Gillard, however, is likely to focus more on domestic issues as she tries to rebuild voter support ahead of national polls expected around October.

That means Gillard could retain Stephen Smith as foreign minister when she announces her cabinet, although there is strong speculation she could give Rudd the foreign affairs portfolio as a consolation for losing the prime ministership.

“If Rudd wants it, he would get it,” McKinley said, adding Rudd might prefer not to join the Gillard cabinet until after an election.

Andrew O’Neil, director of the Asia Institute at Griffith University, said it would be difficult to see any changes in Australia’s key relationships under Gillard because the Labor Party was committed to a strong regional focus.

“But it is equally hard to see how she will be able to match Rudd’s natural affinity with, and genuine knowledge of, Asian affairs,” O’Neil wrote on the website of foreign affairs think tank the Lowy Institute on Friday.

“The fall of Kevin Rudd also robs President Barack Obama of one of his key political allies on Afghanistan, climate change, and global economic reform. The two have struck up a close working relationship — an ideal fit as two like-minded policy wonks — and Obama will probably miss Rudd’s close counsel on these, and other, issues,” he said.

Foreign policy analyst Graeme Dobell, in a column for the Lowy Institute, said Gillard would make little difference to the key U.S. relationship.

“Australia has its first left-wing Labor prime minister in a lifetime, but one thing that will not change is Labor’s adherence to the U.S. alliance,” Dobell said on the institute’s website (www.lowyinterpreter.org/).

Q+A: PM Gillard changes Australian govt election hopes

(Reuters) – Australia’s ruling Labor party elected Julia Gillard as the nation’s first woman prime minister on Thursday after former prime minister Kevin Rudd quit on losing the support of his lawmakers.

World

Gillard, 48, has promised a more consensus-driven government to help her party reconnect with disgruntled voters after months of poor opinion polls and with an election expected around October.

Here are some questions and answers on how Gillard’s appointment changes the political outlook in Australia. IS

LABOR MORE LIKELY TO WIN THE NEXT ELECTION?

Gillard’s election should help Labor re-build voter support ahead of the election, and should give the party a stronger chance of victory. Opinion polls regularly find Gillard to be more popular than Rudd, and betting agencies have already reported Labor is now the firm favorite to win the election.

Gillard has long been one of the government’s best performers in parliament with her ability to sell policies and deflect political attacks. Her promise of a consensus style of government is also in stark contrast to Rudd’s sometimes autocratic style.

Gillard also has wide voter appeal to both men and women, compared to conservative opposition leader Tony Abbott, a former Catholic seminarian who regularly polls poorly with women voters.

She is also likely to now enjoy a political honeymoon period, and every action of the first woman to lead the country is likely to be closely reported by media early in her time in charge.

DOES THIS CHANGE THE ELECTION TIMING?

Gillard’s appointment is unlikely to change the timing of the next election, which is due by the end of the year. She is likely to spend the coming months traveling the country, and making sure Australian voters know who she is and where she comes from.

She has also called a truce in the government’s damaging fight with miners over a proposed 40 percent profits tax. She is likely to need time to broker a deal ahead of the election.

An early poll in August would be risky for a new leader, still getting used to the wider responsibilities of the job. Gillard’s home state of Victoria also has elections set for late November. Both point to an election in early to mid October.

WHAT POLICIES MAY CHANGE?

Gillard has already signaled a more consultative approach on the mining tax and has indicated a stronger focus on the postponed emissions trading scheme if she wins the next election

But Gillard could also make changes to controversial asylum seeker policies. More boatpeople arrivals in recent years has been a simmering issue on talkback radio, and Labor has been vulnerable to opposition attacks blaming Rudd’s policies for the arrivals. At her first media conference, Gillard signaled a firmer stance after stressing she understood why Australians were disturbed about refugee boats arriving in Australian waters.

HOW WILL THE ELECTION BATTLE SHAPE UP?

Gillard’s elevation changes the political battle with opposition leader Tony Abbott.

Abbott is a blunt speaking conservative who grabs headlines with his combative style. Gillard can be a sharp-witted debater, but also retains a calm and composed demeanor when under attack.

Abbott may need to take care in his attacks on Gillard, to ensure the election does not become about personalities, particularly as Gillard’s election adds a gender issue to the political debate.

Gillard, in her first news conference as prime minister, has already made it clear she will focus her political attacks on Abbott’s views on workplace laws, and on health and education. Abbott has stressed that while Gillard is a new face for Labor, she supports the same policies as Rudd.

(Editing by Ed Davies and Miral Fahmy)

Australia’s first woman PM an old-school Labor leader

(Reuters) – Australia’s new prime minister, Julia Gillard, has become the first woman to lead her country, but her leadership style evokes the past, not the future.

World

A quick-witted politician, with a broad Australian accent and a working-class pedigree, Gillard is in many ways an old-school Labor Party politician, more reminiscent of Labor prime ministers from the 80s and 90s than her bookish predecessor, Kevin Rudd.

Like previous Labor prime ministers Bob Hawke and Paul Keating, Gillard stands in stark contrast to Rudd, a Mandarin-speaking ex-diplomat who broke the mold as a Labor leader in 2006 when he took control of a then demoralized opposition.

Rudd won a landslide election victory in 2007, ousting veteran conservative leader John Howard, and then dominated the opinion polls until, suddenly, last April the fairy tale ended.

Thanks to a few big policy failures, Labor’s “Prince Charming” began losing the confidence of voters and, just as suddenly, Gillard was emerging as a new but much more familiar Labor hero, a working-class politician with a talent for plain-speaking.

Where Rudd once told lawmakers about “evidence-based policy” and explained in heavy detail the complexities of his tax or climate-change policies, Gillard stood in parliament on Thursday and launched straight into vintage Labor rhetoric.

“I grew up in a home of hard-working parents,” began the 48-year-old daughter of a former policeman and rail clerk.

“I believe in a government that rewards those who work the hardest, not those who complain the loudest,” she added.

“I believe in a government that rewards those who, day in and day out, work in our factories and on our farms, in our mines and in our mills, in our classrooms and in our hospitals, that rewards that hard work, decency and effort.”

Gillard arrived in Australia, aged four, in the 1960s from south Wales, a cradle of Britain’s own Labour movement. Her father had gone to work before finishing school, his family too poor to support him through higher education.

Gillard initially lived in a migrant hostel in the rural town of Adelaide before her father bought a house. She studied law at university, where she got involved in politics and then became a partner in a law firm specializing in class actions and personal injury cases before working as a political adviser.

CONSENSUS BUILDER

Gillard was first elected to parliament in 1998, and quickly rose to become a leading light of the Labor left, becoming shadow health minister in 2003 and then backing Rudd for the leadership in return for the deputy Labor leadership.

Gillard kept in Rudd’s shadow until this year’s opinion-poll meltdown when, without apparent hesitation or squeamishness, she made her move just months away from a general election, just as Hawke did on the eve of another election in the early 1980s.

Gillard seems to model her leadership style on the Hawke era, when cabinet forged policy by consensus — another departure from Rudd, whose corporate-style management rankled Labor MPs.

“Her consultation skills are fantastic,” said one senior industry figure who negotiated opposite Gillard on labor-market reforms. “She is bloody good,” he told Reuters.

That will be good news for global miners that are threatening to pull more than $20 billion in investment unless the government overhauls its proposed 40 percent mine-profits tax. Gillard has refused to drop the tax so must negotiate a solution quickly.

Even if Gillard shares Hawke’s famed negotiating skills, and Keating’s sharp wit, she also faces a challenge that no previous Australian leader has ever known: being a woman in power.

She has long attracted headlines for her hair, which she recently restyled and dyed an auburn shade instead of its natural ginger, her partner who is a hairdresser and her decision not to have children.

One conservative lawmaker even once remarked her unmarried status made her unfit to govern. He later apologized for the comment but, in the socially conservative heartland of middle-class Australia, it can be an issue.

“She’s not married is she? No children either,” remarked Elvie Santos, a legal secretary, when asked during her lunch break on Thursday whether she liked Gillard.

But she added: “Let’s give her a try. You never know.”

(Additional reporting by James Grubel; Editing by Ed Davies and Miral Fahmy)

Australia’s minerals council suspends anti-tax ads – TV

June 24 (Reuters) – Australia’s minerals council will suspend advertisements opposing government plans for a new tax on mining after new prime minister Julia Gillard pledged to open the door to miners for negotiations, Sky TV reported on Thursday.

(Reporting by Ed Davies; Editing by Michael Smith)