European Factors-Shares seen broadly lower; focus on charts

LONDON, July 29 (Reuters) – European shares are likely to
open flat to lower on Thursday, mirroring losses in Asia and on Wall Street,
with investors seen cautious following weak U.S. data and the market’s failure
to break key resistance levels.

According to financial bookmakers, Britain’s FTSE 100 .FTSE was expected
to open 6 to 11 points lower, Germany’s DAX .GDAXI was seen opening almost
flat and France’s CAC 40 .FCHI was expected to fall 9 to 14 points.

U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday after weak durable goods figures and a
downbeat assessment of the economy from the Fed’s Beige Book kept the benchmark
S&P 500 trapped below its 200-day moving average.

“U.S. economic data remains something of a concern for equity traders across
the globe with both the Fed’s beige book and the durable goods order numbers
released yesterday adding to the ongoing theme of disappointment here,” said Ben
Potter, research analyst at IG Markets.

“With August around the corner and Europe slowing down for the summer, it’s
all too easy to start thinking that an air of indifference may be about to grip
the markets.”

The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top European shares closed 0.3
percent lower at 1,050.88 points on Wednesday, after rising by as much as 0.7
percent in early trade. In Asia, Tokyo’s Nikkei fell 0.4 percent on Thursday.

———————-MARKET SNAPSHOT AT 0510 GMT———————-

LAST PCT CHG NET CHG

S&P 500 .SPX 1,106.13 -0.69 % -7.71

NIKKEI .N225 9,711.31 -0.43 % -41.96

MSCI ASIA EX-JP .MIASJ0000PUS 486.79 -0.05 % -0.24

EUR/USD EUR= 1.3011 0.19 % 0.0025

USD/JPY JPY= 87.18 -0.18 % -0.1600

10-YR US TSY YLD US10YT=RR 2.989 — -0.01

10-YR BUND YLD EU10YT=RR 2.728 — -0.02

SPOT GOLD XAU= $1,165.60 0.26 % $3.05

US CRUDE CLc1 $77.08 0.12 % 0.09

———————————————————————–

* GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares retreat from highs, dollar dips [ID:nTOE66S007]

* Wall St ends lower after weak durable goods orders data [ID:nN28215774]

* Nikkei falls 0.5 pct after rally; Panasonic drops [ID:nTOE66S02I]

* FOREX-Euro dips vs yen on Japan exporter selling [ID:nTOE66S034]

* TREASURIES-Firm in Asia after strong auction [ID:nTOE66S02F]

* Oil steady near $77 after sharp U.S. inventory gain [ID:nSGE66S06Z]

* PRECIOUS-Gold regains strength on dollar; ETF drops [ID:nSGE66S00S]

* METALS-Copper inches lower as economic uncertainties weigh [ID:nTOE66S02T]

(Reporting by Atul Prakash; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

Nikkei flat in choppy trade, Softbank up on iPhone

TOKYO, June 24 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average ended flat on Thursday, holding above a key support level in choppy trade after losing 3 percent in the past two days.

A wave of short-covering petered out in late trade and technical charts suggested significant gains were likely to be difficult in the face of successive resistance levels and that further falls could not be ruled out.

The Nikkei started the day lower after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery is faltering, but then gained, with one market player saying European investors were likely buying domestic demand stocks to rebalance their portfolios.

“The market is getting a bit of a lift from gains in the rest of Asia, and the overall mood isn’t bad even though the dollar is below 90 yen,” said Hiroaki Osakabe, a fund manager at Chibagin Asset Management.

“But for the Nikkei to really move higher we need both the euro and the dollar to gain, as well as a bit more momentum — perhaps over the next month as quarterly earnings come out.”

Shares in Softbank Corp (9984.T) rose nearly 3 percent to become the second-biggest contributor to the Nikkei 225 as Apple Inc’s (AAPL.O) iPhone 4 made its global debut, with fans pouring into Softbank outlets and Apple’s flagship Japan store. Softbank is the exclusive iPhone operator in Japan. [ID:nTOE65M07U]

The benchmark Nikkei .N225 finished up 0.1 percent to 9,928.34. Firm support is seen at 9,800, about the level of the Nikkei’s 25-day moving average — a proxy for a one-month moving average that’s closely watched in Japan.

The broader Topix slipped 0.1 percent to 879.77.

Osakabe noted that a gap opened from just under 10,000 to 10,100 when the Nikkei fell Tuesday and that it is likely to rise to fill this, but that further gains will be difficult and the benchmark is likely to move in a narrow range over the long term.

One resistance level is at 10,155, the 38.2 percent retracement of the Nikkei’s fall from its April high to early June low, while another is around 10,300, where the Nikkei’s 200-day and 50-day moving average come in.

In an additional sign of potential trouble, the Nikkei’s slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, shows the drop may have further to go.

On weekly charts, the 13-week moving average has crossed below the 26-week moving average — a formation known as a “death cross,” often a sign of more falls.

But Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, said that it can also be a signal that the market has bottomed out for the short-term. A similar cross formed late last year when the Nikkei hit 9,100, a low subsequently followed by the rebound that peaked in April.

FOREIGN BUYING, IPHONE BOOST

Ministry of Finance data showed overseas investors bought a net 2 billion yen ($22.2 million) of Japanese stocks in the June 13-19 week.

Prior to last week, foreign investors were net sellers for six straight weeks, dumping a net 1.92 trillion yen of Japanese stocks. But so far this year, they are still net buyers.

Softbank rose 2.8 percent to 2,503 yen while Dai-ichi Seiko (6640.Q), which supplies connectors to Taiwanese makers of panels used in iPhones and iPads, surged 9.7 percent to 3,845 yen.

Exporters lost ground broadly, but companies that depend on domestic demand such as property firms found favour. Sumitomo Realty & Development (8830.T) gained 2.9 percent to 1,672 yen, becoming the top percentage gainer among Nikkei components.

Other so-called “defensive” shares, which are seen as resilient in the face of turbulent conditions overseas, gained, with cosmetics firms Shiseido (4911.T) up 1.4 percent to 2,017 yen and home products maker Kao Corp (4452.T) up 1.8 percent to 2,120 yen.

Trade was thin on the Tokyo exchange’s first section, with 1.5 billion shares changing hands, near last week’s four-month low.

Declining shares and advancing shares were almost evenly matched, 791 to 711. (Additional reporting by Aiko Hayashi; Editing by Edwina Gibbs)

Nikkei up 1.8 pct to hit one-month closing high

TOKYO, June 16 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average rose 1.8 percent on Wednesday to a one-month closing high as short-covering picked up and investors grew more confident about the global economy after successful debt sales by some of the weakest euro zone members.

The market gained across the board, with blue-chip exporters such as Canon Inc (7751.T) in favour on easing worries about a stronger yen, while Nintendo (7974.OS) jumped 5.2 percent after taking the wraps off its new 3D DS portable game player. [ID:nN1547425]

The benchmark Nikkei picked up steam after ending the previous day above its 25-day moving average of just below 9,900 for the first time in nearly two months, as risk appetite, long under siege due to worries about Europe’s debt crisis, improved.

“At this point, sentiment’s improved on a short-term basis, particularly after the S&P 500 broke above its 200-day moving average to show that the market there has bottomed out,” said Hideyuki Ishiguro, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“Expectations for this week’s summit of euro zone leaders and the Group of 20 leaders’ summit later this month are also helping, with all of this feeding into short-covering.”

The benchmark Nikkei .N225 gained 179.26 points to 10,067.15, its highest close since mid-May. The broader Topix rose 1.5 percent to 892.38.

Some market players said that with the Nikkei sitting above 10,000, it looks to have hit a double bottom, and the next resistance levels will likely be around 10,200 and 10,300, around its 50-week moving average and its 200-day moving average.

“The speculative sell-off in response to negative news, which we had seen up until now, may have come to a halt, and short-covering is now picking up momentum,” said Masaru Hamasaki, a senior strategist at Toyota Asset Management.

While some said the Nikkei could try the 200-day moving average as early as Thursday, others said a recent buildup of long positions in blue-chip shares such as Sony Corp (6758.T) could pose a threat to further advances.

“If the market’s upward momentum falls off at all, investors could start unwinding these positions,” said Toshiyuki Kanayama, a market analyst at Monex Inc.

EURO BOOST

U.S. stocks climbed more than 2 percent, with the S&P 500 turning positive for the year as solid demand for Irish and Spanish government debt calmed investors’ nerves a day after Moody’s downgraded Greece’s credit rating to junk status.

The euro hit a two-week high above $1.23 EUR=. [ID:nLDE65E126]

The euro steadied near two-week highs, while euro/yen EURJPY= was flat at 112.74, having jumped nearly 0.9 percent in the previous session. [FRX/]

Chip equipment maker Tokyo Electron (8035.T) and other chip-linked shares climbed after two Taiwanese chipmakers forecast growing demand in the coming months, helping to boost the Philadelphia semiconductor index .SOXX 5.5 percent [ID:nTOE65E03Y].

Tokyo Electron rose 2.3 percent to 5,770 yen, chip tester maker Advantest (6857.T) rose 2.5 percent to 2,028 yen and stepper maker Nikon Corp (7731.T) rose 5.6 percent to 1,728 yen.

Itochu Corp (8001.T) and other trading houses rose along with rising metals prices as signs of an improving economy and easing European debt problems boosted investor demand for industrial metals. [ID:nLDE65E11P]

Shares of Promise Co (8574.T) rose 3.6 percent to 658 yen, extending earlier gains after the company president told Reuters in an interview that Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (8316.T) has pledged to help the Japanese consumer lender with its financing.

Ken Kubo said that he is confident his firm will be able to repay 460 billion yen ($5 billion) in short-term debt in the financial year to March 2011. [ID:nTKG006771]

Volume picked up slightly, with 1.7 billion shares changing hands on the Tokyo exchange’s first section, after posting a four-month low on Monday at just below 1.5 billion. Advancing stocks outnumbered declining one by more than 6 to 1.