Analysis: Immigration ruling carries double-edged sword

(Reuters) – A U.S. judge’s ruling blocking key parts of Arizona’s immigration law could bolster President Barack Obama’s standing among Hispanics and energize Republican foes who back the tough law.

U.S. District Judge Susan Bolton weighed in on the festering American debate over illegal immigration that has implications for November 2 congressional elections.

* Obama’s Democrats could get a boost from Hispanics who have been disenchanted with his inability to advance an overhaul of the U.S. immigration system. The Hispanic vote is expected to be increasingly important in the years ahead.

Negotiations between the White House and the congressional leadership have gone nowhere on the potent political issue of immigration and the issue is considered dead for the year.

Both Democrats and Republicans have tried to attract Hispanics to their parties and thus far Democrats have largely won the battle.

But Obama’s approval rating among Hispanics in a recent Gallup poll was at 52 percent, his lowest rating with them after reaching the 60s earlier this year.

* On the flip side, the ruling may well generate further enthusiasm among Republican voters who are already energized ahead of November 2 elections in which Democratic control of the U.S. Congress is at stake.

Republicans have used the Obama administration’s effort to strike the Arizona law as a rallying point. The Republicans’ conservative base is leery of any immigration legislation that could be perceived as granting amnesty to the estimated 10.8 million immigrants living illegally in the United States.

Many Americans who are weary of a 9.5 percent jobless rate back the Arizona law and could be disappointed by the judge’s ruling, which was prompted by a lawsuit filed against Arizona by Obama’s Justice Department.

A CNN/Opinion Research poll this week showed that a majority of the country back the Arizona immigration law — 55 percent of those questioned favored it compared to 40 percent against it.

* Immigration is a volatile issue in Washington. Battle lines are drawn between Democrats, who want a system of documenting illegals to allow them to work in addition to improved border security, and Republicans, who mainly want tougher border enforcement.

Obama has been challenging both Democrats and Republicans on Capitol Hill to offer him bipartisan proposal on immigration in recognition that any overhaul would not pass without Republican votes.

Senator John McCain of Arizona is well aware of the potency of the issue. He led efforts to overhaul immigration three years ago and the issue nearly unraveled his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination.

Defeated by Obama in 2008, McCain has been a strong backer of the Arizona law in trying to face down a primary challenge to his re-election from conservative former congressman J.D. Hayworth.

(Editing by Howard Goller)

FACTBOX – Facts about Obama’s Afghan strategy

REUTERS – President Barack Obama made an unannounced visit to Afghanistan on Sunday, his first since he took office, for talks with Afghan President Hamid Karzai and to express his thanks to U.S. troops.

The following are some facts about Obama’s strategy on Afghanistan.

* Obama campaigned in 2008 on a pledge to return the fight against Islamic extremism to where it began, in Afghanistan, while promising to pull U.S. forces out of Iraq. He has begun to deliver on that promise, ordering the deployment of 30,000 additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan as part of an effort to take the battle to the Taliban while training Afghan soldiers to take over their own security.

Obama reached his new strategy after a lengthy review period last autumn. In a pledge that may be hard to meet, he said he would like to begin pulling some U.S. troops out of Afghanistan by July of 2011.

* While Obama’s healthcare overhaul is generating great scepticism among Americans, people are largely backing him on Afghanistan. A CNN/Opinion Research poll last week said 55 percent of Americans back Obama’s strategy for Afghanistan. But Americans are also weary of the war that was begun after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. The poll found that in general, 49 percent oppose the war while 48 percent favour it. Afghanistan is the one issue where his Republican opponents have backed Obama, supporting his moves to increase U.S. troop strength, having believed that Obama’s predecessor, George W. Bush, took his eye off Afghanistan while waging war in Iraq.

* Obama has also been pressing Karzai to make greater strides toward improving the rule of law and fighting corruption within the Afghan government. Karzai won re-election last year after a vote that observers said was marred by widespread fraud. When Karzai was declared the winner in November, Obama told him it was time to “write a new chapter based on improved governance, a much more serious effort to eradicate corruption, joint efforts to accelerate the training of Afghan security forces so that the Afghan people can provide for their own security.”

Compared to Bush, Obama has been far cooler to Karzai but his trip there on Sunday and invitation for Karzai to visit Washington on May 12 signalled the possibility of a closer relationship.

* As part of the new strategy, U.S. and NATO troops are waging their largest offensive in Afghanistan since the start of the war in 2001, aimed at driving the Taliban from Marjah, their last big stronghold in the violent southern Helmand Province, to make way for Afghan authorities to take it over. The offensive is an important piece of Obama’s plan to use his troops surge to seize insurgent-held areas and shift control to local authorities before the United States begins to bring its troops out of Afghanistan.

* The CIA has also stepped up its use of Predator drone aircraft to fire missiles at Taliban targets, particularly in the wake of the killing of eight CIA agents by a suicide bomber who infiltrated a CIA base in Khost, Afghanistan in late December. It was the deadliest attack on the CIA in 20 years.

(Editing by Patricia Wilson and Doina Chiacu)

Factbox: Obama’s strategy on Afghanistan

(Reuters) – President Barack Obama made an unannounced visit to Afghanistan on Sunday, his first since he took office, for talks with Afghan President Hamid Karzai and to express his thanks to U.S. troops.

Barack Obama

The following are some facts about Obama’s strategy on Afghanistan.

* Obama campaigned in 2008 on a pledge to return the fight against Islamic extremism to where it began, in Afghanistan, while promising to pull U.S. forces out of Iraq. He has begun to deliver on that promise, ordering the deployment of 30,000 additional U.S. troops to Afghanistan as part of an effort to take the battle to the Taliban while training Afghan soldiers to take over their own security.

Obama reached his new strategy after a lengthy review period last autumn. In a pledge that may be hard to meet, he said he would like to begin pulling some U.S. troops out of Afghanistan by July of 2011.

* While Obama’s healthcare overhaul is generating great skepticism among Americans, people are largely backing him on Afghanistan. A CNN/Opinion Research poll last week said 55 percent of Americans back Obama’s strategy for Afghanistan. But Americans are also weary of the war that was begun after the September 11, 2001, attacks. The poll found that in general, 49 percent oppose the war while 48 percent favor it. Afghanistan is the one issue where his Republican opponents have backed Obama, supporting his moves to increase U.S. troop strength, having believed that Obama’s predecessor, George W. Bush, took his eye off Afghanistan while waging war in Iraq.

* Obama has also been pressing Karzai to make greater strides toward improving the rule of law and fighting corruption within the Afghan government. Karzai won re-election last year after a vote that observers said was marred by widespread fraud. When Karzai was declared the winner in November, Obama told him it was time to “write a new chapter based on improved governance, a much more serious effort to eradicate corruption, joint efforts to accelerate the training of Afghan security forces so that the Afghan people can provide for their own security.”

Compared to Bush, Obama has been far cooler to Karzai but his trip there on Sunday and invitation for Karzai to visit Washington on May 12 signaled the possibility of a closer relationship.

* As part of the new strategy, U.S. and NATO troops are waging their largest offensive in Afghanistan since the start of the war in 2001, aimed at driving the Taliban from Marjah, their last big stronghold in the violent southern Helmand Province, to make way for Afghan authorities to take it over. The offensive is an important piece of Obama’s plan to use his troops surge to seize insurgent-held areas and shift control to local authorities before the United States begins to bring its troops out of Afghanistan.

* The CIA has also stepped up its use of Predator drone aircraft to fire missiles at Taliban targets, particularly in the wake of the killing of eight CIA agents by a suicide bomber who infiltrated a CIA base in Khost, Afghanistan in late December. It was the deadliest attack on the CIA in 20 years.

(Editing by Patricia Wilson and Doina Chiacu)

Israeli Left expresses dismay over Obama’s low popularity

Jerusalem, Aug. 30 (ANI): The Israeli Left has expressed disappointment over a recent Jerusalem Post poll which found that only four percent of Jewish Israelis believe that US President Barack Obama’s policies are more pro-Israel than pro-Palestinian.

The Jerusalem Post-sponsored Smith Research poll published on Friday reported that 51 percent of Jewish Israelis considered Obama’s administration more pro-Palestinian than pro-Israel, while 35 percent called it neutral.

Meretz and Peace Now said the survey indicated that Israelis did not yet realize the potential benefits of the regional peace initiative that Obama was advocating.

“It is a pity that most Israelis don’t realize that. Israelis think that Christian evangelists who rubber-stamp everything Israel does are the only Americans who are pro-Israel. But what is really good for Israel is a solution to the conflict, and Obama is doing what it takes to bring it about,” the paper quoted Meretz faction chairman MK Ilan Gilon, as saying

Peace Now secretary-general Yariv Oppenheimer said what mattered more at this stage of the peace process was Obama’s reputation in the Arab world, and not in Israel.

“Despite the results of the poll, the Israeli interest is that Obama will be popular in the Arab world, so he could bring about a peace agreement with Israel,” Oppenheimer said.

However, the Right questioned how 4 percent of the Jewish Israeli population could still consider Obama more pro-Israel than pro-Palestinian.

“Four percent of the public evidently didn’t understand the question. If they did, 99.9 percent would say that he is extremely anti-Israel. The only Israelis who would say he is pro-Israel are those who join Fatah and call for anti-Israel boycotts,” said National Union MK Arye Eldad. (ANI)

Only four percent Israelis think Obama is pro-Israel: Poll

Jerusalem, Aug. 28 (ANI): Only four percent Israelis consider the policies of President Barack Obama as pro-Israel, a Smith Research poll conducted by The Jerusalem Post has revealed.

More than half (51 percent) of Jewish Israelis consider Obama’s administration more pro-Palestinian than pro-Israel, according to the survey, while 35 percent consider it neutral.

The support for Obama Administration has fallen 2 percent from an earlier poll published in the paper.

In June, 6 percent Israelis had viewed the policies of the Obama administration more pro-Palestinian than pro-Israeli, while less than four in 10 said the policies were neutral.

The poll of 500 people representing a statistical model of the Jewish Israeli population had a margin of error of 4.5 percent.

Obama’s popularity among Israelis has been plummeting since a May 17 Post poll on the eve of a meeting between Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Obama at the White House.

The new poll was taken on Monday and Tuesday, before reports that Obama had agreed to exclude Jerusalem from a deal with Netanyahu on a construction freeze and to allow construction of essential public buildings, such as schools, to continue in Judea and Samaria.

The poll asked Jewish Israelis whether they would support freezing settlement construction for a year as part of an American-brokered deal.

Fifty percent said no, 41 percent said yes and 9 percent did not express an opinion. (ANI)

Obama “committed” to Israel’s peace and security

London, June 21 (ANI): The Obama Administration has reiterated its support for Israel following a survey that showed that only six percent of Jewish Israelis consider US President Barack Obama to be pro-Israel.

The White House declined to comment on the specifics of the poll. But National Security Council spokesman Mike Hammer told the Jerusalem Post: “We remain committed to peace and security for Israel.”

Hammer recalled the line from Obama’s recent speech in Cairo in which he said, “America’s strong bonds with Israel are well known. This bond is unbreakable,” one of several recent reiterations of strong US support for Israel.

A new Jerusalem Post-sponsored Smith Research poll had also found that one out of every two Israelis consider the policies of Obama’s administration more pro-Palestinian than pro-Israeli, while less than four in 10 said the policies were neutral.

The views were in stark contrast to the last poll published on May 17, on the eve of the meeting between Netanyahu and Obama at the White House.

The recent views expressed by Israelis follow Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s speech in support of a demilitarised Palestinian state.

However, Ira Forman of the National Jewish Democratic Council also emphasized that Obama has repeatedly affirmed the US-Israel special relationship and that he “is a great friend to Israel.”

“I have no doubt that Israelis will remember Barack Obama and his presidency as one that was tremendously favorable to Israel when all is said and done,” he said.

Matt Dorf, who did Jewish outreach for the Democratic National Committee during the presidential campaign, was more blunt when it came to the survey results.

“I don’t trust the poll,” he said, calling the Post a newspaper that has “not been friendly toward Obama,” he said. (ANI)

50 percent Israelis think Obama is more pro-Palestine than pro-Israel: Poll

Jerusalem, June 19 (ANI): A whopping 50 percent Israelis consider the policies of Obama’s administration more pro-Palestinian than pro-Israeli, while 36 percent said the policies were neutral, a new poll has found.

A new Jerusalem Post-sponsored Smith Research poll also found that only six percent of Jewish Israelis think that US President Barack Obama’s administration is pro-Israel.

The recent views expressed by Israelis follow Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s speech in support of a demilitarised Palestinian state.

The views were in stark contrast to the last poll published on May 17, on the eve of the meeting between Netanyahu and Obama at the White House.

A total of 31 percent had labelled the Obama administration pro-Israel, while 14 percent considered it pro-Palestinian and 40 percent said it was neutral.

The poll, which has a margin of error of 4.5percent, was conducted among a representative sample of 500 Israeli Jewish adults this week, The Jerusalem Post reports.

One possible explanation for the Obama administration’s plummeting approval rating among Israelis, is its opposition to building for natural growth in settlement blocs, and its refusal to differentiate its policies regarding construction in unauthorized outposts, settlement blocs close to the Green Line and suburbs of Jerusalem.

Regarding outposts, 57 percent favor removing them, 38 percent are against, and 5 percent did not express an opinion.

Reacting to the poll, Netanyahu’s external adviser Zalman Shoval questioned whether the Obama administration could mediate in the Middle East conflict due to the numbers and its recent statements and actions.

“Some of the indications we have seen in the last few weeks make it more difficult for Israelis to see the US in its traditional role as an honest broker. The vast majority of Israelis don’t blame the prime minister for a confrontation with the US. They are putting the onus on the Obama administration,” he said. (ANI)

Only 1 in 3 Israelis thinks Obama is pro-Israel

Jerusalem, May 18 (ANI): Only 31 percent of Israelis consider US President Barack Obama’s approach pro-Israel, a survey conducted ahead of the meeting between Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu revealed.

According to a Smith Research poll, 31 percent Israelis labeled Obama pro-Israel, while 14 percent said he was pro-Palestinian and 40 percent felt he was neutral. The remaining 15 percent didn’t have any views on the issue.

The poll, conducted on 500 Israelis last week, has an error margin of 4.5 percent, The Jerusalem post reports.

Obama’s numbers contrast sharply with those of his predecessor, George W. Bush, whose administration was considered pro-Israel by 88 percent of the respondents.

Obama’s ratings may have gone down after condemnations of Israeli policies by US Vice President Joe Biden, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel and others.

Obama is expected to unveil his policies on the Arab-Israeli conflict in Cairo on June 4.

Currently, he is in a “policy review period” that he will conclude only after Netanyahu, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak visit the US by the end of the month.

Israelis, according to the poll, view governments of other European countries even less favourable than the US.

Among those nations, only the government of German Chancellor Angela Merkel was seen as being more pro-Israel (37 percent) than pro-Palestinian (21 percent).

The pro-Palestinian tilt was even more pronounced for British Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s government (a 14 percentage point spread). (ANI)