FACTBOX-Guinea’s major mining operations

(Reuters) – Guinea, the world’s biggest exporter of aluminium ore bauxite and a potentially huge source of iron ore, is holding a presidential election on Sunday intended to end a political crisis that has persisted since a 2008 military coup.

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Resources firms have committed billions of dollars of fresh investment in the West African country this year. Several presidential candidates have indicated they could put existing contracts under review if elected.

Here are details of some of the country’s major mining operations and planned developments.

*********************BAUXITE***************************

BACKGROUND:

Guinea boasts about a third of all known reserves of bauxite, the ore used to make aluminium. CBG, or Compagnie des Bauxites de Guinee, owned by Alcoa (AA.N), Rio Tinto (RIO.L) (RIO.AX) and the Guinean government, is the world’s biggest bauxite exporter. It shipped a 13.7 million tonnes in 2008.

PRODUCTION:

Guinea’s total bauxite production in 2009 was 14.77 million tonnes, down from 19.78 million in 2008, partly because of the effects of political turmoil. Output recovered in the first quarter of 2010 to nearly 4 million tonnes from 3.35 million in the same period a year ago, the government said. [ID:nLDE64K1VP]

Bauxite production capacity is estimated as follows:

- Compagnie des Bauxites de Guinee/Boke Mine 15 mln

- Alumina Company of Guinea/Fria-Kimbo Mine (RUSAL) 2.8 mln

- Compagnie des Bauxites de Kindia 3.8 mln

ALUMINA REFINERIES:

RUSAL’s (0486.HK) Friguia plant, Guinea’s largest single employer, refines bauxite to alumina, with a total production of about 530,000 tonnes.

Alcoa and Rio Tinto are considering adding an alumina refinery to their Guinea bauxite joint venture.

Toronto-listed Global Alumina (GLAu.TO) is building a new 3.3 million tonnes per year alumina refinery but has delayed start-up by two years to 2011 and raised its cost forecast by 35 percent to $4.3 billion.

Total Guinean production of alumina was down 15.8 percent in 2009 to 500,400 tonnes and continued to lag during the first quarter of 2010.

**********************IRON ORE**************************

BACKGROUND:

Guinea is believed to have some of the world’s richest undeveloped iron ore deposits. A flurry of deals have been announced in recent months despite ongoing political uncertainty.

DEALS:

In March, Rio Tinto and Chinese metals group Chinalco signed a $2.9 billion agreement to jointly develop the Simandou iron ore project. Under the terms of the deal, Rio puts its 95 percent stake in Simandou into the joint venture, and Chinalco pays $1.35 billion for 47 percent in that venture.

Rio says Simandou is the largest undeveloped iron ore mine in the world, containing 2.25 billion tonnes of the mineral. The project is forecast to cost $6 billion.

On June 23, Rio issued a statement insisting it has “firm rights” to all of its Simandou deposit after the government said it wanted to exercise an option to acquire 20 percent of the part under Rio’s control. The government last week gave Rio 60 days to produce a feasibility schedule for the project or face a possible further review of the deposits’ future.

In April, Vale (VALE.N)(VALE5.SA) spent $2.5 billion on a majority stake in a division of BSG Resources in Guinea in order to develop the Simandou-Zogota project. Output will begin in 2012 with 10 million tonnes of iron ore and reach 50 million tonnes by 2015, Vale said.

London-listed explorer Bellzone BMZ.L announced a joint-venture deal with Guinea in June, paving the way for a feasibility study into the construction of the 280-km railway line from the Kalia iron ore concession to the port of Matakan. The study should be completed within 30 months, according to the terms of the deal. China International Fund will help fund the project, Guinea’s government said.

************************GOLD****************************

BACKGROUND:

Guinea’s gold production surged during the first quarter of 2010 to 229,991 ounces from 73,210 ounces in the same quarter a year ago. It remains a relatively small producer compared with regional leaders Ghana and Mali, which produce closer to 2 million ounces each per year.

PRODUCTION:

Anglogold Ashanti (ANGJ.J) operates Guinea’s biggest gold mine at Siguiri in the northeast, where it produced 332,000 ounces of gold in 2008. Guinea holds a 15 percent stake.

Crew Gold (CRU.TO) operates the LEFA Corridor Gold Project, which produced 189,520 ounces in 2008.

West Africa-focused gold miner Semafo, which is listed in Toronto, operates the Kiniero mine in eastern Guinea. It produced 51,700 ounces in 2008.

Artisanal gold mining is also common in Guinea.

**********************DIAMONDS***************************

Guinea’s diamond reserves are estimated at more than 25 million carats, not including as yet unmapped kimberlite fields. Production during the first quarter of 2010 was 72,870 carats, up slightly from 70,920 carats in the same period in 2009.

**********************NICKEL****************************

Australian-listed company Lindian Resources (LIN.AX) is exploring for nickel at the Dinguiraye project, about 400 km northeast of Conakry. ******************************************************** Sources: Reuters news, company websites & Reuters Metal Production Database, available to 3000Xtra users here (Reporting by Daniel Magnowski, Richard Valdmanis, Saliou Samb and David Cutler; editing by Matthew Jones) (For full Reuters Africa coverage and to have your say on the top issues, visit: africa.reuters.com/)

Iran approves “peace pipeline” deal with Pakistan

(Reuters) – Iran finalized a $7 billion “peace pipeline” deal on Sunday to export natural gas to Pakistan by 2015, Iran’s state television reported.

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“The deal was signed. Export of Iran’s gas to Pakistan will be launched by the end of 2015,” state TV reported.

“For 25 years Iran will export one million cubic meters of natural gas to Pakistan per day,” it said.

The project is crucial for Pakistan to avert a growing energy crisis already causing severe electricity shortages in the country of about 170 million, at the same time as it confronts Islamist militancy.

Iran has the world’s second largest gas reserves after Russia but has struggled for years to develop its oil and gas resources. Iranian officials say the country needs $25 billion to develop its crucial energy industry.

Sanctions by the West, political turmoil and construction delays have slowed Iran’s development as an exporter.

The pipeline will connect Iran’s giant South Fars gas field with Pakistan’s southern Baluchistan and Sindh provinces.

State television said the pipeline was 1,000 km (620 miles) long, with about 907 km of it already built.

Dubbed the “peace pipeline,” the project has been planned since the 1990s and originally would have extended from Pakistan to its old rival, India. New Delhi has been reluctant to join the project because of its long-running distrust of Pakistan, with whom it has fought three wars since independence in 1947.

Under a deal signed in March, Pakistan will be allowed to charge a transit fee if the proposed pipeline is eventually extended to India.

The United States has tried to discourage India and Pakistan from any deal with Iran because of Tehran’s disputed nuclear programme, which the West fears is a cover to build bombs.

Iran, hit by a fourth round of U.N. sanctions on Wednesday over its refusal to suspend its uranium enrichment activities, denies any such ambitions.

(Writing by Parisa Hafezi, Editing by Paul Tait)

JGBs inch up; little impact from political turmoil

May 31 (Reuters) – Lead 10-year Japanese government bond futures inched higher on Monday, taking in their stride the Social Democratic Party’s (SDP) decision the previous day to leave Japan’s ruling coalition.

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* The departure of the tiny SDP is a blow to Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama, already seen by voters as a weak leader, damaging his Democratic Party’s chances of winning a majority in an upper house election expected in July, which it needs to pass bills smoothly. [ID:nSGE64T00L]

* Any factors that erode the ruling coalition’s political clout or lead to a decline in Hatoyama’s popularity can be regarded as negative for JGBs as they may raise doubts about the willingness of ruling parties to tackle fiscal consolidation measures, analysts say.

* “This piece of news is not something that is necessarily positive for yen bonds, especially super-long bonds,” said Makoto Yamashita, chief Japan interest rate strategist for Deutsche Securities.

* But given that Hatoyama’s popularity has already been in a declining trend, the news of the SDP leaving the ruling coalition is unlikely to have much additional impact on JGBs, Yamashita said.

* Lead June 10-year JGB futures rose 0.11 point to 140.56 2JGBv1, edging back towards a two-year peak of 140.88 hit last week.

* The benchmark 10-year JGB yield dipped 0.5 basis point to 1.245 percent JP10YTN=JBTC. The 10-year yield fell as low as 1.190 percent last week, matching a low last touched in December.

* One supportive factor for JGBs in the near term is the potential for cash bond buying by passive-strategy investors looking to extend durations on their portfolios at the month-end to match moves in benchmark bond indexes, Yamashita said.

* But with a 10-year JGB auction looming on Tuesday, investors other than such index-following players are unlikely to bid very aggressively for longer-term cash JGBs, he said. (Reporting by Masayuki Kitano; Editing by Chris Gallagher)

Following internal turmoil, Thai government shoots spending by 22 percent

Bangkok, May 28 — The Thai parliament passed the first reading of next year’s budget, which calls for a 22-percent jump in spending in the wake of political turmoil in Bangkok in recent weeks, government sources said on Friday. The bill, passed in a 250-172 vote on Thursday, was hailed as a step toward political stability after unrest surrounding a two-month anti-government protest in Bangkok left at least 88 people dead and caused about $6 billion in damage and lost income.

“The speed and manner in which the budget bill was passed shows how quickly Thailand is rebounding from the political turmoil and that institutions within the kingdom have proven to be stable and mature enough to continue conducting the country’s business,” Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said of the two-day budget debate. The bill calls for a 2.07-trillion-baht ($64.7-billion) budget for the next fiscal year, which begins on Oct 1.

The amount represents a 22-percent increase from the previous budget. Education would receive the largest allocation of 388 billion baht, or 18.7 percent of the budget, an 11.9-percent increase over this year as the Education Ministry implements a newly introduced policy guaranteeing 15 years of cost-free education.

Defence was allocated 170 billion baht, 8.2 percent of the total, and double the allocation of the Ministry of Agriculture. The Puea Thai opposition party criticised the defence budget as favouring the military over impoverished farmers.

Although, the defence budget was about the same as last year’s, the military has seen a large increase in spending on often questionable purchases since a 2006 coup ousted former premier Thaksin Shinawatra. Thaksin, living in self-imposed exile since 2008 to avoid a two-year jail sentence of an abuse-of-power conviction, has been accused of being the ringleader and financier of the anti-government protests in Bangkok from March 12 to May 19.

The army dispersed the protestors from their main rally site in the heart of Bangkok’s commercial district on May 19, prompting hardcore demonstrators to go on a looting and arson rampage in the city that destroyed 29 buildings. According to government figures, 88 people have died in protest-related violence over the past two months, including 77 civilians and 11 security personnel.

Neighboring countries hope for WCup tourism

Call it anti-World Cup fever: Campsites and budget-price game lodges in Zimbabwe are receiving bookings from South Africans trying to escape the frenzy of the world’s biggest sporting event at home, according to tour operators and officials.

But other South African neighbors – Botswana with its game parks, Mozambique with its beaches, Swaziland with a slice of royal life – also hope to benefit from World Cup tourists who want to see a bit more of the continent.

Zimbabwe’s National Parks department, in charge of the nation’s 11 nature preserves, reported a last-minute rush of bookings during and surrounding the June 11-July 11 World Cup.

Emmanuel Fundira, head of the Zimbabwe Council of Tourism, said photogenic safari locations like the Mana Pools wilderness park, on the northern Zambezi river border with neighboring Zambia, were already filling up.

“We must bear in mind South Africans will be running away from the event … we see this pattern translating into local bookings,” he said.

Zimbabwe’s biggest tourist attraction is Victoria Falls on the Zambezi river in the northwest. Seeing the falls is a once-in-a-lifetime experience: They constitute the widest curtain of falling water in the world – more than a mile (1.7 kilometers) wide – and are expected to attract World Cup visitors on quick direct flights from South Africa. The resort town has campsites, bed-and-breakfast cottages, and 930 star-rated hotel rooms.

But expectations of how many tourists will come are lower than they once were. Despite its abundant animal and natural attractions, Zimbabwe has been hard hit by years of economic and political turmoil, with world-record inflation and a transitional coalition government still headed by longtime ruler President Robert Mugabe.

Originally the Harare government had hoped that up to 30 percent of soccer fans visiting South Africa would make a side trip to Zimbabwe, but expectations are lower now.

“We had false euphoria four years ago,” said Tourism Minister Walter Mzembi.

Tourism in Zimbabwe peaked at 1.4 million in 1999, before the often violent seizures of white-owned farms began in 2000, disrupting the agriculture-based economy and leading to economic meltdown.

The country has now reverted almost entirely to a hard currency cash economy, mostly on the U.S. dollar. Major hotels accept foreign credit cards, but many stores do not have swipe card facilities, and those that do suffer constant outages on their machines.

South Africa’s other neighbors have been sprucing up their image ahead of the World Cup and trying to make life easier for visitors.

Mozambique announced it will honor a new visa recognized by six regional countries to allow free movement between them. The country is also cutting bureaucracy often encountered by tourists from Europe and the United States at frontiers and airports.

Mozambique, a former Portuguese colonial territory, offers unspoiled beaches, deep sea fishing, island trips and cosmopolitan facilities. The main airport in its capital city, Maputo, is getting a $70 million facelift.

“Many countries in Europe and the Americas do not know what Mozambique has,” said Mohamed Juma, a tourism operator in the southern province of Maputo. “I think from June, Mozambique will be on the touristic map.”

The tiny mountainous southern African kingdom of Swaziland got 1.3 million international state visitor arrivals last year, up 13.3 percent from the previous year, according to state Tourism Authority chief Eric Maseko. Major attractions include wildlife parks.

Asked about the World Cup, Maseko said, “We are ready.” But he added that stray cattle on roads in the countryside was still “a problem the government is working hard to sort out.”

Sibonangaye Dlamini, who owns a handicraft stall in Swaziland’s capital Mbabane, said he looked forward to brisk business from World Cup visitors.

“We won’t change prices just because it is the World Cup,” he promised.

South Africa’s western neighbors, economically stable diamond producers Botswana and Namibia, are known for cultural diversity and magnificent scenery and wildlife. Namibia offers the haunting dunes of the seaside Namib desert and Skeleton Coast; Botswana has huge inland wetlands and swamps in the Okavango delta, and the Chobe game animal preserve farther north.

Botswana, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe converge near the Victoria Falls – known as Mosi Oa Tunya, or the Smoke that Thunders in the local language, for the roaring spray rising from the cascading waters visible from long distances.

Zimbabwe’s economic meltdown and shortages of food and gasoline led to Zambia dominating tourism at the Victoria Falls on its side. Zambian operators offer bungee-jumping, whitewater rafting and helicopter rides over the falls for the so-called Flight of the Angels – taken from British explorer David Livingstone’s description of the falls as “sights so lovely they must have been gazed upon by

Angels in flight.”

The helicopter trips from the Zambian side are $125 per person for a 15-minute trip. In contrast, in Zimbabwe’s ailing economy, a waiter in the nearby luxury Kingdom casino hotel on the Zimbabwe side of the Smoke that Thunders earns $120 for a month’s work. But the gaming tables at the Kingdom have been closed for lack of business, leaving only the slot machines in place.

Human rights activists call for independent panel to look into Thailand clashes

Bangkok, May 26(ANI): Local and international human rights activists are calling for the urgent establishment of an independent panel to investigate the deadly clashes between Thailand’s security forces and Red-Shirt anti-government protesters.

A network of local civic groups headed by human rights lawyer Somchai Homla said that an independent panel must be set up to find out what happened during the recent political rallies.

The group said the investigation into the clashes should cover the application of the rule of law, political issues and codes of ethics, and the military operations, which resulted in deaths and injuries, The Bangkok Post reports.

Meanwhile, New York-based Human Rights Watch’s acting Asia director Elaine Pearson said: “Now that the protests are over, the government should properly investigate and prosecute those who broke the law.”

The Human Rights Watch further urged the government to show its commitment to justice by having the National Human Rights Commission, a parliamentary inquiry and an independent panel investigate the clashes.

Thailand has been completely hammered by the nine-week political turmoil and rioting.

Nearly 1,800 people were wounded in the period as the government, backed by Thailand’s royalist establishment, and the protesters with their support from the rural masses and ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra, failed to find common ground. (ANI)

Thailand’s tourism sector loss put at 120 billion baht

Bangkok, May 20(ANI): Thailand’s tourism industry experts have claimed that the Red-Shirts’ anti-government rally could cause the sector about 120 billion baht in lost revenue.

“The political turmoil will drive away foreign tourists. The number of foreign arrivals this year is expected to drop by 10 per cent to between 12.7 million and 14.1 million,” The Bangkok Post quoted Kongkrish Hiranyakij, Chairman Federation of Thai Tourism Industries, as saying.

He further said the number of foreign tourists was expected take a 20 percent dip in the second and third quarters of the year, bringing projected revenue down from 600 billion baht to only 480 billion baht this year.

The industry, which supports six percent of Thailand’s economy and employs 15 percent of the country’s workforce, has been hammered by the nine-week political turmoil and rioting.

Nearly 1,800 people have been wounded in the period as the government, backed by Thailand’s royalist establishment, and the protesters with their support from the rural masses and ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra, failed to find common ground. (ANI)

Q+A – What’s happening in turbulent Thailand?

Thai troops fired at protesters on Saturday in a third day of fighting on Bangkok’s streets that has killed 16 people and injured scores as troops try to isolate an encampment of demonstrators seeking to topple the government.

The crisis has paralysed Bangkok, squeezed Southeast Asia’s second-biggest economy, scared off tourists and choked off investment in one of Asia’s most promising emerging markets.

The fighting is the latest eruption in a polarising five-year crisis between the rural and urban poor, known as the red shirts by the clothing they wear, who accuse an “establishment elite” — comprising royalists, big business and military brass — of colluding to bring down two elected governments.

Those governments were led or backed by exiled former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, a graft-convicted populist billionaire ousted in a 2006 coup who is a figurehead of the protest movement.

The red shirts say the politically powerful military influenced a 2008 parliamentary vote, which took place after a pro-Thaksin party was dissolved, to ensure the British-born, Oxford-educated Abhisit rose to power.

The revered but ailing King Bhumibol Adulaydej, 82, who has intervened in past crises during his 63-year reign, has been hospitalised for months and has not commented on the political turmoil in his kingdom.

Here are some questions and answers on the crisis.

WHAT IS THE MILITARY’S STRATEGY FOR ENDING THE PROTESTS?

The army spokesman said the plan is to basically to starve thousands of protesters out of their fortified encampment, occupying a 3-sq-km (1.2 sq-mile) area of central Bangkok along roads lined with embassies, hotels, malls and office towers.

The military is attempting to throw a security cordon around the encampment to keep people and supplies from coming in. They have made some progress, but skirmishes have continued on roads around the encampment and the cordon is incomplete.

Analysts say if the military regains control of the streets in the next few days, it stands a good chance of ending the six week-occupation that has closed businesses, and thrown tens of thousands out of work in the area.

The military has repeatedly said it is unwilling to wade into the encampment ringed with walls of tyres, bamboo stakes and concrete to break up the protest site, which 10,000-20,000 people, including women and children, have occupied at various times. A crackdown could be a bloodbath that security forces have no guarantee of winning, especially given the trouble they have had so far in establishing a perimeter around the encampment.

The military has offered to let any rank-and-file protesters safely leave the camp, but red shirt leaders all face arrest warrants on various charges. The military hopes peaceful red shirts come out, leaving only a small hardcore to be rounded up.

Mobile generators provide power to the encampment, and its residents are tapping into fire hydrants for water, but food supplies are dwindling, with trucks prevented from coming in.

“What we are getting is less than what we are consuming daily,” said one protest leader, Kwanchai Praipanna. “So we are figuring out a way to bring supplies in. We’re urging people to come in with a few boxes and bottles each.”

WHAT DO THE RED SHIRTS WANT?

They say if the military pulls out of the streets, they will call their supporters back to the encampment and restore peace to the city. But they won’t end their sit-in until the deputy prime minister is charged in connection with the violence that has killed at least 46 people and injured at least 1,500 since April.

They want the prime minister to step down over the violence, dissolve parliament, and call elections.

The protesters say Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva came to power illegitimately in a parliamentary vote engineered by the military. Parties allied to Thaksin have won the past three general elections by landslides and would be heavily favoured to win the next one as well.

The red shirt protesters have a 22-member leadership council and don’t always speak in one voice. They are split between moderates who favour ending the protest, and hardliners who want to press on. Some of the leaders face terrorism charges punishable up to death, and so perhaps feel little incentive to peacefully end the protests.

WHAT ARE THE PROSPECTS OF A POLITICAL DEAL NOW?

The latest bout of violence has hardened positions on both sides, making any political deal extremely difficult. Abhisit withdrew his offer of a Nov. 14 election, under a five-point reconciliation plan, and says he will offer no more olive branches after the red shirts refused to end their protest.

The red shirts had agreed to Abhisit’s plan, but then insisted that Deputy Prime minister Suthep Thaugsuban, who is in charge of security, be prosecuted.

Abhisit said the deal was non-negotiable and ordered the red shirts to leave. They have refused and his government says it will scrap the polls — which were due to take place more than a year early — but proceed with the reconciliation plan without the red shirts on board. Officially, talks between the government and the protesters have ended. But government and red shirt sources say back channel talks continue with moderate protest leaders.

HOW WILL THE CRISIS IMPACT MARKETS AND THE ECONOMY?

The crisis has scared off investors, decimated the tourism industry and has begun to hit the wider economy.

The occupation of Bangkok’s ritziest shopping area by protesters has forced hotels, malls and offices to close doors and cut jobs. The tourism sector makes up 6 percent of the economy, but employs 15 percent of the national workforce. So loss of tourism has a knock-on effect on economic activity.

The cost of insuring Thai debt (five-year credit default swaps) jumped the most in 15 months and Thai bond yields fell to a nine-month low on Friday as the violence propelled investors to the safety of government debt.

Foreign investors have turned negative since violence flared in April and have sold $584 million in Thai shares this month. Thai stocks are now among the cheapest in Asia with shares trading at 10.5 times 2010 earnings.

Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said on Wednesday the protests could cut 0.3 percentage point off his 4.5-5.0 percent growth forecast. Kasikorn Research Centre said growth could be cut by as much as 2 points if there were more clashes.

Consumer confidence fell in February and March, after hitting a 21-month high in January, due to political turmoil, sinking to its lowest since July 2009, with sentiment eroded by political unrest and the possibility of a crackdown.

(Editing by Jason Szep)

UK’s Lib Dems dismiss Conservative’s vote warning

Britain’s Liberal Democrats’ leader criticised what he called “ludicrous” warnings by Conservatives on Thursday of market turmoil if a May 6 election returns a hung parliament, with no party having a majority.

Support for the Liberal Democrats has jumped 10 points since their leader Nick Clegg outshone his better-known rivals — Prime Minister Gordon Brown and the Conservative David Cameron — in the first live televised debate last week.

The surge in support for Britain’s perennial third party has raised the chances of a coalition government and left both Labour and the Conservatives grappling for ways to counter the “Clegg effect” ahead of the second live TV debate on Thursday.

Writing in the Guardian, Clegg took issue with Conservative warnings that an inconclusive election result would damage Britain’s recovery and force the country to seek help from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

“Ludicrous threats are being made by David Cameron and his team about market and political turmoil if people don’t vote Conservative,” he wrote.

“It won’t work because people don’t want to be told to fall into line by Cameron. People have sensed that there is a greater choice, greater freedom, this time they won’t be bullied back into the politics of the past.”

Brown attempted to find common ground with the Liberal Democrats on political reform on Wednesday, but his attempts were sharply rebuffed by Clegg, who said Brown’s moves smacked of desperation.

(Reporting by Caroline Copley; Editing by Michael Roddy)

Thai political turmoil may hurt credit ratings-BOT

BANGKOK, April 12 (Reuters) – Thailand’s political turmoil may put its sovereign credit ratings at risk if it is extended and there is no sign of an early solution, Bank of Thailand Governor Tarisa Watanagase said on Monday.

Asked if Thai credit ratings faced the possibility of being downgraded, Tarisa told reporters: “Yes, there is a risk and if that happens, it will affect borrowing costs in the private sector.” (Reporting by Boontiwa Wichakul; Writing by Vithoon Amorn; Editing by Alan Raybould)

Thai political turmoil may hurt credit ratings-BOT

BANGKOK, April 12 (Reuters) – Thailand’s political turmoil may put its sovereign credit ratings at risk if it is extended and there is no sign of an early solution, Bank of Thailand Governor Tarisa Watanagase said on Monday.

Asked if Thai credit ratings faced the possibility of being downgraded, Tarisa told reporters: “Yes, there is a risk and if that happens, it will affect borrowing costs in the private sector.” (Reporting by Boontiwa Wichakul; Writing by Vithoon Amorn; Editing by Alan Raybould)

Thai PM declares state of emergency

Thailand’s embattled premier declared a state of emergency in Bangkok after protesters stormed parliament in a dramatic escalation of their bid to topple the government.

MPs fled and several senior government figures were airlifted by military helicopter after red-shirted supporters of ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra forced their way into the country’s parliamentary compound.

In an effort to contain the crisis, prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva invoked emergency rule, which bans public gatherings of more than five people and gives broad powers to the police and military.

“The state of emergency aims to resolve the situation and bring a return to normal,” Mr Abhisit told a nationally televised press conference.

He said the mass rallies were unconstitutional and had tarnished the country’s image, eroding investor confidence.

It is the fourth time since 2008 that emergency law has been declared in the capital because of political turmoil.

Mr Abhisit left a cabinet meeting at parliament when he learnt that the Reds were approaching, moving to a military barracks in the city’s northern outskirts, where he has mostly been based since the protests began mid-March.

Tens of thousands of anti-government protesters have refused to leave Bangkok’s main commercial district, where they have been since Saturday, disrupting traffic and causing major shopping centres to shut.

The red-clad movement remained defiant, vowing to keep up their action.

“I gamble my life with this dictator government,” said Reds leader Jatuporn Prompan.

The Reds, mostly from Thailand’s rural poor and working class, say the government is illegitimate because it came to power with army backing through a parliamentary vote in December 2008 after a court ousted Thaksin’s allies.

Mr Abhisit cancelled a planned trip to the United States for a nuclear security summit next week due to the unrest.

The Reds have been emboldened after the police and army backed down on Tuesday following a tense standoff in the capital’s tourist heartland.

The authorities have threatened the protesters with a year in jail, but so far no arrests have been made. Security forces have refrained from using force to disperse the tens of thousands of protesters, who have been roaming the capital.

The government said it would act if needed to end the protests, but reiterated that it wanted a peaceful resolution to the standoff.

The followers of Thaksin – a billionaire telecoms tycoon who lives abroad to avoid a jail term for corruption – fervently support the populist policies he introduced before his ouster in a 2006 coup.

Thaksin sought to rally his supporters on Wednesday in a brief message through the micro-blogging service Twitter, praising their “courage, patience and unity.”

On Tuesday, protesters threw plastic bottles, pushed against police barricades and later took over the streets of central Bangkok on motorcycles and in pick-up trucks, pouring into the capital’s financial district.

The military has mounted a heavy security response, deploying 50,000 personnel at one point to try to contain the protests, which drew as many as 100,000 people on the first day on March 14.

But the government wants to avoid a repeat of last April’s clashes with Red Shirts that left two people dead, six months after riot police took on the rival Yellow Shirts in bloody scenes outside parliament.

In the latest unexplained blast since the rallies began, police said a grenade exploded shortly after midnight next to a supermarket in Bangkok, injuring one man.

Karzai unlikely to claim Afghan election victory soon

Washington, Sep.17 (ANI): With accusations of vote fraud piling up around Afghanistan’s presidential election, incumbent Hamid Karzai is unlikely to claim victory any time soon.

At the very least, a national electoral complaints commission investigating fraudulent voting will take weeks to determine how much of Karzai’s officially declared 54.6 percent of the vote will be tossed out, reports the Christian Science Monitor.

At the other extreme, a potential need for a runoff vote could end up stretching Afghanistan’s political turmoil into next spring – presenting President Obama and other NATO leaders with an unsettled and deteriorating climate just as crucial policy decisions are under review.

Marvin Weinbaum, a former State Department intelligence specialist in Asian affairs now at the Middle East Institute in Washington, said:. “We face a possible constitutional crisis that, if not resolved, becomes a disaster for us, and a partner [Karzai] acting in ways that in effect raise questions as to whether he should be in there or not.”

Aside from a runoff vote, which could be declared if investigations show Karzai’s total falling below 50 percent, some parties are calling for a coalition government, while others support the idea of a nonpolitical transitional government.

That debate has crystallized in a row between foreign officials over the best way to address Afghanistan’s political predicament. Peter Galbraith, a senior US official working in Kabul as the deputy special UN representative for Afghanistan, abruptly left the country after clashing with his boss, Kai Eide, over what path forward to advocate.

Galbraith favors a larger recount of votes, even if it leads to a runoff between Karzai and his main political rival, Abdullah Abdullah, and an extended period of political uncertainty. (ANI)

Zardari drops bombshell, admits Pak ‘created militancy for short term tactical gains’

Islamabad, July 8 (ANI): Pakistan now seems to be feeling the heat of the fire it had lighted years ago, with President Asif Ali Zardari admitting that the menace of extremism and militancy were created by Islamabad itself to attain some tactical goals.

Addressing a gathering of retired federal secretaries and senior bureaucrats here, Zardari asked the officials to admit the reality.

“Let us be truthful to ourselves and make a candid admission of the realities. Militancy and extremism emerged on the national scene and challenged the state not because the civil bureaucracy was weakened and demoralised, but because they were deliberately created and nurtured as a policy to achieve some short-term tactical objectives,” The Daily Times quoted Zardari, as saying.

Referring to the political turmoil in the country, Zardari said Pakistan cannot afford political brick batting at present, as the state is on the verge of collapse due to the impending threat from the Taliban and other terror organizations.

“We intend to keep all the political forces together in a harmonious relationship as we cannot afford political games and confrontational politics. We are at the brink and we must realize that political games for personal gain can no longer be played,” he said.

Zardari also stressed on the need of dispersing power to different hands for effective governance.

“Too much power, when concentrated in one hand lasts only for a short time. For power to be effectively used for long-lasting public good it must be diffused and dispersed as widely as possible,” he added. (ANI)

Door hardware industry in Aligarh suffers due to unrest in Nepal

Aligarh, May 21(ANI): The political turmoil in Nepal has led to a decline in the exports of door hardware products like locks and door fittings from Aligarh to Nepal.

There are 25 units in Aligarh that are involved in the manufacturing of door hardware products. The industry association in Aligarh says that political unrest in Nepal has severely reduced their business.

“The business of 25 businessmen under the aegis of Aligarh Nepal Export Association has reduced to 25 per cent. Earlier, we were doing a business of around 150-200 million but that has now reduced to 30-40 million,” said Raj Kumar, Deputy Chairman, Nepal Aligarh Export Association.

Exporters fear that if the situation continues like that, they may need to shut their units.

“There is an overstock of goods. Our orders for the last one and half months are ready but the parties in Nepal have refused to accept orders and our production has also reduced to half. We have to shut down our work if in future the situation doesn’t improve. Now, we work four five days a week and even in these days, there is no overtime work,” said Komal Katara, owner of a business unit manufacturing door hardware product.

Workers in these units are facing a tough time due to decline in exports.

Nepal plunged into turmoil after Maoists groups protested over the reinstatement of Army chief General Rookmangud Katwal by the Nepalese President. By Devendra Varshney (ANI)

Kenyan man sues activists over sex boycott ‘anguish’

London, May 9 (ANI): A Kenyan man has filed a suit against the activists who organised a boycott on sexual intercourse, claiming that he suffered “anxiety and sleepless nights” during the politically motivated ban.

James Kimondo is seeking damages for the agony he suffered while his wife deprived him from sex.

Women’s groups had called the ban in a bid to force political leaders to put their rivalries aside to work for the common good.

Kimondo has lodged his petition for damages in the Nairobi High Court.

“Since the women called for the sex boycott, my wife has denied me my conjugal rights. This has caused me anxiety and sleepless nights,” The Telegraph quoted him as saying.

He added: “I have been suffering mental anguish, stress, back aches, lack of concentration.”
The strike ended on Wednesday with the organisers claiming it to be a success.

The leaders of the G10, a coalition of women’s groups, argued that the country’s male leaders should not have time for matters of the flesh when the country is ensnared in economic and political turmoil. (ANI)

India beefs up security along Nepal border

Sonoli Border (UP), May 5 (ANI): In wake of the political turmoil in Nepal, India has beefed up security along its border with Nepal in Uttar Pradesh.

Security personnel of paramilitary Sashastra Seema Bal (SSB), are monitoring the movements along the Sonoli border in the state.

The intelligence wing has been alerted to prevent any attempt of infiltration in India by Madheshi community fleeing the Himalayan nation.

Nepal’s Prime Minister Prachanda resigned on Monday after a crisis sparked by his sacking of the country’s army chief, plunging the Himalayan republic into a political turmoil.

The one-year-old Maoist-led government had fired General Rookmangud Katawal on Sunday, accusing him of disobeying instructions not to hire new recruits and refusing to accept the supremacy of the civilian government.

The crisis is a huge blow to a 2006 peace pact that ended a decade-long civil war that pitted the army against the Maoists.

The peace agreement ushered the Maoists into the political mainstream and they won an election last year.

Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh share a 275-kilometer long border area with Nepal.

Landlocked Nepal is ringed by India on three sides and by the Himalayas in the north.
The border area has always been vulnerable for elements engaged in antinational activities. (ANI)

CPI (M) urges Nepal to find a democratic solution

Kolkata, May. 4 (ANI): The Communist Party of India (Marxist) has urged Nepal to find a democratic solution of the current political turmoil.

“We do not want to interfere in their internal affairs. We should not and do not. India as a country should…it has not so far and it should not but let them sit together and have a solution within democratic framework,” CPI (M) leader Sitaram Yechury said.

A political crisis emerged in Nepal on Monday after Prime Minister Prachanda announced his resignation.

Prachanda’s resignation follows his efforts to sack the army chief which was opposed by the president of the country.arlier, UML, a key ally of Nepal’s ruling Maoists protested against government’s decision to sack the army chief, and withdrew its support.

Nepal Government sacked Rookmangud Katawal, accusing him of disobeying instructions not to hire new recruits and refusing to accept the supremacy of the civilian government over the army.

Opposition parties claim that the former rebels, who joined the political mainstream under a 2006 peace deal, want to control the armed forces. Government allies say they are angry because the decision was taken unilaterally.

The UML’s withdrawal of support leaves the Maoists with a slender majority in a 601-member parliament.

The developments have plunged the impoverished Himalayan nation into crisis, as the withdrawal of any more allies would leave the Maoist-led government in a minority and force a parliamentary vote.

Nepal does not have a history of military coups, but the move could wreck a 2006 peace pact that ended a decade-long civil war that pitted the army against the Maoists. (ANI)

Nepal faces political turmoil over decision to sack Army Chief

Kathmandu, May 4 (ANI): Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal will address the nation today about the ongoing political developments in the country.

Later, a cabinet meeting has been scheduled.

In another development, President Ram Baran Yadav has sent a letter to Chief of Army Staff (CoAS) General Rookmangad Katawal asking him to continue in his position.
A copy of the letter was also sent to Dahal. However, he reportedly refused to accept the letter.

Following the President’s intervention, Dahal met Attorney General Raghab Lal Vaidhya and the Law Secretary this morning.

Finance Minister Dr Babu Ram Bhattarai, Defense Minister Ram Bahadur Thapa, secretariat member Barsha Man Pun are also holding a meeting to discuss the party’s strategy.
Dahal and other Maoist leaders have said the President’s letter to the army headquarters asking Katawal to continue in his position is unconstitutional,nepalnews reports. (ANI)

CORRECTED – WRAPUP 5-Thailand focus on economy, Thaksin appeals to king

Corrects spelling of king’s name to Bhumibol from Bumibol in paragraph 2)

* Thailand may expand stimulus package, boost borrowing

* Thaksin appeals to king to help end the political turmoil

* Cabinet meets Friday to discuss budget, package

* Emergency remains; troops guard area around PM’s office

(Adds new Thaksin comments)

By Bill Tarrant

BANGKOK, April 15 (Reuters) – Thailand’s government turned its attention to new measures to revive the economy on Wednesday, a day after the end of violent protests that further dented confidence in a country heading into recession.

Former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, the protesters’ figurehead, urged King Bhumibol Adulyadej — seen by many Thais as semi-divine — to help end the political turmoil.

“He is the only person that can intervene in this incident, otherwise the violence will become wider and also the confrontation would be more and more,” Thaksin, ousted in a 2006 coup and living in exile, told the broadcaster France 24.

Thailand kept a state of emergency in the capital Bangkok for a fourth day and security forces kept tight guard around Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s office, epicentre of protests by Thaksin’s “red-shirt” supporters.

An end to the latest political chaos in the kingdom allowed the government breathing space to focus on fixing the economy.

Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said Thailand may have to borrow more to finance additional stimulus measures to compensate for any economic losses from the political turmoil.

“With tourism expected to suffer more losses, and private investment likely to fall after what happened this week, the impact would likely be reflected in more tax revenue shortfalls and increased fiscal deficits,” Korn told Reuters.

“We will have to review our public sector borrowing plans. With the problems this week, fiscal stimulus will probably need to play a bigger role to boost the economy,” he said.

The Thai cabinet will meet on Friday to discuss the budget and the stimulus package, government spokesman Panitan Wattanayagorn told Reuters on Wednesday. He declined to say where it would meet due to security concerns.

A nearly three-week siege of Government House, where Abhisit’s administration has offices, ended without bloodshed on Tuesday when Thaksin supporters decided to surrender with hundreds of troops and riot police surrounding them.

Two people were killed in skirmishes between “red shirt” protesters and local residents, the authorities said, while at least 123 were injured in clashes between soldiers and protesters trying to blockade a major road junction on Monday.

POLITICAL BATTLE LINES

In broad terms, Thailand’s crisis is a battle between the “yellow shirts” — royalists, the military and urban Thais who back Abhisit — and the “red shirt” supporters of Thaksin whose power base was mainly drawn from the millions of rural poor.

Thaksin lives in self-imposed exile to avoid a two-year jail term on a corruption conviction. His whereabouts are not known.

Financial markets were closed for the three-day Thai New Year holiday, but will reopen on Thursday. Shares and the baht were expected to come under selling pressure.

“Selling pressure will come from foreign funds constrained by their policy of not investing in countries where there is a state of emergency in place,” said Tisco Securities strategist Viwat Techapoonphol.

An expanded stimulus package could boost employment and purchasing power in the countryside, where Thaksin has long been popular, but few believe Thailand is heading for a period of prolonged stability.

“The whole vicious cycle seems set to continue,” said Danny Richards, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

The “red shirts” consider Abhisit’s goverment illegitimate because he came to office in December via parliamentary defections they say the army engineered.

They have vowed to resume their campaign to force new elections, which they would be well placed to win. Abhisit has ruled out elections until law and order is restored.

Thai courts have issued arrest warrants for Thaksin and 13 leaders of the United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD) for violating state of emergency regulations. At least three were already in custody.

The Foreign Ministry revoked Thaksin’s passport, saying he helped instigate the unrest that caused an Asian summit to be cancelled last weekend. (Additional reporting by Apornrath Phoonphongphiphat in Bangkok, Andrew Marshall in Singapore and Umesh Desai in Hong Kong; Writing by Ralph Gowling; Editing by Ralph Boulton)