Nikkei breaks key support to hit 7-mth low

TOKYO, July 1 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average dropped more than 2 percent below a key support to a seven-month trough on Thursday, with market players citing a rise in risk avoidance underscored by falls on Wall Street, a higher yen and slower China manufacturing growth.

Market players said the Nikkei’s next target is just above 9,000, a low tested in November and July 2009, after the index broke 9,200, near the 50 percent retracement from the Nikkei’s March 2009 low to its high in April.

Charts were mixed, with the Nikkei’s MACD continuing to slide after a bearish cross, though its slow stochastic was flattening in oversold territory.

A better-than-expected survey of domestic corporate sentiment, the Bank of Japan’s tankan, initially helped limit declines but this effect faded after data for China’s purchasing managers’ index, which fell to 52.1 in June from 53.9 in May.

“The market appears to have more room to fall even though some technical indicators are overstretched,” said Yutaka Miura, a senior technical analyst at Mizuho Securities.

“It’s hard to think the Japanese stock market will be able reverse course and start climbing on its own. There needs to be a halt to the advance in the yen and the falls in U.S. stocks. Worries about a slowdown in the economy and strengthening in the yen is working against exporters.”

The benchmark Nikkei .N225 shed 2.3 percent to 9,170.12, after falling 15.4 percent on the quarter to June 30, its worst quarterly performance since the fourth quarter of 2008, just after Lehman Brothers failed.

The broader Topix fell 1.8 percent to 826.21.

Japanese manufacturers turned optimistic about business conditions for the first time in two years, the Bank of Japan tankan survey showed, as solid exports to Asia supported the country’s economic recovery. [ID:nTOE660003]

On the technical front, the Nikkei remains under pressure after its 50-day moving average fell through its 200-day moving average, a formation known as a “death cross” that often signals further falls.

But its relative strength index (RSI) came in at just above 30, falling closer to oversold territory from that level on down.

There are a large number of options on Nikkei futures at 9,200 and then 8,500, with one market player describing the situation as “gamma short,” meaning that traders need to follow market moves in order to hedge their books and leading to selling in a falling market.

“This is a situation where selling invites selling,” said Hideki Horikawa, senior adviser at Himawari Securities.

EXPORTERS AT MULTI-MONTH LOWS

Shares of exporters slid, with Sony Corp (6758.T) and other high-tech stocks hitting multi-month lows, on worries about a stronger yen and after U.S. stocks booked the worst quarter since the market meltdown triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Major Wall Street indexes all closed down more than 1 percent. [.N]

In Asia trade, the dollar JPY= hit a two-month low around 88 yen on EBS.

Many Japanese exporters have set their currency assumption rates for dollar/yen at around 90-95 yen for the year to March, and investors fret about a stronger yen as it eats into exporters’ profits when repatriated.

Sony dropped 3.9 percent to 2,290 yen, after falling as low as 2,288 yen, its lowest in seven months.

Separately, Sony said on Wednesday about 535,000 units of its “Vaio” brand personal computers globally may be in danger of overheating and that it has provided software on its website to eliminate the problem. [ID:nN30235272]

Kyocera Corp (6971.T) also fell more than 3 percent to hit a seven-month low, while Advantest Corp (6857.T) slipped more than 4 percent its lowest in nearly a year.

Honda Motor Co (7267.T) fell more than 3 percent to hit its lowest in about a year after Citigroup Global Markets Japan lowered its rating to “hold/medium Risk” from “buy/medium risk” and cut the target price to 2,720 yen from 4,170 yen.

Shares of Honda, Japan’s second-biggest automaker, were down 2.9 percent at 2,522 yen after falling as low as 2,506 yen.

But Bridgestone Corp (5108.T) rose 1.9 percent to 1,441 yen after Goldman Sachs hiked its rating on the tyre maker to “neutral”, citing higher-than-expected growth in tyre production.

Sumitomo Rubber (5110.T), whose rating was hiked to “neutral” as well, jumped 3.9 percent to 819 yen. (Editing by Edwina Gibbs)

Nikkei down 1.3 pct as yen gains, charts darken

TOKYO, June 29 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 1.3 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

Charts turned ugly as well, with the Nikkei’s MACD poised for a bearish cross and its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, edging down in oversold territory.

Trade was thin after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, and market players said it was likely to stay that way as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

Though the Nikkei edged up in morning trade, it reversed course from the start of the afternoon as the yen advanced across the board, with Japanese exporters repatriating profits before the second quarter ends later this week. [FRX/]

“It doesn’t seem to be a true risk aversion scenario since the euro isn’t falling as dramatically, what we’re seeing is a general rise in the yen,” said Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist with Mitsubishi UFJ Securities.

The dollar fell 0.7 percent to 88.79 yen JPY=, its lowest in six weeks, while the euro lost 0.9 percent to 108.72. EURJPY=R.

The Nikkei .N225 shed 123.27 points to 9,570.67, with the broader Topix slipping 1.0 percent to 852.19.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares .SSEC were down 3.9 percent as investors pulled funds from the market to prepare for a major IPO by Agricultural bank of China [ABC.UL]. [ID:nTOE65S03O]

The benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries push investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

For the quarter ending on Wednesday it has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Tuesday’s slide was worsened by the presence of a gap between 9,645 and 9,542 that opened at the start of a brief rebound that began on June 11, Yamagishi said, adding that he thought support would hold at 9,542 for now.

The next support level is 9,400, around the level of a six-month low struck on June 10. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Graphic on markets: link.reuters.com/med74m ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

EXPORTERS HIT

Shares of exporters fell, hurt by a stronger yen as it eats into exporters’ profits when they are repatriated.

Canon Inc (7751.T) slid 2.7 percent to 3,395 yen and Tokyo Electron Ltd (8035.T) shed 1.6 percent to 5,010 yen. Honda Motor Co (7267.T) declined 1.3 percent to 2,647 yen.

Trading houses slid as metals prices fell, with London copper sliding more than 1.5 percent as concerns about economic recovery continued to weigh on the market. [ID:nTOE65S00V]

Mitsui & Co (8031.T) shed 3.2 percent to 1,075 yen, Itochu Corp (8001.T) lost 1.9 percent to 721 yen, and Marubeni Corp (8002.T) fell 1.7 percent to 466 yen.

Trade was thin with 1.7 billion shares changing hands on the Tokyo exchange’s first section, while declining shares outpaced advancing ones by nearly 3 to 1. (Additional reporting by Aiko Hayashi; Editing by Michael Watson)

RPT-GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares slip; debt puts euro on defensive

SINGAPORE, June 29 (Reuters) – Asian stocks fell on Tuesday and were on course for their worst quarterly performance since the end of 2008, while funding concerns in the euro zone sent the single currency tumbling to a record low against the Swiss franc.

The tepid nature of the rich world’s recovery from global recession kept investors on the defensive, with a general flight to relative safe havens prompting a rebound for gold and falls in U.S. and Japanese government debt yields to multi-month lows.

European shares were also expected to fall, with financial bookmakers forecasting the benchmark indexes in Britain, France and Germany to open down 0.8-1.2 percent. Eurostoxx 50 Futures STXEc1 slid 1.7 percent. [.L]

Chinese stocks .SSEC fell 4 percent to a 14-month low, as investors started pulling funds from the market to prepare for a major initial public offering by Agricultural Bank of China, pointing to tight liquidity in China’s markets. [.SS]

“The market is still facing financing pressures and we are still worried about the domestic economy,” said Zheng Weigang, an analyst at Shanghai Securities.

Tokyo’s Nikkei .N225 fell 1.3 percent to a three-week closing low and MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.6 percent.

The Nikkei has fallen around 14 percent in the second quarter and the MSCI AP ex-Japan is down roughly 8 percent, putting both on track for their worst quarterly performance since the meltdown in the final months of 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

World stock markets rebounded strongly in 2009, but investors are now fretting about the uncertainty of the outlook as governments — many facing ballooning debt burdens — start to turn off the stimulus that supported the fledgling recovery.

EURO WOES

The euro fell around 1 percent against the yen EURJPY=R, dragged down by losses against the Swiss franc. It fell 0.2 percent on the day to touch 1.3323 francs EURCHF= on trading platform EBS, the weakest since its launch in 1999.

The pair has now lost 4 percent since June 17, when the Swiss central bank backed off from a pledge to fight excessive appreciation in the franc.

Traders in Asia said investors were wary of growth-linked currencies and the euro amid festering problems in the euro zone, where funding pressures re-emerged with interbank lending rates hitting their highest in almost seven months on Monday.

Banks must repay 442 billion euros ($545.5 billion) to the European Central Bank on Thursday, leaving a potential liquidity shortfall in the financial system of more than 100 billion euros. [ID:nLDE65R0LE]

The premium investors demand to hold 10-year Italian, French and Spanish government bonds, rather than euro zone benchmark German Bunds, all widened.

“Renewed debt stress stories…have weighed a bit on the euro and led to renewed safe-haven parking in the yen and Swiss franc,” said dealer at a Swiss bank.

“Investors’ sentiment towards peripheral Europe remains cautious and fragile to say the least.”

The search for safer assets pushed the U.S. benchmark 10-year yield US10YT=RR to its lowest since April 2009, while the benchmark Japanese Government Bond 10-year yield JP10YTN=JBTC fell to a seven-year low. [JP/] [US/T]

Concerns about Europe’s debt burden contributed to a rebound for gold XAU=, with spot prices for the safe-haven metal rising more than $3 to $1,239.20 an ounce. [GOL/]

“Gold is likely to remain pretty well supported in the current quarter. Safe-haven demand for gold remains prominent,” said David Moore, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.

The euro’s weakness — and consequent relative dollar strength — also contributed to falling in oil prices, making dollar-denominated crude more expensive for buyers in Europe and Asia.

Oil CLc1 fell nearly 1 percent to $77.53 a barrel, as forecasts indicated Tropical Storm Alex was likely to skirt the main production region in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. [O/R]

“Markets are concerned that European banks are pressed to pay 442 billion euros. If these worries sustain and the euro falls, a stronger dollar would pressure oil prices down,” said Serene Lim, a Singapore-based oil analyst at ANZ Bank. (To read Reuters Global Investing Blog click here; for the MacroScope Blog click on blogs.reuters.com/macroscope; for Hedge Fund Blog Hub click on blogs.reuters.com/hedgehub)

Nikkei falls to 3-week low as yen climbs

June 29 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped to a three-week closing low on Tuesday as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

Stocks | Financials

Canon Inc (7751.T) shed 2.7 percent to 3,395 yen, Tokyo Electron (8035.T) lost 1.6 percent to 5,010 yen and Honda Motor Corp (7267.T) fell 1.3 percent to 2,647 yen.

The benchmark Nikkei .N225 shed 1.3 percent to 9,570.67, its lowest close since June 10. The broader Topix lost 1 percent to 852.19.

Nikkei turns negative as yen advances

(Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

Nikkei turns negative as yen advances

TOKYO, June 29 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen JPY= and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 EURJPY=R as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares .SSEC fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei .N225 shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc (7751.T) lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co (7267.T) fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron (8035.T) shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

Nikkei turns negative as yen advances

(Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

CLEVELAND & LOS ALTOS, Kalifornien, USA–(Business Wire)–

TOKYO, June 29 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen JPY= and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 EURJPY=R as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares .SSEC fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei .N225 shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc (7751.T) lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co (7267.T) fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron (8035.T) shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

Factbox: Highlights of U.S. financial regulation reform bill

It must now win approval in each chamber before it can go to President Barack Obama to be signed into law.

Here is a brief look at the bill’s main provisions:

SWAPS PUSH-OUT: Wall Street firms that dominate the $615-trillion over-the-counter derivatives market would have to spin off dealing operations in some swaps, but could keep many swaps in-house, including derivatives to hedge their own risk.

Much OTC derivatives trading would be redirected through more accountable channels such as exchanges and clearinghouses. Many OTC contracts end-users could carry on as before.

VOLCKER RULE: A new rule would bar proprietary trading by banks for their own accounts unrelated to customers; limit the growth of the biggest banks; and curb banks’ involvement in private equity and hedge funds, except for small investments allowed by a loophole added to the rule late in debate.

Some big banks’ profits would be pinched by both the Volcker rule and the Lincoln swaps plan, with a few Wall Street giants potentially facing structural changes.

WALL ST ‘DEATH PANEL’: Aiming to prevent massive bailouts like AIG’s and disastrous bankruptcies like Lehman Brothers’, the bill calls for a new government “orderly liquidation” process for financial firms on the verge of collapse.

Authorities could seize and liquidate them, with costs covered by sales of assets and fees on other firms if needed.

CONSUMER WATCHDOG: Protection of financial consumers would be enhanced by increased government regulation.

The bill would set up a new bureau in the Federal Reserve to regulate mortgages and credit cards. The watchdog has sharp teeth, but couldn’t bite car dealers, who won an exemption.

THE BIG PICTURE: A new council of federal regulators would try to monitor the entire financial forest, not just the trees. High-risk firms could be singled out for stricter policing.

BEHIND THE HEDGE: Private equity and hedge funds would have to register with regulators and open their books to scrutiny. Not so for venture capital funds, which would be exempt.

INSURANCE COPS: The first federal monitor for state-policed insurers would be formed. It’s not federal regulation — yet.

BANK CUSHIONS: Banks would have to set aside more capital to ride out tough times, but will get several years to comply.

FED SCRUTINY: The Fed’s emergency lending during the crisis would be reviewed, but not its decisions on interest rates.

DEBIT CARDS: Fees charged on debit card transactions would be reduced — a victory for retailers over the banks.

(Reporting by Kevin Drawbaugh, Rachelle Younglai, Kim Dixon, Andy Sullivan, Roberta Rampton and Charles Abbott, editing by Anthony Boadle)

LaSalle hires Nomura real estate banker as Asia CIO

June 24 (Reuters) – U.S. real estate firm LaSalle Investment Management said it HAS hired Mark Gabbay as chief investment officer for Asia Pacific.

Stocks | Financials

Before joining LaSalle, Gabbay was in Asia for more than 12 years, most recently at Nomura Holdings (8604.T). Before that he worked for Lehman Brothers as managing director and co-head of real estate for Asia Pacific.

LaSalle, a unit of property services firm Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL.N), has $38.3 billion in assets under management. (Reporting by Maggie Lu Yueyang; Editing by Chris Lewis)

U.S. commercial real estate gains strength

(Reuters) – The collapse of the U.S. commercial real estate bubble will not be as crushing as many had anticipated, a top executive for real estate services company Jones Lang LaSalle Inc (JLL.N) said on Monday at the Reuters Global Real Estate and Infrastructure Summit in New York.

After investment firm Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008, real estate investors worried there would be a widespread sell-off of debt-laden commercial properties.

While the values of office buildings and other commercial properties have fallen, the anticipated flood of foreclosures and bankruptcies has not occurred — and probably will not, said James Koster, president of Jones Lang LaSalle’s capital markets group.

“We should be in a relatively good position to not have this other shoe drop,” said Koster.

U.S. regulators have allowed banks to extend, restructure and modify loans. That has given the real estate markets a chance to regroup and for values to rise above their rock-bottom levels.

For properties whose mortgages have been securitized, delinquency rates have soared. The percentage of borrowers whose loans have been securitized into commercial mortgage-backed securitized (CMBS) and who are 30 days late with payments reached 8.42 percent in May, according to Trepp, which tracks CMBS performance.

Still, special servicers, who oversee these troubled loans, are not selling the properties at fire sale prices. Instead they are holding them and collecting fees for managing them, Koster said.

Meanwhile, institutional investors and real estate investment trusts (REITs) have money waiting for good but debt-laden real estate to hit the market. When those properties do, they will be priced higher than they would have two years ago, he said.

“There is fresh capital coming in,” he said. “It’s a better market now.”

(Reporting by Chelsea Emery and Ilaina Jonas, additional reporting by Tom Hals; Editing by Matthew Lewis, Phil Berlowitz)

Debt crisis resembles 2007 subprime crisis -BIS

June 13 (Reuters) – The debt crisis hitting southern Europe resembles the 2007 subprime crisis more than the financial crisis following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, a report by the Bank for International Settlements said on Sunday.

In its quarterly review, the bank also said investors were concentrating on signs of stress in the financial system and neglecting positive economic data.

“The Greek downgrade on April 27 and the subsequent market reaction may have more in common with the start of the subprime crisis in July 2007 than the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008,” BIS said.

“Rising Libor-OIS spreads and the dislocations in U.S. dollar funding markets recalled events in July-August 2007, when global interbank and money markets began showing clear signs of stress.”

Those spreads remain well below levels seen from August 2007 onwards despite a recent rise.

The report also said investor confidence fell sharply in the past three months amid concern about weaker growth and fiscal problems. Investors lowered their risk exposure and retreated to safe-haven assets.

Concerns about public debt in developed countries, as well as jitters about the state of the financial markets, policy tightening in some emerging markets and political risk, all led investors to question the robustness of global growth, BIS said.

As a result, expectations for monetary policy tightening in advanced economies were pushed back and inflation expectations remained well anchored.

“Against this background of heightened uncertainty, market participants focused on the deteriorating financial market conditions while often ignoring positive macroeconomic news,” BIS said.

In emerging markets, investors expected more restrictive policies, but uncertainty also increased.

“On the one hand, many of these economies are facing rapid economic growth, currency appreciation and the risk of overheating in asset and property markets,” the study said.

“On the other hand, the growth and inflation outlook has been complicated by the high volatility in commodity prices and the unpredictable effects on economic activity of the euro sovereign debt crisis.”

Euro zone sovereign credit default swaps moved dramatically, but little credit risk was reallocated through CDS markets, the study said.

“Even though outstanding gross volumes of sovereign CDS contracts are significant and have risen over the past year, the net amount of CDS contracts is only about one-tenth of the gross volumes,” BIS said.

“The net amount takes into account that many CDS contracts offset one another and therefore do not result in actual transfer of credit risk.” (Reporting by Sakari Suoninen; Editing by Susan Fenton)

Neuberger Berman, proudly private, seeks an IPO

(Reuters) – Even as Neuberger Berman celebrates its first year as a private and independent firm, the money manager’s executives are moving toward an initial public offering.

Deals

In May last year, Neuberger’s executives acquired a 51 percent stake of their company from bankrupt Lehman Brothers (LEHMQ.PK) and re-emerged as an employee-owned firm. Now as the Lehman bankruptcy approaches two years and business improves, Neuberger employees intend to increase their ownership in the fund manager and, in time, return to public markets.

“We’re on a base case to be a public company, most likely to monetize that stake through an IPO,” Neuberger Berman President Joseph Amato told Reuters. “At some point, the estate may look to monetize a portion or all its interest in Neuberger Berman.”

Amato, speaking on the sidelines of a press briefing, stressed there is no timeline and no pressure to pursue a transaction. He said an IPO would likely take place “a fair amount into the future.”

A Lehman Brothers spokeswoman said the estate “will evaluate various options and alternatives to monetize the investment in Neuberger Berman. While an IPO could be one of the several alternatives, there are no specific plans at this time for any particular path.”

HAPPY MARRIAGE FALLS APART

Neuberger Berman, a pioneering mutual fund manager founded by Roy Neuberger in 1939, was one of the country’s leading investment firms when it listed on the New York Stock Exchange in 1999. Four years later, it was acquired by Lehman for $2.6 billion and grew rapidly as the bank’s asset management arm.

That happy marriage fell apart in September 2008, when Lehman succumbed to the credit crisis and went bankrupt.

Neuberger Berman was among the bank’s most valuable and liquid assets. Creditors initially tried to sell the business to private investors, but Neuberger management prevailed with a deal to buy 51 percent of the firm for about $922 million.

After the sale, Lehman held 93 percent of Neuberger preferred equity and 49 percent of the common equity.

Lehman, in a recent regulatory filing, said its interests in Neuberger were now worth between $1 billion and $2 billion. The estate expects to recover value from its various assets over the next three to four years.

Neuberger’s employee stake crept to 52 percent in the past year, reflecting shares issued to new hires. On Tuesday, as Neuberger marked its first year of independence, Chairman and Chief Executive George Walker made it clear the firm’s 1,700 employees want even more.

“The firm is employee-controlled and will continue to be employee-controlled as long as we own more than 50 percent. If anything, we would like to find ways to increase our share,” Walker told reporters at a press briefing Tuesday.

Walker clarified that Neuberger has no “firm timetable.”

CONTROLLING ITS DESTINY

One thing for certain is that Neuberger’s business operations have stabilized and started to grow after a difficult launch.

Clients withdrew funds from numerous money managers during the panic of late 2008, but in particular they steered clear of a firm linked to Lehman. Clients continued to withdraw money in the first half of last year, but by the fourth quarter of last year, new money was outpacing withdrawals.

Amato said money flows in 2009 overall were negative.

Still, surging markets helped boost assets to $180 billion at the end of March from $155 billion last May, though Amato told Reuters that assets may be closer to $155 billion again following the recent market downturn.

Neuberger is again bringing in new clients and new assets, including $2.9 billion of first-quarter net in-flows. Client mandates across the firm add up to $7.9 billion of business in the past six months.

Since March, inflows remained “significant,” Amato told Reuters. “In the last three to four weeks, we are quite pleased. We’ve maintained nicely positive net flows, even through (Monday).”

Neuberger does not have complete control of its destiny, but it did secure various rights, including veto powers, as part of its separation agreement. Amato stressed that the Lehman estate has been a supportive partner.

Plans for Neuberger’s float are still highly preliminary, and the Lehman estate may sell its Neuberger interests in a number of different ways. In any case, Amato said Neuberger employees intend to own a controlling stake.

“Employees will always be the dominant holders and that’s important. Whether it’s 52 (percent) or 49 or 55, that will depend on lots of factors,” Amato said. “We have to look at clients in the eye and tell them we’re in charge, we’re in control of our destiny.”

(Reporting by Clare Baldwin and Joe Giannone; Additional reporting by Emily Chasan, editing by Matthew Lewis)

Ireland to bail out Anglo Irish again this year: PM

(Reuters) – Ireland expects to provide more capital to nationalized Anglo Irish Bank this year on top of the 4 billion euros ($4.86 billion) paid in 2009 and 10.3 billion so far this year, Prime Minister Brian Cowen said.

“The current estimate is that the overall capital requirement could be of the order of a further 8 billion euros,” Cowen told parliament on Wednesday. It wasn’t immediately clear if all of that sum would be provided this year.

Finance Minister Brian Lenihan, who gave Anglo 8.3 billion euros in March and another 2 billion on Monday this week, already said in March a further 10 billion could be required but did not give any timeframe.

Anglo Irish, which was nationalized last year after deposit and loan scandals and exposure to a property market crash, wants to be split into a “good” and a “bad” bank, but the option of a wind-down is also being considered in talks with the European Commission.

Cowen said an immediate liquidation of the bank, which some opposition parties are demanding, would mean a fire sale of assets and capital losses of at least 40 billion euros to the state.

If the bank was immediately wound up, the government would also need to provide 70 billion euros of cash to meet deposits, bondholders and liabilities to the European Central Bank, Cowen added.

“It’s a bank of systemic importance,” Cowen told deputies. “Even if it weren’t, let’s recall that Lehman Brothers is a much smaller bank in the U.S. system than this bank was in the Irish system and we know the consequences when that bank was let go to the wall.”

The capital injections into Anglo Irish last year gave Ireland the biggest budget deficit in the European Union compared with the size of its economy. The bailouts this year have been done by way of a promissory note, which means actual payments will be spread out over up to 15 years.

($1=.8231 Euro)

(Reporting by Andras Gergely; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

UPDATE 1-Ireland to bail out Anglo Irish again this year-PM

DUBLIN, June 2 (Reuters) – Ireland expects to provide more capital to nationalised Anglo Irish Bank [ANGIB.UL] this year on top of the 4 billion euros ($4.86 billion) paid in 2009 and 10.3 billion so far this year, Prime Minister Brian Cowen said.

“The current estimate is that the overall capital requirement could be of the order of a further 8 billion euros,” Cowen told parliament on Wednesday. It wasn’t immediately clear if all of that sum would be provided this year.

Finance Minister Brian Lenihan, who gave Anglo 8.3 billion euros in March and another 2 billion on Monday this week, already said in March a further 10 billion could be required but did not give any timeframe.

Anglo Irish, which was nationalised last year after deposit and loan scandals and exposure to a property market crash, wants to be split into a “good” and a “bad” bank, but the option of a wind-down is also being considered in talks with the European Commission.

Cowen said an immediate liquidation of the bank, which some opposition parties are demanding, would mean a fire sale of assets and capital losses of at least 40 billion euros to the state.

If the bank was immediately wound up, the government would also need to provide 70 billion euros of cash to meet deposits, bondholders and liabilities to the European Central Bank, Cowen added.

“It’s a bank of systemic importance,” Cowen told deputies. “Even if it weren’t, let’s recall that Lehman Brothers is a much smaller bank in the U.S. system than this bank was in the Irish system and we know the consequences when that bank was let go to the wall.”

The capital injections into Anglo Irish last year gave Ireland the biggest budget deficit in the European Union compared with the size of its economy. The bailouts this year have been done by way of a promissory note, which means actual payments will be spread out over up to 15 years. ($1=.8231 Euro) (Reporting by Andras Gergely; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

UPDATE 1-Euro zone factory PMI sinks, output growth slows

LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) – Manufacturing in the euro zone expanded in May, but at a far slower rate than April’s 46-month high as cost pressures and tighter margins drove firms to take their feet off the production accelerator, a survey showed on Tuesday.

The 16-nation bloc and its common currency have been hit by waves of investor insecurity churned up by the region’s debt crisis and fears that troubles in Greece may be spreading to other peripheral euro zone economies.

“There has been a slowdown in growth globally and in the euro zone there is subdued domestic demand due to the austerity measure implemented in some countries,” said Luigi Speranza at BNP Paribas.

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For a graphic see: r.reuters.com/quj57k

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The Markit Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May sank to 55.8 from 57.6 in April, nudged down from an earlier flash estimate of 55.9.

This is its eighth month above the 50.0 mark that divides growth from contraction, but markets were unmoved by the data.

Cost pressures were on the rise, with the price of factories’ raw materials forced up by the weaker euro.

The output index recorded its second fastest slide in the survey’s history — only surpassed in the aftermath of Lehman Brothers’ collapse — to stand well shy of April’s near 10-year high of 61.2 at 56.8. It inched up from a flash reading of 56.7.

“Importantly, however, the pace of growth remained robust, and the slowdown in May no doubt reflects a payback from April’s ultra-strong growth to some extent,” said Chris Williamson at data provider Markit.

In Germany, the bloc’s biggest economy, manufacturing activity slowed from the previous month’s survey’s record high. Neighbouring France, the second biggest, saw growth in its sector slow from April’s near 4-year high.

Spain and Italy also saw a dip in their main indexes. A separate survey on the UK showed manufacturing activity holding on to its strongest pace in 15 years.

Euro zone manufacturers were hit by rising input prices, with that index reaching its highest level since July 2008 at 73.7 last month, compared to 73.4 in April.

The euro has been battered in recent weeks, driving up costs of materials from outside the bloc, on fears that Greece’s debt problems will spread and in spite of a $1 trillion safety net set up by European policymakers earlier this month.

However, the output price index fell from last month, suggesting producers had more trouble passing on price rises to customers.

Flash data released on Monday showed prices in the bloc rose 1.6 percent in May, faster than the 1.5 percent seen in April.

Detailed PMI data are only available under licence from Markit and customers need to apply to Markit for a licence.

To subscribe to the full data, click on the link below: here

For further information, please phone Markit on +44 20 7260 2454 or email economics@markit.com

(Editing by Toby Chopra, John Stonestreet)

ECB warns of more bank loan losses

(Reuters) – The European Central Bank warned on Monday that euro zone banks face up to 195 billion euros in a “second wave” of potential loan losses over the next 18 months due to the financial crisis, and disclosed it had increased purchases of euro zone government bonds.

As the euro recouped losses but remained on the back foot after a cut in Spain’s credit rating and China warned that the global economy remained vulnerable to sovereign debt risks, Spain assured investors it would reform its rigid labor market even if employers and trade unions cannot agree.

The ECB said euro zone banks would need to make provisions for further losses this year of 90 billion euros, and 105 billion in 2011, on top of some 238 billion euros in bad debts written off by the end of 2009. That was the first time it has given an estimate for next year.

Although total write-downs from bad loans and securities between 2007 and the end of 2010 were likely to be lower than previously expected, the ECB said in its latest Financial Stability Report, write-downs this year and next year would be still larger if heightened sovereign debt risk and the impact of government belt-tightening dragged down economic growth.

The ECB began buying up mostly Greek, Portuguese and Spanish bonds on May 3 in a contentious move to calm debt markets and support an $1 trillion stabilization package for the euro agreed by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

The central bank said in a statement it had settled 35 billion euros in bond purchases by May 28, up from 26.5 billion a week earlier. It did not detail the nationality of the debt but ECB officials have said it is mostly from south European countries hardest hit by financial market turmoil.

The ECB acknowledged in its report that euro zone debt tensions may force it to delay a phasing-out of cheap lending operations designed to help banks through the financial crisis.

After Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008, the ECB began offering euro zone banks unlimited, flat-rate loans in a bid to revive inter-bank lending and keep credit flowing to the real economy.

ECB governing council member Axel Weber, president of Germany’s powerful Bundesbank, urged a tight cap on the bond buying program and said the extraordinary steps taken to ease the euro zone debt crisis posed a risk to price stability.

“The purchases of government bonds in the secondary market should not overshoot a tightly-capped limit,” Weber said in a speech prepared for delivery in Mainz, Germany. He did not suggest a figure.

Spain, the fourth-largest euro zone economy, saw its credit rating downgraded a notch by Fitch Ratings agency from the maximum AAA to AA+ late on Friday after a 15 billion euro austerity program squeaked through parliament by a single vote.

Market reaction to the downgrade was limited, partly because U.S. and British markets were closed for holidays on Monday.

The euro recouped losses incurred after the Spanish debt downgrade to trade at around $1.23 but remained on the back foot as the downgrade highlighted ongoing structural weaknesses in the euro zone. The 10-year Spanish-German bond spread widened only slightly but Spanish stocks fell 0.7 percent while the index of leading European shares gained 0.4 percent.

Labor Reform

Spanish Economy Minister Elena Salgado told a conference in Madrid that the government aimed to pass a much anticipated labor market reform by the end of June with or without consensus with the unions and business representatives.

The minority Socialist administration extended the deadline for an agreement by one week from Monday but officials have said the social partners are still far apart.

The left-leaning daily El Pais said the government planned to allow companies to make greater use of cheap work contracts for a broader range of employees, reducing redundancy payments and making it easier to fire workers.

Trade unions have threatened to strike if the government imposes the reform by royal decree, a move that would set the ruling Socialists on a collision course with their traditional allies in organized labor.

In a sign of continued international concern about the impact of Europe’s problems, China warned that Europe’s struggle to contain ballooning debt posed a risk to global economic growth, raising the specter of a double-dip recession.

Premier Wen Jiabao, addressing business leaders during an official visit to Japan, issued his warnings a day after France admitted it would struggle to keep its top credit rating.

“Some countries have experienced sovereign debt crises, for example Greece. Is this kind of phenomenon over? Now it seems that it’s not so simple,” Wen said. “The sovereign debt crisis in some European countries may drag down Europe’s economic recovery.

He added it was too early to wind down stimulus deployed during the 2007-2009 financial crisis.

Governments around the world ran up record debts during the $5 trillion effort to pull the economy out of its deepest slump since the Great Depression and now face a tough balancing act: how to reduce debt without choking off growth.

ECB Governing Council Member Mario Draghi warned that austerity programs by European governments could snuff out a fragile recovery unless they were coordinated internationally.

Economic sentiment in the euro zone fell in May, defying analysts expectations of a slight improvement, in part due to the wave of austerity announcements.

However, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said the economy may expand more than expected in the second quarter.

The fact that not just fiscally weak southern European countries, but also nations such as France and Germany at the euro zone’s core are under pressure to cut debt and deficits amassed during the financial crisis, is adding to concerns.

(Additional reporting by Sarah Morris in Madrid, Martin Santa and Sakari Suoninen in Vienna, Marc Jones in Frankfurt; Writing by Paul Taylor; Editing by Ron Askew and Susan Fenton)

Trader’s `b’ for `m’ error behind huge Dow Jones share plunge

New York, May 7 (ANI): A trade error is believed to have been behind the Dow Jones Industries average and shares in Procter and Gamble and Accenture dropping overnight.

Rumours swirled around the market that a trader had reportedly entered a “b” for billion instead of an “m” for million in a trade involving Procter and Gamble, CNBC reported, citing several sources.

Management consulting powerhouse Accenture also traded at around 41.78 dollars a share when it suddenly plunged to a cent a share. In the next few minutes the share recovered to end the overnight session at 41.09 dollars.

This set off a chain of trades that led to the largest intra-day plunge in the history of the Dow Jones Industrials average.

Shares in Procter and Gamble fell from 61.56 dollars a share to 39.37 dollars a share and then quickly bounced back again.

Procter and Gamble later confirmed the sudden drop in its share price was an error, MarketWatch reports.

According to news.com.au, there was a trading error known as the “fat finger problem” that occurred at a major investment bank, and it was combined with fears over the Greek debt crisis to leave the US market reeling.

The crash began shortly before 2.25 p.m. local time, when in a white-knuckle 20 minutes America”s top 30 firms saw their share prices dive 998.5 points, almost 9 per cent, wiping out billions in market value.

The drop eclipsed even the crashes seen when markets reopened after September 11, 2001 and in the wake of the Lehman Brothers collapse.

By closing time the major US stock market indexes had lost about 3 per cent.

The effect of the drop was felt in Australia, with the local market opening about 3 per cent lower.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the US Securities and Exchange Commission said in a joint statement after trading closed that they were working closely with other financial regulators and exchanges “to review the unusual trading activity.”

The regulators said they would make the findings of their review public. (ANI)

Nomura’s Cortes leaves for Africa safari business

HONG KONG, May 5 (Reuters) – Nomura International’s head of loan syndication Asia-Pacific ex-Japan and managing director for fixed income, Jose Cortes, is leaving the bank to concentrate on his safari business in southern Africa, according to sources at the bank.

Financials

The sources said the move had been planned for some time, and that Cortes would be working full-time on his safari business.

A spokeswoman for Nomura’s corporate communications department declined to comment.

Cortes previously enjoyed a short period in semi-retirement when he established the safari business, before returning to the loan markets with Barclays Capital in 2003. He left Barclays, where he was director, head of Asia-Pacific distribution in Barclays’ global loans group, to join Lehman Brothers in 2006.

At Lehman he took on an expanded role, which included loan trading in addition to syndication, but remained involved in his safari business.

Formerly a Chase Manhattan Asia veteran, Cortes left his post as head of loan syndication and distribution, Asia-Pacific, at JP Morgan in 2002

FACTBOX-Major U.S. financial regulation reform proposals

WASHINGTON, April 14 (Reuters) – President Barack Obama and U.S. congressional leaders were scheduled to meet on Wednesday as the Senate moves closer to a decision on a bill that would tighten the regulatory screws on banks and capital markets following the 2008-2009 financial meltdown.

Bonds | Global Markets

Potentially changing the financial services industry for decades to come, the Democratic legislation was expected to come to a final vote in the Senate within weeks. Approval was considered likely by analysts, but not absolutely certain.

Republicans are still trying to water down or kill the bill, which won Senate committee approval last month in a party-line vote. The House of Representatives approved a bill in December. It would have to be merged with whatever the Senate produces before a final measure could go to Obama to be signed into law. Analysts say that could happen by mid-year.

Below are snapshots of the major reform proposals.

PREVENTING MORE BAILOUTS

* Objective: Lawmakers want to squash the idea that some financial firms are “too big to fail” and avert anymore bailouts like AIG’s (AIG.N) and Citigroup’s (C.N).

But they also want to prevent the potential for disaster that can come from refusing to bail out troubled firms, as the Bush administration did in 2008 with Lehman Brothers. Its subsequent collapse froze capital markets worldwide.

Seeking a middle ground between bailout and bankruptcy, the Senate bill sets up a new process for “orderly liquidation” of large firms that get into trouble. Authorities could seize distressed firms and dismantle them. The Senate bill creates a $50-billion fund to finance such actions. Large firms with assets above $50 billion would pay into the fund.

Republicans object to parts of the bill that would let the fund borrow more money from the U.S. Treasury if needed. These provisions, as well as others involving the Federal Reserve, smell like “backdoor bailouts,” the Republicans say.

* House-Senate dynamic: The House bill, like the Senate’s, sets up a new liquidation process, but it would be simpler to invoke and it would come with a higher price-tag.

The House proposes a $200-billion fund. Firms with assets over $50 billion would pay up to $150 billion into the fund, which could borrow another $50 billion from the Treasury.

* Winners and losers: If the new strategy works, the economy will be better protected from damaging financial sector crises that have erupted regularly since the 1980s.

Large financial firms will almost certainly take a hit on this proposal by having to pay substantial fees.

Some Republicans — working closely with Wall Street lobbyists to block and weaken reforms — want to kill the liquidation fund idea entirely, but that looks unlikely.

There is wide, bipartisan support for a new process to prevent future AIG-style debacles. Someone will have to pay for it. With congressional elections set for November, it probably won’t be taxpayers.

PROTECTING CONSUMERS

* Objective: Democrats want to put a stop to abusive home mortgages and deceptive credit cards.

The Senate bill creates a financial consumer protection bureau inside the Federal Reserve to regulate such products, which are now overseen inadequately by several regulators.

Obama and many Democrats want the watchdog to be an independent agency, with more power than a Fed unit would have. The struggle over this proposal will play out in weeks ahead.

House-Senate dynamic: The House bill included the White House proposal for an independent agency. The Senate bill puts the watchdog in the Fed to appease anti-watchdog Republicans.

The House bill exempted many businesses from the watchdog’s oversight. The Senate bill has fewer outright exemptions.

Winners and losers: If the bill is enacted, consumers can expect stronger protections. Credit card firms, mortgage lenders and payday loan companies all face a tougher regulatory regime ahead, regardless of where the watchdog is situated.

VOLCKER RULE

* Objective: Obama wants to ban risky trading unrelated to customers’ needs at banks that enjoy a competitive edge in the market because they have some form of taxpayer support.

The president proposed a ban on such proprietary trading in January with adviser Paul Volcker, a former Federal Reserve Board chairman, at his side. The so-called “Volcker rule” may become law, but probably not as written.

Provisions embodying the Volcker rule are in the Senate bill, but it leaves the door open to regulators watering down or invalidating the rule later. Separate legislation in the Senate takes a tougher approach.

* House-Senate dynamic: The Volcker rule is not in the House bill, which was approved before Obama unveiled the rule.

* Winners and losers: Too soon to say. Volcker, a widely respected economic sage, says enacting his rule would help head off the next financial crisis. Large financial firms could lose a major profit center if the rule becomes law, but the Senate bill as written falls well short of making that a certainty.

OVER-THE-COUNTER DERIVATIVES

* Objective: The unpoliced, $450-trillion over-the-counter derivatives market was a hothouse for risk during the boom years that greatly amplified the crisis when it finally hit.

The Senate bill would impose a new set of rules along the lines of those sought by Obama. He wants to force as much OTC derivatives traffic as possible through exchanges, equivalent electronic trading platforms and central clearinghouses.

* House-Senate dynamic: The two bills are closely similar, although the House exempts a wider range of end users of financial contracts from mandatory central clearing. The issue is further complicated by the involvement of the House and Senate agriculture committees, which have their own bills.

* Winners and losers. A handful of Wall Street mega-firms — Goldman Sachs (GS.N), JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N), Citi, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) — dominate the market. The substantial profits they reap from it could be reduced if more transparency and accountability impinged on their franchise.

SYSTEMIC RISK

* Objective: Lawmakers want some sort of new entity that can spot and head off the next crisis — something that existing regulators have failed repeatedly to do.

The Senate bill would set up a nine-member council of regulators, chaired by the Treasury secretary.

* House-Senate dynamic: The House bill proposes an inter-agency council chaired by the Treasury, as well, but gives the Fed a bigger role as chief policy agent.

* Winners and losers: Big banks and financial firms would be forced into a tighter regulatory straitjacket than their mid-sized and small rivals under Congress’ proposals.

POLICING BANKS

* Objective: The jigsaw-puzzle of the U.S. bank supervision system let problems fester in the cracks. But efforts to fix it have lost headway amid resistance from turf-protecting agencies and bank lobbyists keen to preserve the status quo.

The Senate bill would let the Fed keep oversight of large bank holding companies with assets over $50 billion. That would cover about 44 major firms, including giants already under the Fed, such as Citigroup and Bank of America (BAC.N).

The Fed would lose authority over state banks with less than $50 billion in assets, under the Senate bill.

Those banks would shift to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, which would be in charge of all state banks and thrifts, as well as holding companies of state banks under $50 billion.

National banks with assets below $50 billion would be under the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which would also absorb the Office of Thrift Supervision, which would close.

* House-Senate dynamic. The House bill preserved the Fed’s and the FDIC’s bank supervision roles intact.

* Winners and losers. OTS will close. Both the House and Senate bills call for it. Aside from that, banks would lose the ability to shop around for the weakest regulator. (Reporting by Kevin Drawbaugh; Editing by Eric Beech)