Claims for jobless benefits fell in previous week in US

According to the latest data released, the numbers of people filing for claims for jobless benefits have fallen in the previous week to about its lowest level in five years indicating that the US jobs market is gradually recovering.

The data released by the Labor Department on Thursday showed that initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 334,000. The number was the lowest number of initial claims since early May and near the level recorded at the beginning of the economic crisis in 2007. The total number of people receiving benefits under regular state programs increased 2,000 to 2.97 million during the week till 1 June, 2013.

The Labor Department said that the total number of jobs waiting to be filled fell to 3.76 million compared to 3.88 million in March, indicating that the employers are waiting to assess the impact of government spending cuts and higher taxes before hiring more staff. the American economy added a total of just 135,000 jobs during the month of May indicating that the federal budget cuts are impact the economic growth in the world’s largest economy.

Estimates shows that the unemployment rate is expected to remain at about 7 per cent for the year.

U.S. job availability jumps sharply vs. year ago: Monster

(Reuters) – A monthly gauge of online labor demand in the United States rose in June and is nearly 21 percent above the reading from a year ago, its highest growth rate in 45 months, a private research group said on Thursday.

Monster Worldwide Inc (MWW.N), an online careers and recruiting firm, said its employment index rose to 141 points in June from 134 in May. The current month’s reading is 20.5 percent above the 117 mark a year ago, the highest year-on-year growth reading since September 2006.

“While substantial job creation has yet to occur to reduce the existing levels of unemployment and underemployment, job availability is improved from where it was a year ago.” said Jesse Harriott, a senior vice president at Monster Worldwide.

The Monster index registered increases in 13 of 20 industries and 17 of 23 occupations monitored. Five categories remained flat in each.

Online job demand was higher in all nine U.S. census regions, with West North Central registering the largest increase.

The report comes ahead of the U.S. Labor Department’s release of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits, due later on Thursday and expected at total 452,000 according to a Reuters poll of economists.

The government’s closely-watched payrolls report is due on Friday.

The Monster Employment index is a monthly analysis based on a selection of corporate career sites and job boards. The margin of error is approximately plus or minus 1 percent.

(Editing by Padraic Cassidy)

EU carbon flattens after U.S. jobs data

(Reuters) – European carbon emissions futures flattened on Friday, after somewhat disappointing U.S. nonfarm payroll data was released, traders said.

Gulf Oil Spill

EU Allowances for December delivery were unchanged at 15.26 euros ($18.60) a tonne at 1238 GMT, with light volume at 6,861 lots traded. Dec-10 EUAs have been trading in a 32 cent range on Friday.

Certified emissions reductions were up 9 cents or 0.72 percent at 12.65 euros a tonne, setting the EUA-CER spread at 2.61 euros.

“Crude got hit after the data was released and carbon has come off a bit now,” an emissions trader said.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls grew at their fastest pace in 10 years in May, buoyed by recruitment for the decennial census, but private hiring slowed sharply as businesses opted to increase hours rather than hire new workers.

The Labor Department said on Friday payrolls rose 431,000 as the government hired 411,000 workers to conduct the pop

The Labor Department said on Friday payrolls rose 431,000 as the government hired 411,000 workers to conduct the population count, while analysts polled by Reuters had expected non-farm payrolls to rise 513,000.

If carbon prices renew their upward trend, there may be some profit-taking, as sellers seem to be waiting for higher prices fueled by underlying bullish sentiment, said analysts at IDEAcarbon.

“We may see a breakout above 15.50 euros,” said on Friday in a note, adding that the next resistance level would be at 15.83 euros.

Germany is debating legislation which could extend the use of nuclear power which could push the market higher as the German power sector has the largest demand for EUAs.

German Calendar 2011 baseload power on the EEX was 97 cents or 1.85 percent higher at 53.50 euros per megawatt hour. U.S. oil slipped on Friday below $73 a barrel.

Citigroup’s director of environmental products Garth Edward resigned from the bank on Thursday, he told Reuters on Friday.

(Reporting by Nina Chestney; editing by xxx)

TREASURIES-Bonds extend gains after payrolls data

June 4 (Reuters) – U.S. Treasuries extended their gains on Friday after a government report showed a smaller-than-expected increase in payrolls in May, reinforcing the view of gradual U.S. economic recovery.

These latest job figures also bolstered the case that the Federal Reserve will not raise short-term rates until 2011.

U.S. employers created 431,000 jobs in May, the U.S. Labor Department said, below the 513,000 increase predicted by analysts polled by Reuters. The jobless rate fell more than expected to 9.7 percent from 9.9 percent in April. For more, see [ID:nOAT004640]

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR last traded up 28/32 in price at 101-30/33, compared with being 10/32 higher shortly before the employment data.

The 10-year yield, which moves inversely to price, was 3.27 percent, compared with 3.33 percent moments ahead of the jobs data. It ended at 3.37 percent on Thursday in New York.

(Reporting by Richard Leong, Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)

Bunds at day’s high, European shares fall after US jobs data

June 4 (Reuters) – Bund futures hit a fresh session high and European shares extended losses on Friday after U.S. non-farm payrolls data undershot expectations.

The U.S. Labor Department showed payrolls rose by 431,000 in May, well below a forecast of 513,000 in a Reuters poll. ECON

The Bund future FGBLc1 rose as high as 129.48 compared with 128.99 before the data. The two-year Schatz yield fell to 0.468 percent from 0.488 percent.

By 1233 GMT, the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top shares was down 1.5 percent at 1,001.31 points, led by banking stocks.

(Reporting by London markets team)

U.S. Q1 productivity growth revised to 2.8 pct

June 3 (Reuters) – U.S. non-farm productivity growth was much slower than initially estimated in the first quarter, government data showed on Thursday, as businesses started adding workers to maintain output.

Global Markets

The Labor Department said non-farm productivity rose at a 2.8 percent annual rate, instead of the previously reported 3.6 percent pace. It was the smallest advance in a year, following a 6.3 percent growth pace in the fourth quarter.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast productivity, which measures the hourly output per worker, rising at a 3.4 percent rate in the January-March period.

Following a rapid expansion in the previous three quarters as businesses squeezed more output from a small group of workers, productivity is slowing down and analysts expect the trend to continue as companies increase payrolls.

Some companies have held off hiring new workers, opting instead to add hours for the existing workforce, but analysts believe this policy cannot be adopted indefinitely.

The economy grew at an annual pace of 3.0 percent in the first quarter, slowing from a 5.6 percent rate in the fourth quarter.

Total non-farm output grew at a 4.0 percent rate in the January-March period, rather than the 4.4 percent pace previously reported, after a robust 7.0 percent pace in the fourth quarter, the Labor Department said.

Hours worked increased at a 1.1 percent rate, instead of 0.8 percent. The increase in hours was the highest since the second quarter of 2007 and marked an acceleration from the 0.7 percent pace in the fourth quarter.

Unit labor costs, a gauge of inflation and profit pressures closely watched by the Federal Reserve, fell a less steep1.3 percent rather than 1.6 percent. That follows a 7.8 percent drop in the fourth quarter.

Analysts had expected unit labor costs to fall 1.4 percent in the first quarter.

Weak unit labor costs still pointed to muted inflation pressures and augur well for the U.S. central bank’s pledge to keep benchmark interest rates low for an extended period (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Andrea Ricci)

RPT-US STOCKS-Earnings, retail sales lift Wall St

NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) – Wall Street rose on Wednesday and the S&P topped the key 1,200 level, lifted by solid results from Intel and JPMorgan Chase, while retail sales data gave fresh evidence the economic recovery was broadening.

Intel Corp (INTC.O), the world’s top chipmaker, rose 2.2 percent to $23.27 after its quarterly profit and sales trounced expectations, solidifying hopes for an accelerated recovery in the technology sector. For details, see [ID:nN1382801]

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) advanced 2.8 percent to $47.17 as the bank reported a quarterly profit that topped estimates as investment banking revenue outweighed losses on consumer loans. [ID:nN14181674]

The benchmark S&P 500 finally broke through 1,200 after failing to breach the psychologically key level in recent sessions. The index has soared nearly 77 percent since a 12-year low in March 2009.

“It’s a good environment for the stock market right now because news is better than expected and there is a lot of cash on the sideline,” said Terry Morris, senior equity manager for National Penn Investors Trust Co in Reading, Pennsylvania.

“No one wants to sell because the market is trending higher and a lot of people feel like they’ve missed the boat. So anytime you see a small downdraft, the buying comes in.”

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 43.38 points, or 0.39 percent, to 11,062.80. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX rose 5.21 points, or 0.44 percent, to 1,202.51. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC climbed 20.31 points, or 0.82 percent, to 2,486.30.

Sales at U.S. retailers in March rose 1.6 percent, the Commerce Department reported, versus the forecast of a 1.2 percent increase. Separately, consumer prices were up 0.1 percent, matching expectations, the Labor Department said, giving the Federal Reserve a chance to keep ultra-low interest rates. [ID:nN14374789]

Investors are also waiting for the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, set for release at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT), for clues into when the central bank will adjust its monetary policy.

If the S&P 500 holds above 1,200, it could now find strong resistance at around 1,228, a 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the October 2007 to March 2009 decline, according to Reuters data. The Fibonacci number is a widely used technical tool that can help identify the point at which asset prices will reverse. (Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

US STOCKS-Earnings, retail sales lift Wall St

NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) – Wall Street rose on Wednesday and the S&P topped the key 1,200 level, lifted by solid results from Intel and JPMorgan Chase, while retail sales data gave fresh evidence the economic recovery was broadening.

Intel Corp (INTC.O), the world’s top chipmaker, rose 2.2 percent to $23.27 after its quarterly profit and sales trounced expectations, solidifying hopes for an accelerated recovery in the technology sector. For details, see [ID:nN1382801]

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) advanced 2.8 percent to $47.17 as the bank reported a quarterly profit that topped estimates as investment banking revenue outweighed losses on consumer loans. [ID:nN14181674]

The benchmark S&P 500 finally broke through 1,200 after failing to breach the psychologically key level in recent sessions. The index has soared nearly 77 percent since a 12-year low in March 2009.

“It’s a good environment for the stock market right now because news is better than expected and there is a lot of cash on the sideline,” said Terry Morris, senior equity manager for National Penn Investors Trust Co in Reading, Pennsylvania.

“No one wants to sell because the market is trending higher and a lot of people feel like they’ve missed the boat. So anytime you see a small downdraft, the buying comes in.”

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 43.38 points, or 0.39 percent, to 11,062.80. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX rose 5.21 points, or 0.44 percent, to 1,202.51. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC climbed 20.31 points, or 0.82 percent, to 2,486.30.

Sales at U.S. retailers in March rose 1.6 percent, the Commerce Department reported, versus the forecast of a 1.2 percent increase. Separately, consumer prices were up 0.1 percent, matching expectations, the Labor Department said, giving the Federal Reserve a chance to keep ultra-low interest rates. [ID:nN1437478]

Investors are also waiting for the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, set for release at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT), for clues into when the central bank will adjust its monetary policy.

If the S&P 500 holds above 1,200, it could now find strong resistance at around 1,228, a 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the October 2007 to March 2009 decline, according to Reuters data. The Fibonacci number is a widely used technical tool that can help identify the point at which asset prices will reverse. (Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

Instant view: March job growth strongest in 3 years

(Reuters) – U.S. non-farm payrolls, a key measure of the economy’s health, rose in March for only the third time since recession struck in late 2007 as the private sector stepped up hiring at the fastest pace in almost three years.

Housing Market

KEY POINTS: * Employers added 162,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday, leaving the unemployment rate steady at 9.7 percent for the third straight month. The payrolls increase was the largest since March 2007, and also reflected temporary hiring for the census. * Payroll figures for January were revised to show a 14,000 gain, while February was adjusted to show only a loss of 14,000. * Analysts polled by Reuters had expected non-farm payrolls to rise 190,000 last month and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 9.7 percent. The median projection from the 20 economists who have forecast payrolls most accurately over the past year predicted 200,000 jobs were created in March. * About 48,000 temporary workers for the decennial census were hired last month, while private payrolls jumped 123,000, the highest since May 2007.

COMMENTS:

TOM SOWANICK, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, THE OMNIVEST GROUP, PRINCETON, NEW JERSEY:

“New jobs plus 62,000 in positive revisions confirms the rise in long-term interest rates and GDP activity. This number is a real sign that companies are starting to hire.”

RICHARD DEKASER, PRESIDENT, WOODLEY PARK RESEARCH, WASHINGTON

“This is really no worse or better than the consensus figure once the historical revisions are accounted for.

“The private hiring increase of 123,000 is pretty good but you have to consider the weather distortion from February

.

“The report does show steady improvements in the labor market, but we are still not experiencing impressive gains.

“This is consistent with the Fed’s expectations of a gradually improving economy. This will not change their posture in anyway. This ratifies what they had been expecting the last several months.”

JACOB OUBINA, SENIOR CURRENCY STRATEGIST, FOREX.COM, BEDMINSTER, NEW JERSEY:

“It’s a positive jobs report overall. The main takeaway is that we had more than 120,000 additional private sector jobs and that’s a big deal because anything above 50,000 is good for the economy. Initially, the dollar fell because investors were reacting to the headline figure which was lower than expected. But after reading through the data, you could see people took the dollar up again. Overall this is positive for risk and we’re seeing dollar/yen gain as a result.”

TODD SCHOENBERGER, MANAGING DIRECTOR, LANDCOLT TRADING, SAN ANTONIO

“The real surprise is the low number of census and temp workers, slightly more than half of the 162,000 gain in March. Traders and investors will see this as a good sign once they digest the figures over the weekend because permanent hiring was much better than anticipated. Overall, we should be pleased by this figure and can expect equities to continue their ascent — at least in the short-term.”

MARKET REACTION: STOCKS: U.S. stock index futures rose slightly. BONDS: U.S. Treasury debt prices slipped DOLLAR: U.S. dollar was lower against the euro and yen

Asian shares rise on upbeat U.S. data, autos gain

(Reuters) – Asian shares rose on Friday, with South Korean stocks hitting a 21-month high, as upbeat U.S. manufacturing data and jobless claims boosted hopes for a sustainable economic recovery.

South Korea

The dollar edged up to a seven-month high against the yen above 94.06 yen.

But trade was light, with many investors in the region as well as in Europe and the United States away for the Good Friday holiday, and gains were limited by caution ahead of more U.S. job data later in the day.

Japan’s Nikkei average hit an 18-month peak for the fourth straight day, getting a boost from a rise in tech shares and automakers such as Honda Motor (7267.T) and Toyota Motor (7203.T) following a jump in U.S. auto sales in March.

Shares of Japanese exporters drew additional support from the yen’s fall this week to a seven-month low against the dollar, while expectations for stronger Japanese earnings — which kick off next week with retailers — buoyed the overall market.

But analysts said that signs of overheating could leave the market vulnerable to profit-taking should the U.S. nonfarm payroll report disappoint.

“There’s quite a bit of caution about the U.S. jobs data and given that the market’s a bit overheated, it’s really poised for profit-taking,” said Hiroaki Osakabe, a fund manager at Chibagin Asset Management.

“But many recent worrying factors overseas have been cleared up, such as Greece, and markets are responding favorably.”

An index of U.S. manufacturing activity in March rose to its highest level in over 5- years, the Institute for Supply Management said on Thursday, while a U.S. Labor Department report showed initial weekly claims for jobless benefits fell more than expected.

Data later on Friday is expected to show U.S. nonfarm payrolls grew for only the second time since the economy fell into recession in late 2007.

A good payroll number would bolster hopes that the world’s largest economy has now recovered enough to grow on its own without massive government support.

The Nikkei .N225 closed up 0.4 percent at 11,286.09, an 18-month closing high, and briefly rose to 11,313.98, just above a 38.2 percent retracement of a sell-off from its 2007 peak to its 2008 trough.

Honda and Toyota each rose more than 1 percent on news that U.S. auto sales jumped to a seven-month high last month.

The MSCI’s broad measure of shares in the Asia-Pacific excluding Japan edged up 0.1 percent .MIAPJ0000PUS, paring gains after hitting its highest level in nearly three months at one point.

South Korea’s KOSPI touched a high of 1,725.39, its loftiest level since late June 2008, as Hyundai Motor jumped 5.8 percent and Samsung Electronics rose 1.4 percent. The index later pared its gains to 0.3 percent.

BATTERED YEN

The yen has been hurt by market expectations that the Bank of Japan will hold off on raising interest rates for the next year or two in a bid to spur the stubbornly weak economy.

By contrast, U.S. primary dealers see a better than even chance of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates late in 2010, a factor that has helped support the dollar this year.

Also weighing on the yen was talk that Japanese investors may move funds into higher-yielding currencies abroad for returns now that the new fiscal year has started.

“A recovery in the investment environment, given strong stocks and commodity prices and overall stability in financial markets, helps expectations for Japanese investors to show appetite for overseas assets,” said Kazuyuki Kato, treasury department manager at Mizuho Trust & Banking.

The euro dipped 0.2 percent against the dollar to $1.3560 and edged up 0.1 against the Swiss franc at 1.4313 francs.

On Thursday, the euro posted its biggest one-day rise against the franc in nine months amid talk of intervention by the Swiss National Bank. The Swiss central bank declined to comment on the franc’s price action.

South Korea’s foreign exchange authorities were spotted buying dollars to curb the won’s strength on Friday.

Japanese government bonds dipped as investors took profits following the previous day’s rally.

June 10-year JGB futures rose 0.03 to 138.72 after posting their biggest one-day gain in four months the previous day, when JGB investors began Japan’s new financial year by scooping up debt.

Ten-year U.S. Treasuries rose around 2/32 in price with a yield around 3.872 percent, down about a basis point from late U.S. trade on Thursday and staying below a nine-month high of 3.92 percent hit last week.

U.S. stock markets will be closed on Friday, and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association is recommending an early Treasuries market close at 1600 GMT.

(Additional reporting by Masayuki Kitno, Kaori Kaneko, Shinichi Saoshiro, Satomi Noguchi in Tokyo and Jungyoun Park in Seoul

(Editing by Kim Coghill)

White House warns of bumpy road ahead on jobs

WASHINGTON, April 2 (Reuters) – The White House welcomed an “encouraging” monthly jobs report on Friday but warned of a bumpy road ahead and called for further action to ignite job creation in the private sector.

Employers added 162,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday, leaving the unemployment rate steady at 9.7 percent for the third straight month.

“At the same time that we welcome today’s encouraging labor market news, it is obvious that the American labor market remains severely distressed,” said Christina Romer, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, in a statement.

“Further targeted actions to spur private sector job creation are critically needed to ensure a more rapid, widespread recovery,” she said.

(Reporting by Jeff Mason, Editing by Sandra Maler)

White House warns of bumpy road ahead on jobs

(Reuters) – The White House welcomed an “encouraging” monthly jobs report on Friday but warned of a bumpy road ahead and called for further action to ignite job creation in the private sector.

Barack Obama

Employers added 162,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday, leaving the unemployment rate steady at 9.7 percent for the third straight month.

“At the same time that we welcome today’s encouraging labor market news, it is obvious that the American labor market remains severely distressed,” said Christina Romer, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, in a statement.

“Further targeted actions to spur private sector job creation are critically needed to ensure a more rapid, widespread recovery,” she said.

(Reporting by Jeff Mason, Editing by Sandra Maler)

US Unemployment Claims Slide To 452,000

US Unemployment Claims Slide To 45,2000

After being rattled by one of the worst financial turmoils, the US economy is on the recovery path and the pace of job cuts has come down in recent months.

The US Labor Department in a statement today said that initial claims for unemployment benefits declined to 452,000 for the week ended December 19. This is a fall of 28,000 as compared to 480,000 in the previous week.

“The four-week moving average was 465,250, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 468,000,” the statement noted.

Further, the count of people receiving jobless benefits slid by 127,000 to 5,076,000 for the week ended December 12.

In the previous week, the same stood at 5,203,000.

“The four-week moving average was 5,233,000, a decrease of 90,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 5,323,000,” it added.

The national unemployment rate slipped to 10 per cent in November from a 26-year high of 10.2 per cent in October. Millions of jobs have vanished in the past one year, as companies trimmed their workforce to bring down costs.

-Business Standard.

G20 glow survives in U.S., Europe business activity off

Disappointing data on the job market and service sector in the world’s largest economy provided an early test on Friday of the optimism that followed this week’s agreement by G20 leaders on a $1.1 trillion deal to combat the global economic crisis.

A separate report Friday showed that European business activity fell again in March, though the pace of decline slowed as efforts to revive economies seemed to gain some traction.

The reaction on Wall Street was encouragingly muted. The major U.S. stock indexes, which rallied Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday on signs of increasing stabilization, all ended the day higher, lifted by — among other things — comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who said the central bank would do everything it can to stabilize banks.

The Dow Jones industrial average ended the day up 39.51 points, or 0.50 percent, at 8,017.59, closing out its best four-week winning streak since 1933.

The Standard and Poor’s 500 Index rose 8.12 points, or 0.97 percent, to 842.50 and the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 19.24 points, or 1.20 percent, to 1,621.87.

Those gains came even after U.S. Labor Department said the unemployment rate soared to 8.5 percent in March, the highest since 1983, as employers slashed 663,000 jobs and cut worker hours to the lowest on record.

The agency also revised its data for January to show job losses of 741,000 that month, the biggest decline since October 1949. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the U.S. economy has shed 5.1 million jobs — two-thirds of them in the last five months alone.

Christina Romer, the head of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, called the figures “unquestionably horrible.” She told Reuters Television the economy should be growing by the year’s end, but that jobs growth would lag.

The numbers were bad — but not as bad as some Treasury traders had expected. As a result, U.S. Treasury debt prices fell on Friday, sending yields rising for a second week in a row.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes were down 1-6/32 in price. Their yield, which moves in the opposite direction to price, was 2.92 percent, the highest in two weeks and a level not seen since the Federal Reserve announced its plan to buy government debt in a bid to lower interest rates.

The 10-year yield was at 2.77 percent late on Thursday and 2.76 percent a week ago.

The 30-year bond lost two points in price to yield 3.72 percent, up from 3.61 percent on Thursday and 3.62 percent a week earlier.

“The market is breathing a sigh of relief that it’s not worse,” Colin Lundgren, head of institutional fixed income at RiverSource Investments in Minneapolis, said of the impact of the jobs report.

GLIMMERS OF HOPE

Business activity in the U.S. services sector, meanwhile, which accounts for about 80 percent of the nation’s economic activity, shrank for a sixth straight month in March, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s services index, as spooked consumers cut back on purchases.

In the 16-country euro area, companies also continued to slash jobs to cut costs, driving the Markit Eurozone Composite PMI employment index to a new low of 40.3, down from February’s 40.8, a survey showed on Friday.

In Europe, services business expectations jumped sharply to a six-month high in March, Markit’s survey found.

France and Italy saw optimism for the year ahead hitting six-month highs while it also picked up to a three-month high in Spain. But German companies remained downbeat on the 12-month outlook, growing more pessimistic.

“Overall, pretty optimistic that the euro area economy’s recovery is closer and we can start to argue that the recovery will take place by the beginning of next year,” Silvio Peruzzo at RBS said.

European Central Bank Governing Council member Nout Wellink also saw the chance of a pickup next year.

“It is very difficult to forecast the future, but it is not unrealistic to assume that our economies will start to grow, after a difficult 2009, again in 2010,” he told Reuters on the sidelines of a meeting of European Union finance ministers.

He also said another cut in interest rates could not be excluded. The ECB cut rates by a smaller-than-expected 25 basis points on Thursday to a new record low.

The leaders of the world’s richest and biggest economies, which account for more than 80 percent of world trade, also agreed to tighten rules on tax havens, hedge funds and credit rating agencies.

The measures would raise world output by 4 percent by the end of 2010, they said, although they were hazy on the amount of stimulus spending to date, with estimates ranging between $2 trillion and $5 trillion.

World Trade Organization head Pascal Lamy welcomed G20 consensus to avoid protectionism and an agreement to support global trade flow.

“It is a very positive response,” Lamy said. “Implementation now is something we will be watching.”

U.S. payrolls plunge, jobless rate hits 8.5 pct

The U.S. unemployment rate soared to 8.5 percent last month, a fresh 25-year high, as employers slashed 663,000 jobs and cut workers’ hours to the lowest level on record, the government said on Friday.

In a report underscoring the economy’s distress, the Labor Department also revised its data to show job losses of 741,000 in January, the biggest decline since October 1949. February’s drop in non-farm payrolls was unrevised at 651,000.

The report, coming in the wake of recent data that have surprised on the upside, did little to alter perceptions the economy’s downward momentum was slowing, as unemployment tends to peak well after a recession ends.

The economy now in its 16th month of recession remained on track to recover in the second half of this year and the intense phase of job losses was likely over, economists said.

“I don’t think the recovery for the end of this year is derailed by this jobs report. It looks like the job losses are certainly down significantly from January, which may very well be the peak,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group in Princeton, New Jersey.

U.S. stocks fell on the data, but government bond prices dropped as some traders had braced for an even weaker report.

Economists had expected non-farm payrolls to fall by a slightly less severe 650,000 jobs in March, but had anticipated the jump in the jobless rate from February’s 8.1 percent.

March’s unemployment rate was the highest since November 1983, when the economy was recovering from the back-to-back recessions of 1980 and 1981.

Since the start of the current downturn in December 2007, the economy has shed 5.1 million jobs, with about two-thirds of the losses occurring in the last five months, the department said. In the first quarter of 2009, 2 million jobs were lost.

WORST OF JOB LOSSES LIKELY OVER

“What we saw today may indicate the intense portion of job declines may have reached its nadir,” said said Joseph Brusuelas, an economist at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania. “The fact that weekly jobless claims continue to increase and we have further auto cuts in front of us creates some risk.”

To combat the deep recession, which next month will become the longest downturn since the Great Depression, the government has put in place a $787 billion package of tax cuts and spending. In addition, the Federal Reserve has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy.

Christina Romer, the head of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, called the figures “unquestionably horrible.” She told Reuters Television the economy should be growing by the year’s end, but that jobs growth would lag.

“As painful as it is to say, you have to be a little bit patient, that is unfortunately where we are,” she said. “We are taking every action we can to make sure we don’t see numbers like this a few months from now.”

Job losses in March were broad-based. Even government payrolls, normally resilient during downturns, contracted — the first drop since December. Only education and health services added jobs.

The manufacturing sector shed 161,000 jobs last month, after eliminating 169,000 positions in February. Construction payrolls fell 126,000 after a 107,000 loss in February and the service sector axed 358,000 positions after cutting 366,000.

The report showed it has become increasingly difficult to find new jobs, with the number of Americans experiencing long spells of joblessness rising by 265,000 to 3.2 million.

“Nearly one in four of the unemployed had been jobless for 27 weeks or more, the highest ratio since mid-1983,” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Keith Hall said.

Rising unemployment is cutting into household incomes, which already have been decimated by the collapse in housing and stock prices, restricting consumers’ spending ability.

A separate report showed activity in the service sector, which represents about 80 percent of U.S. economic activity, shrank for a sixth straight month in March. The Institute for Supply Management’s services index slipped to 40.8 from 41.6 in February, indicating a deepening contraction.

In the jobs report, a measure of unemployed people working part-time for economic reasons and those who have given up looking for work raced to a record 15.6 percent from 14.8 percent in February.

The length of the average workweek fell to 33.2 hours in March, the lowest on records dating back to 1964, from 33.3 hours the prior month, suggesting further job losses ahead and erosion of first-quarter output.

While payrolls generally lag the rest of the economy, economists cautioned that continued steep job losses could outweigh government efforts to resuscitate the economy and further depress consumer spending and confidence.

“The fiscal stimulus will be overwhelmed if the job market does not begin to stabilize in the coming months. We will be keeping a close eye on jobless claims,” said Ethan Harris, co-chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital in New York.

Oil falls over $1 as U.S. inventories rise

Oil fell more than $1 a barrel on Wednesday, as U.S. data showed crude stocks were at a fresh 16-year high after growing again last week.

U.S crude futures settled down $1.27 a barrel at $48.39, eroding Tuesday’s 2.6 percent gain. London Brent crude settled down 79 cents at $48.44

The Energy Information Administration data showed a 2.8 million barrel increase in crude oil inventories.

Gasoline stockpiles increased by 2.2 million barrels, running counter to forecasts of a 1.4 million-barrel decline.

“There is no indication in these (EIA) numbers that the economy is strengthening. It looks like more of the same,” said Joseph Arsenio, managing director at Arsenio Capital Management in Larkspur, California.

Oil prices have fallen $100 from highs above $147 a barrel in July 2008 as the economic downturn dents global energy demand.

U.S private sector job losses accelerated in March to 742,000, more than economists’ expectations, according to a report by ADP Employer Services.

The U.S. economy is bracing for job data from the U.S. Labor Department on Friday which monitors public and private sector job losses in the world’s largest energy consumer.

OPEC COMPLIANCE

Producer group OPEC reached agreements in September to remove 4.2 million barrels per day to stem the slide in oil prices, and has delivered almost 80 percent of the promised reduction.

Reuters latest survey put compliance at 79 percent for March, the seventh consecutive month in which the group’s output has declined.

In deciding not to lower its output targets further in March, OPEC said it was giving the world a chance to recover from the economic downturn and looked ahead to this week’s G20 meeting in London to stimulate the economy and help shore up fuel demand.

Few expect instant results, but many analysts say OPEC, which meets again at the end of May to reassess the situation, has taken out enough oil to bolster prices.

In the immediate term the demand outlook is weak, and a flurry of bearish economic news emerged on Wednesday that weighed on stock markets and added pressure on oil prices.

Business confidence in Japan, the world’s second largest economy and the third largest oil consumer, tumbled faster than ever in the first quarter to its worst on record, the Bank of Japan’s Tankan corporate survey showed.

Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund Dominique Strauss-Kahn predicted the world economy would contract between 0.5 and 1 percent this year, following on from IMF reports predicting a decrease of up to one percent this year.

U.S. jobless rate hits 25-year high

By Lucia Mutikani

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The U.S. unemployment rate rose to a 25-year high of 8.1 percent in February as employers, buckling under the strain of a severe recession, axed 651,000 jobs, government data showed on Friday.

Adding to the gloom, a combined 161,000 more jobs were lost in January and December than previously believed, the U.S. Labor Department said in its monthly nonfarm payrolls report.

Since the recession started in December 2007, the economy has shed 4.4 million jobs, with more than half of that number lost in the last four months alone. A total of 12.5 million people were unemployed in February, the Labor Department said.

“These are all frightening numbers and connote an economy that is still failing,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group in Princeton New Jersey. “The economy is still months away from this recession bottoming out.”

However, there was relief among investors the drop was not as deep as some had feared, helping the Dow Jones industrial to end 32.50 points higher at 6,626.94, offsetting a sell-off of technology shares. That took some steam off the Treasuries market, with debt prices dropping.

“The ‘whisper’ numbers were calling for as low as minus 800,000. Markets will turn before the broader economy, and the economy itself will improve before we begin seeing signs of stability in employment patterns,” said Kevin Giddis, head of fixed-income trading at Morgan Keegan in Memphis, Tennessee.

February’s jobless rate was the highest since December 1983 and was a half percentage point above January’s 7.6 percent.

The increase was the biggest for any month since April 1980. January’s job cuts were revised to show a steep decline of 655,000, while December’s payroll losses were adjusted to 681,000, the deepest since October 1949.

“We’ve only had maybe 10 months where we’ve lost 500,000 jobs in the history of our series. This is four of the 10, all in a row. We’ve never had four straight months of job losses in excess of 600,000,” said Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Keith Hall.

RECESSION DEEPENING

The Obama administration, which is rolling out a $787 billion stimulus package to try to break the economy’s alarming downward spiral, said February’s jobs statistics were more evidence of the depth of the recession.

U.S. President Barack Obama, speaking in Columbus, Ohio, said: “I don’t need to tell the people of this state what statistics like this mean, because so many of you have been watching jobs disappear long before this recession hit.”

The success of spending plan depends on stabilizing the fractured financial system and the collapsed housing market, which are at the center of the economic rout.

Losses in February were broad based, with only government, education and health services hiring. Economists expected the pace of job losses to continue into 2010, even with the much anticipated economic recovery is the second half of this year.

“From an employment perspective, this is already the deepest U.S. recession since 1958. We haven’t seen any decrease in the pace of job cut announcements and the economy is showing no signs of improving,” said Benjamin Reitzes, an economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto.

“We see the unemployment rate peaking at 9.6 percent in 2010.”

The manufacturing sector shed 168,000 jobs, after 257,000 vanished in January, while the construction sector bled 104,000 jobs after losing 118,000 in January.

The service sector, grouping industries such as airlines, hotels, banks and restaurants, slashed 375,000 positions after shedding 276,000 in January.

Companies struggling with falling revenues and tight profit margins are axing jobs in huge numbers, forcing households to further scale back spending, creating a vicious cycle.

“The situation is getting worse, not better,” Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive of bond giant Pimco, told Reuters Television, adding that the data showed “even the profitable firms are shedding labor in order to position themselves for a more difficult outcome.”

More worrying, a measure of the unemployed, people working part-time for economic reasons and those who have given up looking for work, surged to 14.8 percent — the highest on records dating back to 1994 — from 13.9 percent in January.

The Labor Department also noted a sharp rise in the number of people experiencing long spells of unemployment, with 2.9 million people having been unemployed for 27 weeks or longer in February, compared to 1.3 million in January.

The length of the workweek was steady at 33.3 hours, matching a record low registered in December. The factory workweek edged lower to 39.6 hours from 39.8 in January.

Weekly overtime hours at factories slipped to 2.6 hours in February from 2.8 in January. Average hourly earnings inched up to $18.47 from $18.44.

(Additional reporting by Andrew Quinn and Melissa Bland in Washington and Daniel Burns in New York; Editing by James Dalgleish)