Obama: JP Morgan Loss Shows ‘Exactly Why Wall Street Reform’s So Important’

JP Morgan Chase’s $2 billion trading loss is “exactly why Wall Street reform” is so important, President Obama said in his first interview since the bank announced the massive loss last week. Obama signed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act

, which could ban risky trades like the one that hit JP Morgan, in 2010.

JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon announced the loss last Thursday, sparking stock losses and reminders of the 2008 financial crisis across Wall Street. In Obama’s interview, which will air this morning on ABC’s “The View,” the president referenced the federal bailout that resulted from that crisis and said a similar loss at a weaker bank may have caused yet another bailout, ABC News reports:

“JPMorgan is one of the best-managed banks there is. Jamie Dimon, the head of it, is one of the smartest bankers we got and they still lost $2 billion and counting,” the president said. “We don’t know all the details. It’s going to be investigated, but this is why we passed Wall Street reform.”

“This is the best, or one of the best-managed banks. You could have a bank that isn’t as strong, isn’t as profitable making those same bets and we might have had to step in,” Obama said. “That’s exactly why Wall Street reform’s so important.”

What Obama didn’t mention was how successful Dimon and JP Morgan were in watering down Wall Street reform. The bank has spent nearly $10 million since the beginning of 2011 on lobbying, focusing largely on the Volcker Rule, a regulation that would largely prohibit risky proprietary trading at federally-insured banks. The trade that caused JP Morgan’s losses would likely still have been legal under the Volcker Rule, but only because of a loophole that JP Morgan lobbied for.

Obama is right that JP Morgan’s situation demonstrates the need for Wall Street reform. But it also makes clear that the new rules need to be strong and immune from Wall Street’s lobbying influence if we don’t want a repeat of the 2008 crisis.

UPDATE 1-Fitch downgrades Vietnam to B-plus on fiscal concerns

HANOI, July 29 (Reuters) – Fitch Ratings downgraded Vietnam’s sovereign rating by a notch to B-plus on Thursday, citing inconsistent state policies, worsening external finances, higher funding needs, its dollarised economy and weak banks.

Economists said downgrades could follow from other ratings agencies on one of Asia’s most promising emerging markets, where the move which was widely expected.

Vietnam’s sovereign dollar bonds due in 2020 VN048365868= fell a point to 109.50 cents on the dollar. Its credit default swaps (CDS) were not traded, traders said. [ID:nTOE66S04B]. There was no immediate reaction in the local currency market.

Vietnam’s external finance position had yet to stabilise despite additional foreign exchange reserves, Fitch sovereign analyst Ai Ling Ngiam said. Vietnam was also suffering from a highly dollarised economy and a weak banking system, Ngiam added.

“Vietnam’s track record of stop-go policy tightening and easing has been ad-hoc, reactive and inconsistent,” Ngiam said.

Fitch’s last downgrade of Vietnam was on June 29, 2009, when it knocked the country’s local currency rating to BB- from BB.

The new rating is now four notches below investment grade. It also puts Vietnam three steps below Indonesia and two under the Philippines, countries seen as its investment peers in Southeast Asia.

Fitch expects Vietnam’s government deficit to remain high and added the country’s public debt situation, a traditional area of strength, had also deteriorated.

Matt Hildebrandt, an economist at JP Morgan in Singapore, said the rating came at a time of some improvement for Vietnam in terms of inflation, the budget deficit and foreign exchange reserves, but said the downgrade was justified.

“I think the issue is even if things are getting better do you fundamentally think it should be rated where it is, and I think the answer they came up with was: no. I think the downgrade is warranted,” he said.

Vietnam’s sovereign five-year credit default swaps VNGV5YUSAC=R have signalled that the market considered Vietnam significantly risker than Indonesia or the Philippines, and on Thursday Vietnam’s CDSs were quoted about 60-70 basis points higher than those of the other two.

Rival agencies Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s both have a negative outlook on Vietnam’s rating.

Moody’s has rated Vietnam Ba3, while S&P has a BB rating on the Southeast Asian country, three and two notches below investment grade respectively. (Additional reporting by Umesh Desai in Hong Kong; Editing by Jason Szep)

Webcast Alert: Vale Announces 2nd Quarter 2010 Results Webcast

RIO DE JANEIRO, July 23 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Vale (NYSE: VALE & VALE.P) (BM&FBOVESPA: VALE3 & VALE5) (EURONEXT PARIS: VALE3 & VALE5) announces the following Webcast:

What:

2nd Quarter 2010 Results of Vale

When:

Friday, July 30 2010 @ 10:00 a.m. US EDT time

@ 11:00 a.m. Rio de Janeiro time

Where:

http://www.mediatown.com.br/prnewswire/player/?id=336

How:

Live over the Internet — Simply log on to the web at the address above.

Contact:

Patricia Ulrich from Vale, + 55 21 3814-4540, or
e-mail, rio@vale.com

If you are unable to participate during the live webcast, the call will be archived at http://www.vale.com. To access the replay, click on Investor Relations Section.

Vale is the largest diversified mining company in the Americas and the second largest company in the global metals & mining industry, with an average market capitalization of approximately US$ 123.6 billion in 2Q10. Vale shares are traded on the NYSE (VALE and VALE.P), on the Euronext Paris (VALE3 and VALE5), on the BM&FBOVESPA (VALE3 and VALE5). The ADR depositary agent is JP Morgan Chase. Vale is the world’s largest producer and exporter of iron ore and pellets, the world’s second largest producer of nickel and one of the leading producers of manganese and ferro-alloys. It also produces coal, copper, bauxite, kaolin, potash, alumina and aluminum. Vale is the largest logistics service provider in Brazil, where it owns and operates a series of railroads and ports.

REG-JP Morgan Chase JPMorgan Chase & Co. Redeems 6.15% Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series E, 5.72% Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series F, and 5.49% Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series G

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) today announced that it will redeem on August
20, 2010, all outstanding shares of its 6.15% Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series
E (“Series E Preferred Stock”), 5.72% Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series F
(“Series F Preferred Stock”) and 5.49% Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series G
(“Series G Preferred Stock” and, together with the Series E Preferred Stock and
the Series F Preferred Stock, “Preferred Stock”).

The Series E Preferred Stock is represented by depositary shares which are
currently traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol JPM PR E (CUSIP
46625H720), the Series F Preferred Stock is represented by depositary shares
which are currently traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol JPM
PR F (CUSIP 46625H712) and the Series G Preferred Stock is represented by
depositary shares which are currently traded on the New York Stock Exchange
under the symbol JPM PR G (CUSIP 46625H696). Each depositary share represents a
one-fourth interest in a share of the corresponding Preferred Stock. The
redemption price per share for each series of the Preferred Stock will be $200
(equivalent to $50 per depositary share) plus an amount per share equal to all
accrued but unpaid dividends thereon up to the date of redemption.

Payment of the redemption price will be made on or after August 20, 2010, upon
presentation and surrender of certificates representing the Preferred Stock and
the depositary shares to be redeemed, to BNY Mellon Shareowner Services,
Redemption Agent, by hand or by overnight delivery at 480 Washington Boulevard,
27th floor, Jersey City, New Jersey 07310, Attention: Reorg Dept., or by mail at
P.O. Box 3301, South Hackensack, New Jersey 07606.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) is a leading global financial services firm
with assets of $2.0 trillion and operations in more than 60 countries. The firm
is a leader in investment banking, financial services for consumers, small
business and commercial banking, financial transaction processing, asset
management and private equity. A component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average,
JPMorgan Chase & Co. serves millions of consumers in the United States and many
of the world`s most prominent corporate, institutional and government clients
under its J.P. Morgan and Chase brands. Information about JPMorgan Chase & Co.
is available at www.jpmorganchase.com.

JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Investors:
Lauren M. Tyler, 212-270-8205
or
Media:
Joseph Evangelisti, 212-270-7438

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Copyright Business Wire 2010

UPDATE 1-TSMC Q2 sales beat f’casts on strong chip demand

TAIPEI, July 9 (Reuters) – Top contract chipmaker TSMC (2330.TW) wrapped up the second quarter with record sales for a third month in June on stronger demand for PCs and electronic devices, with the company on track to book a record profit this year.

Second-quarter sales beat its own forecast and were also higher than analysts’ expectations as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC) (TSM.N) early adoption of more advanced technology helped boost capacity and gain new orders from overseas clients that are increasingly outsourcing manufacturing to major chip foundries in Asia.

Despite worries over financial troubles in Europe, TSMC Chairman Morris Chang has said the global chip market should remain in good shape in the second half as global chip sales would grow about 30 percent this year. [ID:nTOE65E03Y]

“As a sector leader, TSMC has a wider customer base and sells chips for so many different products, that can spread risk, so fundamentals are pretty good but investors already know that,” said Alan Tseng, a vice-president at Capital Securities.

TSMC shares closed flat in Taiwan ahead of the results on Friday, versus a 0.5 percent gain on the main TAIEX share index .

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Graphic on TSMC/UMC combined sales, click

here

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

In a Monday report, JP Morgan said TSMC’s near-term outlook remained intact and it rated the company at “overweight”.

TSMC, which counts Texas Instruments (TXN.N) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) among major clients, reported unconsolidated sales of T$35.11 billion ($1.1 million) for last month.

That was up 36 percent from a year earlier and up 3.8 percent from May, it said, without giving other details.

A day earlier, smaller cross-town rival United Microelectronics Corp (UMC) (2303.TW)(UMC.N) said June sales rose 25.5 percent from a year earlier, the highest level in nearly three years. [ID:nTOE66603R]

TSMC and UMC helped boost Taiwan’s exports 34 percent in June but growth slowed from the previous month — a sign that global demand, especially for technology products, may be slipping. [ID:nTOE66705X]

On a consolidated basis, TSMC’s sales totalled T$197.15 billion in January-June, up 73.4 percent from a year earlier.

April-June sales were T$104.96 billion, beating TSMC’s own forecast of between T$100-102 billion and higher than market expectations for T$101.6 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

TSMC is set to report second-quarter earnings and give guidance for the third quarter in late July. (US$1=T$32) (Editing by Chris Lewis)

EURO BONDS-BAT dual tranche bond

June 25 (Reuters) – News, details on corporate bond issues in the European markets on Friday:

Stocks | Bonds | Global Markets

BAT (BATS.L)

Issue: Cigarette maker British American Tobacco is selling a dual-tranche bond, an official with one of the banks managing the sale said. The deal comprises a 10-year 600 million euro bond and a 30-year 275 million pound bond.

Managing banks: BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, JP Morgan, Lloyds.

Rating: Moody’s Baa1, S&P BBB+ and Fitch BBB+

(London Corporate Finance: +44 207 542 8389)

UAE telco Du raises $272 mln in rights issue

June 22 (Reuters) – United Arab Emirates telecoms services provider Du (DU.DU) raised 1 billion dirhams ($272.3 million) as planned, the company said on Tuesday, to fund a growth plan and compete with market leader Etisalat (ETEL.AD).

Du, owned partly by the ruler of Dubai’s investment company Dubai Holding, and Abu Dhabi investment vehicle Mubadala Development Co., said in April it would pursue a rights issue to fund infrastructure improvements beyond 2010. [nLDE63I01K]

Shares were trading 3.6 percent lower at 0647 GMT and are down nearly 20 percent this year although du reported a more than fourfold increase in first quarter profit, driven by subscriber growth. “The rights issue was a strategic move for du … This additional capital will underpin the next stage of du’s growth,” said Chairman Ahmad Bin Byat in a statement posted on the bourse website.

The capital would not be used for acquisitions and the company has no plans for international expansion, chief executive Osman Sultan said in April.

The company plans to increase high-tech services such as its broadband offering and 3G for mobile data but has no intention to build its own core infrastructure such as a fibre-optic network, which it shares with rival Etisalat.

JP Morgan acted as coordinator and bookrunner for the rights issue.

(Reporting by Rachna Uppal; Editing by Thomas Atkins)

((rachna.uppal@thomsonreuters.com; +971 4 391 8301; Reuters Messaging: rachna.uppal.reuters.com@reuters.net)) Keywords: DU RIGHTS/

(C) Reuters 2010. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution ofReuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expresslyprohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuterssphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group ofcompanies around the world.nLDE65L0AP

EURO BONDS-Europcar plans 7-year senior secured bond

Mandate: The car rental firm is planning a 7-year 250 million euro senior secured note, callable after 4 years, according to two sources familiar with the deal. A roadshow is planned for June 22-24.

Managing banks: JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank

Expected ratings: Moody’s B2, S&P B+

(London Corporate Finance: +44 207 542 8389)

Infineon mulls options for wireless business -paper

June 15 (Reuters) – German chipmaker Infineon (IFXGn.DE) has hired JP Morgan (JPM.N) to map out a possible divestment of its wireless chip business, Financial Times Deutschland reported.

Stocks | Mergers & Acquisitions | Global Markets

The U.S. investment bank is looking into a range of options, including a sale, Financial Times Deutschland reported on Tuesday, citing sources at Infineon and in the financial industry.

The paper said Infineon has already held talks with U.S.-based Intel (INTC.O).

Some analysts have said it would make sense for Intel to buy Infineon’s wireless business, but Infineon chief executive Peter Bauer told Reuters in March he saw no reason why the chipmaker should not try to further develop the business. [ID:nWEB7381]

Munich-based Infineon supplies chips for Apple’s (AAPL.O) iPad as well as components for Nokia (NOK1V.HE), Samsung (005930.KS) and Research in Motion (RIM.TO). (Reporting by Ludwig Burger; Editing by Dan Lalor)

Space Systems/Loral files for $100 mln IPO

(Reuters) – Space Systems/Loral Inc filed with U.S. regulators to raise up to $100 million in an initial public offering of common stock.

Stocks | Regulatory News | Bonds | IPOs | Global Markets

The Palo Alto, California-based company told the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission in a preliminary prospectus that Credit Suisse and JP Morgan are underwriting the IPO.

The company designs, manufactures and integrates satellites and satellite systems.

The filing did not reveal how many shares the company planned to sell or their expected price. It intends to list its common stock on the Nasdaq. (Reporting by Mansi Dutta in Bangalore; Editing by Gopakumar Warrier)

Jefferies Announces Addition to Global Equity Sales Team

LONDON & NEW YORK–(Business Wire)–
In a further expansion of the firm`s Global Equity Sales & Trading Business,
Jefferies today announced the appointment of David Craven as a Managing Director
and Equity Research Salesperson in London. Mr. Craven has more than 26 years of
industry experience and joins the firm from ICAP Equities.

Andrew Shortland, Head of International Equities at Jefferies, commented, “We
continue to invest in Jefferies` equity sales and trading business globally and
are delighted that David has joined our firm. His significant experience,
coupled with his longstanding relationships, will bring immediate value to
Jefferies` institutional clients globally.”

“Hiring David further underlines Jefferies` commitment to establishing a deep
and lasting relationship with the UK account base,” added Hamish MacLellan, Head
of International Equity Sales at Jefferies.

This appointment is a further next step in the ongoing expansion of Jefferies`
global sales and trading capabilities across equities and fixed income. The
equities group, which is focused on the sales, sales-trading, trading and
research of equity securities, consists of nearly 700 professionals in the US,
Europe and Asia focused on cash equities, equity research, algorithmic trading
and other electronic trading solutions, prime brokerage, securities finance,
equity derivatives and equity capital markets.

Mr. Craven joins the firm from ICAP Equities, where he spent a year and was a
Managing Director. He previously spent eight years at JP Morgan as an Executive
Director for Equity Sales, and has held similar positions at HSBC, Greig
Middleton, Gerrard Vivian Grey and BZW.

Jefferies, a major global securities and investment banking firm, has served
companies and their investors for more than 48 years. Jefferies & Company, Inc.
is the principal US operating subsidiary of Jefferies Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEF:
www.jefferies.com), and Jefferies International Limited is the principal UK
operating subsidiary. Jefferies International Limited, a UK-incorporated
company, is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Services Authority.

Jefferies & Company, Inc.
Tom Tarrant, 203-708-5989
ttarrant@jefferies.com
or
Jefferies International Limited
Desiree Maghoo, +44 20 7029 8085
dmaghoo@jefferies.com
or
CJP Communications
Josh Passman, 212-279-3115, x203
jpassman@cjpcom.com

Copyright Business Wire 2010

Cloudera Co-Founder Presenting New Analytical Platform at SIGMOD

SAN FRANCISCO, CA, Jun 02 (MARKET WIRE) —

What: ACM SIGMOD/PODS Conference

When: June 6-11, 2010

Where: Hyatt Regency
Indianapolis, IN

Jeff Hammerbacher, Co-founder and Vice President of Products at
Cloudera, is presenting a session entitled “Experiences Evolving a New
Analytical Platform: What Works and What’s Missing” at SIGMOD on Tuesday,
June 8th.

Named a 2010 Best Young Tech Entrepreneur by Bloomberg BusinessWeek,
Hammerbacher has extensive experience working in the field of data
analytics. Prior to his work as an executive at Cloudera, while at
Facebook, Hammerbacher’s team produced the Apache projects Hive, a data
warehouse infrastructure built on top of Apache Hadoop, and Cassandra, a
distributed storage system designed to scale across commodity servers.

According to the conference program, “The annual ACM SIGMOD/PODS
conference is a leading international forum for database researchers,
practitioners, developers, and users to explore cutting-edge ideas and
results, and to exchange techniques, tools, and experiences.”

Apache Hadoop is a new analytical data processing platform that crunches
structured and complex data. It was designed to run on clusters of
inexpensive commodity servers that can grow and shrink on demand to meet
the storage and processing needs of the enterprise. Hadoop is widely used
in finance, government, telecom, media and entertainment, technology,
research institutions and other markets by companies such as JP Morgan,
Visa, Samsung, Netflix, the Apollo Group, and Nokia.

Cloudera enhances the Hadoop platform through its suite of products,
professional services, technical support and training, enabling
enterprises to lower their data-processing costs and get more value from
the information they collect and generate.

About Cloudera
Cloudera (www.cloudera.com), the commercial Hadoop
company, develops and distributes Hadoop, the open source software that
powers the data processing engines of the world’s largest and most
popular web sites. Founded by leading experts on big data from Facebook,
Google, Oracle and Yahoo, Cloudera’s mission is to bring the power of
Hadoop, MapReduce, and distributed storage to companies of all sizes in
the enterprise, Internet and government sectors. Headquartered in Silicon
Valley, Cloudera has financial backing from Accel Partners, Greylock
Partners and angel investors who include Diane Greene (former CEO of
VMware), Marten Mickos (former CEO of MySQL), and Jeff Weiner (CEO of
LinkedIn).

Contact:
Ray George
Page One PR
Phone: 650-922-3825
Email: ray@pageonepr.com

Copyright 2010, Market Wire, All rights reserved.

JPMorgan Chase’s Coal Problem

Do we really want to keep blasting the tops off mountains, destroying forests and dumping the rubble into waterways, in order to extract and burn coal that is messing up the climate?

For now, the answer to that question is yes, despite vigorous efforts by environmentalists and activists in Appalachia to stop mountaintop removal mining. Some are behind a bill in Congress sponsored by Lamar Alexander, a Republican, to end the practice. Others are calling on big banks — in particular JP Morgan Chase — to stop financing mountaintop mining.

The pressure on JP Morgan Chase is coming from activist groups including the Sierra Club, the Rainforest Action Network and an Appalachian group called Climate Ground Zero which calls itself an “ongoing campaign of nonviolent civil disobedience in southern West Virginia to address mountaintop removal coal mining.” All are stepping up their efforts in advance of JP Morgan Chase’s annual shareholder meeting on May 18. They plan to release a list of the worst funders of MTRmining before then, and chances are Chase will be at or near the top.

What’s wrong with mountaintop removal mining? Lots. Here’s an overview from a coalition of anti-mining groups. This article from Science magazine (payment required) takes a more dispassionate view and concludes that it is difficult, if not impossible, to mitigate the damage caused by clearing forests, exploding the tops of mountains and choking streams with rocks and dirt. The scientists say:

current attempts to regulate MTM/VF ["mountaintop removal mining with valley fills"] practices are inadequate. Mining permits are being issued despite the preponderance of scientific evidence that impacts are pervasive and irreversible and that mitigation cannot compensate for losses.

This is not an activist group speaking. This is a publication of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

JP Morgan Chase says all the right things when it comes to the environment. For example:

Our goal is to make a positive contribution to sustainability by integrating environmental principles into our business model.

And

JPMorgan Chase will assume a leadership role in the financial services industry by helping to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in our value chain

But the record does not support this overblown rhetoric. According to the many activists (see this and this and this), who cite data from Bloomberg, JP Morgan Chase has been a major financier of MTR mining, as recently in 2008 and 2009. In 2008, JP Morgan acted as lead manager (with UBS) on a $690 million bond offering and $234 million stock offering by the now-notorious Massey Energy, the largest MTR producer of coal and a company with a terrible environmental and safety record. Massey, of course, operates the Upper Big Branch deep mine in West Virginia where 29 miners died last month in the worst U.S. mine disaster in decades.

In 2009, JP Morgan helped Arch Coal, the second-biggest coal company in the U.S., raise $600 million, according to JP Morgan’s War on Nature, an article in Mother Jones by Andy Kroll. Arch Coal, the article says, “mined 4.7 million tons of coal using MTR” in 2009 alone and has for a decade been trying to develop an MTR operation called Spruce that, as originally planned, would have been the largest ever. (Currently, less than 10% of Arch’s coal production comes from Appalachia.) Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley also participated in the deal with Arch, according to an industry source who asked not to be identified.

I spoke last week to Mike Roselle, who helped start the Rainforest Action Network and now leads Climate Ground Zero, which is based in West Virginia coal country. The group has organized more than a dozen nonviolent protests at coal mines, at the U.S. EPA and at the offices of West Virginia environmental regulators. (Or should I say “regulators”?) Mike and his allies have been arrested, they have served jail time and they have been condemned as “domestic terrorists” by Massey. Ken Ward, the outstanding environmental reporter at the Charleston Gazette, has written extensively about the protests at his Coal Tattoo blog.

Climate Ground Zero has just launched an online campaign called Mountains Rule, asking supporters to close their Chase bank account, take video of the experience, promote the campaign on social media and spread the word by wearing this campaign badge.

“Ultimately, we have to go after their customer base — the people who have accounts in their bank and the people who use Chase credit cards,” Roselle told me. “This is something that our allies can do in their neighborhoods, without having to come down to West Virginia.”
!–pagebreak–

Chase, he said, should be worried about potential damage to its brand. “One thing that’s important to them is their potential to grow and increase market share,” he said.

Because there’s no single metric against which to measure the banks, it’s hard to determine which bears most responsibility for mountaintop removal mining.

The Mother Jones story says:

Wells Fargo has cut ties with coal giant Massey Energy. And a Credit Suisse official says the bank has a “global mining policy” that ensures “we explicitly do not finance the extraction of coal in a mountaintop removal setting.” [Note: I couldn't find any reference to this on the Credit Suisse website.]

In 2008, after being targeted by activists, Bank of America published a coal policy (PDF) that says the bank will phase out financing for companies whose “predominant method of extracting coal is through mountain top removal” mining. This is less sweeping than it sounds because of the word “predominant.” Most coal companies get most of their coal from underground mining, so under the policy, BofA could theoretically finance a lot of MTR.

Just last week, Citi reported on its mountaintop removal policy, which was released last August. The bank said that it screened three MTR transactions in 2009 for their environmental risks, with two being approved and one turned down. Citing Bloomberg records, RAN’s Amanda Starbuck says Citi financed Teco Energy and Consol Energy. The bank won’t say which deals it approved or turned down, citing client confidentiality.

I asked JP Morgan Chase’s James Fuschetti, who is managing director of the office of environmental affairs, to respond on the record to the activists’ campaign. He declined but in a letter to a Chase client obtained by RAN, he wrote:

JPMorgan Chase has made a substantial effort to better inform itself about the environmental and social impacts of mountaintop removal coal mining in Appalachia. As a result of our own analysis and benefiting from information and perspectives provided by others, our senior management’s awareness of these impacts has increased significantly. Consequently, early in 2009 we took concrete action to ensure appropriate assessment and review procedures are in place to evaluate these impacts when considering working with companies engaged in MTR. We also began including our Reputation Risk Committee when examining transactions for companies engaged in MTR.

In that same letter, Fuschetti wrote that JP Morgan “has not arranged or underwritten a capital markets transaction for Massey Energy since August 2008.” Interestingly, Massey raised another $425 million this past March, aided by UBS and other banks but not JP Morgan Chase. What we don’t know is whether JP Morgan Chase turned down the opportunity to be part of that deal.

Fuschetti also said that finding a solution to the MTR controversy is “the proper role of representative government, not NGOs with their own agendas or banks with their business interests.” This last point is questionable. People who feel a moral obligation to agitate for change — think of the civil rights activists of the 1950s — can’t be expected to write polite letters to Congress and hope for the best.

JP Morgan Chase may have more to say at its annual meeting. One sign that it is listening to critics: Boston Common Asset Management, an institutional investor and activist shareholder, withdrew a shareholder resolution about the company’s coal lending practices, after engaging in discussions with the company.

Down in coal country, Mike Roselle is confident that JP Morgan Chase will stop financing MTR mining.

“I know we’ll win this campaign,” he says. “It’s just a question of how long it’s going to take and how many mountains get blown up before we do.”

[Disclosures: I was paid to speak at a JP Morgan Chase event in 2005 and more recently consulted with Citi as the bank developed an idea that it is calling responsible finance.]

GreenBiz.com Senior Writer Marc Gunther is a longtime journalist and speaker whose focus is business and sustainability. Marc maintains a blog at MarcGunther.com. You can follow him on Twitter @marcGunther.

Mining photo CC-licensed by The Sierra Club.

Nomura’s Cortes leaves for Africa safari business

HONG KONG, May 5 (Reuters) – Nomura International’s head of loan syndication Asia-Pacific ex-Japan and managing director for fixed income, Jose Cortes, is leaving the bank to concentrate on his safari business in southern Africa, according to sources at the bank.

Financials

The sources said the move had been planned for some time, and that Cortes would be working full-time on his safari business.

A spokeswoman for Nomura’s corporate communications department declined to comment.

Cortes previously enjoyed a short period in semi-retirement when he established the safari business, before returning to the loan markets with Barclays Capital in 2003. He left Barclays, where he was director, head of Asia-Pacific distribution in Barclays’ global loans group, to join Lehman Brothers in 2006.

At Lehman he took on an expanded role, which included loan trading in addition to syndication, but remained involved in his safari business.

Formerly a Chase Manhattan Asia veteran, Cortes left his post as head of loan syndication and distribution, Asia-Pacific, at JP Morgan in 2002

UPDATE 1-Manila’s Ayala Land eyes $300 mln REIT listingUPDATE 1-Manila’s Ayala Land eyes $300 mln REIT listing

MANILA, April 14 (Reuters) – Ayala Land Inc (ALI.PS) plans to list a $300 million real estate investment trust (REIT) in the second half of 2010, and the top Philippine property firm said on Wednesday that residential sales would drive its earnings growth.

Ayala Land, a unit of conglomerate Ayala Corp (AC.PS), is also considering a peso bond offer to raise less than 5 billion pesos ($110 million), which would partly fund record capital spending of 27.17 billion pesos this year.

“Based on the initial advice from our financial adviser… it appears that a size of $300 million is probably appropriate for a company like Ayala Land as the IPO size,” Jaime Ysmael, chief finance officer at Ayala Land, told a media briefing.

There are no REITs in the Philippines at present, as the law allowing them has only recently been passed. Mall operator SM Prime Holdings Corp (SMPH.PS) has said it plans to raise $300 million through a REIT this year. [ID:nSGE61208J]

Ayala Land has hired JP Morgan (JPM.N) as adviser for the REIT listing, which Ysmael said might be done towards the end of the third quarter or in the fourth quarter.

Equity-based REITs have grown significantly, particularly in mature markets like Singapore and Hong Kong, said Ysmael, adding he expected a bright outlook for REITs in the Philippines.

“We feel that the appetite for a Philippine REIT will be there not only from foreign investors, but even domestically.

Ysmael said office and retail property assets would most likely be in the REIT, with proceeds to be used to expand its leasing business.

PROFIT RISE

Ayala Land told Reuters last month it expects contracted sales to double this year to about 40 billion pesos on strong demand for its luxury and middle-market residential projects. [ID:nTOE62O085]

The company, which is also expanding its hotel portfolio, said on Wednesday it expected first-quarter net income to be higher than both the first quarter and fourth quarter of 2009.

“I think we will continue to see quarter-on-quarter growth, company president Antonino Aquino said.

“We have seen how our quarterly earnings have been improving over the last four quarters.” Ayala Land reported a net profit of about 910 million pesos in January-March 2009, down 50 percent from the previous year. For 2009, net profit dropped 16 percent to 4.04 billion pesos.

Ayala Land, which competes with Megaworld Corp (MEG.PS), Filinvest Land (FLI.PS) and Robinsons Land Corp (RLC.PS), gets most of its revenues from the residential market, with the rest coming mainly from shopping centres and rental income from office towers.

Shares of Ayala Land fell 3.6 percent on Wednesday, underperforming a flat main market .PSI. (Editing by John Mair)

Europe Factors- Shares seen higher; Intel results strong

LONDON, April 14 (Reuters) – European shares are set to open higher on
Wednesday, with technology stocks expected to be in focus after forecast-beating
results from chip maker Intel Corp (INTC.O) reinforced the view of a recovery in
the sector.

Britain’s FTSE 100 .FTSE is seen opening as much as 19 points higher, or
up 0.3 percent; Germany’s DAX .GDAXI is seen opening up 31 to 35 points, or
0.6 percent higher; and France’s CAC 40 .FCHI is seen rising 19 to 24 points,
or up 0.6 percent, according to financial spreadbetters.

Intel Corp’s sales and margin forecasts trounced Wall Street expectations
and the stellar showing from the world’s top chip maker, an industry bellwether
and among the first tech stocks to report first-quarter earnings, lifted Asian
tech shares.

Investors will focus on earnings from the U.S. banking sector on Wednesday
with JP Morgan Chase (JPM.N) posting results before U.S. markets open.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top shares fell 0.3
percent to close at 1,098.56 points on Tuesday, having moved in a range of 7.89
points during the session.

———————-MARKET SNAPSHOT AT 0515 GMT———————-

LAST PCT CHG NET CHG
S&P 500 .SPX 1,197.30 0.07 % 0.82
NIKKEI .N225 11,200.32 0.35 % 39.09
MSCI ASIA EX-JP .MIASJ0000PUS 506.31 0.76 % 3.81
EUR/USD EUR= 1.3651 0.26 % 0.0035
USD/JPY JPY= 93.24 0.02 % 0.0200
10-YR US TSY YLD US10YT=RR 3.836 — 0.02
10-YR BUND YLD EU10YT=RR 3.146 — 0.00
SPOT GOLD XAU= $1,154.90 0.41 % $4.75
US CRUDE CLc1 $84.38 0.39 % 0.33
———————————————————————–

* GLOBAL MARKETS-Tech propels Asian stocks after solid Intel[ID:nTOE63D01V]

* US STOCKS-Market gains modestly; Intel rises late [ID:nN13100386]

* Nikkei rises 0.3 pct as Intel boosts tech stocks [ID:nTOE63D02N]

* FOREX-Dollar, yen slip on cocktail of Singapore, Intel [ID:nTOE63D00W]

* TREASURIES-Fall in Asia as regional shares firm [ID:nTOE63D01J]

* Oil up above $84 as equities, dollar offset stock build [ID:nSGE63D02S]

* PRECIOUS-Gold recovers after falling nearly 1 pct [ID:nSGE63D00Y]

* METALS-LME copper gains; in narrow ranges ahead of data [ID:nSGE63D02J]

(Reporting by Harpreet Bhal)

UK Stocks — Factors to watch on April 12

LONDON, April 12 (Reuters) – Britain’s FTSE 100 .FTSE index is seen
opening up 21-24 points, or 0.4 percent on Monday, according to financial
bookmakers, extending Friday’s strong recovery in tandem with overnight gains in
Asia as a rescue plan for debt-laden Greece was put in place.

The UK blue chip index closed 58.28 points, or 1.0 percent higher on Friday
at 5,770.98, recovering all of a 0.9 fall on Thursday which had been the biggest
single-day decline for six weeks.

Asian stocks hit 22-month highs on Monday after a giant emergency aid plan
for Greece boosted demand for riskier assets across the board.

In what may be the biggest multilateral financial rescue ever, the euro zone
and the IMF threw debt-laden Greece a lifeline over the weekend by pledging at
least 30 billion euros ($40 billion) in aid, though Athens has yet to activate
it. [ID:nLDE63A0BO]

Commodity issues are expected to lead the gainers on Monday as metal prices
rose and crude CLc1 pushed above $85 a barrel, buoyed by a drop in the U.S.
dollar and bullish data that showed Chinese crude imports jumping to their
second-highest monthly level in March. [ID:nSGE63901H]

On the domestic macro front, no important data is due for release on Monday,
with little scheduled all week, though investors will look to the March RICS
house price survey for some clues as to the state of the British economy, with
that report due for release at 2301 GMT on Monday night.

Investors will also look ahead to the March U.S. Federal budget numbers,
also due after the London close at 1800 GMT.

U.S. first-quarter earnings will also be a focus over the next few weeks,
with the traditional curtain-raiser coming on Monday from aluminium group Alcoa
(AA.N), while banking giants JP Morgan Chase (JPM.N), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), and
Bank of America (BAC.N) report numbers later in the week.

* GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro surges on Greek aid, stocks climb [ID:nSGE63A036]

* US STOCKS-Wall St up with energy sector, Dow hits 11,000 [ID:nN09139071]

* Nikkei rises 1 pct; Dentsu up on earnings estimate [ID:nTOE63B02Q]

* FOREX-Euro jumps on Greek package in short squeeze [ID:nTOE63B03E]

* TREASURIES-Dip in Asia on Greek aid; data, earnings eyed [ID:nTOE63B041]

* Oil rises above $85 on weak dollar, China data [ID:nSGE63B06G]

* METALS-LME copper hits new 20-month high on weak dlr [ID:nSGE63B04U]

* PRECIOUS-Gold hits 4-mth high on euro, investor demand [ID:nTOE63B03U]

UK stocks to watch on Monday are:

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP (LLOY.L)

The bank is holding discreet talks with various stockbroking firms,
including Numis Securities, Evolution (EVG.L), and Execution Nobel on setting up
a joint venture which would cement its presence in equity capital markets, The
Sunday Times said.

BARCLAYS (BARC.L)

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (LEHMQ.PK) told a U.S. bankruptcy judge on
Friday that Barclays should be forced to return certain assets it received in
its 2008 acquisition of Lehman’s core U.S. brokerage, because Barclays arranged
a secret $5 billion discount. [ID:nN09256273]

BANKS

Australian bank National Australia Bank’s 1.5 billion pound bid for 318 high
street branches being sold by British bank Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) may
require NAB to raise additional capital in the UK, the Daily Telegraph said on
Monday.

BG GROUP (BG.L)

The gas producer is retreating from the UK power sector and has put its
power plants up for sale, according to a report in the Sunday Times.
[ID:nLDE63A0IB]

VODAFONE (VOD.L)

The mobile telecoms firm is to consult shareholders on the options for U.S.
Verizon Wireless, its joint venture with American partner Verizon
Communications, The Sunday Telegraph said.

BHP BILLITON (BLT.L)

The global miner has suspended operations at part of its Nickel West mining
complex in west Australia after a miner died in an accident there at the
weekend, the firm said on Monday. [ID:nSYU009699]

XSTRATA (XTA.L)

Shares in Australia’s Macarthur, the world’s biggest exporter of a
cleaner-burning coal known as PCI, surged as much as 10 percent on Monday –
their highest since mid-July 2008 — as investors latched on to media reports
that Xstrata would bid more than $3.7 billion for the firm. [ID:nSGE63A02X]

ANGLO AMERICAN (AAL.L)

The state-run China Metallurgical Corporation is among the bidders for the
800 million dollar zinc assets of Anglo American (AAL.L), the Independent on
Sunday said.

CENTRICA (CNA.L)

Centrica is to enter the shale gas business as it looks to double the size
of Direct Energy, its North American operation, to a turnover of 12.2 billion
pounds within five years, The Mail on Sunday said.

BAE SYSTEMS (BAES.L)

BAE has topped a list of the world’s 100 largest arms manufacturers,
compiled by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, marking the
first time that the list has been topped by a company outside the U.S., The
Guardian said on Monday.

PEARSON (PSON.L)

Parties interested in Interactive Data Corporation (IDC), the financial data
group controlled by Pearson, are preparing second-round bids before an expected
late-April deadline, the Financial Times said on Monday.

AIRLINES

Richard Branson, the founder of the Virgin Atlantic airline has hit out at
competition authorities over the “lazy” and “misguided” way they are treating a
proposed alliance between American Airlines and British Airways (BAY.L) in an
interview in the Financial Times on Monday.

QINETIQ (QQ.L)

Two U.S. private equity funds have taken stakes in the defence technology
firm, underlying hopes of a significant shake-up of the group under new CEO Leo
Quinn, according to a report in the Sunday Times. [ID:nLDE63A0HM]

ITV (ITV.L)

The broadcaster’s new chief executive, Adam Crozier, is seeking out
potential programme makers to head the broadcaster’s production arm ITV Studios,
The Sunday Times said.

DEBENHAMS (DEB.L)

The department store chain is to release a six-month trading update on
Tuesday that is predicted to report a 14.3 million pound increase in pre-tax
profits to 116 million pounds, The Independent on Sunday said.

JJB BOSS SPORTS (JJB.L)

The sportswear chain has surprised the sportswear industry by putting its
stock orders on hold only two months before a period of expected high demand
during the World Cup in June, The Mail on Sunday said.

CARR’S MILLING (CARS.L)

The agriculture, food and engineering group reports first-half results.

VERNALIS (VER.L)

The biotech firm posts full-year results.

E2V TECHNOLOGIES (E2V.L)

The electronic components maker issues a trading update.

(Reporting by Jon Hopkins; Editing by Mike Nesbit)

UK Stocks — Factors to watch on April 12

LONDON, April 12 (Reuters) – Britain’s FTSE 100 .FTSE index is seen
opening up 21-24 points, or 0.4 percent on Monday, according to financial
bookmakers, extending Friday’s strong recovery in tandem with overnight gains in
Asia as a rescue plan for debt-laden Greece was put in place.

The UK blue chip index closed 58.28 points, or 1.0 percent higher on Friday
at 5,770.98, recovering all of a 0.9 fall on Thursday which had been the biggest
single-day decline for six weeks.

Asian stocks hit 22-month highs on Monday after a giant emergency aid plan
for Greece boosted demand for riskier assets across the board.

In what may be the biggest multilateral financial rescue ever, the euro zone
and the IMF threw debt-laden Greece a lifeline over the weekend by pledging at
least 30 billion euros ($40 billion) in aid, though Athens has yet to activate
it. [ID:nLDE63A0BO]

Commodity issues are expected to lead the gainers on Monday as metal prices
rose and crude CLc1 pushed above $85 a barrel, buoyed by a drop in the U.S.
dollar and bullish data that showed Chinese crude imports jumping to their
second-highest monthly level in March. [ID:nSGE63901H]

On the domestic macro front, no important data is due for release on Monday,
with little scheduled all week, though investors will look to the March RICS
house price survey for some clues as to the state of the British economy, with
that report due for release at 2301 GMT on Monday night.

Investors will also look ahead to the March U.S. Federal budget numbers,
also due after the London close at 1800 GMT.

U.S. first-quarter earnings will also be a focus over the next few weeks,
with the traditional curtain-raiser coming on Monday from aluminium group Alcoa
(AA.N), while banking giants JP Morgan Chase (JPM.N), Goldman Sachs (GS.N), and
Bank of America (BAC.N) report numbers later in the week.

* GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro surges on Greek aid, stocks climb [ID:nSGE63A036]

* US STOCKS-Wall St up with energy sector, Dow hits 11,000 [ID:nN09139071]

* Nikkei rises 1 pct; Dentsu up on earnings estimate [ID:nTOE63B02Q]

* FOREX-Euro jumps on Greek package in short squeeze [ID:nTOE63B03E]

* TREASURIES-Dip in Asia on Greek aid; data, earnings eyed [ID:nTOE63B041]

* Oil rises above $85 on weak dollar, China data [ID:nSGE63B06G]

* METALS-LME copper hits new 20-month high on weak dlr [ID:nSGE63B04U]

* PRECIOUS-Gold hits 4-mth high on euro, investor demand [ID:nTOE63B03U]

UK stocks to watch on Monday are:

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP (LLOY.L)

The bank is holding discreet talks with various stockbroking firms,
including Numis Securities, Evolution (EVG.L), and Execution Nobel on setting up
a joint venture which would cement its presence in equity capital markets, The
Sunday Times said.

BARCLAYS (BARC.L)

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (LEHMQ.PK) told a U.S. bankruptcy judge on
Friday that Barclays should be forced to return certain assets it received in
its 2008 acquisition of Lehman’s core U.S. brokerage, because Barclays arranged
a secret $5 billion discount. [ID:nN09256273]

BANKS

Australian bank National Australia Bank’s 1.5 billion pound bid for 318 high
street branches being sold by British bank Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) may
require NAB to raise additional capital in the UK, the Daily Telegraph said on
Monday.

BG GROUP (BG.L)

The gas producer is retreating from the UK power sector and has put its
power plants up for sale, according to a report in the Sunday Times.
[ID:nLDE63A0IB]

VODAFONE (VOD.L)

The mobile telecoms firm is to consult shareholders on the options for U.S.
Verizon Wireless, its joint venture with American partner Verizon
Communications, The Sunday Telegraph said.

BHP BILLITON (BLT.L)

The global miner has suspended operations at part of its Nickel West mining
complex in west Australia after a miner died in an accident there at the
weekend, the firm said on Monday. [ID:nSYU009699]

XSTRATA (XTA.L)

Shares in Australia’s Macarthur, the world’s biggest exporter of a
cleaner-burning coal known as PCI, surged as much as 10 percent on Monday –
their highest since mid-July 2008 — as investors latched on to media reports
that Xstrata would bid more than $3.7 billion for the firm. [ID:nSGE63A02X]

ANGLO AMERICAN (AAL.L)

The state-run China Metallurgical Corporation is among the bidders for the
800 million dollar zinc assets of Anglo American (AAL.L), the Independent on
Sunday said.

CENTRICA (CNA.L)

Centrica is to enter the shale gas business as it looks to double the size
of Direct Energy, its North American operation, to a turnover of 12.2 billion
pounds within five years, The Mail on Sunday said.

BAE SYSTEMS (BAES.L)

BAE has topped a list of the world’s 100 largest arms manufacturers,
compiled by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, marking the
first time that the list has been topped by a company outside the U.S., The
Guardian said on Monday.

PEARSON (PSON.L)

Parties interested in Interactive Data Corporation (IDC), the financial data
group controlled by Pearson, are preparing second-round bids before an expected
late-April deadline, the Financial Times said on Monday.

AIRLINES

Richard Branson, the founder of the Virgin Atlantic airline has hit out at
competition authorities over the “lazy” and “misguided” way they are treating a
proposed alliance between American Airlines and British Airways (BAY.L) in an
interview in the Financial Times on Monday.

QINETIQ (QQ.L)

Two U.S. private equity funds have taken stakes in the defence technology
firm, underlying hopes of a significant shake-up of the group under new CEO Leo
Quinn, according to a report in the Sunday Times. [ID:nLDE63A0HM]

ITV (ITV.L)

The broadcaster’s new chief executive, Adam Crozier, is seeking out
potential programme makers to head the broadcaster’s production arm ITV Studios,
The Sunday Times said.

DEBENHAMS (DEB.L)

The department store chain is to release a six-month trading update on
Tuesday that is predicted to report a 14.3 million pound increase in pre-tax
profits to 116 million pounds, The Independent on Sunday said.

JJB BOSS SPORTS (JJB.L)

The sportswear chain has surprised the sportswear industry by putting its
stock orders on hold only two months before a period of expected high demand
during the World Cup in June, The Mail on Sunday said.

CARR’S MILLING (CARS.L)

The agriculture, food and engineering group reports first-half results.

VERNALIS (VER.L)

The biotech firm posts full-year results.

E2V TECHNOLOGIES (E2V.L)

The electronic components maker issues a trading update.

(Reporting by Jon Hopkins; Editing by Mike Nesbit)

UPDATE 2-JP Morgan winds up Asia carbon team in Singapore-source

* JPM carbon projects absorbed by wholly-owned EcoSecurities

* Source says decision to disband team “makes business sense” (Adds comment from the bank)

By David Fogarty

SINGAPORE, April 9 (Reuters) – U.S. investment bank J.P. Morgan (JPM.N) has shut down its four-member Asia carbon team based in Singapore to streamline operations, a source familiar with the matter said on Friday.

The decision comes after the bank bought major carbon project developer EcoSecurities, leading to a decision that J.P. Morgan’s Singapore operations and projects could be absorbed by EcoSecurities’ much larger network in Asia, the source said.

The team was formally wound up on March 31, the source added.

“From a business point of view it does make sense,” the source said. “Because EcoSecurities has the critical mass in each location, they are in a better position, from the (carbon) origination point of view, to be in that market.”

J.P. Morgan acquired unlisted EcoSecurities late last year. The firm is one of the largest investors in clean energy projects registered under the Kyoto Protocol’s Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).

EcoSecurities is now the primary vehicle for carbon project development for J.P. Morgan.

The bank declined to comment specifically on the departures, but said:

“J.P. Morgan has been expanding its investment in the fast-growing carbon markets and the EcoSecurities acquisition underscores the firm’s commitment to the carbon emission reduction markets.”

The bank’s team sourced carbon offsets by helping develop clean-energy projects in Asia. Its projects include mass-market deployment of more efficient cook stoves in Bangladesh.

“It sounds funny because we acquired EcoSecurities and, to be honest, in that sense, it came as a bit of a shock,” said the source, referring to the decision to disband the team.

Asked how many projects have been transferred to EcoSecurities, the source declined to say, but added:

“What we went through was a very diligent process of reviewing what projects we were doing, what made sense, what Eco had the capacity to take on.” (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

Baby boomers play banker for next generation

The continuing credit crunch has taken mortgage lending back to the future.

Just like 30 years ago, if you are cashed up and have a long history with your bank you might be lucky enough to get a loan.

But those just starting out are going to have to do it the old fashioned way and save.

A new study of the mortgage industry in Australia shows that banks are changing their lending criteria.

For first homebuyers, that means saving 20 per cent of your home deposit.

According to banking analyst Martin North borrowing from mum and dad is the only way many young Australians will be able to buy a home.

“One of the trends we’re now seeing is the baby boomer generation – who have the equity in the properties and all of the assets – are actually now using some of that to effectively kick-start the next generation, so they’re actually giving or lending at low rates to their offspring,” he said.

Some baby boomers say their children are already knocking on the door.

Paul McKeon runs the website Baby Boomers Life Change, where he tracks lifestyle changes of his generation.

He has had to tap into his own nest egg to help his kids.

“I have and it’s not uncommon,” he said. “The reality is it’s very difficult in the market that we’ve seen over the last 10 or 20 years.

“We tend to live with the great delusion that one of these days it might even be paid back, but we don’t hold our breath.”

The new lending trends have been analysed by Fujitzu Australia and JP Morgan.

They have compiled a report into the changing face of Australia’s mortgage industry.

The report says when Lehman Brothers collapsed in 2008, Australian’s flocked to the big banks looking for security.

Now those banks own the lion’s share of the home loan market.

And to balance out their ledgers, they will now ration credit and turn their focus to business lending.

Save more

JP Morgan’s Scott Manning says banks are demanding homebuyers save more money.

“Back in February 2009 about 30 per cent of first homebuyers had a loan to value ratio between 95 and 100 per cent – today that’s about 5 to 10 per cent,” he said.

He says banks will demand a deposit of 20 per cent.

With the median house price in Australia now at more than $455,000, that is a saving requirement of $90,000.

Martin North says there is a two-tiered market which has emerged; those who are well established financially are getting further ahead and are in some cases feeling quite wealthy.

“People are feeling more affluent because in fact house prices are going up and guess what, the first thing you do is say ‘gee, I’ll use a little bit of that equity in the property to go buy a motor car or take a holiday’; so we’re seeing that,” he said.

“A year ago that dropped away because of where the global financial crisis was and people were more concerned about jobs, it’s less of an issue today.”

While those who are starting out are getting further behind.

“You put rates up 2 or 3 per cent – as you probably will have to over the economic cycle – the bulk of the economy will still survive no problem, there will still not be a fall in house prices because we’ve got an undersupply, but a small proportion of house owners will fall off the perch,” Mr North warns.

“Effectively they will be so severely stressed and it will be focused among young families, it will be focused among first homebuyers and a lot of those first homebuyers – the 255,000 who entered the market over the last 18 months – 40 per cent of them are already in some difficulty with rates where they currently are and it doesn’t take much more to see that they’re going to have significant issues there.”

The analysts say there is not enough houses in Australia and affordability is only going to get worse.

They say more political will is needed by governments to help alleviate what could turn into a major economic headache.