Snowe: no decision on US financial reg reform vote

Maine, July 10 (Reuters) – Maine Senator Olympia Snowe said on Saturday she has not decided which way to vote on crucial financial reform legislation, with the most important thing being “to get it right.”

Snowe is one of two moderate Republicans in the U.S. Senate whose vote is seen as critical to passing the bill.

“It’s a big issue, and the most important thing is to make sure we get it right,” Snowe told Reuters when asked if recent changes to the legislation had secured her support.

“I’m still looking at it — it’s this big,” Snowe said of the bill, holding her hands about six inches apart as she marched in the annual Moxie Festival parade in Lisbon Falls, Maine, which celebrates the state’s official soft drink.

Snowe, along with Senator Scott Brown of Massachusetts, are thought likely to support the sweeping bill after a plan to impose a $19 billion tax on large banks and hedge funds was scrapped by Democrats at Brown’s urging.

Snowe voted for an earlier version of the bill passed by the Senate in May.

A final Senate vote is possible next week. Democrats need 60 votes to overcome any Republican maneuvers to block the bill. (Reporting by Sarah Mahoney in Lisbon Falls, writing by Ros Krasny; Editing by Doina Chiacu)

Hedge funds see ‘trying’ year in 2010-survey

(Reuters) – Hedge fund managers feel they aren’t out of the woods quite yet.

Seven out of 10 said they expect a “trying” year as the industry faces regulatory oversight and competition picks up with more funds likely chasing investment dollars, according to a survey by accounting and audit firm Rothstein Kass.

“It is no surprise that the outlook for 2010 echoes the concerns of 2009 rather than the unbridled optimism of years past and reflects a more conservative approach to the future,” Rothstein Kass consultants wrote.

Hedge funds rebounded last year from 2008′s deep losses with an average 19 percent return. But this year’s market gyrations highlight the pitfalls that are still present two years after the financial crisis. Many prominent managers were caught off guard by May’s sharp sell-off and nursed heavy losses that left the funds, on average, roughly flat for the first five months of the year, data from Hedge Fund Research show. June’s performance numbers are expected next week.

At the same time though, there are some bright spots with almost three-quarters of the managers saying they expect investors to stick around longer as the pace of redemptions falls off.

Rothstein Kass surveyed 381 hedge fund firms in the first half of 2010 and will release the findings of its fourth annual survey on Tuesday. Reuters obtained a draft of the report.

Eight out of 10 managers also expect to see more new hedge funds launched this year by newcomers and by existing firms that are planning to roll out new portfolios.

Halfway through the year, prominent managers ranging from former Goldman Sachs partner Mark Carhart to former Atticus executive Dilan Siritunga are talking to investors about making commitments to new funds.

However, hedge fund managers also said it is tougher to raise money now because investors are more nervous and will be writing smaller checks to newcomers.

Eight out of 10 managers surveyed by Rothstein Kass think new hedge fund managers will have to rely more heavily on seed capital where backers often take a stake in the new company, instead of raising money mainly from institutions and wealthy investors.

“As they engage in capital-sourcing activities, hedge fund managers face greater competition from a variety of sources , including ETFs and mutual funds that purport to replicate hedge fund strategies,” Howard Altman, Rothstein Kass’ co-CEO said.

Other bigger changes also loom on the horizon for the $1.6 trillion industry.

Most managers resigned themselves long ago to the idea that their once largely opaque industry will soon face closer scrutiny from regulators. They are almost equally split on whether registration will come in the second half of this year or the first half of next year.

The U.S. House of Representatives gave final approval to a financial overhaul this week and the Senate will vote later this month.

Also roughly half of managers surveyed expect fees that hedge fund managers charge — often 2 percent of assets managed plus 20 percent of profits on investments — to come under pressure.

Newcomers who lack the track record and marquee name of established firms will be ready to compromise first in order to build their businesses, the survey found.

“When hedge funds are willing to negotiate fee arrangements, they have consistently received concessions from investors in return for this flexibility,” said Jeff Kollin, a principal in Rothstein Kass’ financial services advisory group.

Hedge funds see ‘trying’ year in 2010-survey

BOSTON, July 5 (Reuters) – Hedge fund managers feel they aren’t out of the woods quite yet.

Seven out of 10 said they expect a “trying” year as the industry faces regulatory oversight and competition picks up with more funds likely chasing investment dollars, according to a survey by accounting and audit firm Rothstein Kass.

“It is no surprise that the outlook for 2010 echoes the concerns of 2009 rather than the unbridled optimism of years past and reflects a more conservative approach to the future,” Rothstein Kass consultants wrote.

Hedge funds rebounded last year from 2008′s deep losses with an average 19 percent return. But this year’s market gyrations highlight the pitfalls that are still present two years after the financial crisis. Many prominent managers were caught off guard by May’s sharp sell-off and nursed heavy losses that left the funds, on average, roughly flat for the first five months of the year, data from Hedge Fund Research show. June’s performance numbers are expected next week.

At the same time though, there are some bright spots with almost three-quarters of the managers saying they expect investors to stick around longer as the pace of redemptions falls off.

Rothstein Kass surveyed 381 hedge fund firms in the first half of 2010 and will release the findings of its fourth annual survey on Tuesday. Reuters obtained a draft of the report.

Eight out of 10 managers also expect to see more new hedge funds launched this year by newcomers and by existing firms that are planning to roll out new portfolios.

Halfway through the year, prominent managers ranging from former Goldman Sachs partner Mark Carhart to former Atticus executive Dilan Siritunga are talking to investors about making commitments to new funds.

However, hedge fund managers also said it is tougher to raise money now because investors are more nervous and will be writing smaller checks to newcomers.

Eight out of 10 managers surveyed by Rothstein Kass think new hedge fund managers will have to rely more heavily on seed capital where backers often take a stake in the new company, instead of raising money mainly from institutions and wealthy investors.

“As they engage in capital-sourcing activities, hedge fund managers face greater competition from a variety of sources , including ETFs and mutual funds that purport to replicate hedge fund strategies,” Howard Altman, Rothstein Kass’ co-CEO said.

Other bigger changes also loom on the horizon for the $1.6 trillion industry.

Most managers resigned themselves long ago to the idea that their once largely opaque industry will soon face closer scrutiny from regulators. They are almost equally split on whether registration will come in the second half of this year or the first half of next year.

The U.S. House of Representatives gave final approval to a financial overhaul this week and the Senate will vote later this month.

Also roughly half of managers surveyed expect fees that hedge fund managers charge — often 2 percent of assets managed plus 20 percent of profits on investments — to come under pressure.

Newcomers who lack the track record and marquee name of established firms will be ready to compromise first in order to build their businesses, the survey found.

“When hedge funds are willing to negotiate fee arrangements, they have consistently received concessions from investors in return for this flexibility,” said Jeff Kollin, a principal in Rothstein Kass’ financial services advisory group. (Reporting by Svea Herbst-Bayliss; Editing by Steve Orlofsky)

Research and Markets: 2010 Report Hedge Funds, Energy Trading & the Energy Industry Explores All the Facets of This Fast Growing Industry

DUBLIN–(Business Wire)–
Research and
Markets(http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/89d5cf/hedge_funds_energ) has
announced the addition of the “Hedge Funds, Energy Trading & the Energy
Industry” report to their offering.

The energy community is slowly emerging from two decades of obsession with
speculation and trading. The era of the energy traders began in the early 1980s,
with the deregulation of oil markets by the Reagan and Thatcher administrations,
gathered force as Enron and its fellow travellers extended the trading culture
to the natural gas and later electricity businesses, and came to an abrupt end
in 2002 with the sudden collapse of confidence in many of the premises of the
Enron model.

In retrospect, the rise of the energy trader paralleled a national fascination
with making gains from an activity that usually operates on the margin of the
economy. While every trader with swagger believes he or she will add immense
value to an enterprise, with a few notable exceptions, most do not do so. Every
experienced trading manager knows that, left to their own devices, most traders
will in fact lose money.

The frontier of energy trading remains at the points where natural gas, LNG,
oil, and electricity businesses converge. Oil and dry (North American) gas
trading are now mature businesses. LNG and electricity trading remain new and
challenging.

The global energy industry is undergoing dramatic changes with nearly every
country going in for deregulation. What has emerged from this is a decoupling of
the energy producer and consumer and introduction of an intermediary class of
enterprises which deal in energy as a commodity, much like the wholesale grain
merchants. And, in accordance with the times, these energy merchants are
increasingly conducting their trades through the Internet.

As more and more of the world come to rely on energy so the investment market
has come to rely on energy hedge funds. Energy hedge funds are portfolios,
managed by a portfolio manager, with the intent and purpose of providing steady
growth and investment return regardless of market conditions. What makes energy
hedge funds so attractive is that the demand for energy, the new sources
available on a worldwide level and current political concerns, make these type
of funds, energy hedge funds, especially attractive to sophisticated investors
seeking to maintain their fortunes.

Aruvian’s R’searchs report on Hedge Funds, Energy Trading & the Energy Industry
explores all the facets of this fast growing industry and provides a look at
what makes up trading of energy exchanges, and energy hedge funds. The report
looks at the leading market places in todays age, as well as the infamous Enron
fiasco, along with the leading hedge funds dealing in energy. The basics of
hedge funds, energy trading, hedge fund strategies, the process itself, and much
more is discussed in depth. Read on inside to discover more.

Key Topics Covered:

* Executive Summary
* Introduction to Energy Trading
* Essentials of Energy Trading
* Hedging & Energy Trading
* Effect of Energy Trading on the Energy Market
* What are Hedge Funds?
* Hedge Fund Strategies
* Determining Degrees of Risk & Return in Hedge Fund Strategies
* Regulatory Structure for Hedge Funds
* Regulatory Issues with Hedge Funds
* Analyzing Energy Hedge Funds
* Exchanges Trading in Energy
* Leading Energy Hedge Funds
* Leading Energy Trading Market Places
* Appendix
* Glossary of Terms

Companies Mentioned:

* Amaranth Advisors
* Ardour Global Index
* Barclays Global Investors
* Centaurus Energy LP
* Citadel Investment Group
* D.E. Shaw Group
* DRC Capital, Ltd
* JP Morgan
* RMF Global Emerging Managers

For more information visit

http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/89d5cf/hedge_funds_energ

Research and Markets
Laura Wood, Senior Manager
press@researchandmarkets.com
U.S. Fax: 646-607-1907
Fax (outside U.S.): +353-1-481-1716

Copyright Business Wire 2010

Factbox: Winners and losers in the U.S. financial bill

(Reuters) – U.S. lawmakers are close to finalizing legislation that will overhaul the country’s financial system and usher in new rules for Wall Street.

Politics

A joint House of Representatives and Senate committee approved a bank regulation bill that lawmakers expect to pass each chamber separately in the coming days. It will then be ready for U.S. President Barack Obama to sign into law, possibly by July 4.

Below are some of the likely winners and losers under the regulation bill.

CREDIT RATING AGENCIES – WIN AND LOSE

* Credit rating agencies — such as Moody’s Corp, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings — will be subject to greater liability.

* Rating agencies could be sued if they “recklessly” failed to review key information in developing a rating.

* The Securities and Exchange Commission will be given two years to find a way to mitigate conflicts of interests at the biggest rating agencies, Moody’s, S&P and Fitch, which are paid by the issuers whose debt they rate. The two years give the agencies breathing space but if the SEC does not find a solution, the regulator is required to implement a proposal by Senator Al Franken and create a board to match rating agencies with debt issuers.

* Federal regulators will be required to remove references to credit rating in their rules in an effort to reduce reliance on the credit rating agencies.

LARGE FINANCIAL FIRMS – WIN AND LOSE

* Large financial firms such as Bank of America and Goldman Sachs will be prohibited from proprietary trading and only be allowed to make minimum investments in hedge funds and private equity funds.

* Large firms will also face tougher standards in what qualifies for capital they are required to set aside to ensure that they do not threaten the stability of the financial system.

* Banks such as Goldman and JPMorgan Chase will be forced to spin off some of their profitable derivatives business or risk losing access to the Federal Reserve’s emergency funds. But banks’ biggest volume instruments such as foreign exchange and interest rate swaps will still be allowed to be traded by banks.

* The firms’ financial products such as mortgages and credit cards will be subjected to new rules from a newly created bureau designed to protect customers from risky products.

* Most derivatives will be forced on to exchanges or through clearinghouses, in an attempt to limit the effect that large, risky trades can have on the economy, another factor that could curb bank profits. Non-financial players such as manufacturers, however, would be exempt.

SMALL BANKS – WIN

* The Federal Reserve will continue supervising small banks. Small banks wanted to maintain a supervisory structure they were familiar with.

* Banking regulators will be the primary regulator to enforce rules for small banks’ financial products. The new consumer financial regulator will provide backup enforcement.

U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE – WIN

* Gains powers to supervise systemically important financial firms.

* Retains authority to supervise banks of all sizes.

* Part of a “risk council” that will have authority to monitor risk in the financial system and decide whether a large complex company needs to divest assets.

* Becomes home for the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Will have power along with other regulators to appeal consumer protection bureau’s rules if deemed to undermine stability of financial system or banks’ deposits.

* The Fed escaped congressional reviews of its monetary policy but will be subject to reviews of its emergency lending and open market activities.

* Democrats and Republicans originally wanted to strip the Fed of its powers to supervise banks and confine the central bank to setting monetary policy and acting as the lender of last resort.

CONSUMERS – WIN

* New rules to protect consumers from risky financial products could only be overturned by banking regulators if banking regulators believe the rules could threaten the financial system or banks’ deposits.

* The new consumer regulator will be housed in the Federal Reserve, which has been criticized for failing to rein in the risky lending that contributed to the financial crisis.

* The consumer regulator will get funding from the Fed and would get the authority to request more funds from Congress.

* The consumer regulator will be able to write its own rules for a slew of products such as mortgages and credit cards and enforce those rules.

INVESTORS/SHAREHOLDERS – WIN AND LOSE

* Broker-dealers who provide financial advice will not immediately be required to have fiduciary duties, which would require them to act in their clients best interests. The SEC must first study the issue for six months and then would have authority to impose those duties on brokers if the regulator determines they are necessary.

* Publicly-traded companies will be required to ask their shareholders whether they want a non binding vote on executive pay annually, once every two years or once every three years. Originally, Democrats wanted to give shareholders an annual say on executive pay.

* The SEC will have the authority to give shareholders and easier and cheaper way to nominate corporate board directors.

* The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board will be required to impose fiduciary duties on municipal bond advisers.

AUTO DEALERS – WIN

Auto dealers that do financing will be exempt from oversight by the new consumer bureau, and stay within the jurisdiction of the Federal Trade Commission.

PRIVATE POOLS OF CAPITAL – WIN

* Advisers to hedge funds and private equity funds with more than $150 million in assets will be required to register with the SEC. Venture capital funds will be exempt.

CLEARINGHOUSES – WIN

* Derivatives clearinghouses will be able to borrow in emergencies from the Federal Reserve, as long as the systemic risk council, a majority of Fed governors and the Treasury Secretary decide it is necessary.

LAW FIRMS – WIN

* Regulators like the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Securities and Exchange Commission will have scores of rules to write in coming months to implement the legislation, meaning lots of billable hours for law firms and consultants advising clients on how to respond to proposed rules.

CFTC/SEC – WIN

* The CFTC and SEC will gain new authority to regulate the $615 trillion over-the-counter derivatives market.

* The SEC will win power to oversee the hedge fund industry.

(Reporting by Charles Abbott, Kim Dixon, Roberta Rampton, Rachelle Younglai; additional reporting by Ann Saphir in Chicago; editing by Anthony Boadle)

Factbox: Highlights of U.S. financial regulation reform bill

It must now win approval in each chamber before it can go to President Barack Obama to be signed into law.

Here is a brief look at the bill’s main provisions:

SWAPS PUSH-OUT: Wall Street firms that dominate the $615-trillion over-the-counter derivatives market would have to spin off dealing operations in some swaps, but could keep many swaps in-house, including derivatives to hedge their own risk.

Much OTC derivatives trading would be redirected through more accountable channels such as exchanges and clearinghouses. Many OTC contracts end-users could carry on as before.

VOLCKER RULE: A new rule would bar proprietary trading by banks for their own accounts unrelated to customers; limit the growth of the biggest banks; and curb banks’ involvement in private equity and hedge funds, except for small investments allowed by a loophole added to the rule late in debate.

Some big banks’ profits would be pinched by both the Volcker rule and the Lincoln swaps plan, with a few Wall Street giants potentially facing structural changes.

WALL ST ‘DEATH PANEL’: Aiming to prevent massive bailouts like AIG’s and disastrous bankruptcies like Lehman Brothers’, the bill calls for a new government “orderly liquidation” process for financial firms on the verge of collapse.

Authorities could seize and liquidate them, with costs covered by sales of assets and fees on other firms if needed.

CONSUMER WATCHDOG: Protection of financial consumers would be enhanced by increased government regulation.

The bill would set up a new bureau in the Federal Reserve to regulate mortgages and credit cards. The watchdog has sharp teeth, but couldn’t bite car dealers, who won an exemption.

THE BIG PICTURE: A new council of federal regulators would try to monitor the entire financial forest, not just the trees. High-risk firms could be singled out for stricter policing.

BEHIND THE HEDGE: Private equity and hedge funds would have to register with regulators and open their books to scrutiny. Not so for venture capital funds, which would be exempt.

INSURANCE COPS: The first federal monitor for state-policed insurers would be formed. It’s not federal regulation — yet.

BANK CUSHIONS: Banks would have to set aside more capital to ride out tough times, but will get several years to comply.

FED SCRUTINY: The Fed’s emergency lending during the crisis would be reviewed, but not its decisions on interest rates.

DEBIT CARDS: Fees charged on debit card transactions would be reduced — a victory for retailers over the banks.

(Reporting by Kevin Drawbaugh, Rachelle Younglai, Kim Dixon, Andy Sullivan, Roberta Rampton and Charles Abbott, editing by Anthony Boadle)

US SEC brings charges in CDO fraud case

(Reuters) – U.S. securities regulators on Monday accused New York financial services firm ICP Asset Management and its founder of defrauding investors in a series of complex collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) for their own benefit.

Hedge Funds

According to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission complaint filed in federal court in Manhattan, ICP and its founder, Thomas Priore, “fraudulently managed” four multibillion-dollar “Triaxx” CDOs, reaping massive profits for themselves by structuring trades that disadvantaged the CDOs in favor of the company and affiliates.

The improper trades caused ICP’s clients and investors millions of dollars in losses as the mortgage markets collapsed in 2007, according to the complaint.

CDOs, investment vehicles that pool securities and other complex mortgage-linked assets, caused billions of dollars in losses to banks and investors over the past few years as the mortgage markets came under pressure.

The case is the first brought by the SEC specifically against a CDO collateral manager and is part of a sweep of broad examinations, targeting about 50 investment advisers related to CDOs, mortgage-backed securities and other vehicles often blamed for the subprime mortgage market’s collapse, George Canellos, director of the SEC’s New York regional office, said on a call with reporters on Monday.

Priore, a former Harvard football quarterback who founded Institutional Credit Partners and ICP in 2004, said that he and the firm would defend itself against the accusations.

“All I can say is that we in all times have acted in the best interests of our clients and we intend to defend ourselves against these allegations,” Priore said, reached by telephone at his office.

He said the firm was still operating, despite some recent departures of key employees.

The lack of pricing transparency for investors in markets that froze up during the credit crisis has been an area of “grave concern” for the SEC and motivated some investigations like this, Canellos said. SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro first announced the sweep of examinations late last year and the SEC sued Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) in April over a CDO called “Abacus” created in 2007.

ICP and Priore made trades at intentionally inflated prices and made prohibited investments on behalf of the CDOs without proper approval or disclosure to investors, the SEC claimed. The Triaxx CDOs had required written approval of certain types of investments from American International Group Inc’s (AIG.N) financial products unit or the Financial Guaranty Insurance Co, which wrote insurance-like derivatives on the CDOS. AIG declined to comment on the case.

The SEC also accused Priore and his firm of reaping tens of millions of dollars in fees and undisclosed profits at the expense of the firm’s clients.

Janet Tavakoli, a Chicago-based derivatives and structured finance consultant, said she expects the SEC to pursue charges against other CDO collateral managers. Tavakoli, who wrote a textbook on CDOs that is often referred to in the securities industry, said the allegations of self-dealing involving ICP are not an isolated event in the CDO industry.

For instance, she said it was not uncommon for CDO managers to trade pieces, or tranches, of CDOs between themselves simply to get marks in order to “prop up prices.”

“One of the claims a lot of managers make is that the disclaimers in CDO documents said they may have interest that runs contrary to that of their investors,” said Tavakoli. “But if a manager has a fiduciary responsibility they can’t simply do something in direct opposition to their investors’ interests. Boilerplate disclosure can be problematic.”

The case is SEC vs. ICP Asset Management, LLC et al. U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 10-4791. (Additional reporting by Matthew Goldstein, editing by Matthew Lewis and Gerald E. McCormick)

Nikkei to edge up; resistance at 9,900 seen holding

(Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average is likely to edge higher on Monday and test key resistance after strong U.S. consumer sentiment data reassured investors about the health of the economy following an unexpected drop in retail sales.

Japan

Chip-linked shares such as Advantest Corp are likely to rise after U.S. peers gained, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 1.4 percent.

But worries about the euro zone’s debt problems may make it hard for the benchmark to push above 9,900, the level of its 25-day moving average, analysts said.

“The Nikkei may well test resistance, but whether it actually breaks through it or not is problematical given the uncertainties that still linger,” said Hiroichi Nishi, general manager at the equity division of Nikko Cordial Securities.

“Some foreign investors, such as hedge funds, appear to be taking a positive view of the new government of (Prime Minister Naoto) Kan, and whether this will continue or not is another big question.”

Kan, who took over the nation’s top job after his unpopular predecessor quit abruptly nearly two weeks ago, has made tackling a public debt that is already twice the size of Japan’s GDP a top priority.

Other market players said investors will be eyeing a Thursday summit of European Union leaders for clues as to steps the euro zone might take on its debt issues.

In a sign stocks are likely to open higher, Nikkei futures traded in Chicago closed at 9,850, up 1.4 percent from the Osaka close.

U.S. retail sales slid an unexpected 1.2 percent, but data also showed U.S. consumer sentiment near a 2- year high.

The dollar hovered around 91.76 yen in early Asian trade and was likely to provide an additional boost to shares, while the euro was steady at 111.20 yen.

The benchmark Nikkei is expected to advance toward its 25-day moving average as longer-term technical momentum indicators such as MACD powered solidly upwards on Friday after narrowly averting a bearish cross last week.

Market players said the Nikkei will move between 9,700 and 9,900. It closed at 9,705.25 on Friday.

STOCKS TO WATCH

– Nissan Motor Co

Nissan’s automobile business is expected to be debt free for the first time in three years in fiscal 2010, with its net cash position likely about 100 billion yen, the Nikkei business daily reported.

– Itochu Corp

Trading house Itochu may issue an additional 50 billion yen in bonds in the current financial year to increase its reliance on direct financing, the Nikkei business daily said.

– Mitsui & Co

U.S. President Barack Obama will press BP to set up an escrow account to pay damage claims by individuals and businesses hurt by the Gulf of Mexico oil spill disaster.

Mitsui owns 10 percent of the leaking well.

MOVES-M.Stanley hires UBS banker for Asia listed derivatives

June 11 (Reuters) – Morgan Stanley (MS.N) has hired a banker from UBS (UBSN.VX) to oversee the marketing of listed derivatives in Asia, sources told Reuters, as the U.S. bank seeks to boost its share in the listed futures business.

Financials

Chris Chong has been hired as an executive director responsible for marketing listed derivatives in Asia, one of the sources, who was aware of the move, told Reuters.

His role will be to coordinate the listed derivatives marketing strategy with the prime brokerage division, which serves hedge funds, Morgan Stanley electronic trading and the traditional trading floor, sources said.

Chong was previously chief operating officer for UBS Futures in Singapore. UBS confirmed his departure.

Morgan Stanley was not available for comment.

Last year Morgan Stanley had hired Clark Hutchison and Bill Templer, who were co-heads of exchange-traded derivatives at UBS.[nBNG380841]

(Reporting by Saeed Azhar in SINGAPORE and Mia Shanley in STOCKHOLM)

“Black Swan” hedge funds gain in turbulent May

(Reuters) – European hedge funds betting on the fallout from unforeseen events were among a small band of winners in a stormy May for investors, and they predict things could get worse rather than better over the next three months.

Hedge Funds

Hedge funds lost about 2-3 percent of their value in May, according to data groups, against a backdrop of a 10 percent fall in world stocks as markets were buffeted by the “flash crash” on the Dow .DJI, BP’s (BP.L) Gulf of Mexico oil spill and riots in Greece against austerity measures to combat its debt crisis.

Rather than providing the all-weather returns some investors once hoped, hedge funds have developed something of a reputation for losing money in times of turbulence — while not losing as much as regular funds.

However, a few funds betting on fallout from rare, unforeseen events — sometimes dubbed ‘Black Swans’ after the book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb — reaped the benefits, as did some funds betting on currency moves or those able to hedge against market falls.

London-based 36 South Capital Management, which trades options to try and make money out of the impact of such rare events, saw big gains and said it is seeing large inflows from investors worried about volatility in coming months.

Its Gold fund, which buys out-of-the-money options on gold, returned 25 percent during the month, the firm’s CEO Jerry Haworth told Reuters. Such options’ strike prices are some distance from market price.

36 South’s Cullinan fund, which bets on inflation, gained 15 percent and its flagship Kohinoor fund rose 5.5 percent.

Haworth admits his funds suffered during 2009′s steady stock market rise and lower volatility, but doesn’t see a repeat any time soon. “I think we’re going into markets the likes of which we haven’t seen for nine or 10 years,” he said. “I’ve never seen so many nervous people.”

SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS

Meanwhile, bets on a deterioration in southern Europe’s debt crisis helped the Matrix PVE Global Credit fund gain an estimated 15 percent in May after it returned 19 percent in April.

Gennaro Pucci, chief investment officer of PVE, said he didn’t expect the debt crisis to be resolved any time soon, in spite of the $1 trillion emergency package to help stabilise the euro zone.

“The fund has had a consistent view since October about the possibility of a large tail event in the sovereign debt market, and that there would be structural problems in the aftermath of the financial crisis,” he told Reuters.

“We don’t expect the sovereign situation in Europe to improve through the injection of liquidity into the markets, and we are preparing ourselves to take advantage of the volatility this crisis will bring.”

Elsewhere, currency markets proved volatile. The euro dropped around 7 percent against the dollar as the debt crisis worsened, but these moves provided opportunities for some funds.

Switzerland-based Insch Capital Management, for instance, returned 4.3 percent gross of fees in its computer-driven Interbank Currency Program, while its three-times leveraged fund made 12.8 percent net of fees, its best monthly return since the nadir of the credit crisis in October 2008.

Other funds to gain included London-based CQS’s ABS fund, which returned an estimated 2.4 percent in May, according to a source close to the company, thanks to hedges it had in place against market falls.

Purchases during the Dow’s temporary slump at the start of May helped London-based Noster Capital to a 0.9 percent gain.

(Editing by Tom Pfeiffer) (To read the Reuters Funds Blog click on blogs.reuters.com/fundshub; for the Global Investing Blog click here)

Good chance for ‘reasonable’ US reform bill-Volcker

June 9 (Reuters) – There is a good chance that the sweeping U.S. financial reform bill will be passed in a “reasonable form,” White House economic adviser Paul Volcker said on Wednesday, adding the bill could provide a basis for international coordination on coherent legislation.

Regulatory News | Global Markets | Funds News | ETFs News | Private Capital

He added there is no basis yet for “business as usual” in U.S. and European financial markets, despite some economic growth over the last year.

The proposed “Volcker rule” being debated by U.S. lawmakers would ban risky proprietary trading unrelated to customers’ needs; bar them from sponsoring hedge funds and private equity funds; and limit their future growth through a new cap on market share. (Reporting by Jonathan Spicer; Editing by James Dalgleish)

Research and Markets: How to Start and Grow a Successful Hedge Fund in Europe, 4th Edition

DUBLIN–(Business Wire)–
Research and Markets
(http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/13a941/how_to_start_and_g) has
announced the addition of the “How to Start and Grow a Successful Hedge Fund in
Europe, 4th Edition” report to their offering.

As the global market for hedge funds continues to evolve, Europe remains a key
market for both the establishment and selling of hedge funds. This fourth
edition written and sponsored by experienced practitioners from Credit Suisse
and Dechert LLP, contains critical information on all aspects of establishing
and operating a hedge fund. The editorial content will be broadened to include
information that will help already established hedge funds grow. The book will
be prefaced by an overview of the hedge fund industry in Europe.

Key Topics Covered:

Chapter One: London, the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the Need
for Authorisation Peter Astleford, Dick Frase and Richard Heffner, Dechert LLP.

Chapter Two: Key Considerations in Structuring a Hedge Fund Peter Astleford and
Mark Stapleton, Dechert LLP

Chapter Three: Key Considerations in Selling Hedge Funds to European Investors
Dechert LLP.

Chapter Four: Key Considerations in Selling Hedge Funds to US Investors Dechert
LLP.

Chapter Five: Institutions Dechert LLP

Chapter Six: Key Considerations in Choosing a Prime Broker Credit Suisse Prime
Services Coverage Team, Credit Suisse.

Chapter Seven: How to Start a Successful Hedge Fund in Europe in 2009 Advanced
Prime Services Team, Credit Suisse

Chapter Eight: Hedge Fund Outsourcing Advanced Prime Services Team, Credit
Suisse.

Chapter Nine: Anchor Investment: a Key Determinant of a Successful Hedge Fund
Launch Capital Services Team, Credit Suisse.

Chapter Ten: Fund Administration Marshall Saffer, Viteos Fund Services

Chapter Eleven: The Role of Independent Directors Geoff Ruddick, International
Management Services Inc.

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Euro falls to 4-year low versus dollar

June 1 (Reuters) – The euro fell to a 4-year low versus the dollar on Tuesday, as fears the euro zone debt crisis may spread to its banking system hit sentiment and as stop-losses were targeted.

The euro EUR= fell to $1.2116, its lowest level since April 2006. Traders said stop-losses from hedge funds were targeted under the previous low at $1.2143.

Technical analysts also highlighted the break below key support at $1.2135, the 50 percent retracement of the 2000-2008 rally in the single currency.

JGBs climb on Treasuries, rising stocks cap gains

TOKYO, April 14 (Reuters) – Japanese government bond futures climbed on Wednesday, boosted by a rise in longer-dated U.S. Treasuries the previous day and by buying from cross-asset traders.

Gains in futures helped five-year notes, to which they are more closely linked than other maturities, steepening the yield curve a little.

But the advance in JGBs was limited as investors were hesitant to chase prices higher, with Tokyo’s Nikkei stock average .N225 up 0.4 percent, moving back towards 18-month highs. [.T]

“Overseas players are buying back futures, providing support for cash bonds,” said Hidenori Suezawa, chief strategist at Nikko Cordial Securities.

“Meanwhile, Japanese investors are sticking to their bargain-hunting stance.”

Traders said overseas players who were active on Wednesday included commodity trading advisers (CTAs) and hedge funds.

June 10-year JGB futures 2JGBv1 gained 0.13 point to 138.73.

The rise in futures was also capped ahead of an auction of five-year debt on Thursday.

Five-year JGBs have traditionally met with demand from cash rich Japanese banks, but dealers were wary of pushing prices too high before the auction and dampening the new paper’s appeal, market players said.

The five-year yield JP5YTN=JBTC was unchanged at 0.530 percent.

The benchmark 10-year yield JP10YTN=JBTC slipped 1 basis point to 1.360 percent, having fallen from a five-month peak of 1.405 percent marked last week.

The firmness in the long-end helped the yield curve bull steepen — when yields of shorter-dated debt decline more relative to longer-dated ones.

The 30-year yield JP30YTN=JBTC inched up 1 basis point to 2.230 percent a day after a re-opening of the No. 32 30-year JGB drew tepid demand as the maturity was regarded as expensive following a recent bull run. The yield struck a four-month trough of 2.200 percent last week.

The 10-year/30-year yield spread widened 2 basis points to 86.5 basis points after marking a five-month low below 83 basis points on Tuesday, the culmination of a flattening phase that began a month ago.

“The flattening of the curve looks to be at an end if current market sentiment holds. But underlying demand exists from a variety of investors, so a rise in superlong yields could lead to a buying phase as we saw last month,” said Kenro Kawano, a fixed-income strategist at Credit Suisse.

Japan’s life insurers, one of the main buyers of superlong debt, have said they want to increase holdings of these maturities if yields rise. [JP/INS]

Longer-dated Treasuries rose on Tuesday as investors awaited an inflation report and testimony by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Wednesday, both of which are expected to paint a cloudy picture of the economy. [US/] (Additional reporting by Shinichi Saoshiro; Editing by Joseph Radford)

Gunns investors exit after profit slump

A financial analyst says up to a quarter of Gunns’ shares have changed hands since the timber company announced its 98 per cent half-yearly profit tumble.

Last month the company revealed its profit after tax was $400,000, down from $33.6 million for the same time last year.

Matthew Torenius told ABC Local Radio 10 million Gunns’ shares were traded yesterday before the market opened.

“Since the announcement of the profit downgrade last month, we’ve probably seen 20 to 25 per cent of the shares change hands in the company,” he said.

“A lot of that is to and fro, and smaller players coming in and out, but there’s definitely been some quite large lines of stock being traded in Gunns.

“The major shareholders that were on the books at the time of that profit downgrade are very, very dirty at the way the whole profit downgrade was handled.”

“There’ve been a number of the institutions selling out of the stock.

“My gut feeling is, given the asset base of Gunns and the view from a number of punters, that the assets are worth more than where the stock’s trading at the moment.

“I wouldn’t be surprised to see some pretty heavy-hitting hedge funds starting to move up the registry,” he said.

Lehman takes middle road on plan for creditors

(Reuters) – Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (LEHMQ.PK), which filed for bankruptcy in September 2008, wants to take a “middle of the road” approach to repaying creditors, hoping for a consensual outcome that avoids litigation.

The move may please some creditors and frustrate others, but Lehman says its main goal is to achieve a settlement as soon as possible.

“What we’re trying to do is 1) maximize value for all creditors and 2) expedite the return of assets to creditors as quickly as possible,” Lehman’s president and chief operating officer John Suckow said in an interview with Reuters on Tuesday.

In Lehman’s initial reorganization plan filed on Monday, the company unveiled a plan to repay secured and unsecured creditors and said it would seek to resolve its bankruptcy case by creating a new unit, LAMCO, to manage what is left of the bank’s commercial real estate, mortgages, principal investments, private equity, corporate debt and derivatives assets.

But almost as important as what Lehman has proposed, is what it has not proposed. It could have taken the tack that creditors claims against various Lehman entities should all be pooled using a “substantive consolidation” process that would not distinguish as much between creditors with strong and weak claims to its assets. Or it could have set up a process where each claim would be litigated individually.

“Between those two extremes, we’re trying to put forward an economic settlement plan that avoids the litigation involved with a substantive consolidation approach and avoids litigation that would come from a case by case resolution,” Suckow said.

One aspect of the plan is that it tries to resolve Lehman’s issues with so-called “guarantee claims,” where the bank’s third-party creditors and affiliates have said they are owed money based on guarantees provided by the parent company. These guarantees are important to Lehman’s various counterparties, such as hedge funds, that traded derivatives and other assets with Lehman.

In some cases, several parties — such as a hedge fund and a Lehman subsidiary could file claims against the parent stemming from the same dispute — essentially leaving Lehman with double claims.

Lehman chief executive Bryan Marsal said in a statement on Monday that one of the “core” aspects of Lehman’s plan was that guarantee claims “should not exceed the actual liabilities to Lehman’s third parties on a worldwide basis.”

In the company’s proposed reorganization plan, it said creditors with third-party guarantee claims could recover up to $94.1 billion, while affiliate creditors with guarantee claims could recover up to $21.2 billion.

“A fundamental goal of the plan is to first deal with third party creditor claims of all estates and then deal with claims filed by affiliates,” Suckow said.

“We’re hoping to rally people around this concept. If this does not work, then we have not ruled out substantive consolidation.”

Lehman is currently negotiating with creditors and plans to ask the bankruptcy court for approval to file a disclosure statement in mid-April that would provide further details on its reorganization plans and the state of the business, according to court papers it filed on Tuesday.

Dennis Dunne, an attorney for Lehman’s official committee of unsecured creditors, did not return a call seeking comment on Tuesday.

The case is In re: Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York, No. 08-13555.

(Reporting by Emily Chasan; editing by Andre Grenon)

Fed’s Yellen: Biggest hedge funds need regulation

NEW YORK, April 16 (Reuters) – The most systemically important hedge funds should be regulated as such, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Janet Yellen, said on Thursday.

Answering audience questions after a speech to an economics conference in New York, Yellen said she hoped that the system, in which hedge funds are not subject to disclosure requirements, would change.

“The most systemically important hedge funds I would treat as systemically important” in the way they are regulated, she said. (Reporting by Kristina Cooke and Gertrude Chavez; Editing by Leslie Adler)

FOREX-Yen slips, sterling hits 3-mth high vs dlr

Yen slips on stocks as short-term players buy crosses

* Sterling buoyed buy UK housing news

TOKYO, April 16 (Reuters) – The yen slipped against major currencies on Thursday following strong gains in Tokyo share prices, while sterling jumped after brighter British housing data gave investors the chance to test higher ground for the currency.

Japan’s Nikkei share average .N225 rose 3 percent, fuelled by a gain on Wall Street on optimism the U.S. recession may be abating, although currency market players expressed caution following a mixed set of data from the United States on Wednesday.

Sterling hit a three-month high against the dollar after a report on Wednesday showed the pace of decline in house prices in England and Wales moderated to its slowest in a year and sales volumes picked up from record low levels. [ID:nLF98976]

Higher yielding currencies such as the Australian dollar and sterling were also getting a lift versus the yen.

“The crosses against the yen are being bought by short-term players, mainly foreign hedge funds,” a trader at a Japanese banks said.

The market was also awaiting earnings reports from major U.S. companies such as JPMorgan (JPM.N) on Thursday and Citigroup (C.N) on Friday, traders said.

“Recent optimism has waned but better-than-expected U.S. earnings so far are preventing stocks from falling sharply. With more business results coming, the market lacks decisive factors,” said Akira Takeuchi, manager at Chuo Mitsui Trust and Banking.

U.S. data showed consumer prices posted their first 12-month drop in nearly 54 years in March and industrial production slipped further. But the Federal Reserve said economic activity in some parts of economy appeared to be stabilising. [ID:nN15491736]

The dollar was at 99.44 yen, little changed from late U.S. trade on Wednesday.

The euro rose 0.3 percent to 131.83 yen while the Australian dollar gained 0.5 percent to 72.62 yen .

The Aussie was also up 0.5 percent at $0.7304 while sterling climbed 0.5 percent to $1.5057 . It hit a peak of $1.5069, its highest since early January, according to Reuters data.

The euro rose 0.2 percent to $1.3252 , although traders said comments by an ECB official that the central bank would lay out a package in May of non-traditional monetary policy measures to boost the economy was likely to keep the currency under pressure. [ID:nLF125201] (Reporting by Kaori Kaneko; Editing by Michael Watson)

PRESS DIGEST – Washington Post Business – April 11

WASHINGTON, April 11 (Reuters) – The Washington Post included the following items its business section on April 11. Reuters has not verified these stories and does not vouch for their accuracy.

TOKYO – Japan, which soothed the pain of its ruptured bubble economy in the 1990s with massive government borrowing, is again swallowing giant doses of deficit medicine. To recover from a global downtown that has hurt Japan more than any industrialized nation, Prime Minister Taro Aso announced on Friday his third and largest stimulus package at $150 billion since coming to power last September.

WASHINGTON – A dispute has erupted involving the creditors of Chrysler who are negotiating with the federal government to reduce the beleaguered automaker’s debt load. Some banks and hedge funds are balking at the offer made by the Treasury Department at a meeting in Washington late last week that would wipe out 85 percent of the $7 billion owed to them, according to people familiar with the matter.

WASHINGTON – A federal appeals court ruled that a case involving fraud claims against an American contractor in Iraq could not be blocked merely because the contract was administered by the U.S.-led Coalition Provisional Authority, a multinational governing body set up in the chaotic aftermath of the 2003 invasion.

WASHINGTON – With more and more Americans using software to figure their taxes and the Web to file their annual returns, the Internal Revenue Service has decided it’s time to beef up its oversight of the security and accuracy of such filings.

G20 musters $1.1 trillion to fight global crisis

World leaders set out a $1.1 trillion package to help revive the global economy on Thursday, as a U.S. accounting standards board gave more flexibility to banks carrying the toxic assets that poisoned the international financial system.

G20 leaders meeting in London also moved to tighten rules on tax havens, hedge funds and credit rating agencies, aiming to ward off future crises, and U.S. President Barack Obama declared the summit a “turning point” for the world.

Stock markets, which had been disappointed by a smaller-than-expected interest rate cut by the European Central Bank and a sharp jump in U.S. jobless claims, surged on the news out of London promising help to struggling national economies and out of Washington offering relief to banks that have been forced to write down billions of dollars.

On Wall Street, the blue-chip Dow Jones industrial average rose 2.8 percent. The index of top European shares gained nearly 5 percent. Japan’s Nikkei gained 4.4 percent. Oil rose nearly 9 percent to top $52 a barrel.

The Group of 20 leaders from the world’s biggest economies said in a communique that measures agreed in London will raise world output by 4 percent by the end of next year.

The agreements include a promise to triple the resources of the International Monetary Fund to $750 billion, with $40 billion coming from China — a significant step for the world’s third-largest economy.

A package worth $250 billion over two years will support global trade flows.

The G20 also agreed to create a financial stability board to provide early warning of systemic economic risks. It agreed to place hedge funds under supervision for the first time.

“Today’s agreement begins to crack down on the cowboys in financial markets that have brought global markets undone,” Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said.

Some economists said the new IMF funds masked the fact that there was no agreement for more fiscal stimulus actions by individual countries, something the United States, UK and Japan wanted but France and Germany strongly resisted.

In the United States, the Financial Accounting Standards Board voted to give banks more flexibility in valuing toxic assets. The changes, to take effect in the second quarter, could reduce writedowns and soften blows to bank earnings.

But the news on the unemployment front continued to worsen.

The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose to their highest level in more than 26 years last week.

Data released in Spain showed the number of people claiming jobless benefits climbed steeply in March and at a much higher rate than larger European economies. Euro zone unemployment jumped more than expected in February to 8.5 percent.

As the ranks of the unemployed grow, so too do their debt loads.

A report by the American Bankers Association, which represents most large U.S. banks and credit card companies, said the percentage of consumer loans at least 30 days late rose to a seasonally adjusted 3.22 percent in the October-to-December period from 2.9 percent in the prior quarter.

Two key industries offered glimmers of hope.

Shares of major carmakers rallied after sales in the United States and Europe in March were better than expected, encouraging hopes that the global auto market collapse could be nearing an end. Car sales in Germany jumped 40 percent in March.

In Britain, where the property market is a key component of consumer confidence, data from home loan company Nationwide reported that house prices rose in March for the first time since October 2007, although the lender cautioned against jumping to conclusions about a housing market rebound.

In Washington, the former chief executive of American International Group — and creator of the unit that led to its downfall — came under fire from U.S. lawmakers who questioned his claim that he knew of no losses from the products initiated during his tenure.

Maurice Greenberg, forced out by AIG’s board in 2005 after refusing to cooperate with an internal investigation, denied responsibility for the firm’s near-collapse. “When I left the company, it was healthy,” he said.

The European Central Bank cut its main financing rate by half the expected 50 basis points to 1.25 percent. But investors shrugged off their disappointment, with some betting more cuts are on the way.

(Additional reporting by Marc Jones in FRANKFURT, Kevin Plumberg in HONG KONG, Poornima Gupta and Soyoung Kim in Detroit, Wayne Cole in SYDNEY and Reuters bureaux around the world)