Greek pension reform to be fair, viable – PM

June 25 (Reuters) – Greece’s pension reform will be fair and is needed to make the system viable, Prime Minister George Papandreou told parliament ahead of a cabinet meeting meant to agree a pension reform plan.

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“Today we want to succeed on two fronts, to have a pension system that is viable … and fair,” the Prime Minister said on Friday.

Opinion polls show a very large majority of Greeks oppose the pension reform and unions will stage a general 24-hour strike on June 29.

The cabinet meeting is meant to agree on a major overhaul of the debt-choked country’s ailing pension system and to ease labour rules to make it easier to fire staff, key requirements of a 110-billion euro EU/IMF bailout programme. (Reporting by Tatiana Fragou and Ingrid Melander)

3 dead after protesters torch Greek bank

Three people died in a burning bank as tens of thousands of protesters took to the streets of Athens during a general strike over the Greek government’s planned spending cuts.

Some protesters tried to storm parliament while others threw petrol bombs at police and torched buildings in protest against new austerity measures and a decision to raise taxes to meet the conditions of its international bailout.

A petrol bomb hurled at an Athens branch of the Marfin Investment Bank killed two women and a man who were caught in the resulting inferno.

It was always going to be hard to convince Greeks that ripping $43 billion out of their public services and hiking their taxes was a necessary consequence of the international bailout.

As the Greek prime minister George Papandreou looked out from his parliamentary office, he saw exactly how angry they were.

“We are all deeply shocked by the unjust death of three of our citizens – citizens that were victims of a raw, murderous act,” Mr Papandreou said.

A professor of economics at the University of Athens, Yanis Varoufakis, did not go to work today because it was not safe.

But he rode his bicycle into the city to survey the aftermath of the day’s mass demonstration.

“What I did witness was the battlefields after the troops had departed,” he said.

“There were a few still burning or smoking cars, a couple of fire engines that had been torched, a building that belongs to the finance ministry – not far away from home – was completely burned down.

“Otherwise, it was an empty city without people.”

Professor Varoufakis blames angry youths for the violence and deaths.

“It seems it was a large demonstration, which unfortunately was infiltrated by the usual band of 100 or 200 professional [trouble-makers],” he said.

“They’re the ones who created the circumstances for the death, the tragic death and loss of those three people.”

But Professor Varoufakis says there is “a very deep sense of injustice” across Greece.

“In the foreign media, even the local media, there is a portrayal of the Greek people living above their means, who are lazy, who are not working. The truth, as always, is quite different from appearances,” he said.

“This is a country of incredibly hard-working people, people who have two and three jobs in order to make ends meet.

“Greece is also a country with the highest degree of poverty outside of Latvia in the whole of Europe, not just the eurozone, and it is a country in which a great deal of money was made over the last 10-20 years, but it was highly concentrated in a very small percentage of the population.

“The rest have been struggling through the good times, through times of economic growth, to survive. Not to have a good life but just to survive, and they are the ones who now have to foot the bill for the economic collapse.”

As Athens burned, many in Berlin were still fuming about having to foot most of the bill for Greek profligacy.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel addressed parliament, raising her voice above the catcalls and angry hecklers from the opposition parties.

“This is about nothing less than the future of Europe and with it the future of Germany in Europe,” she said.

Approval ratings for the chancellor have dropped six points since the aid package for Greece was announced.

Ms Merkel might pay a higher political price on the weekend when crucial regional elections are held.

Greek PM announces activation of EU/IMF aid package

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou on Friday asked for the activation of an EU/IMF aid package aimed at pulling the euro zone member out of a debt crisis.

“It is imperative that we ask for the activation of the mechanism,” Papandreou said while visiting the remote Aegean island of Kastellorizo.

(Reporting by Dina Kyriakidou; Editing by Ingrid Melander)

Greece presses ‘help’ button, markets still wary

Debt-stricken Greece appealed to its European partners and the IMF for emergency loans on Friday, yielding to overwhelming market pressure to start the first financial rescue of a member of the euro zone.

Prime Minister George Papandreou asked to tap the 45 billion euro ($60.5 billion) package after investors feared a default and pushed borrowing costs to record levels, undermining Athens’ efforts to cut its 300 billion euro debt pile.

“It is a national and imperative need to officially ask our partners in the EU for the activation of the support mechanism we jointly created,” Papandreou said in a statement broadcast live from the remote, tiny Aegean island of Kastellorizo.

“The time that was not granted to us by the markets will be given to us by the support of the euro zone.”

European markets rallied on the announcement but fell back as investors said the long-awaited bailout, which could be the largest multilateral rescue of a country ever tried, would bring only short-term relief.

There were concerns it could force harsher austerity on Greece, deepening its recession, and that it would set a precedent for other euro zone underperformers.

Greek riot police fired teargas on Friday at leftist protesters marching through central Athens against austerity measures, police said.

The euro was up 0.8 percent on the day at $1.3390.

The Greek crisis has hit confidence in the single currency which is shared by 16 of the 27 EU member states. There are fears problems could spread to weaker euro-zone economies like Portugal and Spain and fuel skepticism in some quarters about the euro’s long-term survival.

“On the one hand it could be perceived a relief that Greece is taking the financial help but it does not address the systemic risk and begs the question as to whether countries like Spain may look for the same rescue package in the near future,” said Simon Brown, CEO of financial analysts Prospreads in London, forecasting further euro weakness.

The premium investors demand to buy Greek 10-year government bonds rather than euro zone benchmark Bunds tightened to 525 basis points, versus 611 on Thursday, before rebounding back to 570.

Torn between punishing global market forces and Greek workers protesting at painful austerity measures, Papandreou’s socialist government hesitated over pressing the “help” button, tempting investors to bet against its debt.

The last straw came on Thursday when the European Commission revealed that Greece’s 2009 public deficit was even higher than feared at 13.6 percent of gross domestic product, raising the bar for this year’s drastic cut. That drove Greek bond yields to 12-year highs, making borrowing prohibitive.

The decision to invoke the aid mechanism followed a marathon seven-hour cabinet meeting, at which some ministers voiced fears of still tougher austerity conditions, Greek media reported.

“This certainly does not mark the end of the crisis, there’s still much further to go,” said Ben May, European economist at Capital Economics. “They’ve still got the medium-term problems of getting their public finances in order, and obviously the issue of competitiveness.”

TIMING IN FOCUS

Athens continued talks with the Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund on Friday on a three-year fiscal programme including the aid package. Time is pressing, with an 8.5 billion euro bond due to mature on May 19.

Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said he expected the first tranche of aid to be disbursed before that deadline.

France said it hoped to approve its portion between May 3-6. German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, who will meet top lawmakers on Monday to discuss fast-track approval for loans to Greece, said Berlin would make its contribution if the EU, the ECB and the IMF agree Athens needs help.

The United States, which has a veto over IMF decisions, supported Greece’s decision to ask for the activation of the aid package, the White House said.

Economists say a rescue is likely to entail further European and IMF aid in 2011 and 2012, and some forecast Greece will have to restructure its debt.

French and German banks are among the biggest holders of Greek bonds. Germany’s deputy finance minister on Friday said speculation about debt restructuring was unfounded.

It could take a week for the Commission and ECB to decide if Greece’s request is valid and for euro zone finance ministers to then take a formal decision, the Commission said.

“Everything is going to be done in such a way that the mechanism can be triggered as soon as (necessary) and as is necessary for Greece,” spokesman Amadeu Altafaj said.

He said interest on the loans — expected to be around 5 percent from euro zone states — would be in line with a formula worked out by euro zone finance ministers earlier this month. Because the date of the disbursement was not known yet, it was impossible to say now what the exact level would be.

Greece has said the Commission could potentially offer a bridge loan to fill a gap if the aid were not approved in time to cover its funding needs.

The timing could hardly be worse for German Chancellor Angela Merkel. She faces strong public opposition to aid for Greece ahead of a key regional election on May 9 in which the centre-right government’s upper house majority is at stake.

Germany is Europe’s largest economy and would be the biggest contributor to a bailout. Merkel has had to drop her initial resistance to financial assistance and back down on demanding market rates on loans.

After a telephone call with Papandreou on Friday, she told reporters: “I’m absolutely in agreement with (Foreign Minister) Guido Westerwelle that the stability of our currency has priority, on the other hand we also agree that the savings efforts of Greece have to be absolutely credible.” [nLDE63M1T0]

STICKING-PLASTER

Another question is whether the 30 billion euros pledged by euro zone states and 10-15 billion from the IMF will cover the 39 billion euros in debt Greece has coming due in the next 12 months, plus other costs forecast in the 2010 budget deficit.

“In the longer-term, it’s just a sticking plaster over the situation,” said Daragh Maher, deputy head of forex strategy at Credit Agricole CIB. “The situation remains highly uncertain.”

Papandreou won an election last year pledging to tax the rich and help the poor. He has come under increasing pressure since his government announced Greece’s 2009 budget gap was twice previous estimates and four times the EU ceiling.

The main Greek public sector union brought nurses, teachers and other public service workers onto the streets of Athens against the government’s austerity measures. It vowed another 24-hour strike in early May.

A poll showed on Friday support for Papandreou, while still high, was falling and a majority feared the bailout would hit living standards. In Athens, many said the deal was inevitable, but public sector worker Sofia Hatzaki was angry.

“I hit the roof when I heard,” she said. “I want to scream. This means more austerity measures are coming and recovery is very far away.”

(Writing by Mike Winfrey, editing by Andrew Hay)

Greece downgraded, deficit worse than feared

Greece’s budget gap last year was worse than feared, the European Union’s statistics office revealed on Thursday, as Moody’s Investors Service downgraded its rating of Greek government debt.

The news triggered a fresh slide of asset prices in Greece and other debt-choked European countries, and increased pressure on Athens to seek billions of euros of emergency loans from the EU and the International Monetary Fund.

Greece’s two-year government bond yield soared four percentage points to 12.26 percent as investors bet the country would need a bailout to avoid restructuring its debt or defaulting. Athens will have to refinance 8.5 billion euros ($11.3 billion) of bonds maturing on May 19.

On Thursday evening, Prime Minister George Papandreou was in the seventh straight hour of talks with ministers on how to handle the crisis. It was unclear whether an announcement would be made after the meeting.

“It looks like a terrible situation just got worse,” said Nick Kounis, economist at Fortis.

The budget figures were announced as tens of thousands of Greek nurses, teachers and other public workers staged a one-day strike to protest against the government’s austerity measures.

More than 10,000 civil servants and students marched to parliament, demanding that Athens reject any pressure for further spending cuts in crisis talks that it launched this week with the EU and the IMF.

The Greek government posted a budget deficit of 32.34 billion euros or 13.6 percent of gross domestic product in 2009, not the 12.7 percent which it had reported earlier, Eurostat said in a review of countries’ deficits throughout the region.

It added that the Greek deficit might be revised again, by between 0.3 and 0.5 percentage points of GDP, because of uncertainty about the quality of Greece’s data and accounting procedures.

In a brief statement, the Greek Finance Ministry insisted the new numbers would not change its intention to shrink the deficit by four percentage points this year. It said measures already taken would be enough to cut the deficit by six points.

BACKING AWAY FROM TARGET

But both Athens and EU officials appeared to be backing away from a previously announced target for Greece to slash the deficit to 8.7 percent of GDP this year.

“The target for 2010 is a four percentage point reduction of the deficit. We did not refer to the starting point or the arrival figure, only the reduction effort,” European Commission spokesman Amadeu Altafaj said in Brussels. “Greece is on track to meet the target for 2010; that is what counts.”

Some revision to the 2009 budget gap had been expected, and several analysts said Athens might still succeed in cutting its deficit sharply this year.

But the financial markets were hit hard by the revision because inaccuracies in Greek data — some of them apparently deliberate and politically motivated — have fuelled its debt crisis by angering investors and Greece’s EU partners.

Last October, the incoming socialist government said Greece’s 2009 budget deficit would be twice as big as a previous estimates — and four times the EU ceiling.

“What concerns me is the general uncertainty about the Greek official figures. This affects market perception about Greece …that one can’t rely on the Greek statistics and that the deficit is revised up and up and up,” Giada Giani, economist at Citigroup, said on Thursday.

The Greek Finance Ministry attributed the latest revision to a deep recession, which reduced GDP more than expected, and a reassessment of the financial accounts of pension funds.

Moody’s cut Greece’s sovereign rating by one notch to A3, placing it four notches above “junk” status, and kept the new rating on review for a possible further downgrade.

“There is a significant risk that debt may only stabilise at a higher and more costly level than previously estimated,” it said. Rival agencies rate Greece lower, with Standard & Poor’s at BBB+ and Fitch at BBB-.

MARKETS

Greece’s two-year government bond yield has soared nearly 11 percentage points from just 1.38 percent before the crisis erupted last November. The 10-year bond yield hit 9.17 percent on Thursday but rose more slowly, increasing the inversion of the Greek yield curve — a classic sign that investors fear Greece may have trouble servicing its debt.

The cost of insuring five-year Greek government debt against a default through credit default swaps shot up to the highest level in Europe, surpassing Ukraine.

Investors fear other weak euro zone states could become the next “dominos” if Greece defaults; bond yields and CDS for Spain, Portugal and Ireland also rose on Thursday.

The euro sank almost 1 percent to near one-year lows against the dollar, as investors worried that the Greek crisis had exposed severe economic strains within the euro zone and member states’ difficulties in coordinating policies.

The markets think Greece will almost certainly have to apply for a 40-45 billion euro aid package from euro zone states and the IMF — though the German public’s opposition to helping Greece could delay the disbursal of funds by Berlin.

Austrian Finance Minister Josef Proell said Athens was apparently unwilling to accept conditions that would be attached to the aid, and was therefore hesitating about applying for funds. But he added that “the time for action is now.”

Greece may get a short-term bridge loan from European countries before the EU/IMF aid package is activated, a senior Greek government source told reporters, though he stressed his comment was theoretical and there was no need for such action.

A Reuters poll of about 50 economists found that because of the aid package, they saw only a 5 percent chance of a Greek default in the next three months. But they estimated a 23 percent chance in the next five years. Capital Economics said that even if Greece soon obtained 45 billion euros in emergency loans, it might need tens of billions of euros in additional aid over the next year, and instead of calming, markets might simply switch to focusing on the bleak medium-term outlook for Greek finances.

(Additional reporting by Renee Maltezou, Harry Papachristou and Emilia Sithole-Matarise; Writing by Mike Winfrey; Editing by Andrew Torchia)

Greece: Coming Acropolis

Greece faces regular strikes and go-slows in private companies, strikes by power workers and lawyers and taxi drivers and tax collectors, and another public service strike looms on Thursday.

Riot squads are on stand-by at critical intersections in the capital, and regularly unleash their batons and tear gas. Anarchists are bombing racist groups and right wingers are blowing up refugees.

All these expressions of rage, with the exception of the bouts of political violence, the origins of which predate the current crisis, stem from the fact the Greek government is virtually broke, owing the world 300 billion euros (roughly $450 billion) and is having to pay an enormous premium to keep rolling over the loans.

Consequently the government has imposed a series of austerity measures which will slash public services, cut wages and allowances, raise taxes and delay pensions.

As the Greek newspaper Kathimerini reports, prime minister George Papandreou told parliament “The measures we have taken hurt, but think of what would have happened if we had gone bankrupt… the average Greek and the weak would have been hurt.”

However, the strikers are telling the PASOK (Socialist) government they are already hurting.

Greece is in recession and the economy could shrink by 4 per cent this year; Greeks are desperately worried about how much more pain they will have to endure.

For it seems almost inevitable now, with a flying squad of International Monetary Fund (IMF) inspectors digging into the government’s books in Athens, Greece will ask for as much as 15 billion euros ($21.89 billion) in emergency IMF funding.

The European Union has belatedly and very reluctantly offered another $30 billion rescue package, though they have only done so because the euro is wobbling and there are considerable fears of Greek contagion to other debt heavy Club Med economies like Spain and Italy.

Greek banks are experiencing capital flight and are seeking access to emergency government funds, while households cheques are bouncing all over the country.

Root causes

The ABC’s Foreign Correspondent program has sought to get beyond the statistics to focus on the root causes of Greece’s problems.

In every conversation with Greeks about the current financial crisis, from the street view to the boardroom, inevitably they would invoke the word “trust”.

And they use it in the negative. Simply put, the current day citizens of the world’s most ancient democracy have a deep distrust of the institutions of the state that are meant to serve them.

This absence of “trust” is then used to justify almost everything from bad driving to tax evasion to direct political action, including, at the extreme end, a wave of bombings.

Dig a bit deeper and it becomes clear this distrust of government is age-old, stretching back decades including those times when Greece was led by prime minister Papandreou’s father, Andreas, and before him grandfather George, among others in the political establishment.

In recent years there were two political scandals which have had Greeks shaking their heads.

The Siemens case, where the German telecommunications company was bribing politicians of both major parties to secure government contracts, and the Vatopedi affair involving an exchange of lands between the government and the Greek Orthodox Church, enriching middlemen and robbing taxpayers.

While investigations continue into both scandals there is no public confidence that the full truth will ever be revealed or that politicians involved will be held to account.

Moreover, Greeks feel short changed on basic services.

Christos Kyriakousis, a taxi driver who has worked with Foreign Correspondent a number of times in recent years, says “They ask me to pay more money and nobody knows where it goes.

“No money goes for education, no money goes for the medical system, no money goes for retirement but we still have to pay more and more money every day. ”

The conundrum is that services are failing despite Greece having an extraordinarily large public service, numbering by some counts more than a million people at national and local level, one in six of all wage earners.

The adjectives that tend to be attached to the public service are “bloated”, “inefficient” and “corrupt”.

Black economy growing

At the big end of town there is despair.

Costas Bakouris has been a fixture in the Greek corporate world for decades.

In his role as the Greek head of Transparency International, a global civil organisation dedicated to increasing government accountability and curbing corruption, he says the basic issue is “traditionally there was not a lot of confidence between governments and citizens”.

This breakdown is reflected in two structural and inter-related impediments to a well functioning economy – tax avoidance and corruption.

Mr Bakouris says more than a third of Greece’s gross national product is unregulated and untaxed.

“The black economy I used to estimate to be about one third of our gross national product,” he said.

“The latest information I just received from the bank, it is 37 per cent, which is quite significant which means that our undeclared GNP is anywhere between 80 to 100 billion [euros - $116 to $146 billion] more than what we officially declare, ” Mr Bakouris said.

To try to capture more of this black money the government has flagged some much overdue reforms. From 2011, no financial transaction of more than 1,500 euros ($2,189) will be regarded as legal if it is paid in cash.

The top rate of the three-tier value added tax has been raised to 21 per cent and there is a lure to stop the rich holding money offshore – if bank deposits are repatriated within six months there will be a five per cent tax and no questions asked.

Transparency International lists Greece as the most corrupt nation of the 16 European nations which make up the eurozone.

Mr Bakouris says, “Well the estimate for what I call petty corruption, which is fakelaki, is around 800 million euros ($1,167 million) a year, which is a significant amount.”

In fact he points to surveys which show that on average Greeks pay out about $1,977 in fakelaki payments – small bribes – per year, often to government bureaucrats, to speed up the processing on an application or a permit.

Tax auditors have a particularly bad reputation for taking payments to make problem disappear.

Survival

At a street level, Christos Kyriakousis has a much more sanguine view of fakelaki. He says it is about family survival.

“The way I look at it with the fakelaki, with bribing somebody. If someone works in the public sector, OK he’s got a family behind him,” he said.

“He makes like 600, 800, 1000 euros a month. How are you going to support your family with 1000 euros a month? You can’t so you have to find different ways. You have to get your fakelaki.”

For Greek Australian entrepreneur Nick Geronimos, who has spent eight years building up a backpacker and studio apartment business in Athens, fakelaki is an unfortunate part of doing business.

“You think, am I going to stay in business? Or am I going to play the game as the particular public servant wants,” he said.

“You just have to, you’ve got no choice. We don’t call it fakelaki. The expat Australians call it a facilitation fee.”

Greeks, it can be reasonably predicted, face some difficult years.

The country desperately needs the sort of structural and micro-economic reforms that Australia went through in the ’70s and ’80s.

It needs full scale tax reform and a much greater commitment to chasing tax cheats among the self-employed and professional classes (doctors have the worst reputation).

The goal needs to be an accountable and transparent government.

If reforms can be made there is just a chance that trust could be rebuilt between government and the governed.

However, for all of its problems there is much to be said for Athens in the spring where the sky is blue, the light is golden, there are ruins to be explored and museums to get lost in, cafes are bustling, you can eat and drink well and relatively cheaply and the summer tourists are yet to arrive.

Besides which, you would be doing your bit for the Greek economy.

Euro zone readies giant rescue package for Greece

(Reuters) – Euro zone finance ministers approved a giant 30-billion-euro ($40 billion) emergency aid mechanism for debt-plagued Greece on Sunday but stressed Athens had not requested the plan be activated yet.

Together with at least 10 billion euros expected from the International Monetary Fund in the first year, it could add up to the biggest multilateral financial rescue ever attempted.

“With today’s decision, Europe sends a very clear message that no one, any longer, can play with our common currency, no one can play with our common fate,” Greece’s Prime Minister George Papandreou said in a statement.

In a rare weekend telephone conference, finance ministers of the 16 nations that share the single European currency backed a detailed plan for Greece to borrow from euro-zone governments and the IMF at significantly below market rates.

IMF chief, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, said the IMF was ready to provide help, possibly through a multi-year standby loan arrangement, and is set to hold talks with Greek, EU and European Central Bank officials in Brussels on April 12.

“The IMF stands ready to join the effort, including through a multi-year stand-by arrangement, to the extent needed and requested by the Greek authorities,” he said in a statement.

He welcomed the euro zone’s financial package for Greece, calling it an important step that will also help safeguard financial stability in the euro area as a whole.

A Greek Finance Ministry official said it was logical to expect the package would amount to significantly more than 40 billion euros over 3 years. Earlier in the day, he had said it could hit 80 billion euros, but later corrected this.

If Greece obtains aid, the package could dwarf past IMF bailouts for Mexico and Argentina. The largest IMF commitment ever made to a country was the $47 billion arrangement for Mexico approved in April 2009 under a so-called flexible credit line; Mexico has not drawn from the credit line.

The firepower in the Greek package, even if held in reserve, may reassure investors and make them more willing to continue buying Greek bonds. But big uncertainties remain over the longer-term prospects for reducing Greece’s debt mountain, which have dented confidence in the euro.

The Greek official said the government would decide within a few days whether to ask for the aid, depending on whether market interest rates subside.

European Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said the 3-year euro zone loans would carry an interest rate of about 5 percent — well below current market rates of about 7.3 percent. That responds to Greece’s appeal to be able to borrow at rates closer to its peers in the currency area.

Assistance for subsequent years would be decided later.

“If the mechanism had to be activated, it would not be a violation of the no-bailout clause (in the European Union treaty) since the loans are repayable and contain no element of subsidy,” Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of the Eurogroup of finance ministers, told a Brussels news conference.

A German government official welcomed the agreement, which he said should enable Greece to do its fiscal “homework” on deficit reduction without market distraction.

“It should contribute to a calming of the markets so that Greece can take care of its homework in peace and quiet.”

Rehn said all euro zone countries would pay proportionately to their share in the ECB’s capital, making Germany by far the biggest lender, followed by France and Italy.

Talks on coordination with the IMF will begin on Monday, he said.

“GUN ON THE TABLE”

The agreement was urgently awaited because Athens is due to auction short-term debt on Tuesday after investors last week sent Greek borrowing costs spiraling due to fears of a possible default and doubts over the EU safety net.

Papandreou made clear in a newspaper interview that detailing the rescue plan was a last-ditch effort to deter speculation against his country.

“The question remains whether this mechanism will convince markets just like a gun on the table. If it does not convince them, it is a mechanism that it is there to be used,” he told the Sunday edition of To Vima.

But Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou told reporters after Sunday’s decision that Greece hoped to be able to continue to borrow smoothly on financial markets.

Skepticism over Greece’s ability to manage its 300 billion euro ($400 billion) debt pile, more than its 240 billion euro annual economic output, grew last week. Investors dumped Greek stocks and bonds, and ratings agency Fitch downgraded Athens’s debt by two notches on Friday.

Fitch lowered Greece’s credit rating to BBB-, the lowest investment grade just above junk, saying a deepening recession and rising debt service costs would make it harder for Athens to meet its budget deficit reduction target.

The government has imposed tough austerity measures to meet a pledge to cut the public deficit by four percentage points of gross domestic product to 8.7 percent this year.

Juncker said data provided by Greece showed the fiscal consolidation programme were encouraging and showed Athens was on track to reach this year’s target. Rehn said Greece would not be asked for further cuts this year, but would have to take more deficit-cutting steps, notably on pensions, in following years.

Strong public opposition to any bailout for Greece in Germany, Europe’s biggest economy and main paymaster, had fueled market doubts about the availability of any rescue.

Germany, the Netherlands and Austria argued that any emergency loans should be at current market rates to avoid moral hazard that would ensue if profligate countries were rewarded.

However, euro zone officials broke the deadlock on Friday, based on the IMF pricing formula with adjustments, Rehn said.

The euro, which has been dragged down by concerns over Greece and possible contagion with other weak Mediterranean euro zone economies, rebounded slightly on news of Friday’s technical agreement among deputy finance ministers and central bankers.

The risk premium that investors charge to hold Greek debt rather than benchmark 10-year German bonds narrowed to just over 400 basis points after hitting a record 454 on Thursday.

However, any durable reduction in the spread will depend on the credibility of the EU rescue plan and markets’ assessment of how likely it is to be invoked.

Greece needs to borrow about 11 billion euros by the end of May to refinance maturing debt and interest charges. Its overall 2010 borrowing requirement is 53 billion euros.

(Additional reporting by Marcin Grajewski in Brussels, Erik Kirschbaum in Berlin, Michele Kambas in Nicosia, Lesley Wroughton in Washington and Ingrid Melander in Athens; writing by Paul Taylor; editing by Michael Roddy and Gunna Dickson)

EU deal sends message no one can play with euro-Greek PM

ATHENS, April 11 (Reuters) – The euro zone showed on Sunday that no one can play with its single currency, Greece’s Prime Minister George Papandreou said after the bloc’s finance ministers approved details of a giant aid mechanism.

Bonds

“With today’s decision, Europe sends a very clear message that no one, any longer, can play with our common currency, no one can play with our common fate,” Papandreou said in a statement.

“It is a significant decision both for Europe and the European Union.” ($1=.7477 Euro) (Writing by Ingrid Melander; Editing by Maureen Bavdek)

EU deal sends message no one can play with euro-Greek PM

ATHENS, April 11 (Reuters) – The euro zone showed on Sunday that no one can play with its single currency, Greece’s Prime Minister George Papandreou said after the bloc’s finance ministers approved details of a giant aid mechanism.

Bonds

“With today’s decision, Europe sends a very clear message that no one, any longer, can play with our common currency, no one can play with our common fate,” Papandreou said in a statement.

“It is a significant decision both for Europe and the European Union.” ($1=.7477 Euro) (Writing by Ingrid Melander; Editing by Maureen Bavdek)

Greek tragedy still in session

The classical Athenian tragedy was traditionally performed in March and April. It’s a strange coincidence that the modern Greek drama, of a Dionysian debt binge leading to economic demise, is playing out now.

After the European Union pledged 22 billion euros in financial support for Greece at an emergency meeting last month, investors appeared to breathe a sigh of relief.

The assumption was, apparently, that the Greek problem was fixed.

Not so.

Greece is still facing the prospect of paying a crippling price for the credit it needs to fund its sovereign debt.

That’s if it can find a market for the bonds it needs to sell to meet its commitments.

Investors are demanding a yield of as much as 7.25 per cent to buy Greek 10-year bonds. That is more than four percentage points higher than yield on German bonds and far above US Treasuries.

Greece’s prime minister, George Papandreou, has conceded that the financing costs are unsustainable.

And the yield premium exacted for holding Greek bonds blew out on Tuesday night on rumours – since denied – that Greece was pushing to renegotiate a planned rescue package involving both the EU and the IMF.

Understandably, the Greek government isn’t keen on having the IMF involved; it risks the ignominy of having imposed upon it the fiscal austerity measures usually reserved for third world governments in return for emergency funding.

Germany’s chancellor Angela Merkel insisted upon the IMF’s participation as the price of German support for the financial backstopping of Greece.

Germany also demanded that any aid to Greece be delivered at market rates.

And the “agreement” to rescue Greece should it be unable to raise the money to finance itself also includes a clause that gives any EU member state the power of veto.

It’s a Clayton’s deal, a bailout full of holes.

The word is that on the syndication desks in the dealing rooms of the world’s big banks, traders with the unenviable task of selling Greek government bonds are less than optimistic.

After all, the clients they offloaded the last parcels to are underwater on their investments.

And the market is spooked not just by the risk of Greek debt default, but also by the volatility in pricing.

The fear is that Greece will become the Lehman Brothers of sovereign debt.

The nation needs to raise nearly 12 billion euros ($17 billion) by the end of May to meet its public debt repayments – and almost twice that much again by the end of the year.

It’s a no-win situation for the government of prime minister George Papandreou.

Regardless of whether Greece can raise the money from the market or has to turn cap-in-hand to the EU and the IMF, it will be forced to impose radical cuts to public spending to rein in its deficit – now close to 13 per cent of GDP.

The government has already announced plans to increase taxes, cut wages and take the razor to expenditure – in effect, pre-empting any IMF intervention by imposing the kind of conditions it would demand.

Yet those measures will all but ensure that Greece falls deeper into the mire of an already deep recession.

Government money is one of the few props to a sagging economy, lacking a strong export base and a robust private market.

The public sector employs about 30 per cent of Greece’s workforce and public sector workers are facing wage cuts of about 30 per cent.

That, alone, almost guarantees a collapse in consumption.

For the rest of the world, this matters little.

The risks stem from exposure to Greek debt default and, more importantly, the risk that Greece’s failure would unleash a contagion that saw financial markets refuse to finance other sovereign governments with large deficits.

How much harm would be done should the worst come to the worst?

European banks have the biggest exposure to Greek sovereign debt but, according to Australia’s Reserve Bank, this constitutes but a small share of their overall assets.

Add up the debt of the so-called PIIGs (Portugal, Ireland, Italy Greece and Spain), however, and it’s a different story.

Claims on these countries account for: nearly 7 per cent of the total assets of German banks; 7.6 per cent of French bank assets; 8 per cent of the assets of Belgian banks; and 9 per cent of Holland’s banks.

That’s why, despite the posturing of Germany, Europe has good reasons for aiding Greece.

Lehman Brothers taught the world a lesson; in today’s interconnected world of finance, even smaller players can be too big to fail.

Greek bailout proposal raises central bank’s ire

European leaders have hammered out a controversial deal that could see the International Monetary Fund involved in any Greek bailout.

The proposed IMF involvement is a victory for the German chancellor Angela Merkel who had opposed any direct financial aid from her own government.

However, the agreement has sparked tensions with the president of the powerful European Central Bank. He warns that even talk of an IMF rescue is a bad precedent for the European Union.

Throughout the Greek crisis the German chancellor Angela Merkel has argued that German taxpayers should not be penalised for the mismanagement and incompetence of the Greek Government.

Today she won the battle against France, which had been pushing for an independently funded EU solution.

After hammering out the deal in Brussels, Ms Merkel assured the cynics that the IMF would only be engaged if all else fails.

“I suggest that we envisage a combination of IMF and bilateral help if the situation arises where Greece can’t obtain any money itself,” she said.

“I think it’s important that we focus on this as a last resort and we can then consider things further. But I want us to learn from this because, in actual fact, we don’t want to get into such a situation.”

Despite today’s agreement, the Greek prime minister George Papandreou maintains the problem can be solved without any outside help, and that his unpopular austerity measures will rein in the nation’s $440 billion debt.

“Greece will move ahead in a positive and in the right direction. Of course today the challenge is a European one,” he said.

If activated, the IMF assistance could provide an immediate injection of $33 billion to assist Greece in meeting the interest on its sovereign debt repayments.

The Swedish prime minister Fredrik Reinfeldt says the EU should take any help it can get from the IMF.

“They have the resources, the knowledge, the experience which I think is needed because if you don’t basically in the structures of the economy solve your problems they will come back,” he said.

“That has to be done by Greece themselves. And that, in my experience, is also what the IMF can provide. And if that’s the German position, it has support from Sweden.”

However, Angela Merkel’s victory has angered the president of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet. The world’s second-most powerful central banker says it is a bad idea and that the EU needs to resolve the crisis on its own.

“Everything that means the members of the eurozone are giving away their responsibility is bad. If the IMF or any other organisation takes responsibility instead of the eurogroup or the governments it’s very, very bad,” he said.

Even so, the deal provided a shot in the arm for European shares which hit an 18-month closing high on the news.

While the euro fell to a new 10-month low against the US dollar, European traders like Oliver Roth are relieved in the short term.

“The stock exchange doesn’t [care] right now if it’s the IMF or it’s the membership, the members of the EU who are the active part of it [a bailout],” he said.

“For us it is important for the sake of the currency that Greece has to be disciplined for the budget and that they’re saving money to be a part of the rescue.”

But in the immediate case of Greece, the outlook remains bleak according to the head of the world’s biggest bond fund Pimco.

This morning Bill Gross was asked about his Greek investment strategy and he says it is right to be scared.

“Well we stay away from it. You know there are simply much more attractive alternatives elsewhere that stand a better chance of solvency, so to speak, and of getting your money back.”

Europe agrees on Greek safety net with IMF role

Euro zone leaders agreed on Thursday to create a joint financial safety net with the IMF to help debt-ridden Greece and to try to restore confidence in their common currency after weeks of wrangling.

Under the accord, Athens would receive coordinated bilateral loans from other countries that use the euro and money from the International Monetary Fund if it faced severe difficulties.

“Europe has taken a big step in the face of a big challenge,” Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou told reporters after talks in Brussels, declaring himself satisfied.

But the euro fell to a 10-month low against the dollar because investors took the initial view that IMF involvement suggested the 16-country euro zone was unable to handle its problems alone.

The agreement included no numbers, but a senior European Commission source said the support package would be worth 20-22 billion euros ($27-29 billion) if required in an emergency.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said the euro zone would put up two-thirds of the money, and the IMF the rest.

Tough terms imposed by German Chancellor Angela Merkel mean the mechanism could be activated only under strict conditions and would require the unanimous approval of the euro zone, giving Berlin a veto.

Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said the deal removed the risk of default by his country, but he and German officials said no aid was being given to Greece now.

“We don’t view this as a miracle cure. It is an important part of the cure, no more,” said EU President Herman Van Rompuy.

Graphic on euro zone debt crisis http://r.reuters.com/fyw72j

Graphic on Greece and Portugal http://r.reuters.com/far94j

GERMAN RESISTANCE

Merkel had long resisted offered aid to Greece because of public opposition in Germany and concerns that any deal could face a legal challenge at home.

But shortly before heading to Brussels for an EU summit, she signalled in parliament that she would accept a contingency plan provided the IMF was involved and EU partners agreed to toughen the bloc’s budget deficit rules.

“A good European is not necessarily one who offers help quickly. A good European is one that respects the European treaties and national rights so that the stability of the euro zone is not damaged,” she said.

At Berlin’s insistence, euro zone leaders also called for proposals by the end of the year to tighten the bloc’s budget discipline rules, which failed to prevent Greece running up huge deficits and public debt.

The differences over Greece have widened divisions in the EU. European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, head of the EU executive, said involving the IMF had been the only way to reach a consensus.

“We have solved this in the European family,” he said. “I think this is the right decision at this time to face what is an exceptional problem.”

The cost of insuring Greek debt against default fell on news of the agreement, clinched first by the leaders of Germany and France, and the premium investors charge for holding Greek bonds rather than benchmark German bunds narrowed.

But it remained more than double the spread charged on fellow euro zone weaklings Ireland and Portugal, and four times that of Spain.

BANK MOVE HELPS GREECE

The European Central Bank also took a step to support Greece by extending softer rules on collateral so that Athens does not risk a guillotine on its debt at the end of this year.

Under the arrangement, euro zone countries would provide funding for Greece on rigorous conditions recommended by the European Commission and the ECB.

“This mechanism, complementing International Monetary Fund financing, has to be considered ultima ratio (last resort), meaning in particular that market financing is insufficient,” the agreement said.

Many details are unclear, such as how the Washington-based IMF and the euro zone would work together in a rescue.

Some euro zone states, notably France, and ECB policymakers have previously opposed IMF involvement, saying such a move would underscore the single currency area’s inability to solve the deepest crisis in its 11-year existence on its own.

“If the IMF or some other body exercises the responsibility in lieu of the Eurogroup or instead of governments, it is evidently very, very bad,” ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet told France’s Public Senat television in an interview.

Trichet had earlier given Athens some good news, announcing that the central bank would extend looser collateral rules, due to expire at the end of this year, into 2011.

Greece was at risk of having its bonds rejected as collateral for refinancing with the expiry of the relaxed rules, potentially triggering an even deeper liquidity crunch.

Athens is still saddled with borrowing costs more than double those of Germany and must borrow some 16 billion euros between April 20 and May 23 alone to refinance maturing debt.

Greece says a standby aid package from the EU will reassure credit markets and avert the need for it to request aid.

Without a fallback mechanism, EU leaders fear Greece’s debt problems could spread to other countries in the euro zone including Portugal, Spain or Italy.
Jan Strupczewski and Julien Toyer

ANALYSIS – Broke? Buy a few warships, France tells Greece

In a bizarre twist to the Greek debt crisis, France and Germany are pressing Greece to buy their gunboats and warplanes, even as they urge it to cut public spending and curb its deficit.

Indeed, some Greek officials privately say Paris and Berlin are using the crisis as leverage to advance arms contracts or settle payment disputes, just when the Greeks are trying to reduce defence spending.

“No one is saying ‘Buy our warships or we won’t bail you out’, but the clear implication is that they will be more supportive if we do what they want on the armaments front,” said an adviser to Prime Minister George Papandreou, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the diplomatic sensitivity.

Greece spends more of its gross domestic product on the military than any other European Union country, largely due to long-standing tension with its neighbour, historic rival and NATO ally, Turkey.

“The Germans and the French have them over a barrel now,” said Nick Witney, a former head of the European Defence Agency.

“If you are trying to repair Greek public finances, it’s a ludicrous way to go about things.”

France is pushing to sell six frigates, 15 helicopters and up to 40 top-of-the-range Rafale fighter aircraft.

Greek and French officials said President Nicolas Sarkozy was personally involved and had broached the matter when Papandreou visited France last month to seek support in the financial crisis.

FRIGATE PURCHASE

The Greeks were so sensitive to Sarkozy’s concerns that they announced on the day Papandreou went to Paris that they would go ahead with buying six Fremm frigates worth 2.5 billion euros ($3.38 billion), despite their budget woes.

The ships are made by the state-controlled shipyard DCNS, which is a quarter owned by defence electronics group Thales and may have to lay workers off in the downturn.

Greece is also in talks buy 15 French Super Puma search-and-rescue helicopters made by aerospace giant EADS for an estimated 400 million euros.

The Rafale, made by Dassault Aviation, is a more distant and vastly dearer prospect. There is no published price, but each costs over $100 mln, plus weapons.

Germany is meanwhile pressing Athens to pay for a diesel-electric submarine from ThyssenKrupp, of which it refused to take delivery in 2006 because the craft listed during sea trials following a disputed refurbishment in Kiel.

Payment would clear the way for ThyssenKrupp to sell its loss-making Greek unit Hellenic Shipyards (HSY), the biggest shipbuilder in the eastern Mediterranean, to Abu Dhabi MAR (ADM), industry sources said.

ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems last year cancelled a Greek order for four other submarines over the dispute, in which it said Athens’ arrears exceeded 520 million euros.

Witney, now at the European Council on Foreign Relations, said German officials were embittered by Greek behaviour in the long-running dispute, as well as previous payment problems over the purchase of German Leopard II tanks.

Greek Deputy Defence Minister Panos Beglitis told Reuters the dispute was on the brink of settlement but denied the timing had anything to do with Athens’ bid to clinch German backing this week for a financial safety net for Greek debt.

“(The submarine) Papanicolis has been carefully inspected by German and Greek experts. It has been greatly improved and declared seaworthy. We will take it, sell it and make a profit,” he said in an interview.

“We are paying 300 million (euros) and we will sell it for 350 million,” Beglitis said. Witney questioned Greece’s chances of turning a profit on a second-hand submarine.

NO LINKAGE?

Asked whether big European suppliers were using the crisis to press arms sales on Athens, he said: “This has always been the case with these countries. It is not because of the crisis, there is no link.”

Beglitis said this year’s defence budget was set at 2.8 percent of GDP, down from 3.1 percent in 2009. Non-government sources say the real level of military spending may be higher.

“Our strategy is continuously and steadily to reduce spending. This is also in line with the Greek stability and growth programme,” Beglitis said. The programme, submitted to the EU, pledges to reduce the budget deficit from 12.9 percent last year to below 3 percent by the end of 2012.

Western officials and economists have advocated a radical reduction of the armed forces as a long-term way of reducing structural spending, but Greek officials say that would require a real improvement in relations with Turkey.

Despite warmer ties, the two countries remain in dispute over Cyprus and maritime boundaries and have sporadic aerial incidents over the Aegean Sea.

French economist Jacques Delpla said Greece could reap big savings if it moved jointly with Turkey and Cyprus to settle disputes in the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean and engaged in mutual disarmament.

“Unlike Portugal or Ireland, Greece could benefit from significant peace dividends to reduce its titanic fiscal deficits,” he said.

Beglitis said Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan had mooted the idea of mutual defence spending cuts in public but not followed it up.

“There was some rhetoric from Mr Erdogan on this but there are no negotiations at the moment,” he said.

(additional reporting by Dina Kyriakidou in Athens; writing by Paul Taylor; Editing by Kevin Liffey)

Twin bombs rock Athens

Two bombs have damaged buildings in Athens in apparent attacks on Greece’s Pakistani community, but nobody has been injured.

One bomb exploded outside the home of the chairman of the Greek-Pakistan friendship association, causing widespread damage.

Anonymous warnings made by telephone to a Greek television station and a newspaper 15 minutes before the explosion enabled police to seal off the area.

Later on Saturday, a homemade bomb exploded outside a building that housed immigration offices.

The explosion damaged a fence around the building in the Petrou Ralli district, a bus shelter and nearby shop windows.

The device had been deposited in a bag near the shelter.

The blasts occurred not long after a similar makeshift bomb wrecked the offices of a neo-Nazi group in the Greek capital.

The attacks have raised fears among Greek officials of a resurgence of violence by extremists exploiting the country’s financial turmoil.

The Pakistani community in Greece numbers several thousand members, most of whom live in the greater Athens area.

The violence came as prime minister George Papandreou insisted that Greece would not go bankrupt, saying it had taken the necessary steps to tackle a debt crisis that has reverberated across Europe.

- ABC/AFP

General strike sparks violence in Athens

Police in Greece have clashed with demonstrators protesting against government plans to solve the country’s debt crisis with tax increases and spending cuts.

A 24-hour general strike grounded flights, halted public transport and kept schools closed across Greece.

About 20,000 protesters marched through Athens, while groups of anarchists smashed shop windows, damaged cars and hurled petrol bombs at public buildings.

The march was called to protest against the government’s latest austerity measures, which include $7 billion of cuts that will hit public sector wages and pensions.

Speaking on a visit to Washington, Greek prime minister George Papandreou said that demonstrators had the right to protest, but added that the financial crisis was “not this government’s fault.”

Unions say ordinary Greeks are being called upon to pay a disproportionate price for past fiscal mismanagement.

German Politician Calls on Greece to Sell Islands to Save Economy

How should Greece get out of its financial crisis? One German party leader believes the country should sell its islands.

Josef Schlarmann, a senior figure in Germany’s governing Christian Democratic Party, tells the Times of London that selling uninhabited islands could save Greece from financial ruin.

“What should a bankrupt person be doing? Selling everything he owns to his creditors, that’s what,” Schlarmann said. “For the Greeks, that means buildings and unpopulated islands.”

One tourism promoter thinks Greece should look into the idea.

“I’d say now is a good time to start looking at this market,” Leonidas Babanis told the Times.

Brokers believe Greece could possibly receive up to $300 million for uninhabited islands.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Friday avoided giving debt-plagued Greece a commitment of financial assistance, as Athens was rattled by more strikes and violent protests by unions outraged by harsh economic austerity measures.

Greece didn’t ask for financial support, and Germany didn’t offer any in talks between Merkel and Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, while Merkel said there would be a common push to crack down on market speculation that has led Greece’s cost of borrowing to skyrocket.

Euro, Europe stocks slide on German comments on Greece

LONDON, March 3 (Reuters) – The euro slipped and European shares extended losses on Wednesday after Germany said it would not offer aid to Greece when Prime Minister George Papandreou visits German Chancellor Angela Merkel later in the week.

The comments from the German government came after Athens announced an extra 4.8 billion euros in austerity measures.

The euro EUR= fell roughly 50 pips to $1.3604 according to Reuters charts, pulling further away from the day’s high of $1.3670.

European shares extended losses, with the FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top European shares trading 0.1 percent lower on the day at 1026.19 points by 1247 GMT.

(Reporting by London Markets Team)

Merkel to offer no aid to Greece at Friday meeting

BERLIN, March 3 (Reuters) – Germany will not offer any aid to Greece on Friday when Chancellor Angela Merkel meets Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou in Berlin, a German government spokesman said on Wednesday.

Bonds

He also said Germany welcomes Athens government moves on taking further austerity measures, but said Greece must implement them.
Bonds

Greek PM says corruption at heart of crisis

ATHENS, March 1 (Reuters) – Corruption and impunity from prosecution lie at the heart of Greek’s debt crisis, Prime Minister George Papandreou said on Monday, calling on citizens to stomach the pain required to put the country back on track.

Bonds

“The crisis in our country is not limited to our fiscal problem. It is only the tip of the iceberg,” Papandreou said at a cabinet meeting. “It is extremely urgent to deal with it because it has assumed dramatic dimensions.”

(Reporting by Dina Kyriakidou; writing by Paul Hoskins)