France says G20 wants budget deficit cuts

June 4 (Reuters) – Most Group of 20 leading economies believe that cutting budget deficits is a priority, French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde said on Friday.

Regulatory News

“There is majority who put budgetary consolidation as the top priority,” she told reporters.

Speaking on the sidelines of a G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors, Lagarde said the European Central Bank had acted responsibly during the euro zone’s unfolding debt crisis and called the euro a credible currency.

The euro EUR=, weakened by concerns over the extent of a debt crisis that erupted when Greece was unable to roll over its debts, plumbed a four-year low on Friday against the dollar. (Reporting by Sophie Taylor and Huw Jones; Editing by Alan Wheatley)

Benmosche looks safe despite AIA deal failure

(Reuters) – When large deals fail, heads often roll. In the case of Prudential Plc’s (PRU.L) failed attempt to buy American International Group Inc’s (AIG.N) Asian life insurance unit for $35.5 billion, the British insurer’s management has more to worry about than AIG’s.

Deals

Prudential CEO Tidjane Thiam, in the top job for less than a year, is facing investor speculation about how long he can remain. But AIG Chief Executive Robert Benmosche, also in charge less than a year, looks set to survive unscathed.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said AIG, which is nearly 80 percent owned by the government, is now in a position where it can “maximize the return to the taxpayers.”

“We have a very strong management team and a much stronger board in place making incredibly impressive progress, frankly, in restructuring that entity,” Geithner told reporters before departing for the G20 meeting in Busan, Korea. “So I wouldn’t look at that as a setback.

“AIG is now free to pursue a bunch of other options to help maximize the return and reduce any risk of loss to the taxpayer,” Geithner added, when asked whether the collapse of the deal hurt AIG.

MORE LIQUIDITY

Benmosche has said AIG has several options and more flexibility on timing regarding AIA now than it did when the deal was struck earlier this year.

These options could include reviving plans for an AIA IPO or selling the business piece by piece.

Benmosche has also indicated he is not going anywhere.

“I am very proud of the progress we have made together to take our company forward,” he told employees in a memo after the deal looked set to collapse on Tuesday. “I am committed to continuing this process with all of you.”

Still, the collapse of the deal sets back his plans to repay U.S. taxpayers owed billions after AIG’s $182.3 billion U.S. government rescue at the height of the financial crisis.

Benmosche has been a proponent of a deal with Prudential rather than monetizing it through a public float.

Earlier this year, AIA was well on its way to an IPO when Prudential offered to buy it. Benmosche backed the deal, but the AIG board was initially divided before coming around.

On Monday, when the board met to consider selling AIA on revised terms, Benmosche favored accepting Prudential’s new deal because, even at a lower price of $30.4 billion, it offered more liquidity and sooner. But this time the board voted against changing the terms.

AIG’s board wanted assurances from Prudential it would be able to close a revised deal, which the British insurer was not able to provide.

“Anytime there is a fundamental action in which the CEO and the board disagree, your relationship needs to be evaluated,” said Charles Elson, director of the Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware. “That doesn’t happen too often.”

But Elson said having the U.S. government as the largest shareholder made the AIG situation hard to read.

Benmosche does not appear to be taking the heat for the deal’s failure, with the focus more on how the Prudential management was unable to rally its shareholders.

AIG Chairman Harvey Golub told the Wall Street Journal the board had “full confidence” in senior management. At any rate, running AIG is not an easy job, with Benmosche the fourth CEO at the insurer since June 2008.

“Who else are they going to get? Who is going to do a better job?” said Aite Group senior analyst Clark Troy. “I don’t think Benmosche is at great risk and, frankly, I think AIA still has a very strong franchise.”

(Reporting by Paritosh Bansal; additional reporting by Glenn Somerville; editing by Andre Grenon)

G20 ministers to discuss Europe at Korea G20 meeting

(Reuters) – There will be considerable discussion about the European economy at the G20 meeting of finance officials and central bankers in Busan, South Korea, this weekend, a senior Canadian finance official said on Monday.

South Korea

The official told a briefing that the euro zone debt problems added new urgency to the need for countries to design credible plans to withdraw extraordinary stimulus from their economies next year.

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty also plans to stress at the meeting that many countries are reaching their limits in terms of fiscal stimulus.

The Busan meeting will let finance officials prepare the groundwork for a leaders’ summit in Toronto in June. It will focus on financial reform, including a proposed global bank levy, and start spelling out policies needed to rebalance the global economy as it starts to grow again, the official said.

For example in large surplus countries like China, a more flexible currency would help boost domestic consumption, the official said.

Canada has vocally opposed proposals for a global bank levy to ensure taxpayers don’t bear the cost of future financial meltdowns.

But the official said Canada has received growing interest for its proposal for contingent capital, which would require banks to hold a substantial part of their capital in securities that could be converted to equity in a near-death experience.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will present more details of that alternative to his counterparts in Busan.

The official also said the G20 finance officials will seek progress on commitments that countries have made to eliminate inefficient fossil fuel subsidies.

(Reporting by Louise Egan; editing by Janet Guttsman)

UPDATE 1-G20 ministers to discuss Europe at Korea G20 meeting

May 31 (Reuters) – There will be considerable discussion about the European economy at the G20 meeting of finance officials and central bankers in Busan, South Korea, this weekend, a senior Canadian finance official said on Monday.

The official told a briefing that the euro zone debt problems added new urgency to the need for countries to design credible plans to withdraw extraordinary stimulus from their economies next year.

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty also plans to stress at the meeting that many countries are reaching their limits in terms of fiscal stimulus.

The Busan meeting will let finance officials prepare the groundwork for a leaders’ summit in Toronto in June. It will focus on financial reform, including a proposed global bank levy, and start spelling out policies needed to rebalance the global economy as it starts to grow again, the official said.

For example in large surplus countries like China, a more flexible currency would help boost domestic consumption, the official said.

Canada has vocally opposed proposals for a global bank levy to ensure taxpayers don’t bear the cost of future financial meltdowns.

But the official said Canada has received growing interest for its proposal for contingent capital, which would require banks to hold a substantial part of their capital in securities that could be converted to equity in a near-death experience.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will present more details of that alternative to his counterparts in Busan.

The official also said the G20 finance officials will seek progress on commitments that countries have made to eliminate inefficient fossil fuel subsidies. (Reporting by Louise Egan; editing by Janet Guttsman)

Overwhelming Majority of Canadians Against Global Tax on Banks in Canada

TORONTO, ONTARIO, May 31 (MARKET WIRE) —
The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) push to have Canada participate
in a punitive global bank tax has been soundly rejected by the vast
majority of Canadians. According to a new poll conducted by The Strategic
Counsel more than three-quarters of Canadians (76 per cent) report that
Canada’s banks should not be subject to the proposed global bank tax as
it unfairly punishes Canadian banks that performed well and remained
stable throughout the financial crisis.

Furthermore, more than eight-in-ten Canadians (85 per cent) agree that
Canada’s banks should not be required to pay for the mistakes of banks in
the U.S. and Europe that led to the recent financial crisis.

“These results show that Canadians strongly support the government’s
move to reject an unfair tax on Canada’s financial institutions,”
said Nancy Hughes Anthony, President and Chief Executive Officer,
Canadian Bankers Association. “We hope that the upcoming G20 meeting
will focus on developing effective, even-handed regulations that will
prevent a repeat of the global financial crisis.”

The Strategic Counsel survey also revealed that Canadians are concerned
about the impact of new international banking regulations on banks in
Canada. Eight-in-ten Canadians (80 per cent) agree with the view that
Canada’s banks were a major exception when it came to the problems in the
financial sector over the last year. As a result, Canada’s banks should
not be put at a disadvantage when it comes to new regulation.

“Those who are in favour of a bank tax see this as a way to recoup
the costs of bank bailouts in other countries and curb speculative
behaviour. It doesn’t seem fair to make the customers and shareholders of
financial institutions throughout the world fund the bailouts of a
handful of financial institutions,” said Ms. Hughes Anthony.
“What is important is stability in the financial sector and good
risk management, which you do not get by imposing a tax on financial
institutions.”

When asked about their impressions of Canada’s banks, 78 per cent of
Canadians registered favourable impressions. As well, more than
eight-in-ten (81 per cent) of Canadians believe that Canada’s banks are
more stable and secure compared to other banks around the world.

Survey Methodology

The survey findings are based on a national proportionate sample of 1200
adult Canadians 18 years or older who were interviewed by telephone
between May 5 and May 12, 2010. The results are accurate within +/-2.9
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The Canadian Bankers Association works on behalf of 50 domestic banks,
foreign bank subsidiaries and foreign bank branches operating in Canada
and their 263,400 employees. The CBA advocates for effective public
policies that contribute to a sound, successful banking system that
benefits Canadians and Canada’s economy. The Association also promotes
financial literacy to help Canadians make informed financial decisions.
www.cba.ca.

Contacts:
Canadian Bankers Association
Andrew Addison
(416) 362-6093, ext. 220 or Cell: (416) 587-7733
aaddison@cba.ca
www.cba.ca

Copyright 2010, Market Wire, All rights reserved.

Obama keen to use Canadian model to end US fiscal meltdown: Canada paper

New Delhi, May 6 (ANI): US President Barack Obama, contemplating sweeping reforms to the American financial system, citing Canada as a model worth emulating to navigate the current volatility in the financial markets with limited impact.

An article appearing in the Toronto Star and released by the Canadian High Commission in New Delhi asserts that Canadian banks have earned international acclaim for their continued sound condition achieved mainly through prudent risk decisions and scrupulous regulatory supervision of its financial sector.

According to David Olive, the author of the write up, Obama is quoted as saying “Canada being a good example, and they’ve actually done a good job in managing through what was a pretty risky period in the financial markets. ”

“When it comes to something like investment banking versus commercial banking, the experience in a country like Canada would indicate that good, strong regulation that focuses less on the legal form of the institution and more on the functions that they’re carrying out is probably the right approach to take,” the article quotes Obama, as saying.

Obama praised Canada’s banking system in an earlier interview, in advance of the G20 meeting of world leaders in London last month.

According to the Toronto Star, Obama’s more recent comments suggest his economic team is closer to deciding on an approach to a long- anticipated overhaul of financial regulation in America, where the current global financial crisis has its origins.

Olive claims that the “Canadian option” of stricter regulations and stronger enforcement of them by a beefed-up existing regulatory regime would best fit Obama’s approach of tweaking, rather than overturning, the status quo.

Canadian banks are limited by federal regulation to 20 dollars in loans and other investments for each one dollar in capital.

The “reserve ratio” in the U.S. and Europe ranges as high as 40: 1, a level of risk that some of the biggest world banks proved unable to handle when the U.S. housing boom collapsed in 2007 and default rates on mortgages soared.

All of Canada’s six largest banks follow the supermarket model, having absorbed the securities industry and the trust sector in the 1980s. Only insurance, in which the banks merely dabble, remains mostly outside the banks’ ambit, despite years of bank lobbying of Ottawa to allow the marketing of a wider range of insurance products. (ANI)

Japan talks with Swiss likely to cover bank secrecy

Japan in talks with Swiss to revise bilateral tax treaty

* Swiss under pressure to cooperate in preventing tax evasion

TOKYO, April 15 (Reuters) – Japan is to step up exchanges of tax information with Switzerland, which is under pressure to disclose names of individuals suspected of tax evasion in other countries.

Japanese officials said banking secrecy will likely be included in talks to revise a bilateral tax treaty, which started last November.

The Group of 20 nations pledged at a meeting in early April to crack down on jurisdictions that fail to cooperate in cross-border tax evasion and urged countries to sign up to global rules on sharing tax information.

Pressure by the G20 prompted the Alpine tax haven and other offshore financial centres to sign up for tax cooperation standards set up by the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development ahead of the G20 summit. [ID:nLP16594]

But after the G20 meeting Switzerland decided to veto part of the OECD’s budget in a dispute over its banking secrecy.

A high-profile tax fraud investigation involving Switzerland’s largest bank UBS (UBSN.VX)(UBS.N) has forced Berne to hand over confidential bank client data to Washington.

Japan currently has bilateral tax treaties with 56 countries aimed at preventing tax evasion, avoiding double taxation, and encouraging mutual investment. (Reporting by Hideyuki Sano and Tetsushi Kajimoto)

Gold little changed at $890/oz, eyes stock market

Gold stays near $890 as investors wary about dumping gold

* Buying limited due to receding safe-haven demand

* SPDR Gold Trust GLD holdings unchanged at record

By Chikako Mogi

TOKYO, April 15 (Reuters) – Gold was steady around $890 per
ounce on Wednesday as investors watched equity markets to gauge
risk appetite and awaited U.S. earnings and manufacturing data
for more clues on the health of the global economy.

Traders said current prices were unlikely to draw either
buying or selling interest as investors pondered whether to
shift money into equities or hold on to gold.

Stock market sentiment has improved since a G20 meeting of
global leaders this month and after government stimulus
packages from around the world.

“There is not much interest at the $900 level as equities
look more exciting than gold and people are not feeling so much
pain,” said Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers
in Hong Kong.

“But investors don’t want to dump gold because they don’t
know where to put the money,” he said, adding that there was
still too much uncertainty over the global economic outlook to
let go of safe-haven assets.

He said gold would have to fall near $875 to draw buying
interest, including jewellery buying, or rise above $900 to
prompt selling.

Spot gold was trading at $891.05 per ounce, up 0.2
percent from New York’s notional close of $888.85 on Tuesday.

Bullion last closed above $900 on April 2 before hitting a
2-½ month low of $864.30 last week.

Holdings at the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded
fund, the SPDR Gold Trust GLD, were unchanged at a record
1,127.68 tonnes as of April 14, a level first reached on April
9. [GOL/SPDR]

Japan’s Nikkei stock average .N225 was down 0.8 percent,
while MSCI’s measure of stocks elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific
region .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 1.2 percent. [.T] [MKTS/GLOB]

Traders believe the precious metal’s strength is intact as
investors remain cautious about U.S. corporate results.

U.S. March data for consumer prices, real earnings and
industrial production will be released later in the day.
Precious metals prices at 0305 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pct chg
Turnover
Spot Gold 890.50 1.65 +0.19 1.18
Spot Silver 12.72 0.00 +0.00 12.37
Spot Platinum 1214.00 10.00 +0.83 30.26
Spot Palladium 233.00 3.00 +1.30 26.29
TOCOM Gold 2844.00 -41.00 -1.42 10.53
12622
TOCOM Platinum 3855.00 -88.00 -2.23 45.36
15219
TOCOM Silver 401.40 -1.10 -0.27 25.71
176
TOCOM Palladium 750.00 -17.00 -2.22 36.36
191
Euro/Dollar 1.3242
Dollar/Yen 98.53
TOCOM prices in yen per gram, except TOCOM silver which is
priced in yen per 10 grams. Spot prices in $ per ounce.
(Additional reporting by Miho Yoshikawa; Editing by Ben Tan)

Hints of hope amid gloom as G20 leaders gather

The global economy showed more signs of weakness, but there were also hints of hope as leaders of rich and emerging nations gathered in London on Wednesday for crisis talks, and global stock markets climbed.

Data from purchasing managers’ indexes showed U.S., euro zone and British manufacturing inched away from February’s lows but remained in negative territory. A U.S. index of pending home sales rose more than expected, and the nation’s auto sales, while weak, were not as dismal as expected.

The numbers hinted at improvement but still pointed to contraction, and leaders of the Group of 20 (G20) nations had plenty of other evidence of the worst downturn since the 1930s.

U.S. President Barack Obama said there was “enormous consensus” among the world’s largest developed and emerging economies on plans to haul the world out of the deepest recession since the 1930s.

“The core notion that government has to take some steps to deal with a contracting global marketplace and that we should be promoting growth — that’s not in dispute,” Obama told a news conference.

He spoke after French President Nicholas Sarkozy said he would not go along with “false compromises” and won support from German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

HOPE

“There are a few spots where we can have hope,” said Juergen Michels, an economist at Citigroup in London. “But for the time being it’s all hope. There are no clear signals that the recession will end any time soon.”

World stocks kicked off the new quarter with strong gains in Japan. After weak starts in Europe and on Wall Street, shares turned around on the better-than-expected U.S. factory news and a pending-home-sales report.

The Dow Jones Industrial average closed 2 percent higher, while the FTSEurofirst index of 300 leading European stocks rose 1.4 percent. Japan’s Nikkei average rose 3 percent.

U.S. oil futures fell to $48.39 as U.S. crude inventories climbed to a 16-year high in the week to March 27.

Investors were firmly focused on the G20 meeting, looking for confirmation there would be coordinated efforts to ward off a prolonged slump in world economic growth.

“The danger is that the outcome vastly disappoints the hype,” Gary Dugan, chief investment officer of Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management, said in a preview note.

The human cost of the crisis was underscored by euro zone figures that showed unemployment jumped more than expected to 8.5 percent in February. U.S. private sector job losses accelerated more than expected in March to 742,000 jobs from a revised 706,000 in February.

The report by ADP Employer Services did not bode well for U.S. nonfarm payroll numbers, which also account for public sector jobs, and will be released on Friday.

DEMONSTRATORS CLASH

As government leaders prepared for Thursday’s formal G20 session, demonstrators clashed with riot police and smashed bank windows in Britain’s financial center in protest against a system they said robbed the poor to benefit the rich.

Hundreds of protesters converged on a branch of the Royal Bank of Scotland, shattering windows. Rescued by the government in October, RBS has become a lightning rod for public anger over banker excess blamed for the crisis.

Washington is pushing hard for governments to pump more money into economic stimulus programs. But France and Germany say they do not want this to distract from the need to regulate and rein in financial market excess.

In Japan, business confidence hit a new low in March, the central bank’s tankan sentiment survey showed, with companies saying they faced a collapse of domestic and foreign demand.

China’s manufacturing sector faltered in March after a tentative improvement the previous three months, although a survey pointed to signs the worst might be over in the world’s third-largest economy.

The International Monetary Fund predicted the global economy could contract by between 0.5 percent and 1 percent this year.

IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn told the Spanish newspaper El Pais he believed if the right economic policies were followed the global economy could begin to recover in the first two quarters of 2010.

Mexico became the first major Latin American country to seek an IMF cushion against the economic crisis, asking to tap a $47 billion credit line.

London police baton charge G20 protesters

Riot police staged baton charges to try to disperse several hundred protesters gathered around the Bank of England in the heart of London’s financial centre on Wednesday after a day of protest against the G20 summit.

Demonstrators had earlier attacked a nearby branch of Royal Bank of Scotland in protest against a system they said had robbed the poor to benefit the rich. Hundreds of protesters converged on the bank, shattering three windows.

Rescued by the government in October, RBS and former boss Fred Goodwin, who controversially refused to give up a pension award of 700,000 ($1 million), became lightning rods for public anger in Britain over banker excess blamed for the crisis.

The protests were timed to coincide with a G20 meeting of the world’s leading and emerging economies.

Protesters hurled paint bombs and bottles, chanting: “Our streets! Our banks!”

RBS said in a statement it was “aware of the violence” outside its branch and “had already taken the precautionary step” of closing central city of London branches.

As dusk fell, police charged against a hard core of anti-capitalist demonstrators in an attempt to disperse them before nightfall. Bottles flew through the air towards police lines and police on horseback stood by ready to intervene.

Some protesters set fire to an effigy of a banker hanging from a lamppost.

Police brought out dogs as they tried to channel the few hundred remaining protesters through the narrow streets surrounding the classical, stone-clad Bank of England.

Police said 32 protesters had been arrested by early evening and at least one officer was taken to hospital for treatment.

Some 4,000 protesters had thronged outside the central bank, and a Gucci store nearby was closed and its windows emptied.

Demonstrations were planned for Thursday at the venue in east London where world leaders will discuss plans to fight the financial crisis, police said.

HORSEMEN OF THE APOCALYPSE

Earlier, protesters marched behind models of the “four horsemen of the apocalypse” representing financial crimes, war, climate change and homelessness.

Some threw eggs at police and chanted “build a bonfire, put the bankers on the top”. Others shouted “jump” and “shame on you” at financial sector workers watching the march from office block windows.

“I am angry at the hubris of the government, the hubris of the bankers,” said Jean Noble, a 60-year-old from Blackburn in northern England.

“I am here on behalf of the poor, those who are not going to now get their pension or who have lost their houses while these fat cats keep their bonuses, hide their money in tax havens and go and live where nobody can touch them.”

A smaller demonstration against Britain’s military role in Iraq and Afghanistan attracted several hundred people in Trafalgar Square, not far from parliament.

The protests, which brought together anti-capitalists, environmentalists, anti-war campaigners and others, were meant to mark what demonstrators called “Financial Fools’ Day” — a reference to April fool’s day which falls on April 1.

Police stopped a military-style armoured vehicle with the word “RIOT” printed on the front and a police spokesman said its 11 occupants were arrested for having fake police uniforms.

Oil falls over $1 as U.S. inventories rise

Oil fell more than $1 a barrel on Wednesday, as U.S. data showed crude stocks were at a fresh 16-year high after growing again last week.

U.S crude futures settled down $1.27 a barrel at $48.39, eroding Tuesday’s 2.6 percent gain. London Brent crude settled down 79 cents at $48.44

The Energy Information Administration data showed a 2.8 million barrel increase in crude oil inventories.

Gasoline stockpiles increased by 2.2 million barrels, running counter to forecasts of a 1.4 million-barrel decline.

“There is no indication in these (EIA) numbers that the economy is strengthening. It looks like more of the same,” said Joseph Arsenio, managing director at Arsenio Capital Management in Larkspur, California.

Oil prices have fallen $100 from highs above $147 a barrel in July 2008 as the economic downturn dents global energy demand.

U.S private sector job losses accelerated in March to 742,000, more than economists’ expectations, according to a report by ADP Employer Services.

The U.S. economy is bracing for job data from the U.S. Labor Department on Friday which monitors public and private sector job losses in the world’s largest energy consumer.

OPEC COMPLIANCE

Producer group OPEC reached agreements in September to remove 4.2 million barrels per day to stem the slide in oil prices, and has delivered almost 80 percent of the promised reduction.

Reuters latest survey put compliance at 79 percent for March, the seventh consecutive month in which the group’s output has declined.

In deciding not to lower its output targets further in March, OPEC said it was giving the world a chance to recover from the economic downturn and looked ahead to this week’s G20 meeting in London to stimulate the economy and help shore up fuel demand.

Few expect instant results, but many analysts say OPEC, which meets again at the end of May to reassess the situation, has taken out enough oil to bolster prices.

In the immediate term the demand outlook is weak, and a flurry of bearish economic news emerged on Wednesday that weighed on stock markets and added pressure on oil prices.

Business confidence in Japan, the world’s second largest economy and the third largest oil consumer, tumbled faster than ever in the first quarter to its worst on record, the Bank of Japan’s Tankan corporate survey showed.

Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund Dominique Strauss-Kahn predicted the world economy would contract between 0.5 and 1 percent this year, following on from IMF reports predicting a decrease of up to one percent this year.

Japan business confidence sinks on eve of G20 meet

Japan’s business confidence hit a record low, a key survey showed on Wednesday, showing the depth of the recession in the world’s second-largest economy as world leaders gather in London to tackle the global financial crisis.

Slumping global demand has halved exports and slashed production of cars and electronics in Japan, pushing it into its worst recession since World War Two and leading to an atmosphere of almost uniform gloom among export-reliant manufacturers.

The Bank of Japan index gauging sentiment among major manufacturers slid to minus 58 in March, more than double the previous survey and the worst in a generation.

Underlining the corporate caution, capital expenditure figures were also the second lowest on record.

Rising unemployment and falling spending data a day earlier already showed the worrying trend that the slump in external demand was feeding into Japan’s domestic economy.

“The economy may reach a bottom in the summer but is not likely to return to previous levels of growth any time soon,” said Shinko Research Institute senior economist Norio Miyagawa.

Analysts expect Japan’s economy to keep shrinking in the first half of this year, meaning a record five straight quarters of contraction. Unpopular Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso, facing an election by October, is preparing a third stimulus package to reinvigorate the economy.

U.S. President Barack Obama landed in London for the G20 meeting to address the worst global economic slowdown since the 1930s, which has already cost millions of jobs and trillions of dollars in government assistance.

He arrived on his first major overseas trip as president to a slew of bad economic news and with a fight looming with Europe over whether more stimulus or tighter regulation of financial markets was the way forward.

FAILURE NOT AN OPTION

Washington wants governments to pump more money into their economies but French President Nicolas Sarkozy is leading the regulatory charge.

“Failure is not an option, the world would not understand it and history would not forgive us for it,” Sarkozy said.

The plight of U.S. automakers was not far behind Obama after Washington forced General Motors’ chief executive to step aside this week and told GM and struggling Chrysler to come up with better restructuring plans or face bankruptcy.

GM warned on Tuesday there was a rising chance it could file for bankruptcy by June as it tries to cut its debt load, with the likelihood of more plant closings and job losses, sending its shares tumbling 28 percent.

U.S. stock futures fell during Asia trade on Wednesday and the yen rose after a Bloomberg report that Obama had decided that a prepackaged bankruptcy for GM was the best way for it to restructure. A senior administration official later called that report “inaccurate.”

Deepening the gloom, data on Wednesday is expected to show U.S. auto sales fell 40 percent in March from a year ago.

GM has been given another 60 days to come up with a way to become competitive again, while smaller rival Chrysler has been given a 30-day deadline to reach a deal with Italian carmaker Fiat SpA.

PESSIMISM

The pessimistic Japanese news was mirrored only hours earlier by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, which said the world economy would shrink 4.3 percent this year, far worse than the 0.4 percent it had previously forecast.

That would cost 25 million jobs, about half of the worldwide job losses the International Labour Organisation is forecasting in the next year or so.

“The world economy is in the midst of its deepest and most synchronized recession in our lifetime,” the OECD said.

“We anticipate that the ongoing contraction in economic activity will worsen this year before a policy-induced recovery gradually builds momentum through 2010.”

Underscoring the human cost of the crisis that G20 leaders must address in London, Japan and Germany both announced big jumps in unemployment on Tuesday, while U.S. economic reports showed low consumer confidence and plunging home prices.

In Australia, retail sales slumped 2.0 percent in February — the most in nine years — raising fears of higher unemployment and pushing the case for yet another cut in already record-low interest rates, possibly next week, to keep Australia off the recession bandwagon.

There was some good news in Seoul, where the pace of decline in South Korean exports slowed and exports per day figures fuelled talk of the economy bottoming out and raised the case for the Bank of Korea to keep rates steady again next week.

(Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in SYDNEY, Yoo Choonsik in SEOUL, Kevin Krolicki and Soyoung Kim in WASHINGTON and DETROIT, and Brian Love in LONDON)

US economic policy is the “road to hell,” Topolanek says

Strasbourg, France – The United States’ decision to pump ever-larger sums into its economy is the “road to hell,” the holder of the European Union’s rotating presidency said Wednesday, just a week before he was set to meet the US president in London.

The US is repeating the mistakes of the 1930s and has chosen the “road to hell” in the process, said the Czech Republic’s fallen prime minister, Mirek Topolanek, the morning after his government failed a vote of no confidence by the narrowest of margins.

The vote throws into question not just the Czech presidency of the EU, but a bilateral agreement to host US anti-missile radars on Czech soil – a deal which has polarized Czech opinion.

Topolanek took a strong stance against US economic plans as he addressed the European Parliament, calling the EU’s rejection of US calls to go beyond the
400-billion-euro (543.8-billion- dollar) stimulus package it agreed in December “a clear success.”

The Czech premier was speaking just a week before he is set to represent the EU at a summit of the Group of 20 (G20) leading economies in London on April 2 – a meeting which US President Barack Obama is also expected to attend.

That meeting is set to be followed three days later by an informal EU-US summit in Prague.

Topolanek said that the EU-US summit would focus on the outcome of the G20 meeting, climate change and a joint strategy for dealing with Afghanistan, Pakistan and the Middle East.

But he warned listeners not to expect too much from the summit, saying that the US president “is not a Messiah.”

Despite the fall of his government, most analysts expect Topolanek to remain in office until the end of the EU presidency on June 30.

He said that the fall “will not threaten the presidency.” (dpa)

Australians talk socks, jocks, polo shirts and protection

Sydney – Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd had hoped that when the Group of 20 (G20) met in London in April, he would be among the few representing an economy still growing.

But the billions spent in November’s stimulus package won’t stop a second consecutive quarter of shrinkage that would qualify the Australian economy as being in a technical recession.

“Australia can reduce the impact, cushion the impact of the global economic tide, but we can’t stop it altogether,” Rudd admitted. “There’s no guarantee of success, but we’ll throw everything at this.”

Rudd came to office in December 2007 pledging more healthy surpluses in the national accounts. He’s now resigned to taking the country deeply into debt.

The unions that helped the Labour leader into office now want him to abandon a commitment to free trade, just as he previously gave up on balanced budgets.

In Australia, as elsewhere, the clamour to safeguard jobs in stressed industries like manufacturing is strong. The difficulty for Rudd is that Canberra has always been a haven for free-trade zealots. Bowing to protectionist sentiment would be another backflip.

In the run-up to the G20 meeting, Canberra was quick to rail against the Buy American clause in the latest United States stimulus package.

Nevertheless, families who received cash handouts from Rudd in November were urged to go out and spend their money “on socks, jocks and polo shirts” – the leading local manufacturer of which is Australia’s Pacific Brands Ltd.

That approach backfired when, three months later, Pacific Brands announced it was shutting its factories, with the loss of almost 2,000 jobs, and moving production offshore.

“I think what Pacific Brands has done is frankly, in so many respects, beyond the pale,” Rudd said, noting that the company had received millions in subsidies.

Yet, a lot of this is bluster. Rudd faced down the unions and, speaking in Washington before his first meeting with US President Barack Obama, declared “protectionism helps spread the fire, it doesn’t but the fire out.”

Pacific Brands chief executive Sue Morphett said production would inevitably have shifted offshore – the current cash crisis just hastened that shift.

“It’s a clear competitive disadvantage for us to be carrying on clothing manufacturing in Australia, unfortunately,” Morphett said. “The alternative was to take a little bit here, a little bit over there, but I felt that was the worst way to do it. If there’s going to be change that’s going to impact on people, you need to be upfront and let them know.

What’s true of underwear manufacturing is true of the car industry, says Oliver Hartwich, a research fellow at the Centre for Independent Studies in Sydney. He argues that protection is all that keeps production lines rolling.

“Australians will come to rue the day that Rudd decided to treat the car industry as an issue of systemic significance,” Hartwich said.

Last year, Mitsubishi Motor Corporation closed its plant after taking an astonishing 28 years to build just 1.1 million cars.

“Government assistance to the auto industry will be another example of wasted taxpayer funds,” said Newcastle University economist Michael Costa, who predicted that antiquated notions of national prestige are driving the car industry.

Rudd will have success stories to tell around the G20 table. There hasn’t been a run on an Australian bank. In fact, of the 14 AA-rated banks around the world, four are in Australia.

Less than 1 per cent of mortgage holders are in difficulty with repayments and more than 90 per cent are paying off their loan faster than they need to.

Rudd has already rehearsed his London speech. It’s self- congratulatory and an appeal for other governments to deal with the toxic debt that the lucky country avoided.

“Australians know we are coping with this downturn better than other countries, but our medium-term prospects depend on global efforts to deal with the cause of this emergency,” Rudd said.

“That’s why Australia will press so strongly for a clear plan of action in London,” he said. (dpa)

EU, South Korea postpone concluding free trade pact

Seoul – The European Union and South Korea on Tuesday postponed concluding a Free Trade Agreement after reaching a tentative deal on almost all points, officials said.

Talks over the outstanding issues are to continue in early April on ministerial level at the sidelines of the G20 meeting in London, the chief negotiators of both sides said after the end of the formal negotiations in Seoul.

South Korean chief negotiator Lee Hye Min said that a “provisional” agreement has been reached on almost all pending issues after nearly two years of talks but the deal would only be binding when a final agreement was concluded.

Lee and his EU counterpart Ignacio Garcia Bercero said outstanding contentious issues included rules of origin for products and customs rebates in South Korea.

Talks about the ambitious agreement began in May 2007. The EU is South Korea’s second-largest trading partner after China. (dpa)

Obama aides admit presentational errors making him less popular

Washington, Mar. 15 (ANI): Aides of President Obama have candidly admitted that presentational errors during the previous seven weeks are contributing to his deteriorating popularity.

They realize that returning the bust of Winston Churchill to British Government and gifting British PM Gordon Brown with a set of 25 DVDs as a state gift was “a mistake.”

“Clearly it was a mistake, and they want people to know that they know that. There is a collective desire to learn from the experience. They pride themselves on attention to detail. They didn’t have their eye on the ball… they all know they’ve got to do better,” The Telegraph quoted a White House aide, as saying.

Obama has instructed White House staff to not repeat the mistakes.

A top White House sourse told The Telegraph that Obama has now told his staff to learn from the errors made during Brown’s visit and to ensure that the protocol is observed when he meets the Queen later this month.

Administration officials have been warned to be better prepared for the high profile series of international meetings over the next few weeks, during which Obama will travel to Europe for the G20 meeting in London, roll out a new strategy for Afghanistan at a NATO’s summit and make his first visit to a Muslim nation – Turkey.

Obama is due to call at Buckingham Palace shortly before the G20 meeting.

A new poll has revealed that Obama’s personal approval ratings have dipped to levels below those of George W. Bush at the same stage of his first term, undermining the common assumption that Obama is enjoying unusual levels of public popularity. (ANI)

British PM’s wife gifts Obama girls clothes from Top Shop

London, Mar 4 (ANI): British Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s wife, Sarah, has gifted clothes from the high street chain Top Shop to U.S. President Barack Obama’s daughters.

On her visit to the White House, Sarah talked to US First Lady Michelle Obama for more than an hour.

She personally handed over the gifts to the President’s daughters Malia, 10 and Sasha, 7, reports The Telegraph.

The girls even received children’s books by British authors from the Prime Minister’s wife.

Michelle Obama, in return, gave Sarah a model of the Presidential helicopter Marine One for the latter’s two sons Fraser and John.

Both of them discussed maternity issues, and talked about the First Lady’s plans to come to London next month for the G20 meeting.

Barack and Michelle Obama are scheduled to visit Britain for the first time after entering the White House for the economic summit on April 2.

Earlier, the British Premier and the US President held talks in the Oval Office. (ANI)

G20 leaders open critical financial summit

G20 leaders open critical financial summit Washington – The world’s 20 top economies launched on Saturday an historic summit aimed at stabilizing the world financial system and halting a global economic slide.

Greeting world leaders of the Group of 20 (G20) to the Washington summit, US President George W Bush said he was pleased with the early results after leaders held a working dinner at the White House Friday night.

But Bush, who is hosting the summit, again warned nations against restricting free markets and trade as a result of the financial crisis.

“I am pleased that we’re discussing a way forward to make sure that such a crisis is unlikely to occur again. And I am pleased that the leaders reaffirmed the principles behind open markets and free trade,” said Bush, as he welcomed leaders at Washington’s National Building Museum.

The meeting in the ornate museum building is closed to the press but is designed to be a free and open discussion between world leaders on ways of averting a financial crisis similar to the one that recently swept through global markets.

Speaking ahead of the meeting, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said the G20 summit marked a “new beginning” for international cooperation and would ensure that “all market participants, all products and all markets will be truly monitored and regulated.”

According to a draft of the final declaration obtained by Deutsche Presse-Agentur dpa, world leaders were expected to agree to a set of principles aimed at closing all gaps in the regulation of world finance markets.

Finance ministers have been given a deadline of March 31 to hammer out the specifics, followed by another summit of the G20 leaders at a later date, according to the draft. The next summit is most likely to be held in London, but a formal announcement was expected later Saturday.

The move to better monitor world financial markets comes in the wake of a round of stock market turmoil and a sharp downturn in the world’s economy. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast a global recession in 2009.

Spanish Prime Minister Jose Rodriguez Zapatero said, “The fundamentals of the economy are not bad. We can and must get out of this situation, but we need coordinated actions for that.”

At the White House dinner, world leaders discussed the need for a fiscal stimulus package at the global level, which should be coordinated by industrialized nations, members of the Spanish delegation said late Friday.

Media reports said Brazil could announce its own stimulus package in conjunction with the summit.

But a stimulus is unlikely to come about in the United States until president-elect Barack Obama takes office in January. Talks in the current Congress have stalled but Obama has pledged to make it his first priority.

Obama is not attending the summit but in a radio address Saturday said he was glad Bush “initiated this process because our global economic crisis requires a coordinated global response.”

Obama has sent former secretary of state Madeleine Albright and former Republican Congressman Jim Leach to meet over the weekend with world leaders and their advisors on his behalf.

The G20 brings together a mix of industrial nations and developing economies. The Washington summit marks the first time leaders of the G20 have ever come together – a nod to the growing importance of emerging economies such as China, India and Brazil.

Global stocks have been decimated by the financial turmoil that was triggered by a meltdown in the US mortgage market but has since spread to all corners of the globe.

European leaders have sought a major overhaul of global regulations to prevent financial firms from taking the kinds of excessive risks that sparked the sector’s collapse, while developing countries are looking to contain the fallout from the crisis that began in advanced economies.

Leaders are also likely to instruct the World Bank to beef up its lending to developing countries, some of which are facing critical cash shortfalls.

Japan on Friday pledged 2 billion dollars to the World Bank’s efforts and planned to add 100 billion dollars to the IMF’s own lending programme.

While there is a general consensus that nations have responded appropriately to the crisis with short-term measures, a key element of the declaration is likely to be the need for greater regulation and supervision at international and national levels. (dpa)