Third LNP defection ‘isn’t an issue’

Liberal National Party (LNP) president Bruce McIver says the resignation of a party candidate in far north Queensland is not a major concern.

Former Barron River candidate Wendy Richardson has followed the lead of MPs Aidan McLindon and Rob Messenger and quit the party to run as an independent at the next state election

Mr McIver says it is unlikely Ms Richardson would have been chosen to represent the party anyway.

“We are not concerned about this at all. I’ve talked to Warren Entsch – he’s our regional chairman in north Queensland – and both Warren and I agree this isn’t really an issue at all,” Mr McIver said.

“It would be highly unlikely that Wendy would have had the support of the party to run again and I think she has taken the opportunity to change her status.”

Meanwhile, Opposition Leader John-Paul Langbroek has warned two ex-LNP members to be wary of advice from other independents.

Mr McLindon, the Member for Beaudesert, and Mr Messenger, the Member for Burnett, met with veteran federal independent Bob Katter yesterday.

Mr Langbroek says Mr Katter is not necessarily a good role model.

“They have to be very careful about what they’re out there promising or what they’re discussing with Bob Katter who clearly is very aware of the fact there’s a federal election coming up later this year,” he said.

“Bob Katter tends to do a lot of noise in an election year and let’s have a look at what Bob Katter has actually been able to deliver [as Member] for Kennedy.”

Rudd lashes Barnett over super tax

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has hit out at West Australian Premier Colin Barnett over his criticism of the new proposed resources super tax.

Mr Barnett has called the proposed 40 per cent tax on super profits of mining companies a ‘Western Australian company tax’ and says the Rudd government will lose a seat at the next federal election if it continues to disadvantage the state.

In Perth Mr Rudd retaliated saying it was a bit rich for the premier to put up royalties on miners but reject a federal tax.

“The premier of WA can’t have it both ways,” he said.

“You can’t say that on the one hand you want a whole lot more money to fund this state’s infrastructure needs, and the infrastructure needs are huge, and on the other hand say that we shouldn’t raise a tax from the super profits of miners to support those infrastructure needs.”

Keneally adds to Rudd’s health woes

Kevin Rudd now appears to have a fairly stark choice when it comes to his hospitals funding plan; either alter it before the COAG meeting on Monday or accept that he will not get the states on board.

New South Wales has dealt the latest and biggest blow to the Prime Minister’s hospitals dream.

Premier Kristina Keneally is refusing to give up control of a third of the state’s GST revenue to the Commonwealth.

New South Wales is demanding instead that state and federal funds be pooled and controlled by the states.

Ms Keneally is also demanding a lot more money immediately.

“I will not sign up to a deal that disadvantages New South Wales taxpayers,” she said.

Mr Rudd says he will not be issuing a blank cheque to the states and if he does not get the deal he wants he will execute his threat of a referendum on the issue at the federal election.

But he is not going to get what he wants from the premiers and Ms Keneally has ensured a deal is not going to happen unless Mr Rudd performs a major backdown.

“I can support nearly 90 per cent of the proposals put forward by the Prime Minister in his healthcare reform proposal. We are nearly there,” she said.

In reality, the Prime Minister is not nearly there at all.

The NSW Premier has now joined her Victorian and West Australian colleagues in rejecting Mr Rudd’s attempt to claw back 30 per cent of the states’ and territories’ GST revenue.

That is the key part of the hospitals plan.

“New South Wales is willing to dedicate but not to have the Commonwealth retain up to a third of our GST for health spending,” Ms Keneally said.

“This is an important technical distinction.”

As with Victoria and Western Australia, New South Wales wants to pool state and federal funds to pay for hospital care.

But Ms Keneally will not be handing any money over to Mr Rudd first.

“The state would put its money into the fund, the Commonwealth would put its money into the fund. The fund would be administered by the state and the payments would come out from the fund to the local hospital networks,” she said.

More money

And there is more and it comes at a cost. For Mr Rudd to secure New South Wales support, he will have to give the state an extra $670 million over the next four years.

“[This is] to ensure that New South Wales is no worse off as we implement the Commonwealth’s health reforms. We can’t wait for four years to see new real growth money coming into this system,” Ms Keneally said.

But Mr Rudd wants to channel Commonwealth money directly to local hospital networks.

“On Monday COAG has to do more than simply come up with a plan for money, it has to come up with a plan for reform because the blank cheque theory of health and hospitals doesn’t work,” he said.

“We’ve got to fix the system and then fund the system for the future, more hospital beds, more doctors, more nurses.”

The Prime Minister has threatened to take the matter to a referendum at the election if he can’t get a deal with the premiers and an in-principle deal at the COAG meeting will not be enough.

“We are looking for an inter-governmental agreement and I’ve been very clear about that. Let’s not shilly shally around this. No ifs, no buts, no maybes. We want an inter-governmental agreement,” he said.

Opposition health spokesman Peter Dutton says Mr Rudd is looking to squeeze every last bit of political opportunity out of the issue.

“He may see a referendum as a political outcome that’s advantageous to himself, but in the end people should know that Kevin Rudd is playing politics with health at the moment,” he said.

“The Prime Minister’s put forward a proposal which is changing day by day because it wasn’t properly put together in the first place. There are bits and pieces.

“There are lots of negotiations going on behind the scenes and I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s a qualified agreement at COAG on Monday because, in the end, Labor mates will stick together.”

Cobb wins Calare preselection for Nats

The sitting Member for Calare has been endorsed as the Nationals’ candidate for the next Federal election.

John Cobb beat Orange City Councillor Sam Romano in the preselection at a meeting attended by about 250 party members in Orange on Saturday.

Mr Cobb says the lack of water and challenges facing local health services are the biggest issues facing people in the western region.

He says while he is confident heading into the upcoming Federal election, he is taking nothing for granted.

“On paper we’re talking two, three per cent so you don’t get too carried away with those sort of numbers and it’s a different electorate,” he said.

“But I think it’s a natural sort of electorate for us to be able to look after in a regional sense.”

Mr Cobb says he is now focused on the task ahead.

“I would’ve been very disappointed if I’d lost, but I was pretty overwhelmed by the result,” he said

“It was very humbling to get such a vote of confidence and I guess now it just means everybody can concentrate on the job at hand.

“[It] may be as soon as August in defeating the current government and keeping the seat of Calare with the Nationals.”

After redistribution, Calare is now a central west seat, taking in Lithgow, Bathurst and Oberon but losing a large chunk of the far west including Bourke, Brewarrina and Narromine.

The Nationals currently hold the seat but last year’s redistribution has reduced the margin from 12 per cent to 3.5 per cent.

Asylum freeze ‘politically motivated’

The Federal Opposition has attacked the Government’s decision to suspend asylum seeker claims from Sri Lanka and Afghanistan, saying it is politically motivated and will not stop the boats coming to Australia.

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd says the suspension – of three months for Sri Lankans and six months for Afghanis – is due to “changing circumstances” in both countries.

But Opposition Leader Tony Abbott says it shows the Government knows its policy is failing.

“This is an admission by the Government that it was always pull factors – not push factors – that was causing the flow of boats,” he said.

Opposition immigration spokesman Scott Morrison says the Government has known for a month that the situations in Afghanistan and Sri Lanka were changing.

“It simply prompts you to ask the question: why today?” he said.

“All they have done is try to put this issue into suspended animation. What they haven’t done is put forward a plan to stop the boats.”

Mr Morrison says the Government is putting off action on dealing with asylum seekers until after the upcoming federal election.

“They are going to clog up the system even more as boat after boat after boat arrives,” he said.

“Clearly they will just spill onto the mainland as they already have now.”

Greens Senator Sarah Hanson-Young says the suspension will be as dangerous for asylum seekers as the previous government’s system of temporary protection visas.

“The decision of the Government to change their policies are less about the conditions in these countries and more about the political conditions here in Australia,” she said.

“This is about politics. This is not about humanity.”

Immigration Minister Chris Evans says Sri Lankans and Afghanis already on Christmas Island will still have their applications processed, as will those currently bring taken there by the Navy.

But he says from now on, anyone from those countries who is intercepted will be taken to the island and will have to wait until the suspension is lifted.

‘Morally abhorrent’

Human Rights Commission president Catherine Branson says the Government’s changes mean asylum seekers will be detained indefinitely.

She says the commission is considering another visit to Christmas Island to monitor the conditions there.

“We did late last year publish a quite comprehensive report about Christmas Island, but I am very conscious of the fact that conditions there have changed since that time and not for the better,” Ms Branson said.

“We are considering the possibility of again travelling to Christmas Island to update our report.”

Bassina Farbenblum, the director of the University of NSW Migrant and Refugee Rights Project, says the Government’s move breaches the UN’s Refugee Convention.

She says it is immoral to detain Afghanis and Sri Lankans for long periods to deter other asylum seekers.

“It is profoundly discriminatory. Australia will be violating it’s international obligations to detain people for the minimum necessary period, and honestly it’s morally abhorrent,” Ms Farbenblum said.

The Refugee Council says while it is not supporting the suspension, it is a legitimate response to the problem of asylum seekers provided people are not sent back to face persecution.

“This is an attempt to crack a circuit breaker and I can understand why they’re doing that, as long as they continue to adhere to the humane policies which they have supported,” Refugee Council president John Gibson said.

“We will just have to keep a very close eye on what’s going on.”

Mr Gibson says he is concerned the Government’s decision has been made without proper scrutiny of the conditions in Sri Lanka and Afghanistan.

He says there needs to be lasting improvement before refugees from those countries are treated any differently.

“When there is a change of circumstances it should be sustainable and durable, and as far as Sri Lanka is concerned – and possibly some parts of Afghanistan – one would have to look carefully at whether in fact that is the case,” Mr Gibson said.

And he says the hysteria that has taken hold of Australians over the asylum seeker issue remains.

“I’d like to see the shift and focus towards the positive solutions, looking globally and regionally, rather than this obsession over how many boats arrive,” he said.

He says the number of asylum seekers accepted in Australia still pales in comparison to those accepted in other countries.

Harkins in for Senate bid, Singh overlooked

The Tasmanian Labor Party has preselected trade union boss Kevin Harkins to run for the Senate at the next election, overlooking ousted state Labor MP Lisa Singh.

The ALP’s administrative committee met in Hobart yesterday to finalise the Tasmanian candidates it wants to contest this year’s federal election.

The Committee’s Tasmanian Senate ticket puts Labor Senator Helen Polley at number one, Kevin Harkins at number two and Anne Urquhart from the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union at number three.

The decision comes as a blow to another Labor Senate candidate, Lisa Singh, who lost her Denison seat at the state election.

Another notable omission is Labor Senator Kerry O’Brien.

Senator O’Brien says preselection is a matter for the ALP’s National Executive which will discuss the issue when it meets in Melbourne tomorrow.

The Prime Minister has previously said Mr Harkins would have “Buckley’s chance” of being preselected.

Mr Harkins is not deterred.

“The Prime Minister will likely be there and more than likely will have a say but at the end of the day the Tasmanian branch has made recommendations to the national executive and tradition would dictate that they be accepted,” he said.

Former Tasmanian Labor MP and Harkins critic Harry Quick says it is imperative Mr Rudd intervenes given his previous stance.

“Julia Gillard has intervened in New South Wales politics to ensure that after the redistribution Laurie Ferguson was protected.”

“I’d like to think that Kevin (Rudd) would keep his promise to never ever have Kevin Harkins representing Tasmania,” he said.

U.S. plans help German nuclear arms removal – minister

Washington’s plans to reduce its reliance on nuclear weapons will bolster efforts to remove the last remaining U.S. nuclear arms in Germany, German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle said on Wednesday.

Westerwelle said Tuesday’s announcement by U.S. President Barack Obama that the U.S. aimed to renounce development of new atomic weapons was a “historic” step that brought the vision of a Germany free of nuclear arms closer to reality.

“The German government wants the last tactical nuclear weapons removed from Germany,” he said in a statement in Berlin. “This provides a tailwind to the government’s aims.”

Westerwelle, a member of the Free Democrats (FDP) who rule in a coalition with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives, has made disarmament his signature issue.

He announced the day after last year’s federal election that he wanted talks on removing the last U.S. nuclear warheads from Germany, calling them “relics of the Cold War”.

According to unofficial estimates, the United States still has around 20 nuclear weapons stationed at a base in the western German town of Buechel.

Westerwelle said removal of the weapons should involve the “closest cooperation” with Germany’s allies and promised to address the matter at an informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers in Tallin on April 22-23.

He said Obama’s plans also sent out a signal that Iran should desist from any moves to acquire nuclear arms.

(Reporting by Dave Graham; editing by Noah Barkin)

Liberals endorse McEwen candidate

The Liberal Party has officially endorsed its candidate for the federal seat of McEwen.

Kinglake policeman Cameron Caine will contest the seat for the Liberals at the federal election.

The current member, Fran Bailey, last year announced she would retire at the next election after nearly 20 years in Parliament.

LNP’s teen candidate hits back at critics

The Queensland teenager pre-selected by the Liberal National Party to fight for one of the state’s most marginal seats at this year’s federal election insists he is the right candidate for the job.

Over the weekend Wyatt Roy, 19, was officially endorsed by the party’s hierarchy to stand in the seat of Longman, north of Brisbane.

That seat, representing an electorate with many seniors, was formerly held by the Liberal minister Mal Brough and is now held by Labor’s Jon Sullivan.

Winning the seat is critical for Federal Opposition Tony Abbott if he is to oust Prime Minister Kevin Rudd.

Many, including Mr Brough, have questioned whether Mr Roy’s age and inexperience will stand against him.

But Mr Roy told ABC Local Radio that he was not worried about criticism of his age.

“I think anybody is entitled to their opinion and certainly Mal is entitled to his opinion,” he said.

“I think what is important is my approach to politics and what I bring is a completely fresh, clean, energised approach to federal politics.”

But Mr Roy, who finished Year 12 in 2007, does have somewhat limited life experience.

“I had two weeks after I finished school and I travelled. I went overseas and went around Europe, as most people do,” he said.

“I then moved interstate and started studying in Melbourne. There [I studied] international relations and then I moved back up to Brisbane to continue my studies.

“I worked in the family business when I came up here.”

Mr Roy says he comes from a farming family of swinging voters but says the politician he most admires is Mr Abbott.

“I really like Tony. I mean Tony Abbott is a straight shooter,” he said.

“[I like him] because he’s real. Too many politicians aren’t real. I mean, politics has become very disenfranchising.”

Big issues

The young aspiring politician was also asked what he thought about tough issues such as climate change.

“I certainly sit with Tony Abbott. … This is something that I’m quite passionate about,” he said.

“Let’s look at the two policies. Tony Abbott is fighting climate change through direct action and an incentive-based approach. All the while Kevin Rudd’s putting a tax on family and small business.”

Mr Roy also takes the party line on asylum seekers.

“It is about the politics of message … We have started to send a message where it is easy to come to this country, not going through the right processes,” he said.

“Now the last thing in the world we want is not to give these people a fair go. They deserve a fair go.

“This comes down to very complicated legislation about how we actually go through the processes of coming to our shores in a legal sense, and then working through that process from being an illegal arrival to being a legitimate arrival.”

Mr Roy says there are still “huge questions” that have not been answered about health.

“You’re talking about a federal takeover. And quite frankly the people in Caboolture, in my electorate, don’t know what Kevin Rudd’s takeover means,” he said.

“Does it mean more bureaucrats or does it mean more beds? We don’t know.”

And he says that part of his job is “getting out there and selling” Mr Abbott’s message on health.

‘Poor recruitment’

Mr Roy won over some listeners this morning, including former Liberal MP Don Cameron, who was voted into the Federal Parliament in 1966 at the age of 26.

“I copped the same thing in being described as a boy,” Mr Cameron said.

“But listening to that young fellow, he runs rings around my capacity at even 26.”

But Australian Catholic University professor of public policy, Scott Prasser, has reservations.

“I think it’s fantastic that young people are interested in politics and this person is obviously very committed and interested in politics,” he said.

“But … here we have one of the most marginal seats in the country, which is potentially winnable at the next federal election.

“What it indicates to me is that the LNP have got very poor recruitment processes.

“Now I think this is an opportunity for the LNP to recruit people of experience, so they can go into Parliament to play the bigger game of spearheading attacks on the Government and developing policy.

“I think a 19-year-old does not have that experience, and I think that is sending a wrong signal to the electorate.”

Unionist seeks preselection despite PM’s rejection

A Tasmanian unionist is planning to run for the Senate, despite being rejected by the Prime Minister at the last federal election.

Kevin Harkins of the Electrical Trades Union withdrew as Labor’s candidate for the lower house seat of Franklin, amid accusations of heavy-handed union tactics.

The Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, said at the time there was “Buckley’s chance” of Mr Harkins becoming a Labor Senator, calling him a “pugilist”.

Mr Harkins is now seeking Senate pre-selection, but will not say whether he has received Mr Rudd’s blessing.

“I think those words were nothing more than a misunderstanding, and they should be placed into that basket,” he said.

“I think we’ve all moved on since those things happened.

“Maybe it was a mistaken identity, or something like that. I don’t really know. You would have to ask the Prime Minister about that.”

A spokesman for the Prime Minister says Mr Rudd has been open about his personal views but pre-selection is a matter for the Tasmanian ALP.

The party’s State Secretary, John Dowling, has declined to be interviewed.

Liberals choose Bendigo candidate

Bendigo businessman Craig Hunter has been preselected as the Liberal Party candidate for the seat of Bendigo in this year’s federal election.

Yesterday, he defeated Michael Gillies-Smith, a former adviser to State Opposition Leader Ted Baillieu.

Mr Hunter runs a software company and says he will campaign hard on the issues that are important to central Victorians.

“We will be looking to engage the community at every chance we can and to be able to determine the key points that the local central Victorian community are wanting to see from their Liberal representatives,” he said.

Bligh, Langbroek debate on asset sales rejected

Queensland Opposition Leader John-Paul Langbroek says Premier Anna Bligh has “squibbed” his challenge for a debate on asset sales.

He put the idea to Ms Bligh in Parliament this morning.

But she said she is happy to debate him in Parliament or in a State election year.

Mr Langbroek says by the time the next election comes around, assets will already be sold.

“This is a sale year,” he said.

“Whilst it might be a Federal election year, this is the year when these assets are going to be sold and I think it’s very telling that the Premier squibbed at a chance to debate Labor’s privatisation plans.”

Ms Bligh says she will take on Mr Langbroek when he has some alternative ideas.

“I’m happy to debate John-Paul Langbroek in the Parliament on any day of the week,” she said.

“It’s actually six weeks since he moved any motion on this issue.

“He’s not serious about a debate.

“I will debate John-Paul Langbroek when he’s got a policy – what’s the point of a debate when he doesn’t even have a policy?”

Greens name Gilmore candidate

The Greens party has named Kiama’s deputy Mayor Ben Van der Wijngaart as its candidate for the seat of Gilmore in the upcoming federal election.

Mr Van der Wijngaart has gained preselection for the seat twice before, but this time it is expected to be a tight contest with the result possibly determined by Green preferences.

He says the Rudd Government is losing its popularity with the electorate and Green issues will feature strongly in the campaign.

“I think that many people who were very disappointed by the high expectation that they had of the Rudd Government, particularly on climate change issues … sea level rise is now becoming … a really crucial issue for a large number of people in coastal areas and they are starting to see it as a serious danger to their property,” he said.

Labor settles on Macquarie candidate

A former journalist and mother of two has won the Labor Party’s pre-selection to contest the western Sydney seat of Macquarie at the next federal election.

Last night Susan Templeman was chosen as the Labor candidate with 84 votes to 34 over former policewoman Donna Ritchie.

Ms Templeman worked in commercial radio in the 1980s and early 1990s with stints in the Canberra press gallery and overseas.

Macquarie is one of the most marginal Labor seats in the country and is currently held by Bob Debus, who is retiring.

Ms Templeman says she is gearing up for a tough challenge after electoral redistributions reduced the Labor margin from 7 per cent to 0.1 per cent.

“What that means is that it will be a tough fight,” she said.

“It is the most marginal seat in the country and we will all be working here to make sure we can keep it in Labor hands.”

ALP chooses Mooney to contest Herbert

The Queensland Labor Party has selected a mayor and a former mayor to run as candidates in this year’s federal election.

The Labor Party has chosen two high profile candidates to contest federal electorates in north Queensland.

Former Townsville mayor Tony Mooney will stand as the Labor candidate for the seat of Herbert.

The electorate has been held by the Liberals since 1996 but the sitting Member Peter Lindsay is retiring at the next election.

Whitsunday Mayor Mike Brunker will contest the seat of Dawson.

Councillor Brunker was chosen ahead of former Whitsunday councillor Lousie Mahony and Queensland Teachers Union representative Julieanne Gilbert.

Current Labor Member James Bidgood is retiring this year for health reasons.

In the Brisbane seat of Bowman, local businesswoman and mother of two Jenny Peters has been selected to run for Labor.

ALP chooses Mooney to contest Herbert

The Queensland Labor Party has selected a mayor and a former mayor to run as candidates in this year’s federal election.

The Labor Party has chosen two high profile candidates to contest federal electorates in north Queensland.

Former Townsville mayor Tony Mooney will stand as the Labor candidate for the seat of Herbert.

The electorate has been held by the Liberals since 1996 but the sitting Member Peter Lindsay is retiring at the next election.

Whitsunday Mayor Mike Brunker will contest the seat of Dawson.

Councillor Brunker was chosen ahead of former Whitsunday councillor Lousie Mahony and Queensland Teachers Union representative Julieanne Gilbert.

Current Labor Member James Bidgood is retiring this year for health reasons.

In the Brisbane seat of Bowman, local businesswoman and mother of two Jenny Peters has been selected to run for Labor.

Senate rejects motion on political advertising

The Greens have failed in their bid for the Senate to push for a new political advertising regulator.

The Greens leader Bob Brown tried to move a motion calling on the Government to set up a “Truth in Political Advertising Unit” before the next federal election.

Senator Brown criticised the Government and Opposition for not supporting the bid to amend the Commonwealth Electoral Act.

“When you vote down motions [on this topic] you are manifestly supporting lying, fraudulent behaviour and corruption of the political process. You cannot have it both ways,” he said.

“These are strong words but they need to be issued and the challenge needs to be issued in this Parliament.

“It is disgraceful behaviour by the big parties.”

Climate activists plan election strategy

Around 200 climate change activists will meet at the Australian National University in Canberra this weekend to map out their election year strategy.

The activists say they are confident they can push the issue back on to the political agenda before the federal election.

Organiser Moira Williams says the heavy media attention given to climate change sceptics has hurt the movement, but says there is still strong electoral support for action.

“I think people know that even if there is doubt, they actually want action on climate change,” she said.

“And so we need to focus on the people that believe action on climate change is really important, and mobilise those people in response to scepticism.”

Candidate hopeful shrugs off CMC probe

The Whitsunday regional Mayor says a Crime and Misconduct Commission (CMC) investigation will not hinder his chances of contesting this year’s federal election.

Councillor Mike Brunker wants to run for the Labor Party in the seat of Dawson, in the state’s north.

“There’s been no criminal charges, I’m not expecting any and I know if I am preselected the National party will concentrate on that,” Cr Brunker said.

ALP state secretary Anthony Chisholm says the person will be selected by the national executive rather than local Labor Party members.

“I believe the national executive are determined to get a candidate in the field as soon as possible, many people were caught by surprise by James Bidgood’s decision to retire at the next election,” Mr Chisholm said.

Nominations for preselection close on Tuesday and a candidate will be chosen on Thursday.

Labor counts the cost of global crisis

THE Government’s star has begun to fade in the midst of the recession with the latest Herald/Nielsen poll showing the Coalition making significant inroads against Kevin Rudd and Labor.

The poll, the first to gauge the national mood since last week’s federal budget, also finds general satisfaction with the budget, but six out 10 were unhappy with the decision to raise the retirement age to 67.

The poll shows a 5 per cent two-party preferred swing to the Coalition since the previous poll in late March, leaving both parties with the same level of support they had at the federal election on November 24, 2007.

Labor leads the Coalition by 53 per cent to 47 per cent, down from the 58-42 gap in the previous poll.

The Coalition has made up 9 percentage points on Labor in the crucial primary vote.

Labor’s primary vote fell 3 points to 44 per cent, while support for the Coalition rose 6 points to 43 per cent.

The national poll of 1400 voters was taken from Thursday night to Saturday, accounting for the budget on Tuesday and the Opposition’s response.

Since the previous poll, the Government has admitted the country is in recession and the $900 cash hand-outs from the second stimulus package have begun flowing.

The poll suggests the cash payments and the budget have had no positive political impact for the Government or Mr Rudd, while Malcolm Turnbull has made small personal gains against his rival.

Mr Rudd’s approval rating has fallen 10 points to a still lofty 64 per cent while his disapproval rose 10 points to 32 per cent.

Mr Turnbull’s approval rating stayed steady at 43 per cent, as did his disapproval rating of 47 per cent.

Mr Rudd still leads his rival easily as preferred prime minister but by 9 points fewer than two months ago. Mr Rudd’s preferred prime minister rating fell 5 points to 64 per cent. Mr Turnbull’s rose 4 points to 28 per cent.

The results will buy Mr Turnbull some peace from the leadership speculation that is never far below the surface in the Liberal Party.

Labor was in a similar poll position in September just as the global financial crisis began to bite and Mr Turnbull took over as Opposition Leader.

The Nielsen pollster John Stirton said the latest poll was good news for the Coalition but it would take another month to see how permanent the change was.

“Overall, this poll shows a much improved result for the Coalition, but it only puts them on par with their 2007 election loss,” he said.

Though Mr Rudd’s approval rating fell to 64 per cent, it was a level of approval John Howard only attained four times in his 11½ years as prime minister.

“Mr Rudd should be concerned about the direction his approval rating is heading rather than its absolute level,” Mr Stirton said.

The Coalition has been banking on a campaign of highlighting debt and deficit to deal it back into the game.

It has vowed to block the budget measure of means testing the private health rebate and suggested the revenue be replaced with a tobacco tax increase. Government analysis released yesterday shows Mr Turnbull’s cigarette tax would fall short by $3.2 billion over the next decade.

The Coalition is reluctant to give Labor a trigger for a double dissolution election – the same bill being rejected three months apart – and will now support the alcopops tax rise it has opposed for a year.

“We’ve got to take into account the budgetary environment has changed,” Mr Turnbull said.

The Finance Minister, Lindsay Tanner, said yesterday the Coalition had yet to commit to support any of the $22 billion in savings measures in the budget and, other than a tax increase, had not proposed any alternative solutions to tackle debt.