Spanish stocks – Factors to watch on Tuesday

July 27 (Reuters) – The following Spanish stocks may be affected by newspaper reports and other factors on Tuesday. Reuters has not verified the newspaper reports, and cannot vouch for their accuracy:

BANKINTER (BKT.MC)

The bank was the first Spanish bank to issue debt since Friday’s stress test results, issuing 400 million euros in mortgage-backed securities on Monday.

BANKING SECTOR

Testing the strength of European banks against severe shocks is a good long-term investment, Spain’s central bank Governor Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez said on Monday after a meeting of central bankers and regulators.

For a full story, please click on [ID:nWEA1173]

CAM (CAHM.MC)

Spanish savings bank CAM on Monday said its board had approved a merger with three other banks, the last of a recent wave of consolidation driven by the Bank of Spain to strengthen the financial position of the smaller ones.

For a full story, click on [ID:nLDE66P20J]

POPULAR (POP.MC)

Spain’s third largest retail bank is due to present first-half result before the market opens on Tuesday.

GAS NATURAL (GAS.MC)

The Spanish power utility and midstream gas trader is due to post first-half results and a strategic plan to 2014 on Tuesday before the market opens.

For today’s European market outlook double click on [.EU].

For real-time moves on the Spanish blue-chip index IBEX please double click on .IBEX

For IBEX constituent stocks highlight .IBEX in the command box and press the F3 button on your keyboard

For latest news on Spanish stock moves double click [HOT-ES]

For Spanish language market report double click on [.MES]

For latest Eurostocks report please double click on [.EU]

South African Markets – Factors to watch on July 27

July 27 (Reuters) – The following company announcements, scheduled economic indicators, debt and currency market moves and political events may affect South African markets on Tuesday.

- – - -

EVENTS

PRETORIA – Government auctions 1.1 billion rand of its 2018 bond ZAR204= and one billion rand of its 2020 bond ZAR207= at its weekly auction. 0900 GMT

PRETORIA – Stats SA releases Q2 2010 jobless data. 0930 GMT

- – - -

GLOBAL MARKETS

Asian stocks rose to their highest in two and a half months on Tuesday, boosted by solid U.S. housing data, while the euro inched up towards two-month peaks on relief over stress tests on European banks.

The MSCI index of Asia Pacific ex-Japan stocks .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.4 percent, led by gains in the technology .MIAPJIT00PUS and consumer durables .MIAPJCD00PUS sectors. [GLOB/MKTS]

SOUTH AFRICAN MARKETS

South Africa’s rand advanced to fresh 3-month highs against the dollar on Monday and domestic stocks rose on the back of higher financials. The rand broke through key technical levels in the session and was eyeing 7.25/dollar, a level it has only pierced briefly twice in the past year.

On the bourse, the JSE Top-40 index of blue chips .JTOPI edged up 0.19 percent to 25,381.47, while the broader All-Share index gained 0.26 percent to 28,499.00. [ID:nLDE66P1O1]

ANGLO PLATINUM (AMSJ.J)

Anglo Platinum, the world’s biggest producer of the precious metal, said on Monday it would lift its production by about 3 percent a year for the next 10 years to meet slowly recovering demand. [ID:nLDE66P0AF]

GOLD XAU=

Gold gained on Tuesday in a thin market driven by a firm euro and a technical rebound as prices briefly hit the 100-day moving average, while jewellery makers stayed on the sidelines after recent purchases.

Spot gold XAU= added $1.05 to $1,184.80 an ounce by 0336 GMT as dealers shrugged off a slight decline in ETF holdings. Gold had fallen nearly $8 on Monday after strong U.S. home sales data dented its safe haven appeal. [GOL/]

WALL STREET

An upbeat outlook from FedEx, coupled with encouraging home sales, lifted U.S. stocks on Monday, keeping the S&P 500 above 1,100 for a second day and suggesting the rally could last.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 100.81 points, or 0.97 percent, to 10,525.43. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX rose 12.35 points, or 1.12 percent, to 1,115.01. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC advanced 26.96 points, or 1.19 percent, to close at 2,296.43. [.N]

EMERGING MARKETS

For the top emerging markets news, double click on [nTOPEMRG]

NIGERIA

The private sector arm of the World Bank said on Monday it would provide funding that would help enable Nigerian banks to buy distressed counterparts rescued in a $4 billion central bank bailout last year. [ID:nLDE66P1RB]

- – - -

Some of the main stories out of the South African press:

BUSINESS DAY

- Rand up on better sentiment in U.S, Europe

- Kumba Iron Ore (KIOJ.J) “to offer olive branch” if it wins dispute

BUSINESS REPORT

- Dip in leading indicator fuels fear of slowdown in recovery

THE STAR

- Defence Minister Lindiwe Sisulu denies sullen soldiers pose a threat

(Reporting by Gugulakhe Lourie)

RPT-GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks rise on US data, euro inches up

HONG KONG, July 27 (Reuters) – Asian stocks rose to their highest in two and a half months on Tuesday, boosted by solid U.S. housing data, while the euro inched up towards two-month peaks on relief over stress tests on European banks.

High-yielding currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars held near recent highs and the dollar stabilised after retreating against the yen on Monday.

“The environment is gradually improving, after U.S. new home sales data and European banks’ stress tests, but investors are still not entirely convinced that the recovery is solid,” said Soichiro Monji, chief strategist at Daiwa SB Investments.

“The yen has yet to weaken properly either.”

The dollar was trading just below 87 yen JPY= after falling 0.7 percent in the previous session.

The euro crawled up above key resistance of 1.30 EUR= with sentiment buoyed after the stress tests. Analysts are now eyeing a 2-month high of $1.3029 hit last week as the next test.

The MSCI index of Asia Pacific ex-Japan stocks .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.4 percent, led by gains in the technology .MIAPJIT00PUS and consumer durables .MIAPJCD00PUS sectors.

The index is down just 2 percent in the year to date, and could return to the black this week, although earnings from Asian corporate heavyweights hold the key to further gains.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei .N225 edged up above 9,520, a key technical resistance, but slipped back amid worries about a firm yen hitting exporters..

Overnight, Wall Street finished higher after new home sales in June logged a surprising jump and package delivery and business services company FedEx Corp’s (FDX.N), an economic bellwether, upgraded its quarterly and full-year earnings forecasts.

Asian corporate reporting season enters its busy phase this week amid expectations of robust results for the April-June reporting period, though the picture in the months ahead looks murkier. [ID:nSGE66J00X]

Among those reporting during the day are Indian energy major Reliance Industries (RELI.BO) and Japan’s Canon Inc (7751.T) and Daiwa Securities (8601.T).

Bucking the trend, Shanghai’s composite .SSEC, already the worst performer in Asia this year, fell 0.4 percent after a report the city’s banks are facing rising default risks on loans to real estate developers. [ID:nTOE66Q003]

The mood was already jittery after a report the previous day that almost a quarter of China’s local government debt is at risk of defaulting [ID:nTOE66P032].

Shanghai’s index is down more than 21 percent in the year to date despite a six-session rising streak which has taken it to month highs.

The Aussie AUD= was trading at $0.9020 close to an 11-week peak and the kiwi NZD= hovered at $0.7344, not far from a six-month high. (Editing by Kazunori Takada)

EU bank stress tests face their own test in markets

(Reuters) – EU tests of banks’ ability to withstand financial shocks, criticized as too easy after only 7 out of 91 failed, face their own stress test in the markets on Monday with early signs pointing to a more positive response.

European Union policymakers and regulators voiced relief at Friday’s results but some market analysts and many media commentators derided an exercise in which all listed banks passed as lacking in credibility.

“I see nothing stressful about this test. It’s like sending the banks away for a weekend of R&R,” said Stephen Pope, chief global equity strategist at brokers Cantor Fitzgerald.

There was skepticism about EU regulators’ conclusion that banks need only a total of 3.5 billion euros ($4.5 billion) in extra capital. Market expectations had ranged from 30 to 100 billion euros, although many European banks have already raised capital during the financial crisis.

Only five small Spanish banks, Germany’s state-rescued Hypo Real Estate and Greece’s Atebank failed outright. More than a dozen others scraped through with just over the required 6 percent of Tier 1 capital in the most stressful scenario and are likely to come under market scrutiny.

However, the wealth of data disclosed by banks representing 65 percent of assets, and the commitment of banks, regulators and governments to follow-up action may well outweigh doubts about the stringency of the tests.

In a first market reaction in New York late on Friday, the cost of insuring the debt of large European banks fell further and the euro rose against the dollar despite worries about the tests’ credibility.

Better-than-expected economic data and business confidence surveys suggesting the euro zone will avoid a double-dip recession despite fiscal austerity measures are also helping revive investor confidence in Europe.

HAGGLING

Given the haggling among EU governments and regulators about the stress tests right up to the last moment, the degree of transparency was greater than had been expected a few weeks ago.

Sources familiar with the discussions said Germany fought hard behind closed doors to limit the extent of disclosure.

In the end, most banks — except Deutsche — issued a detailed breakdown of their exposure to the sovereign debt of EU countries, enabling investors to run their own risk simulations to gauge a counterparty’s solidity.

“We have all the sovereign exposure data, and we can go ahead and do our own tests,” said Nial O’Connor, a banking analyst at Credit Suisse.

That should help reopen the interbank lending market, which partially froze at the height of the euro zone debt crisis in May and has remained tight due to fears that banks have been hiding big exposures.

It also responds to one of the major criticisms of the exercise — that the scenario assumed a “haircut” on sovereign debt of countries such as Greece held in banks’ trading books, but not on a longer-term basis in their banking books.

The EU authorities were chastised for refusing to test the impact of a default by Greece.

But European Central Bank governing council member Christian Noyer said euro zone states “have put several hundreds of billions of euros on the table with the support of the IMF to make this hypothesis completely excluded.”

TRANSPARENCY

Spain, which spearheaded the drive for transparency, tested a larger part of its banking system and disclosed more data than any other country, hoping to clear away lingering market suspicion of its smaller banks’ solvency.

However economist Nicolas Veron of the Bruegel think-tank said Madrid had underplayed the recapitalization needs of the cajas, regional savings banks, although its bank resolution fund (FROBE) is well on the way to meeting those needs.

“The Spanish wanted to be seen as the most transparent and deserve praise for the catalyst role they played, but in the end they clearly understated what the cajas need,” he said in a telephone interview.

Veron said follow-up actions by governments and regulators should include pressing weaker banks to recapitalize, if necessary with state help and facilitating cross-border takeovers of weaker banks.

Even before the results were published, National Bank of Greece, Slovenia’s NLB and Civica in Spain announced plans to raise capital.

Italy said it would reopen an offer of government-backed bonds to support its banks, although none failed. Monte dei Paschi di Siena squeaked through with 6.2 percent of Tier 1 capital under the most stressful scenario, and UBI Banca with 6.8 percent.

Veron said the success of the exercise would depend partly on whether European regulators adopt a more cooperative approach after the stress tests than they did before them.

“If this is the start of a beautiful friendship among EU supervisors, then that’s not the same as if the united front crumbles next week and they start criticizing each other again,” he said.

(Editing by Andrew Roche)

Sweet Europe, sour America?

(Reuters) – Investors are finding themselves with a new kind of balancing act — one in which they have to juggle with three major regions posing three significantly different circumstances.

Europe’s bank stress testing, the focus of much of the past week’s market debate, may have some impact on Monday but may well pale into insignificance given the most recent numbers on the broader economy.

First there is the United States, which is believed to be facing another slowdown, if not a double-dip recession.

Then there is Europe, suffering a debt crisis and austerity-bound, yet suddenly surprising everyone with an unexpected burst of economic vigor.

Thirdly, comes Asia, growing away so merrily that investors are beginning to be concerned that too much zeal will be exercised in trying to slow things down.

On top of that there is the decoupling of economics and earnings — keeping bond yields down and lifting stocks. The latest investment flow data from EPFR Global showed “yield hungry but skittish” investors flooding into bonds, but world stocks .MIWD00000PUS .TRXFLDGLPU are up more than 7 percent for the month.

“We are really in a much more difficult stage of the recovery right now,” Michala Marcussen, head of global economics at Societe Generale, said at a briefing with Reuters journalists.

She described markets as struggling with a “rotating crisis” in which one problem in one region becomes the focus of concern, only to be quickly replaced by another in another region.

“That ping pong is likely to go on for some time,” she said.

EUROPEAN TIGER?

Entering the new week, investors will first have to deal with any fallout from the stress tests of 91 European banks, which showed just seven failed, confirming fears the criteria used had been too soft.

Markets had been fairly calm about the tests, which, with Greece and other peripheral euro zone economies in mind, were designed to see how banks would fare in serious future crises.

The health check on 91 banks in 20 countries was widely criticized as being too soft. It was also overshadowed somewhat by a slew of data on European economies that suggested the banks may face less pressure and loan defaults than earlier thought.

That leaves investors to make up their own minds about particular banks, armed with the extra data the tests provided, including on sovereign bond holdings, to judge where further weak spots may be.

“With so few banks failing, investors will question whether the economic scenarios are sufficiently severe,” said Jon Peace, analyst at Nomura in London.

“It will be natural for investors to consider the margin by which banks passed,” he added, citing a good pass margin for Scandinavian and British banks, but Greek, Spanish and Italian banks faring less well.

European purchasing managers’ indexes in the past week showed private sector business activity accelerating in July, surprising economists who had expected a slowdown.

They indicated third-quarter euro zone growth of around 0.6-0.7 percent, double the 0.3 percent forecast in the most recent Reuters poll.

This was followed up by German business sentiment posting a record jump in July to its highest level in three years.

Non-euro zone member Britain also surprised with its economy growing twice as fast as expected in the second quarter of this year propelled by a sharp pick-up in services and the biggest rise in construction in almost 50 years.

Investors being investors, of course, these robust numbers triggered some new concerns about monetary tightening — hence the spike in the euro and pound against the dollar.

WEAKLING AMERICA?

The biggest piece of data likely to focus investors’ attention in the coming week is U.S. second-quarter GDP, out on Friday.

The U.S. economy is clearly coming off the boil, if, indeed, it was boiling. After three quarters of solid growth it is showing signs of slowing with firms still reluctant to hire and the housing sector seemingly unable to exit a prolonged rut.

It was enough, during the past week to prompt promises from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke for more action if there are further signs of faltering.

This would particularly be the case if jobs don’t pick up.

“We are ready and will act if the economy does not continue to improve, if we don’t see the kind of improvements in the labor market that we are hoping for and expecting,” he told the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee.

This admission that all is not well has broad implications for investors even if other global drivers — major emerging market economies, such as China, and now Europe — are still on the upswing.

The question could turn out to be whether markets and other economies can thrive without the U.S. engine. History suggests not.

(Additional reporting by Blaise Robinson; Editing by Patrick Graham)

Taiwan stocks end at more than 2-mth high; TSMC up

TAIPEI, July 23 (Reuters) – Taiwan stocks rose 1.24 percent
to a more than two-month closing high on Friday, as investors
chased major technology exporters including TSMC (2330.TW) and
Hon Hai (2317.TW) on strong earnings prospects for this year.

Nearly all sub-indexes rose in Taiwan after solid corporate
earnings sent Wall Street higher on Thursday, while the market
awaited the results of stress tests on European banks.

The main TAIEX share index rose 94.88 points to
7,761.22, the highest finish since May 14. The TAIEX gained 1.3
percent this week and has risen about 10 percent since the year’s
low hit in late May.

Top contract chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co
Ltd (TSMC) rose 1.29 percent. Hon Hai Precision Industry Co
jumped 5.04 percent.
(US$1=T$32.1)

FOREX-Euro steadies vs dollar before stress test results

TOKYO, July 23 (Reuters) – The euro steadied against the dollar on Friday, retaining gains made the previous day on strong euro zone data and U.S. corporate earnings, as investors awaited European bank stress test results due later in the day.

The euro, which jumped more than 1 percent against the greenback on Thursday, moved in a narrow range around $1.2900 EUR=, little changed from late U.S. trade on Thursday.

It has support at about $1.2720, an interim high from July 9 set during its recent rally from a four-year low, and is consolidating at $1.2720-1.3030. A break above that band could see it testing $1.3090-1.3125.

But traders said the euro was unlikely to re-test this week’s 10-week high of $1.3029 just yet nor fall sharply ahead of the stress test results, which could move other currencies as well.

Traders have been betting most of the 91 European banks being examined will pass. Analysts say if there are no ugly surprises, that will be euro supportive, although some are sceptical about the severity of the checks.

“Few are seriously worried about results of the bank stress tests now, and that is supporting the euro,” said a senior FX trader at a big Japanese bank.

“But it’s hard to see whether the euro will extend gains against the dollar after the test results as investors are well aware the root problem of the euro zone debt woes is sovereign credit trouble.”

Euro bulls bet the euro could extend its rally partly on dollar weakness due to concerns the U.S. recovery is faltering. Below-forecast economic data has fanned fears about a slowing economy, prompting investors to dump long dollar positions.

But bears bet the euro rally could lose steam, pressured by selling against currencies with higher interest rate prospects, such as the Australian EURAUD=R and Canadian dollars EURCAD=R.

Chartists say a breach of $1.2720 support could be the first warning of a deeper retracement from its 10-week high.

Euro/dollar 1-month risk reversals EUR1MRR=ICAP, a measure of currency sentiment, showed a bias for euro puts. Traders said that partly reflected speculation the euro may start falling sometime after the test results.

Data from broker ICAP EURVOL=ICAP shows euro/dollar 1-month risk reversals at 1.35/1.85 percent.

The yen was flat, recovering early losses as Japanese exporters sold the dollar, the euro and the Australian dollar, traders said.

The Japanese currency fell after data on Thursday showed surprisingly robust growth in European manufacturing and services, and after strong earnings from U.S. blue chips such as 3M (MMM.N) and Caterpillar (CAT.N) rekindled hopes for the global economy and improved investor appetite for risk.

The euro was steady at 112.08 yen EURJPY=R, having risen about 0.9 percent on Thursday.

The dollar inched down 0.1 percent to 86.91 yen JPY=, staying above a seven-month trough of 86.27 yen struck on trading platform EBS late last week. (Additional contribution by Reuters FX analyst Rick Lloyd in Singapore and Krishna Kumar in Sydney; Editing by Charlotte Cooper)

Spain’s cajas face no stress test shocks: association

(Reuters) – Spain’s banks or cajas will get no nasty surprises with the release of stress tests later this week, the director general of the Spanish Confederation of Savings Banks (CECA) said in a newspaper interview on Sunday.

Many analysts have warned that Spain’s savings banks could suffer the most when stress tests are published on Friday alongside those for other European banks, given many are heavily exposed to a badly hit property sector.

Yet the CECA’s Jose Antonio Olavarrieta, asked if there would be any surprises for Spanish lenders, was quoted as saying by ABC newspaper: “I don’t believe there will be, either for the cajas or the banks.”

However, he did not discount a bank having to seek more capital from the Bank of Spain’s restructuring fund FROB, set up to help a consolidation process among the cajas to halve their numbers from 45 and strengthen the financial position of the weaker ones.

Olavarrieta also said he hoped the tests would help improve conditions in money markets, which have shut out smaller Spanish banks over fears the country could face a similar debt crisis to that of Greece.

“If the tests are positive and confidence is reestablished then there will be more credit and liquidity in the markets,” he was quoted saying.

Speaking in a separate interview in La Vanguardia newspaper, the chairman of the CECA and of La Caixa savings bank Isidre Faine also said banks and cajas would not have problems with the stress tests given their clear balance sheets and sufficient mortgage guarantees on the loans they had made.

But he said the sector still had work to do in terms of reducing costs and making more capital provisions.

(Reporting by Nigel Davies; Editing by David Holmes)

FOREX-Yen dips, longs shed on Japan ruling party woes

TOKYO, July 12 (Reuters) – The yen eased on Monday after election results showed political uncertainty ahead for Japan, but the move was seen likely to be short-lived with attention turning to the U.S. earnings season as a gauge of risk appetite.

Japan’s ruling coalition, led by Prime Minister Naoto Kan’s Democratic Party of Japan, lost its upper house majority in Sunday’s election, putting Kan’s policies to deal with the country’s massive debt at risk. [ID:nTOE66A02V]

Although the DPJ has a dominant grip on the more powerful lower house, the election makes policy stalemate more likely.

Market players said the outcome helped trigger yen-selling, including likely long liquidation. One trader cited dollar buying against the yen by hedge funds.

Such flows, together with Japanese importer demand for the dollar, helped push the dollar higher against the yen, market players said.

But traders said focal points in the near term were the start of the U.S. earnings season this week and the results of stress test at European banks due later in July, adding that yen-selling pressure stemming solely from the upper house election result was likely to be limited in scope and duration.

“I think we may see a move towards 90 yen to the dollar and that may be it,” said a trader for a Japanese bank, adding that long liquidation in the yen seemed to be the main reason behind the yen’s dip on Monday.

The dollar rose 0.3 percent against the yen to 88.90 yen JPY=, pulling away from a seven-month low of 86.96 yen hit on trading platform EBS in early July.

On daily Ichimoku charts, the dollar faces resistance near 89.55 yen, roughly where the kijun sen now lies.

Overall, the Tokyo market reaction to the election was subdued, with the benchmark Nikkei average .N225 little changed on the day and 10-year Japanese government bond futures eking out a small gain 2JGBv1.

The latest U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed that currency speculators increased their long positions in the yen to 37,926 contracts in the week that ended July 6, up from 27,427 contracts in the previous period. [IMM/FX]

The euro was almost flat against the yen at 112.00 yen, having failed to maintain small gains made earlier in the day. EURJPY=R.

Against the dollar, the euro fell 0.3 percent to $1.2598 EUR=. Resistance is seen near $1.2715/20, the trendline from the December high.

The euro touched a two-month high of $1.2723 on Friday, supported by strong German data, some clarity on European bank stress tests and a turnaround in appetite towards riskier assets.

The latest CFTC data showed speculators had decreased bets against the euro to 38,909 contracts, from 73,670 contracts.

Traders said they will watch how a Greek debt auction goes this week for more direction on the euro. The debt-laden country plans to auction six-month treasury bills on July 13.

The dollar index .DXY rose 0.3 percent to 84.225, pulling away from a two-month low of 83.622 hit on Friday. The greenback has been under pressure since early last week, hurt by growing worries about a slowdown in the United States and easing concerns about the euro zone.

“From their June 8 peak, dollar net longs have tumbled by 80 percent,” wrote David Watt, a senior currency strategist at RBC Capital.

“Along the way, the dollar index has dropped from over 88 to below 85. Much of the most recent drop seems due to a successful Spanish bond auction, though yield spreads are working against the dollar and are an underlying factor at play too.”

The U.S. earnings season begins with Alcoa Inc (AA.N) after the closing bell on Monday. Analysts are expecting overall second-quarter earnings to grow by 27 percent, according to Thomson Reuters data. That is up from the 22.4 percent that analysts were anticipating at the beginning of the year.

But given worries about a U.S. slowdown, markets will be looking at companies’ guidance on the coming quarter too, said Katsunori Kitakura, chief dealer at Chuo Mitsui Trust and Co.

“We haven’t had pre-announcement earning revisions, which is a good sign. But depending on the outlook on the third quarter, market sentiment could deteriorate again, which would hurt the dollar,” Kitakura said. [ID:nN08195712]. (Additional reporting by Anirban Nag in Sydney; Charlotte Cooper in Tokyo; Editing by Michael Watson)

Euro adds to broad gains, hits 2-mth high vs dollar

July 9 (Reuters) – The euro hit a two-month high against the dollar and rose broadly on Friday as improving risk demand prompted European banks to pick up the currency.

The euro EUR= climbed as high as $1.2723 according to electronic trading platform EBS. London traders cited demand from a Swiss bank from around $1.2680 as helping to push the single currency higher.

It rose broadly, climbing to 112.69 yen EURJPY= and 83.84 pence against sterling EURGBP=D4, its highest versus both currencies since June 21. (Reporting by Naomi Tajitsu)

Miners, banks push FTSE down; BP up on interest

LONDON, July 5 (Reuters) – Britain’s top shares fell early on Monday with banks and miners lower as investors remained downbeat on the sustainability of the global economic recovery after disappointing U.S. job figures in the previous session.

By 0811 GMT, the FTSE 100 .FTSE was down 9.09 points, or 0.2 percent at 4,829.00, having closed 0.7 percent higher on Friday.

Volumes in London were muted, with U.S. markets closed on Monday for Independence Day, celebrated the previous day, and relatively little in the way of company or macroeconomic data to provide further evidence on the state of the global economy.

“It’s been a pretty lacklustre opening with no direction to come from Wall Street. But we are coming into a pivotal few weeks earnings wise,” said Richard Hunter, head of UK equities at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Three months ago the vast majority of companies managed to beat analysts’ expectations and that is the kind of positive catalyst we’ll need this time round to give the markets a shot in the arm, with sentiment dominated by Europe and the stalling of the global economic recovery.”

Miners were on the back foot, with demand concerns lingering after data on Friday showed U.S. non-farm payrolls dropped by 125,000, the largest fall since October.

African Barrick Gold (ABGL.L) and BHP Billiton (BLT.L) were top fallers among the miners, down 2.4 and 1.7 percent respectively.

Banks were also weaker as concerns remained over their exposure to Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, with Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) and Barclays (BARC.L) the two biggest fallers in the sector down 0.6 and 1.0 percent.

However, UBS said in note that running a credit stress test along the lines of the U.S. tests of 2009 would see all the major European banks pass.

London’s blue chip index lost 3.9 percent last week after shedding 13.4 percent in June with investor doubts mounting worries over the sustainability of the global recovery.

KUWAIT EYES BP ASSETS

Embattled oil major BP (BP.L) was a strong performer, up 2.1 percent, helped by a Kuwait newspaper report that said OPEC member Kuwait may buy some of BP’s (BP.L) Middle East and Asian assets as part of the British oil company’s attempt to raise funds and fend off takeover bids. [ID:nLDE6640A8]

The company is looking for a shareholder willing to buy a 5 to 10 percent stake at a cost of up to 6 billion pounds. BP’s rivals Exxon (XOM.N), Total (TOTF.PA) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L) have all been touted as possible bidders, according to weekend newspaper reports.

Elsewhere, TUI Travel (TT.L) gained 1.4 pct, among the top FTSE 100 .FTSE gainers, as UBS upped its stance for the tour operator to “buy” from “neutral” on valuation grounds, though it lowered its price target to 250 pence, from 265 pence.

And Marks and Spencer (MKS.L), Britain’s No.1 clothing retailer, rose 1.2 percent ahead of results due on Wednesday. (Editing by Karen Foster)

FOREX-Dollar soft on recovery question, euro pauses

TOKYO, July 5 (Reuters) – The dollar held at its lowest in nearly two months on Monday and the euro paused after last week’s boost from unwinding of short and leveraged positions, with traders and analysts seeing scope for it to squeeze a bit higher.

With attention turning to a slowdown in the United States and away from the euro zone’s banking and government debt woes, analysts said the next upside target for the euro was a May reaction high at $1.2673 EUR=.

Leveraged trades funded in the euro, be it long dollar, commodity currencies or emerging markets, were being cut, while at the same time the euro selling seen in April and May looked to be exhausted for now.

“I’m not seeing money flooding back into euro on a broad basis. You really have to describe it as exhaustion,” said Greg Gibbs, FX strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland in Sydney.

The question for markets at this point, with concern that the U.S. recovery was losing steam, was what should they buy.

“The fear of maybe not necessarily double-dip but certainly a very long period of low employment growth and very low rates is definitely playing into the markets’ view,” Gibbs said.

The euro EUR= eased 0.2 percent to $1.2542, with near term support seen around its 55-day moving, currently at $1.2531. Last week, the euro gained 1.5 percent against the dollar, reversing a loss from the previous week and gaining greater distance from June’s four-year low at $1.1876.

Traders also said talk of repatriation by European banks helped lift the euro.

Jonathan Cavenagh, currency strategist at Westpac in Sydney, said leveraged trades funded in euro were being cut and the low level of yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasuries suggested the euro should be trading higher.

U.S. yields have fallen sharply after a slew of soft U.S. economic numbers suggested recovery would be tepid. The 10-year note yield US10YT=RR has fallen below the psychological 3 percent mark, trading at 2.98 percent.

Friday’s monthly jobs report showed the economy shed 125,000 jobs in June, while private payrolls rose less than expected. Overall employment fell for the first time this year as thousands of temporary census jobs ended.

The data followed a raft of weak reports which suggested consumer spending, housing and factory activity were moderating. For more details, click [nN01165161].

The dollar lost ground last week before the data and on Friday the dollar index .DXY hit its lowest level in nearly two months at 84.132.

By Monday, it had steadied at 84.499, with short-term support seen at around 83.20, roughly a 38.2 percent retracement of the index’s move from a low of 74.17 in November to a high of 88.71 in June. Trade was quiet, with U.S. markets closed for a holiday.

The dollar edged up against the yen, pulling further away from a 7-month low of 86.96 yen set last week, with some talk of dollar buying by Japanese importers.

But it lost 1.8 percent against the yen last week as U.S. yields fell, and traders said there was talk of options triggers below 85 yen. The dollar hasn’t fallen below 85 yen since November last year when it hit a 14-year low at 84.82 yen.

Data from the Currency Futures Trading Commission showed net long yen positions jumped in the week to June 29. The value of the dollar’s net long position slipped to about $9.5 billion in the week ended June 29, from $12.2 billion in the prior week.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 and the New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 edged up slightly against the greenback.

But they still looked vulnerable after losing almost 4 percent last week, with sentiment hurt by weekend news that China’s non-manufacturing PMI had eased below 60 in June, following manufacturing surveys also showing expansion slowing. (Additional reporting by Anirban Nag in Sydney and Rika Otsuka in Tokyo; Editing by Joseph Radford)

FOREX-Euro takes a break, Aussie firm but pauses

TOKYO, June 16 (Reuters) – The euro steadied near a two-week high against the dollar on Wednesday, as investors in Asia hesitated to chase its short-covering rally further, while higher yielding currencies stalled after rallying alongside stocks.

The euro paused ahead of resistance at $1.2350-55 EUR= although traders and chartists said it still had scope to extend its gains after a rise in the S&P 500 .SPX improved risk tolerance, with some looking for a move above $1.24 and beyond.

Holidays in China and Hong Kong helped keep Asian currency market activity subdued after Wall Street rallied more than 2 percent and the S&P 500 rose above its 200-day moving average for the first time in a month, suggesting the recent downtrend may be nearing an end. [.N]

Japanese investors are wary of the euro’s move higher, which has been spurred by short-covering from a four-year low of $1.1876 set earlier in June, and are trying to gauge how solid the rise is, said a currency trader at a Japanese brokerage.

At the same time, he and others said the euro, while still in a downtrend, may have further to go before the end of the quarter.

“Short-covering and European banks’ repatriation will keep the euro buoyant for at least for another week,” the trader said.

The euro rose 0.9 percent on Tuesday, touching $1.2350, its strongest since June 1. By Wednesday it had trickled back to $1.2335, with support expected from its 55-hour moving average coming in about $1.2250.

After $1.2350-55, resistance is layered at $1.2370, a 61.8 percent retracement of its late May high to its June low, at $1.2450, which is a late May reaction high, and at $1.2550-70, a 38.2 percent retracement from mid-April highs to the June low.

On Tuesday, investors set aside concerns about the euro zone financial sector and soft economic data to buy riskier assets, higher-yielding currencies and the euro, preferring to look on the bright side after Spain raised 5.2 billion euros ($6.42 billion) at an auction and Belgium netted 2.5 billion euros.

Analysts said the market was watching the rebound in equities.

“Markets are not very sensitive to fundamental news because they are pushing back their interest rate forecasts,” said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief FX strategist at Barclays in Japan.

“Markets are focusing more on equity markets so equity-sensitive currencies like the Aussie, kiwi, Canadian dollar and the Swedish crown could be the main focus.”

The Australian dollar was holding up near the month’s highs against both the dollar and the yen but failing to capitalise on gains of 1 percent in Asian shares.

It was flat on the day at $0.8645 AUD=D4, not far below a one-month high near $0.8670 struck on Monday.

It eased 0.1 percent to 79.05 yen AUDJPY=R, pausing before resistance at 80.00, a 50 percent retracement of its fall from just above 88.00 in late April to its a low of 71.89 in May and a point at which Japanese retail margin traders are expected to take profits.

The New Zealand dollar fell 0.6 percent to $0.6945 NZD=D4, with some talk that it was being weighed on by a comment by Finance Minister Bill English on trying to ensure the rate hike cycle was not as vicious as in the past. [ID:nWLF004686]

It also lost ground to the Aussie, which rose sharply to its highest in two weeks against the kiwi AUDNZD=D4.

The euro was steady at 112.80 yen EURJPY=, after topping 113.00 on Tuesday to touch its strongest level in two weeks.

The dollar was flat on the day at 91.50 yen JPY=, in the middle of a 4 yen range it has held since mid-May.

The dollar index .DXY =USD edged up to 86.03, hovering above support near 85.85 which was a low it marked on May 28

But it slipped to its lowest in a month against the Swiss franc at 1.1288 francs CHF=. ($1=.8102 Euro) (Additional reporting by Rika Otsuka in Tokyo and Anirban Nag in Sydney; Editing by Michael Watson)

European banks rely on short-term USD funding -BIS study

June 13 (Reuters) – The sovereign debt crisis has made European banks rely on short-term U.S. dollar funding, according to research by the Bank for International Settlements, published on Sunday.

The study also said establishing central counterparties for foreign exchange swaps could help the situation.

“With concerns about exposures to fiscally challenged sovereigns on the rise, European banks have apparently found it difficult to roll over their short-term U.S. dollar funding positions,” said the paper, which was published in the BIS quarterly review but has not been formally endorsed by the bank.

“The funding patterns … point to an ongoing, large-scale reliance of European banks on sources of wholesale cross-currency funding.”

As a result, banks are required to roll over significant parts of their funding at relatively short maturities, which are bound to become even shorter if conditions deteriorate, the paper by Ingo Fender and Patrick McGuire said.

Reduced access to outright funding in individual currencies could force banks to rely even more heavily on foreign exchange swap markets for any additional foreign currency funds or require the transfer of collateral across jurisdictions.

“Such funding patterns put a premium on contingency funding arrangements for international banks and underline the need for further diversification in banks’ funding profiles.”

“In particular, they point to potential benefits from improvements to FX swap market infrastructure, such as the use of central counterparties to allow multilateral netting and more efficient collateral management.”

Making it easier to use collateral across borders in central bank refinancing operations or employing regional swap arrangements on the basis of reserve pooling could also reduce funding pressures, the research paper said. (Reporting by Sakari Suoninen; Editing by Susan Fenton)

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, commodities extend losses on US jobs data

NEW YORK/LONDON, June 4 (Reuters) – A dour U.S. jobs report added to fresh fears on Friday over European banks and talk of a “Greek-style” debt crisis in Hungary, pushing global stocks lower and the euro to a new four-year trough to the dollar.

Safe-haven investments like gold and government debt rose while commodities and European shares extended losses after the U.S. Labor Department said non-farm payrolls in May rose by 431,000, far less than a consensus estimate of 513,000.

While payrolls last month grew at their fastest pace in 10 years, buoyed by temporary hiring for the decennial census, private hirings slowed sharply as businesses opted to increase hours rather than sign on new workers.

German bund futures FGBLc1 hit a new session high, rising to as high as 129.48 compared with 128.99 before the jobs data. The yield on the two-year Schatz fell to 0.468 percent from 0.488 percent. For details see: [ID:nLDE65317C]

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR traded up 28/32 in price at 101-30/33, compared with being 10/32 higher shortly before the employment data.

MSCI’s all-country world equity index .MIWD00000PUS fell 0.8 percent.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top shares was down 1.5 percent at 1,001.31 points, led by banking stocks.

“The initial take is this is a pretty bad number; well below expectations,” T.J. Marta, founder and market strategist with Marta on the Markets in Scotch Plains, New Jersey:

“The key disappointment was in the private payrolls. While we did get the census hiring, the private economy is not hiring the way we would have liked.”

Spot gold XAU= turned higher, reaching $1,208.75 an ounce, after the payrolls data missed expectations.

Assets seen as higher risk fell. Copper fell to near a 5-month low and U.S. crude oil futures fell almost $2 to below $73 a barrel.

U.S. stock index futures also extended losses. S&P 500 futures SPc1 fell 26.4 points and were below fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract.

Dow Jones industrial average futures DJc1 slumped 191 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures NDc1 lost 45 points.

The dollar fell versus the Japanese yen, while the euro extended losses, down more than 1 percent at a session low of $1.2019 EUR=, according to Reuters data.

The euro hit a record low versus Swiss franc.

European stocks were hurt by concern over the derivatives division of French Societe Generale.

Societe Generale, which declined to comment on speculation about losses in its derivatives division, fell 6.3 percent.

Investors earlier had been spooked again by comments out of Hungary, perceived as the weak link in eastern Europe due to high debt ratios.

A spokesman for the prime minister said a leader of the newly elected ruling party had not exaggerated when he had said on Thursday Hungary may face a Greek-style debt crisis.

That pushed the forint currency to a one-year low and hit shares in European banks exposed to eastern Europe.

“There is fear coming back into the market,” said Matthew Brown, sales trader at ETX Capital in London. “There are unsubstantiated rumors of a French bank having derivative losses and there are also comments coming out of Hungary.” (Reporting by Herbert Lash)

MONEY MARKETS-Dollar Libor stabilising; spread off wides

* Dollar funding costs stabilising after big gains in May

* Three-month dollar Libor eases, spread slightly tighter

By Ian Chua

LONDON, June 4 (Reuters) – Bank-to-bank dollar funding costs
eased on Friday with the benchmark three-month rate showing
signs of stabilising after sharp gains last month with little
new stress in the market to push rates higher.

The three-month dollar London interbank offered rate
USD3MFSR= was fixed at 0.53656 percent, down from 0.53781
percent on Thursday, and off a near 11-month high of 0.53844 set
last week.

A gauge of money market stress, the three-month dollar
Libor/Overnight Index Swap spread, eased one basis point to 29
bps. See [ID:nEAP000027] for more Libor fixings.

Forward markets were priced for a spread of around 55 basis
points by December, off highs of around 80 bps set last month.

“We still see the potential for wider spreads amid a
structural supply-demand imbalance for interbank cash in the
medium- to longer-run,” said Chrisoph Rieger, strategist at
Commerzbank.

But near term, tighter forward spreads are likely on the
back of a tepid recovery in risk appetite, he added.

In May, dollar interbank funding rates climbed sharply as
worries about European banks mounted after the peripheral euro
zone debt crisis intensified and a Spanish lender had to be
bailed out.

This caused liquidity providers to stop lending dollars to
European banks or limit their lending to top names in small
sizes only.

“This will take time to correct because the impression of
counterpart risk will remain for some time. The sovereign risk
will remain for maybe a couple of years,” said Guillaume Baron,
strategist at Societe Generale in Paris.

Central banks have acted swiftly, with the European Central
Bank reintroducing some liquidity measures it had phased out
earlier and reopening dollar swap lines.

JPMorgan said in a research note that BIS data indicate
peripheral European banks do not have large U.S. dollar funding
needs and instead they are likely net lenders of dollars in the
forex basis market.

“This suggests that, absent broader contagion of the
sovereign debt crisis into core Europe, last month’s move in
forward Libor is overdone.”

The two-year U.S. swap spread — an indicator of financial
market stress — edged up to 46.25 from around 42.25 on
Thursday, but stayed below a 13-month high of 64.00 set on May
25.
(Additional reporting by Umesh Desai in Hong Kong; editing by
Jason Webb)

North Korean leader Kim Jong-il”s luxury trains

Washington, May 7 (ANI): North Korean leader Kim Jong-il enjoys traveling in style, and according to the Christian Science Monitor (CSM), has six armoured luxury trains to move around in, especially when he is heading towards close ally China.

His armored train is decked out with conference rooms, an audience chamber, bedrooms, satellite phone connections, and flat screen TVs.

Some 20 railway stations in North Korea have been built specifically for his six trains, which all together have about 90 carriages, according to a November report in South Korean newspaper The Chosun Ilbo.

In addition, he reportedly has four billion dollars saved away in European banks.

An alternative reason for his preference for trains could be his deference to tradition — his father always traveled by train, too. (ANI)

North Korean Supreme Leader’s secret four billion dollar ‘emergency fund’ revealed

Pyongyang (North Korea), Mar 15(ANI): The Supreme Leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-il, reportedly has a four billion dollar ‘emergency fund’ hidden in European banks’ secret accounts to utilize if he has to escape in the event of a military invasion by forces from the United States and South Korea.

According to reports, much of the money was held in Swiss banks until authorities there began to tighten regulations on money laundering.

It is believed that Kim’s operatives then withdrew the money in cash, and have transferred it to banks in Luxembourg without leaving any trace.

The money is said to be the profits from North Korea selling its nuclear and missile technology, dealing in narcotics, insurance fraud and the counterfeiting of foreign currency.

“I believe this is the most extensive money-laundering operation in the history of organised crime, yet the final destination of the funds has not been given the proper attention it deserves,” said The Telegraph quoted Ken Kato, the director of Human Rights in Asia, as saying.

“Somewhere in the world, there are bankers who are earning a large sum of money by concealing and managing Kim Jong-il’s secret funds, and at the same time, almost nine million people in North Korea are suffering from food shortages.”

“I believe the secret bank accounts are now in Luxembourg, or have recently been transferred from Luxembourg to other tax havens,” he added. (ANI)