Indonesia’s United Tractors posts flat H1 net profit

July 29 (Reuters) – PT United Tractors (UNTR.JK), Indonesia’s biggest heavy equipment provider, posted a 0.8 percent rise in its first half 2010 net profit on Thursday, as revenues climbed but costs increased.

The firm, Indonesia’s largest mining contractor, posted a 1.888 trillion rupiah ($209.8 million) net profit in the first half of the year, versus 1.873 trillion rupiah a year earlier.

The company’s net revenue climbed 30 percent to 18.08 trillion rupiah.

Indonesia is expected to post economic growth of around 6 percent this year, driven by exports of resources that need heavy machinery, as well as increasing consumer demand.

Shares in United Tractors, which has a market cap of $7.3 billion, gained 21 percent in the first half of the year, outperforming the 15 percent rise in the Jakarta stock index .JKSE. (Reporting by Janeman Latul, Editing by Neil Chatterjee)

India cbank:consumer price inflation at elevated levels

July 27 (Reuters) – India’s central bank said on Tuesday consumer price inflation remains at elevated levels and demand-side pressures need to be contained.

At its quarterly policy review, the bank also said real policy rates are not consistent with strong economic growth. (Reporting by Jeanette Rodrigues; editing by Surojit Gupta)

Eastern Virginia Bankshares Announces Increased Loan Loss Reserves, Declares Dividend

TAPPAHANNOCK, Va.–(Business Wire)–
Eastern Virginia Bankshares (NASDAQ:EVBS) today reported its results of
operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2010 and announced a
dividend declaration.

Key Highlights

After a process of evaluating our credit portfolio in this difficult economic
environment, and in light of recent evidence that suggests that economic growth
may remain weak for an extended period, EVBS announces that it has significantly
increased its provision for loan losses. While this action has an immediate
recognition of a loss for the quarter and the results of operations year to
date, it is necessary as we aggressively identify and resolve our problem loans.

For the three months ended June 30, 2010, EVBS reported a net operating loss of
($6.0) million, an increase of $4.2 million over the net operating loss of
($1.8) million reported for the same period of 2009. The net loss to common
shareholders increased to ($6.3) million, or ($1.06) per common share, assuming
dilution, compared to a net loss of ($2.1) million or ($0.36) per common share
in 2009. For the first six months of 2010, the net operating loss was ($4.6)
million, an increase of $3.6 million over the net operating loss of ($1.0)
million reported for the same period of 2009. The net loss to common
shareholders increased to ($5.4) million, or ($0.90) per common share, assuming
dilution, compared to a net loss of ($1.8) million in 2009 or ($0.30) per common
share. Continued economic weaknesses necessitated a significant increase in our
provision for loan losses and was the primary driver of our financial results
for the quarter. For the three and six months ended June 30, 2010 the provision
for loan losses was $12.6 million and $14.5 million, respectively, as compared
to $750 thousand and $1.7 million for the same periods of 2009. The difference
between net operating loss and net loss to common shareholders is the deduction
for the effective dividend to the U.S. Treasury on preferred stock.

Joe A. Shearin, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented, “The economic
environment remains very weak and continues to negatively impact our loan
portfolio. We continue to see declining real estate values and increased stress
on our customers` ability to pay their loans as agreed, due to historically high
unemployment levels. We remain very diligent and focused on the day-to-day
management of the credit quality of our loan portfolio and believe that our
decision to take this action to increase our reserve for loan losses is in the
best interests of our company. We are fully committed to quickly and
aggressively addressing our problem loans. Management and the Board are
optimistic that we are moving in the right direction and will continue to pursue
economically feasible and prudent measures to decrease our non-performing
assets. We believe the additional provision for loan losses is a prudent measure
against potential losses inherent in the portfolio and are confident that our
capital is sufficient to remain above well capitalized thresholds as we manage
our company through these difficult times. Given our reduced earnings
performance, we have reduced our dividend to retain capital in our company and
we are hopeful that our decision to reduce our dividend will be temporary. The
Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.01 per share payable on August 16,
2010 to shareholders of record as of August 2, 2010.”

Operations Analysis

On a more positive note, net interest income for the three months ended June 30,
2010 was $8.9 million, an increase of $756 thousand or 9.2% over the same
quarter of last year. This increase was primarily due to an increase in the net
interest margin (tax equivalent basis) from 3.31% in the second quarter of 2009
to 3.65% for the second quarter of 2010. Net interest income for the six months
ended June 30, 2010 was $18.0 million, an increase of $2.2 million or 14.0% over
the same period of last year. The year-over-year increase in the net interest
margin was driven by lower deposit costs due to our deposit re-pricing strategy
over the last 18 months, substantial reductions in the level of time deposits,
and increased levels of demand deposits and lower rate interest-bearing
transactional accounts. This has resulted in the average cost of
interest-bearing deposits falling 97 basis points to 1.69% for the six months
ended June 30, 2010, while the yield on average interest-earning assets declined
31 basis points to 5.51% for the same period.

Noninterest income for the three months ended June 30, 2010 was $3.1 million, an
increase of $5.4 million over the noninterest loss of ($2.3) million reported
for the same period of 2009. For the second quarter of 2010, noninterest income
includes $1.5 million in gains on the sale of investment securities and $78
thousand in charge-offs on investment securities, while during the second
quarter of 2009, noninterest loss includes $29 thousand in gains on the sale of
investment securities and $3.9 million in impairment losses on investment
securities. For the six months ended June 30, 2010, noninterest income was $5.2
million, compared to a noninterest loss of ($712) thousand for the same period
of 2009. In addition to the aforementioned items affecting the
quarter-over-quarter comparison of noninterest income (loss), during the six
months ended June 30, 2010, noninterest income included a $604 thousand gain on
bank owned life insurance which was not present during the same period of 2009.

Noninterest expense for the three months ended June 30, 2010 was $8.8 million,
an increase of $736 thousand over the $8.0 million reported for the three months
ended June 30, 2009. For the six months ended June 30, 2010, noninterest expense
was $16.7 million, compared to $15.4 million for the same year to date period of
2009. Salaries and employee benefits increased $426 thousand year-over-year due
to a decrease in deferred loans costs and an increase in employee related
benefits. Marketing and advertising increased $183 thousand year-over-year due
to increased media ads and other programs related to our 100th anniversary
celebration. Lending expenses increased $506 thousand year-over-year primarily
due to higher collection and repossession expenses related to non-performing
loans. Merger related expenses decreased $308 thousand year-over-year due to the
termination of the merger agreement with First Capital Bancorp during the fourth
quarter of 2009.

The return on average assets (ROA) and return on average equity (ROE) for the
three months ended June 30, 2010 were (2.30%) and (30.63%), respectively
compared to (0.78%) and (11.28%), respectively for the three months ended June
30, 2009. ROA was primarily impacted by the increase in the quarter-over-quarter
net loss of $4.2 million. ROE was impacted not only by the increased net loss,
but by an increase in average common equity of $6.8 million. For the six months
ended June 30, 2010, ROA and ROE were (0.98%) and (13.13%), respectively
compared to (0.33%) and (4.07%), respectively for the same period of 2009. ROA
was impacted by the increase in the year-over-year net loss of $3.6 million and
by an increase in average assets of $14.1 million. ROE was impacted not only by
the increased net loss, but also by a decrease in average common equity of $4.7
million.

Balance Sheet and Asset Quality

For the three months ended June 30, 2010, the provision for loan losses were
$12.6 million, an increase of $11.9 million over the $750 thousand reported for
the same period of 2009. Total net charge-offs for the second quarter of 2010
were $6.0 million compared to $405 thousand for the same period one year
earlier. For the six months ended June 30, 2010, the provision for loans losses
were $14.5 million, an increase of $12.8 million over the $1.7 million reported
for the same period in 2009. Total net charge-offs for the year to date period
June 30, 2010 were $6.6 million compared to $705 thousand for the first six
months of 2009. As of June 30, 2010, the allowance for loan losses represented
2.37% of total loans, up from 1.57% at March 31, 2010 and 1.38% at June 30,
2009. As of June 30, 2010, this allowance covers 86.7% of nonaccrual loans and
54.6% of nonperforming loans.

For the second quarter of 2010, net charge-offs to average loans outstanding
were 2.83% compared to 0.20% for the second quarter of 2009. Net charge-offs to
average loans outstanding for the six months ended June 30, 2010 were 1.55%
compared to 0.17% for the same six month period in 2009. Nonperforming assets to
total loans and other real estate owned (OREO) was 4.91% as of June 30, 2010,
compared to 4.64% at March 31, 2010 and to 3.09% at June 30, 2009. Nonperforming
assets were $41.7 million as of June 30, 2010, compared to $40.1 million at
March 31, 2010 and $25.8 million as of June 30, 2009. Of these assets,
nonaccrual loans, the single largest category in nonperforming loans, were $23.1
million at June 30, 2010, compared to $22.1 million at March 31, 2010 and $8.7
million at June 30, 2009. Included in nonperforming assets are loans classified
as troubled debt restructurings (TDRs). In general, the modification or
restructuring of a loan constitutes a TDR when we grant a concession to a
borrower experiencing financial difficulty. As of June 30, 2010, TDR loans were
$9.3 million, compared to $9.0 million at March 31, 2010 and $4.2 million at
June 30, 2009.

Total assets increased $1.8 million or 0.2% to $1.1 billion between June 30,
2009 and June 30, 2010. Between June 30, 2009 and June 30, 2010, investment
securities decreased $18.9 million or 11.2% to $149.9 million, but were up $11.6
million sequentially from March 31, 2010. Loans, net of unearned income
increased $11.3 million from June 30, 2009 to $844.1 million at June 30, 2010
and were down $8.9 million from $853.1 million as of December 31, 2009. Total
deposits increased $9.9 million or 1.2% from $848.3 million at June 30, 2009 to
$858.2 million at the end of the second quarter 2010. Year to date average loans
accruing interest were $834.5 million as of June 30, 2010, an increase of $20.9
million or 2.6% compared to the same period in 2009. Year to date average total
deposits were $852.9 million as of June 30, 2010, an increase of $9.7 million or
1.2% compared to the same period in 2009.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain information contained in this discussion may include “forward-looking
statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
These forward-looking statements are generally identified by phrases such as
“the Company expects,” “the Company believes” or words of similar import. Such
forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks including, but not
limited to:

* changes in the quality or composition of our loan or investment portfolios,
including adverse developments in borrower industries, decline in real estate
values in our markets, or in the repayment ability of individual borrowers or
issuers;
* the strength of the economy in our target market area, as well as general
economic, market, or business conditions;
* changes in the interest rates affecting our deposits and our loans;
* our ability to assess and manage our asset quality;
* an insufficient allowance for loan losses as a result of inaccurate
assumptions;
* the loss of any of our key employees;
* changes in our competitive position, competitive actions by other financial
institutions and the competitive nature of the financial services industry and
our ability to compete effectively against other financial institutions in our
banking markets;
* our ability to manage growth;
* our potential growth, including our entrance or expansion into new markets,
the opportunities that may be presented to and pursued by us and the need for
sufficient capital to support that growth;
* changes in government monetary policy, interest rates, deposit flow, the cost
of funds, and demand for loan products and financial services;
* our ability to maintain internal control over financial reporting;
* our ability to raise capital as needed by our business;
* our reliance on secondary sources, such as Federal Home Loan Bank advances,
sales of securities and loans, federal funds lines of credit from correspondent
banks and out-of-market time deposits, to meet our liquidity needs;
* changes in laws, regulations and the policies of federal or state regulators
and agencies; and
* other circumstances, many of which are beyond our control.

Although the Company believes that its expectations with respect to the
forward-looking statements are based upon reliable assumptions within the bounds
of its knowledge of its business and operations, there can be no assurance that
actual results, performance or achievements of the Company will not differ
materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or
implied by such forward-looking statements.

Selected Financial Information Three months ended Six months ended
(dollars in thousands, except per share data) June 30, June 30,
Statement of Operations 2010 2009 2010 2009
Interest and dividend income $ 13,394 $ 14,656 $ 27,054 $ 28,589
Interest expense 4,447 6,464 9,097 12,833
Net interest income 8,947 8,192 17,957 15,756
Provision for loan losses 12,625 750 14,475 1,650
Net interest income (loss) after provision for loan losses (3,678 ) 7,442 3,482 14,106

Service charges and fees on deposit accounts 929 948 1,791 1,882
Other noninterest income 321 355 640 699
Debit/credit card fees 359 315 654 584
Gain on sale of available for sale securities, net 1,518 29 1,531 37
Gain on sale of fixed assets 17 – 17 –
Gain on sale of other real estate owned 49 7 80 25
Gain on bank owned life insurance – – 604 –
Impairment/charge-offs – securities (77 ) (3,923 ) (77 ) (3,939 )
Noninterest income (loss) 3,116 (2,269 ) 5,240 (712 )

Salaries and employee benefits 4,303 3,871 8,293 7,867
Occupancy and equipment 1,351 1,343 2,629 2,535
FDIC expense 553 807 1,021 1,107
Other noninterest expenses 2,564 2,015 4,713 3,906
Noninterest expenses 8,771 8,036 16,656 15,415

(Loss) before income taxes (9,333 ) (2,863 ) (7,934 ) (2,021 )
Income tax (benefit) (3,367 ) (1,092 ) (3,302 ) (973 )
Net (loss) $ (5,966 ) $ (1,771 ) $ (4,632 ) $ (1,048 )
Less: Effective preferred dividend 373 372 746 714
Net (loss) to common shareholders $ (6,339 ) $ (2,143 ) $ (5,378 ) $ (1,762 )
(Loss) per common share: basic $ (1.06 ) $ (0.36 ) $ (0.90 ) $ (0.30 )
diluted $ (1.06 ) $ (0.36 ) $ (0.90 ) $ (0.30 )
Selected Ratios
Return on average assets -2.30 % -0.78 % -0.98 % -0.33 %
Return on average common equity -30.63 % -11.28 % -13.13 % -4.07 %
Net interest margin (tax equivalent basis) 3.65 % 3.31 % 3.68 % 3.24 %
Period End Balances
Loans, net of unearned income $ 844,120 $ 832,771 $ 844,120 $ 832,771
Total assets 1,099,814 1,098,002 1,099,814 1,098,002
Total deposits 858,189 848,271 858,189 848,271
Total borrowings 131,928 134,910 131,928 134,910
Total capital 99,896 101,059 99,896 101,059
Shareholders’ equity 75,896 77,059 75,896 77,059
Book value per common share 12.75 13.02 12.75 13.02
Average Balances
Loans, net of unearned income and nonaccrual loans $ 834,280 $ 817,787 $ 834,534 $ 813,622
Total earning assets 1,003,285 1,018,023 1,004,628 1,004,893
Total assets 1,103,570 1,103,545 1,104,260 1,090,200
Total deposits 856,965 857,677 852,915 843,183
Total borrowings 130,647 135,072 135,577 136,514
Total capital 107,002 100,216 106,603 99,547
Shareholders’ equity 83,002 76,216 82,603 87,327
Asset Quality at Period End
Allowance for loan losses 20,046 11,487 20,046 11,487
Nonperforming assets 41,670 25,846 41,670 25,846
Net charge-offs 6,041 406 6,584 705
Net charge-offs to average loans 2.83 % 0.20 % 1.55 % 0.17 %
Allowance for loan losses to period end loans 2.37 % 1.38 % 2.37 % 1.38 %
Nonperforming assets to total loans & OREO 4.91 % 3.09 % 4.91 % 3.09 %
Other Information
Number of shares outstanding – period end 5,954,756 5,917,455 5,954,756 5,917,455
Average shares outstanding – basic 5,968,520 5,914,396 5,967,960 5,909,902
Average shares outstanding – diluted 5,968,520 5,914,396 5,967,960 5,909,902

Eastern Virginia Bankshares, Inc.
Doug Haskett
Chief Financial Officer
Voice: 804-443-8460
Fax: 804-445-1047

Copyright Business Wire 2010

UPDATE 1-Kenya’s Equity Bank H1 profit up 46 pct,sees growth

NAIROBI, July 20 (Reuters) – Kenya’s Equity Bank (EQTY.NR) posted a 46 percent rise in first-half pretax profit on Tuesday and its chief executive forecast earnings would rise further on easing costs and economic growth in the region.

Equity, which has operations in neighbouring Uganda and Sudan, said profit rose to 3.88 billion shillings ($47.65 million) during the first six months of the year.

Depositors jumped by 400,000 to nearly five million, mainly due to a new mobile phone service called M-Kesho, run jointly with Kenya’s biggest mobile operator Safaricom (SCOM.NR), which allows users to access credit, earn interest on deposits and buy insurance. [ID:nLDE64H1DF].

Equity’s CEO James Mwangi told investors the bank’s recent expansion costs had started to taper off and combined with better economic growth prospects in the region this signalled further profit gains.

“The profitability of the bank is likely to accelerate because of costs. Most of the costs are now fixed,” Mwangi said.

Equity’s loan book expanded by just over a quarter during the period while bad debt provisions rose 211 percent to 920 million shillings to clean out the threat of defaults, Mwangi said. (Editing by James Macharia)

Nikkei slips from 3-wk highs on investor economy worry

TOKYO, July 15 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average fell 1 percent on Thursday after hitting three-week highs the day before, hovering near support after a Federal Reserve statement expressing concerns about the U.S. recovery fed investor jitters.

Asian stock markets slightly pared falls after data showing China’s annual economic growth eased to 10.3 percent in the second quarter, but inflation at the producer and consumer level also eased in June from May, reducing the need for further policy tightening. [ID:nTOE66D06L] [ID:nTOE66D060]

The figures were announced just after the bechmark Nikkei ended morning trade, and sent S&P futures SPc1 to turn positive.

“The Nikkei is now stuck in a place where it’s hard to go either significantly higher or lower. Investors are trying to understand if signs of a slowdown in U.S. economic data show the recovery is at a lull, or if it’ll continue at a slow pace,” said Junichi Misawa, a senior fund manager at STB Asset Management.

He also said the China data initially helped the stock market trim earlier losses, but investors seem to lack a consensus on how to interpret them at this point.

“Stock markets trimmed losses after the China data but they are under pressure again. That shows how fluid the markets’ views still are on China. If the data was too strong it would spark concerns and if it was too weak it could lead to worries about a slowdown,” Misawa said.

The benchmark Nikkei .N225 shed 96.00 points to 9,699.24, after falling as low as 9,667.00 at one stage. On Wednesday, the index rose nearly 3 percent to hit its highest close since late June.

The broader Topix lost 1.5 percent to 857.84.

Market players said the Nikkei was slightly overstretched going into the day and it was no surprise it was taking a bit of a breather.

Minutes of the Fed’s June meeting showed policy makers felt they should be ready to consider additional steps to boost the U.S. economy if an already softening outlook worsens, adding to worries stoked by a report showing June retail sales fell more than expected. [ID:nN14148574] [ID:nN14122226]

“A lot of investors are quite sensitive to anything the Federal Reserve says, and that kind of statement has chilled the recent rapid growth of market optimism,” said Nagayuki Yamagishi, a strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

News from Japan’s central bank has little impact on the market. The Bank of Japan revised up its economic forecast for the current fiscal year but reiterated that it will keep monetary policy easy, with deflation likely to persist at least until early 2011. [ID:nTKU106138]

The Nikkei was hovering just above support provided by its 25-day moving average, currently at 9,680, and additional support on its daily Ichimoku charts at around 9,670, which was its kijun-sen.

The kijun-sen is an indicator of medium-term trends that can be either support or resistance but is currently pointing sideways, while Ichimoku charts are a popular charting method among Japanese traders.

But other momentum indicators are mixed, with the Nikkei’s slow stochastic — a measure of how oversold the market is and whether it is in a short-term up or down trend — falling to just below overbought territory. Yet its MACD continues to rise after a bullish cross.

“Longer-term, the Nikkei may still be in a bit of a downtrend. But it’s on the upper end of this and sharp slides are unlikely,” added Yamagishi.

CARS, EXPORTERS, TECH

Automakers lost ground after helping boost the broader market on Wednesday, when shares of Japan’s top three automakers all jumped about 4 percent.

Shares of Nissan Motor Co (7201.T), Japan’s No.3 automaker, slid 3 percent to 650 yen after it said it would idle two U.S. assembly plants for three days starting on Thursday because of a shortage of electronic control units from Hitachi Ltd (6501.T). [ID:nN14156554]

Nissan said earlier this week it would halt part of its vehicle production in Japan for three days starting on Wednesday after Hitachi said delivery of engine control units was running behind schedule. [ID:nTOE66C052]

Top automaker Toyota Motor Corp (7203.T) slid 2.6 percent to 3,165 yen and Honda Motor Co (7267.T), the No.2, retreated 2.1 percent to 2,684 yen.

Techs and exporters, some of the main impetus behind the Nikkei’s climb on Wednesday, fell broadly as well, with gains by the yen adding weight.

Oki Electric Industry (6703.T) lost 3.9 percent to 74 yen after Goldman Sachs downgraded it to “sell”, citing a possible undershooting of guidance for the business year ending next March.

Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502.T) fell 1.9 percent to 3,945 yen as a rival to Takeda’s flagship diabetes drug won support from a U.S. panel for sustained marketing approval. [ID:nN14274445] (Editing by Michael Watson)

UK firms cut advertising spend in Q2 – survey

July 12 (Reuters) – British companies cut their marketing budgets in the second quarter and sentiment dropped to its lowest level for a year, a survey showed on Monday, suggesting the rebound in economic activity is waning.

The survey of around 300 British companies for the IPA/BDO Bellwether report found that advertising budgets for nearly all categories were revised down.

“The downward revision to marketing budgets in the second quarter is disappointing as it fails to build on the return to growth seen earlier in the year and highlights the fragility of the UK economic recovery,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit and author of the report.

“Companies are exercising increased caution in their expenditure in the face of likely slower economic growth in the second half of the year.

“However, it is encouraging to see that marketing spend is still set to increase for the year as a whole compared to 2009, albeit to a lesser extent than signalled in the first quarter.”

The report also said the rate that companies cut their budgets was much slower than that seen at the height of the economic downturn.

Almost 20 percent of the companies reported a cut to their spending, compared with 15 percent that increased the rate.

Some 25 percent of marketing executives described themselves as pessimistic about the financial prospects for their company, compared with 20 percent in the first quarter.

Of the different categories, main media spend was revised down in the quarter following a modest upgrade in the previous quarter. Spending on the Internet increased slightly however the rate of growth was the slowest for three quarters.

“The second quarter BDO/IPA Bellwether report reveals a cautious and uncertain picture,” Andy Viner, the head of media at BDO said. “After a strong rebound in Q1, optimism and confidence appear to be waning.

“It is clear that there are increasing signs that uncertainty over economic prospects continue and that corporates remain focussed on cost control against a backdrop of the risk of a double dip.”

(Reporting by Kate Holton; Editing by Erica Billingham)

China IPOs seen hitting record high in 2010-PwC

July 5 (Reuters) – Chinese companies may raise a record 500 billion yuan ($73.86 billion) via IPOs this year after a record first half as companies race to tap the stock market for funds, PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) said on Monday.

The first-half saw 176 IPOs raising as much as 212.7 billion yuan as compared to no listings in the year-ago period, PwC said.

PwC, which raised its full-year projection from 320 billion yuan previously, expected the number of new listings in China to reach 300 this year, including 25 listings in Shanghai and 275 on the Shenzhen exchange.

Chinese companies raised a total 187.9 billion yuan from the IPO market for the whole of 2009, it said.

“China’s economic growth is expected to continue in the second half of the year. Unless some negative factors emerge, IPOs in Shanghai and Shenzhen will maintain the momentum and are likely to reach historical heights this year,” Charles Feng, PwC Beijing lead partner, told reporters.

China will likely see the world’s second biggest IPO this month when Agricultural Bank of China [ABC.UL], the country’s third-biggest lender by assets, completes its giant dual-lising in Shanghai and Hong Kong.

AgBank’s IPO could raise up to $20.2 billion, excluding a greenshoe, or overallotment option, just a tad smaller than Industrial and Commercial Bank’s (1398.HK) (601398.SS) record $21.9 billion offering in 2006. [ID:nTOE66102S]

AgBank is scheduled to price its IPO later this week.

Other sizeable IPOs expected this year include Industrial Securities’ planned Shanghai listing which will raise roughly $500 million, and Ningbo Port’s planned $1.9 billion offering.

($1=6.770 Yuan)

(Reporting by Soo Ai Peng; Editing by Jonathan Hopfner)

UPDATE 2-Japan May aluminium shipments climb 20 pct yr/yr

TOKYO, June 25 (Reuters) – Japanese shipments of aluminium products rose 19.6 percent in May from a year earlier to 165,638 tonnes, industry data showed on Friday.

That marked the sixth straight month of year-on-year increases but the level of shipments was about 16 percent below May 2008, before the global economic crisis hit demand for the metal used in products ranging from computers and planes to the food sector.

Shipments were down 6.5 percent from April, the Japan Aluminium Association data showed, the third straight month-on-month decline. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Graphic on Japan shipments: r.reuters.com/qut93m ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Japan’s shipments of aluminium have been recovering from a slump that set in after the global economic crisis in late 2008 that led automakers and other manufacturers to slash output and cut demand for the metal.

The pace of recovery this year is still unclear, especially as demand in the construction sector remains weak, even as the government raised its overall economic growth forecast for the financial year. [ID:nTFD006450]

Reflecting a slow recovery in demand, term premiums for primary aluminium shipments to Japan for July-September were mostly agreed at $120 per tonne, down marginally from $122-$124 per tonne in the April-June period. [ID:nTOE65E02R]

In the near term, expectations for Chinese demand were likely to help support Japan’s aluminium product shipments, an industry official said.

Chinese demand for primary aluminium is likely to nearly triple to 43.6 million tonnes in 2020 from an estimated 15.5 million tonnes this year, the association said this week.

It estimated Japan’s demand for primary aluminium at 1.9 million tonnes in 2010 and at 2.4 million tonnes in 2020, though it said the forecast was very optimistic, based on an assumption that robust global growth will push up 2020 demand to a level equal to a record marked in the past. [ID:nTOE65M00V]

Aluminium stocks held at three major Japanese ports came to 204,800 tonnes at the end of May, up 14,300 tonnes or 7.5 percent from a month earlier, trading house Marubeni Corp (8002.T) said. [ID:nTOE659068] (Reporting by Chikako Mogi; Editing by Chris Gallagher)

UPDATE 1-BAT’s Durante to succeed Adams as CEO in 2011

TOKYO, June 24 (Reuters) – Japan’s annual export growth slowed for a third consecutive month in May in a sign that its overall economic growth could start to slow as the pace of recovery in overseas demand moderates.

Exports also fell 1.2 percent from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis as signs of weakness in the U.S. economic recovery and steps to curb bank lending and investment in China hampered demand for Japanese goods.

External demand is likely to continue to make a positive contribution to Japan’s gross domestic product due to demand from Asia. But analysts say this positive contribution could shrink as global restocking of inventories runs its course.

They are also cautious about the outlook as Europe’s debt problems and recent yen strength could slow Japanese shipments in the coming months.

“Exports grew at a slower-than-expected pace apparently due to the effects of China’s tightening” of banks’ reserve requirements, said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute in Tokyo.

“Europe’s debt crisis is also expected to impact China’s exports to Europe in the coming months as the euro’s drop hurts Chinese firms’ competitiveness. This in turn is likely to prevent Japan’s exports from recovering fully.” <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Graphic on Japan exports r.reuters.com/zym73m More stories on the Japanese economy [ID:nECONJP] ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Exports rose 32.1 percent in the year to May on gains in shipments of cars, steel and semiconductors, less than the median forecast for a 36.9 percent rise, the Ministry of Finance said. [JPEXPY=ECI]

Export growth has been slowing after shipments rose an annual 45.3 percent in February, the largest gain since 1980.

Exports to fast-growing Asia including China, which accounts for more than half of Japan’s total shipments, rose 34.4 percent from a year earlier, slowing for the fourth consecutive month after they jumped a record 68.3 percent in January

Economists polled by Reuters expect Japan’s economic growth to slow to 0.4 percent in April-June from the 1.2 percent seen in the first quarter, partly as the effects of government stimulus fades and export growth moderates. [ID:nSLAGHE671]

They expect the world’s No.2 economy to grow 2.5 percent in the fiscal year to next March, largely in line with government projections and more than the Bank of Japan forecast.

The government has vowed to achieve an average 2 percent real growth over the next 10 years by carrying out its growth strategies. But analysts say this will be a tall order given that the economy grew a meagre 1.3 percent on average in the decade until the financial crisis in 2008 that led to a global recession.

NO EFFECTS FROM EUROPE

A finance ministry official said the trade data showed no effects from Europe’s debt problems. But the ministry will keep an eye on its impact on Japan’s exports in the future, he said.

Shipments to the European Union rose an annual 17.4 percent due to demand for auto parts and electronics parts from Germany. Annual growth has slowed for the second straight month after a 26.7 percent rise in March, the biggest gain since 1998.

Yoshimasa Maruyama, an economist at Itochu Corp, said Japan’s real exports to the EU grew 2.4 percent from the previous month, with capital goods such as chemicals and metal products marking double-digit gains.

“I guess the euro’s weakness helped boost exports and output in countries like Germany, which has in turn increased demand for Japanese parts and materials,” Maruyama said.

“There was no major change in the trend that expansion in emerging Asia leads the world economy. Therefore Japan’s exports will continue to grow, but the pace of growth will be slower compared with the past year as global restocking of inventory runs its course.”

Slowing export growth was also evident in shipments to the United States, a key destination for Japanese goods. U.S.-bound exports rose an annual 17.7 percent, but pace slowed from a 50.5 percent rise in February, the biggest gain since 1984.

The Federal Reserve acknowledged the faltering pace of U.S. economic recovery on Wednesday as it renewed its vow to hold benchmark interest rates exceptionally low for an extended period.

In a statement at the end of a two-day meeting, the Fed scaled back its assessment of the pace of recovery, recognising pockets of weakness, and also issued a cautionary note about volatile financial markets in light of Europe’s debt woes. [ID:nN22150078]

Japan’s finance ministry is also watching any effects from China’s yuan policy on the country’s trade, the official said, adding that it could have both merits and demerits.

China’s trading partners are anxious for Beijing to spell out how quickly it will let the yuan rise after it said on Saturday that it was ending the currency’s 23-month-old peg to the dollar. [ID:nCHINATAKE]

Japan’s overall imports rose 33.4 percent in May from a year earlier, marking the biggest gain since 2006 and bringing the country’s trade surplus to 324.2 billion yen ($3.61 billion). [JPIMPY=ECI][JPTBAL=ECI] ($1=89.93 Yen) (Editing by Michael Watson and Joseph Radford)

Germany likely closer to 2 pct 2010 growth- FinMin

June 20 (Reuters) – Germany may come closer to reaching 2 percent economic growth this year than previously expected, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said on Sunday.

In late January, the government forecast gross domestic product in Europe’s largest economy would expand by 1.4 percent in 2010, though some economists have said a figure as high as 3 percent is possible.

“Perhaps we will come closer to the 2 percent figure than we even dared hope just a couple of weeks ago,” Schaeuble said during a speech at an award ceremony in the northern German city of Kiel.

Earlier this month, policymakers including Schaeuble had said the German economy should grow faster than expected, with the recovery gathering pace markedly during the current quarter. [ID:nLDE65A0LK] (Reporting by Jan Schwartz, Writing by Sarah Marsh; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

Buba sees German GDP +1.9 pct in 2010, +1.4 pct in 2011

June 11 (Reuters) – Germany’s economic recovery picked up in the spring after a sluggish winter but joblessness is likely to rise, the Bundesbank said on Friday.

In its bi-annual forecasts, the German central bank said it expected exports and inventory cycles to support economic growth in the euro zone’s biggest economy, which it saw expanding by 1.9 percent in 2010 before slowing to 1.4 percent in 2011.

“Since early spring the world economy has increasingly shown positive momentum,” the Bundesbank said. “Initially the main drivers (for Germany) will be exports and momentum from inventory cycles.”

In a staff projection released on Thursday, the European Central Bank raised its forecasts for economic growth in the euro zone for 2010 but lowered them a little for 2011. [ID:nLDE6591UR]

Further job losses in Germany are likely, as industry continues to reduce staff although the number of people employed in the services sector should increase, the Bundesbank said.

The jobless total should rise from 3.3 million this year to 3.4 million in 2011 — equivalent to an unemployment rate of 8.0 percent, from 7.9 percent this year.

Inflation pressures were seen as “restrained”, with harmonised annual inflation rates of 1.2 percent this year and 1.6 percent in 2011. (Reporting by Brian Rohan)

SCENARIOS-Fate of climate bill uncertain as Japan poll nears

June 10 (Reuters) – Japan’s government could run out of time to enact a climate bill before upper-house elections expected next month, fuelling worries it might drop a plan to trade carbon emissions by setting obligatory caps on firms.

Japan is the world’s fifth-biggest greenhouse gas emitter and a pledge to cut emissions by 25 percent from 1990 levels by 2020 has become a cornerstone of the government’s long-term economic growth strategy. [ID:nTOE5BS06G]

The target is among the most ambitious of all rich nations but has also sparked nationwide debate over how to attain it without hurting the world’s No.2 economy. [ID:nTOE63I04R]

The powerful lower house passed the climate bill last month, including the emissions cut goal and a shortlist of steps to reach it, such as the launch of a compulsory emissions trading scheme. Upper house debate has just started. [ID:nTOE62B06A]

Here are some scenarios for the climate bill after new Prime Minister Naoto Kan formed a cabinet this week. [ID:nPOLJP]

PARLIAMENT EXTENDED LONG ENOUGH TO PASS BILL

Prospects: Possible

Japanese media have reported that the new government could extend parliament’s current session beyond June 16 to enact a bill to scale back postal privatisation. [ID:nTOE657038]

The postal bill is strategically more important than the climate bill for Kan’s ruling Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) to keep a tiny coalition partner happy ahead of the election.

But if passed, the climate bill would give the government a year in which to craft rules for a new emissions trading scheme. The rules would then take effect as early as next year if an emissions trading bill is enacted when the government holds the next regular parliamentary session in early 2011.

When trading will actually start remains unclear, with analysts divided between 2012 and 2013.

SESSION ENDS WITHOUT PASSAGE, SAME BILL SUBMITTED LATER

Prospects: Likely

If parliament is not extended, the climate bill may be shelved ahead of the upper house poll.

The DPJ will stay in power regardless of the poll’s outcome because of its huge majority in the lower house, and would likely compile a bill later with the same 2020 goal.

The same bill might be submitted to the lower house during a parliament session due to start after the July election.

But the risk of the DPJ falling short of a majority in the upper house means the bill could be changed to appease new coalition partners.

SESSION ENDS WITHOUT PASSAGE, BILL TO GET WATERED DOWN

Prospects: Possible

The government will keep the 2020 goal but could revise the bill as complaints rise from industry worried tough carbon caps would hurt firms’ global competitiveness. [ID:nTOE64909O]

Currently, Japan only has a voluntary carbon market at the national level based on companies’ pledged goals, which are mostly caps on emissions per unit of production and leave room for rises in emissions when output grows.

A report by a trade ministry panel of energy experts this week showed how tough it would be for Japan to achieve a 25 percent cut in emissions by 2020 solely through domestic cuts. Offsetting could be crucial and Japanese companies are among the top buyers of carbon offsets from abroad.

The report showed policy initiatives to enhance low-carbon energy and fuel saving could make the difference two decades later, resulting in a major fall in CO2 emissions from energy use, the main source of Japan’s greenhouse gas pollution. [ID:nTFD006428]

Energy supply-side plans for 2020 have already been fixed, so it is easily understood that Japan’s pledged 2020 goal is likely out of reach, said Masahiro Kuroda, head of the committee and president of Tohoku University of Community Service and Science. (Editing by David Fogarty)

Good chance for ‘reasonable’ US reform bill-Volcker

June 9 (Reuters) – There is a good chance that the sweeping U.S. financial reform bill will be passed in a “reasonable form,” White House economic adviser Paul Volcker said on Wednesday, adding the bill could provide a basis for international coordination on coherent legislation.

Regulatory News | Global Markets | Funds News | ETFs News | Private Capital

He added there is no basis yet for “business as usual” in U.S. and European financial markets, despite some economic growth over the last year.

The proposed “Volcker rule” being debated by U.S. lawmakers would ban risky proprietary trading unrelated to customers’ needs; bar them from sponsoring hedge funds and private equity funds; and limit their future growth through a new cap on market share. (Reporting by Jonathan Spicer; Editing by James Dalgleish)

Cameron says Britain must heed Greek warning

MILTON KEYNES, England, June 7 (Reuters) – Prime Minister David Cameron told Britons on Monday the scale of the country’s budget problems was even worse than he had anticipated and cited crisis-hit Greece as an example of the risk of failing to act.

Cameron painted a bleak backdrop two weeks ahead of an emergency budget on June 22 in which his coalition government will give more details of measures to cut a deficit running at 11 percent of national output.

Giving few details of where cuts will come, he attacked the previous Labour government for economic mistakes over the past decade that he said had left the legacy of a debt crisis.

“Greece stands as a warning of what happens to countries that lose their credibility, or whose governments pretend that difficult decisions can somehow be avoided,” Cameron said in a speech in Milton Keynes, central England.

“I want to set out for the country … why the overall scale of the problem is even worse than we thought,” he said, adding that the structural nature of the debt meant “a return to (economic) growth will not sort it out”.

Cameron said the public sector had grown too large under Labour. If no action were taken, within five years its debt-servicing costs would be more than it spends on schools in England, climate change and transport combined.

“Based on the calculations of the last government, in five years’ time the interest we are paying on our debt, the interest alone is predicted to be around 70 billion pounds ($101 billion). That is a simply staggering amount.” [ID:nCAM070610]

G20 SUPPORT

Cameron said the weekend summit in South Korea of the Group of 20 leading economies had endorsed the steps taken by Britain. The government, which took office last month, has already trimmed six billion pounds in costs to start to reduce a deficit that reached 156 billion pounds in the financial year to April.

In opposition, Labour has warned that cuts planned by the coalition risks killing off a fragile economic recovery and throwing Britain into a double-dip recession.

Cameron acknowledged the cuts to come would hurt a government still enjoying something of a honeymoon with voters.

“This is fraught with danger. This is a very, very difficult thing we are trying to do,” he said in answer to questions at distance learning institute the Open University.

Cameron heads Britain’s first coalition government since 1945, his centre-right Conservatives having teamed up with the smaller Liberal Democrats after last month’s election.

Flanked by Lib Dem Treasury minister Danny Alexander, Cameron said the coalition would make it easier to win over the public, saying there were “two parties together facing up to the British people.”

Economist Alan Clarke of BNP Paribas said it was natural for a new government to lay the blame for ills at the door of its predecessor and that the message for the budget was clear.

“Fiscal tightening, spending cuts and tax increases are going to bear down on growth and disposable income. It’s going to hold back growth which is going to hold back inflation. It’s not going to be pleasant for anyone,” Clarke said.

Finance minister George Osborne and Treasury number two Alexander will present on Tuesday the framework for a spending review this year.

The Treasury is expected to consult on the spending review with the private sector, voluntary organisations, trade unions and the general public. (Additional reporting by Matt Falloon, Tim Castle and Peter Griffiths; Editing by Ruth Pitchford)

INTERVIEW – Thai PM says election possible early next year

Thai Prime Minsiter Abhisit Vejjajiva said on Sunday that an emergency decree would remain in place for now, but the situation was calm and an election was possible early next year.

Abhisit, in an interview, also said economic growth in the second quarter could exceed 6 percent and full-year growth could be close to 6 percent. He expected no rush by the central bank to raise rates as that would depend on recovery and inflation.

The prime minister said he wanted a quick end to emergency measures, imposed on about a third of the country amid the most violent protests in the country’s modern history between security forces and “red shirt” anti-government protesters.

But they would remain in place for now.

“I think people understand that this is needed to make sure that we can curb some of the remaining activities as far as those who want to use violent means are concerned,” Abhisit told Reuters on the sidelines of a World Economic Forum meeting.

Things were calm, he said, but “feelings could run high”.

“We want to do it as soon as possible,” he said.

“And what we’re waiting now is to make sure that everything’s in place, the police, the governors who’ll be the ones to tell us that they are confident to deal with the situation without added special power granted by the state of emergency.”

An early election, focal point of the protests, could solve problems and lead to reconciliation.

“If we pursue the reconciliation plan, if we get good cooperation, especially from people in the opposition, I think we could look at elections sooner rather than later,” he said.

The mostly poor rural and urban protesters, broadly allied with ousted prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, blame authorities for the violence during which 88 people were killed.

Protesters, camped out in Bangkok for six weeks, had demanded an early election, saying Abhisit had no popular mandate and had come to power illegitimately in a parliamentary vote.

On the economy, Abhisit 12 percent gross domestic product growth in the first quarter had been “very impressive”. Forecasts had been cut back, but he hoped to achieve 6 percent for 2010, exceeding a state planning agency projection of 3.5-4.5 percent.

Interest rates had been kept at a record low of 1.25 percent since April 2009 to help revive the economy and any central bank move to raise them, he said, would depend on annual inflation, which picked up to 3.5 percent in May from April’s 3.0 percent.

“I don’t think they will be in a rush to raise interest rates, but obviously that will depend on how strong a recovery we see and how much upward pressure there is on inflation,” he said.

(Editing by Ron Popeski)

Greek crisis slowed Serbia Q1 growth-MinFin

Montenegro, June 4 (Reuters) – The Greek financial helped restrict Serbia’s first quarter economic growth to 0.5 percent, the Serbian finance minister said on Friday.

“I think that impact of the Greek crisis is actually a slower growth than we expected,” Diana Dragutinovic told Reuters in an interview. “We expected growth of two percent (in 2010) but in the first quarter we actually experienced only 0.5 percent.”

Dragutinovic said Serbia planned to issue dinar T-bills with two-year maturity in the last quarter of 2010. (Reporting by Daria Sito-Sucic; editing by Adam Tanner and Jason Webb)

Every England WC goal in round 2 will be worth 126 million pounds to UK shops’: Survey

London, June 4(ANI): A new survey has estimated that every World Cup goal scored by England after the group stages could be worth 126 million pounds to British shops.

According to the Centre for Retail Research survey, which was carried out on behalf of shopping comparison website Kelkoo.co.uk, UK retail sales are projected to rise by 987 million pounds if England survives the second round of the competition, while a quarterfinal participation would increase sales by an additional 332 million pounds.

It also found that if the team reaches the final, total retail sales would increase by 692 million pounds.

“As a result of its mass appeal and viewership figures, the World Cup has natural implications for consumer spending and retail businesses. The last final was viewed by 715 million people worldwide and it is estimated that the 2006 World Cup increased UK retail sales by 1.25 billion pounds,” Sky News quoted Bruce Fair, Kelkoo UK Managing Director, as saying.

“In addition, experts argue that success in the World Cup affects more than a country’s retail and leisure sales; it can also increase the country”s rate of economic growth, have a positive impact on consumer confidence, and ultimately winning the World Cup could result in 0.7 percent GDP growth,” he added.

The survey further found that most spending during the World Cup period will be on groceries, with shoppers set to spend 250 million pounds on drinks and 209 million pounds on food by the end of round two, together accounting for 46.5 percent of all retail spending. (ANI)

HIGHLIGHTS – UK govt sets out agenda in Queen’s Speech

The new British coalition government set out its legislative agenda on Tuesday in a speech delivered by Queen Elizabeth at the state opening of parliament.

Following are key quotes:

ON DEFICIT/ECONOMY:

“The first priority is to reduce the deficit and restore economic growth.”

“Action will be taken to accelerate the reduction of the structural budget deficit. A new Office for Budget Responsibility will provide confidence in the management of the public finances.”

POLITICAL REFORMS:

“Measures will be brought forward to introduce fixed term Parliaments of five years.”

“A Bill will be introduced for a referendum on the Alternative Vote system for the House of Commons (lower house) and to create fewer and more equal sized constituencies.”

EU RELATIONS

“My Government will introduce legislation to ensure that in future this Parliament and the British people have their say on any proposed transfer of powers to the European Union.”

ON IMMIGRATION:

“My Government will limit the number of non-European Union economic migrants entering the United Kingdom, and end the detention of children for immigration purposes.”

Prime minister’s news conference

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh gave his rare news conference on Monday to mark the ruling coalition’s first year in office.

Following are the highlights of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s news conference:

ECONOMY

* Expects inflation to moderate to 5-6 percent by December 2010

* Expects 8.5 percent GDP growth in FY11

* Medium-term target to achieve 10 percent economic growth annually

* Prices showing signs of moderating trend

* Prices continue to be matter of deep concern

* Government attaches highest priority on containing inflation

* Together with state governments will take more steps to bring down prices

DIPLOMACY

* Nuclear agreement with the United States will move forward

POLITICS

* Prime Minister hopes all political parties will support nuclear liability bill

(Compiled by Bappa Majumdar, Rajesh Kumar Singh and Abhijit Neogy; editing by Malini Menon)

(For more business news on Reuters Money visit http://www.reutersmoney.in)

PM to say expects 8.5 pct GDP growth in FY11 – speech draft

The medium-term economic growth target for India is to achieve 10 percent rise annually, according to a speech draft of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.

Following are the highlights of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s speech draft:

ECONOMY

* Expects 8.5 percent GDP growth in FY11

* Medium-term target to achieve 10 percent economic growth annually

* Prices showing signs of moderating trend

* Prices continue to be matter of deep concern

* Govt attaches highest priority on containing inflation

* Together with state govts will take more steps to bring down prices.

(Compiled by Bappa Majumdar and Abhijit Neogy)

(For more business news on Reuters Money visit http://www.reutersmoney.in)