ECB’s Trichet sees no deflation risks emerging in euro zone

June 24 (Reuters) – European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet was quoted on Thursday as saying he does not see deflation risks materialising in the euro zone.

Bonds

In an interview with Italy’s La Repubblica newspaper, he also denied that budget cuts would drag on growth in the 16-nation region.

Aasked about the risk of deflation, he said: “I don’t think that such risks could materialise”, adding that inflation expectstions were well anchored.

“As regards the economy, the idea that austerity measures could trigger stagnation is incorrect,” Trichet said, according to am English-language transcript published on the ECB’s Web site. (Reporting by Krista Hughes)

Cognis owners spurn higher Lubrizol offer -sources

(Reuters) – The private-equity owners of chemicals group Cognis have cold-shouldered a takeover offer from Lubrizol even though it was higher than that of favored bidder BASF, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Deals

Lubrizol, a U.S. maker of specialty plastics and engine-oil additives, has made a bid worth about 3.2 billion euros ($4.0 billion) including assumed debt for Germany’s Cognis, said one of the people this weekend, speaking on condition of anonymity.

“The sellers were told (Lubrizol’s) price is firm. Some work would need to be done to complete the offer but that could be done in a matter of days,” that source said.

But buyout firms Permira and Goldman Sachs Capital Partners , which control Cognis, have granted chemical-industry heavyweight BASF preferred status during the bidding process even though BASF’s offer stands at around 3.1 billion euros, a second source added.

BASF has been granted more detailed information to appraise the target’s businesses than rival Lubrizol, which has not been given the chance to carry out a due diligence assessment, they said.

Overall, BASF remains on track to strike a deal early next week, though there remains a chance that talks could drag on until the end of June, they said.

Goldman, Permira and BASF declined to comment. Lubrizol was not immediately available for comment.

Lubrizol’s Chief Executive James Hambrick, a chemical engineer who has spent his entire career at the Wickliffe, Ohio-based company, has said he is eyeing geographic expansion and targeted acquisitions.

An offer of 3.2 billion euros would value Cognis at about 7.6 times annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), slightly above the around 7.4 average multiple for listed European chemical makers, Thomson Reuters StarMine data show.

Haggling over liabilities has been holding up an otherwise done deal between BASF and the owners of Cognis, sources have told Reuters.

Permira and Goldman are keen to pass along to the new owner all risks associated with the German company, including pension liabilities, and BASF outgoing chief executive Juergen Hambrecht is said to be negotiating hard to get a price discount for whatever liability he leaves behind with BASF.

Cognis, a maker of additives for cosmetics and detergents, has made a specialty of using raw materials from palm trees, coconut and corn.

Analysts have said these products would sell well through BASF’s existing marketing channels, and a takeover would also be a timely bet on a recovery in consumer goods markets.

BASF’s core chemicals and plastics business now relies on industries such as automotive and construction, which were buffeted particularly hard by the economic crisis.

Sources have told Reuters that BASF had become a clear frontrunner in the auction, which had attracted Lubrizol and at least one other company.

Lubrizol made $4.6 billion in revenue last year, a fraction of BASF’s sales of 50.7 billion euros.

($1=.8076 Euro)

(Reporting by Ludwig Burger, Philipp Halstrick and Frank Siebelt; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

Cognis owners spurn higher Lubrizol offer -sources

FRANKFURT, June 20 (Reuters) – The private-equity owners of chemicals group Cognis [COGN.UL] have cold-shouldered a takeover offer from Lubrizol (LZ.N) even though it was higher than that of favoured bidder BASF (BASF.DE), sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Lubrizol, a U.S. maker of specialty plastics and engine-oil additives, has made a bid worth about 3.2 billion euros ($4.0 billion) including assumed debt for Germany’s Cognis, said one of the people this weekend, speaking on condition of anonymity.

“The sellers were told (Lubrizol’s) price is firm. Some work would need to be done to complete the offer but that could be done in a matter of days,” that source said.

But buyout firms Permira [PERM.UL] and Goldman Sachs Capital Partners (GS.N), which control Cognis, have granted chemical-industry heavyweight BASF preferred status during the bidding process even though BASF’s offer stands at around 3.1 billion euros, a second source added. BASF has been granted more detailed information to appraise the target’s businesses than rival Lubrizol, which has not been given the chance to carry out a due diligence assessment, they said.

Overall, BASF remains on track to strike a deal early next week, though there remains a chance that talks could drag on until the end of June, they said.

Goldman, Permira and BASF declined to comment. Lubrizol was not immediately available for comment.

Lubrizol’s Chief Executive James Hambrick, a chemical engineer who has spent his entire career at the Wickliffe, Ohio-based company, has said he is eyeing geographic expansion and targeted acquisitions.

An offer of 3.2 billion euros would value Cognis at about 7.6 times annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), slightly above the around 7.4 average multiple for listed European chemical makers, Thomson Reuters StarMine data show.

Haggling over liabilities has been holding up an otherwise done deal between BASF and the owners of Cognis, sources have told Reuters. [ID:nLDE65107V]

Permira and Goldman are keen to pass along to the new owner all risks associated with the German company, including pension liabilities, and BASF outgoing chief executive Juergen Hambrecht is said to be negotiating hard to get a price discount for whatever liability he leaves behind with BASF.

Cognis, a maker of additives for cosmetics and detergents, has made a specialty of using raw materials from palm trees, coconut and corn.

Analysts have said these products would sell well through BASF’s existing marketing channels, and a takeover would also be a timely bet on a recovery in consumer goods markets.

BASF’s core chemicals and plastics business now relies on industries such as automotive and construction, which were buffeted particularly hard by the economic crisis.

Sources have told Reuters that BASF had become a clear frontrunner in the auction, which had attracted Lubrizol and at least one other company [ID:nLDE63D0IR].

Lubrizol made $4.6 billion in revenue last year, a fraction of BASF’s sales of 50.7 billion euros. ($1=.8076 Euro) (Reporting by Ludwig Burger, Philipp Halstrick and Frank Siebelt; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

Nikkei climbs away from 6-mth lows, Mitsui tumbles

June 10 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average rose 1.1 percent on Thursday, moving away from six-month lows hit the previous day, after better-than-expected Chinese exports boosted hopes for the global economic recovery.

Stocks | Asian Markets | Global Markets | Financials

But trading house giant Mitsui & Co (8031.T) tumbled nearly 6 percent, becoming the biggest drag on the Nikkei and at one point sinking to its lowest since last July as the fallout from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill spread and shares of BP (BP.L) plunged. Mitsui owns 10 percent of the leaking well.

The benchmark Nikkei .N225 rose 103.52 points to 9,542.65 after hitting a six-month low of 9,378.23 on Wednesday. The broader Topix gained 0.8 percent to 856.79. (Reporting by Elaine Lies)

Russia to build world’s first fifth-generation combat, invisible helicopter

Moscow, May 19 (ANI): Russia is planning to build the world’s first fifth-generation combat helicopter which would be able to attack fighter jets and be invisible to radars, analysts have said

“We are working on the concept of the fifth-generation combat helicopter,” Russian daily Gazeta quoted Russian Helicopters CEO, Andrei Shibitov, as saying.

Shibitov did not specify the characteristics of the helicopter, but said the company was going to spend some one billion dollars on the project, with more investment expected to be allocated from the state budget.

First deputy head of the Russian Academy of Geopolitical Problems, Konstantin Sivkov, told the paper that fifth-generation combat helicopters have never been created before, although the US recently began working on a similar project.

He said criteria for a fifth-generation combat helicopter are that it must be radar invisible, have an extended flying range, be equipped with an intellectual arms control system, be able to combat fighter jets (existing helicopters are generally only intended to hit ground-based targets) and reach a speed of up to 500-600 km/h (310-370 mph).

The project cannot proceed, however, unless the government backs it.

“If the government does not sign a contract, the idea will die on the vine,” head of the Russian Academy of Geopolitical Problems Leonid Ivashov told Gazeta.

Ivashov said that with sufficient investment and good organization the new helicopter could be built within five years. Otherwise, the project may drag on for 20-30 years. (ANI)

Q+A – Will the stalemate continue in Thailand?

Thai anti-government activists showed no signs of ending their two-month protest in downtown Bangkok on Tuesday, despite their acceptance of a proposal to hold an early election in November.

Deputy Prime Minister Suthep Thaugsuban reported to law enforcement officials early on Tuesday to hear complaints lodged by the families of protesters killed in a clash with troops on April 10, apparently in response to a demand by the “red shirt” leaders.

But it appeared the protesters were not satisfied with Suthep’s action and demanded he be formally charged for allegedly giving the order to use deadly force to quell the demonstration, dashing hopes for a swift end to the stalemate.

IS THE RECONCILIATION DEAL STILL ON THE TABLE?

Officially, the deal is still on, but it is unlikely the government will agree to the latest counter-proposals from the red shirts. An immediate resolution is unlikely and the protest will likely drag on.

Despite the red shirts’ claim they are committed to Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s five-point reconciliation plan, their demands have placed the government in a tricky position.

The movement has agreed to a Nov. 14 election but want to ensure the authorities are held accountable for the deaths of 20 demonstrators during the army’s botched attempt to clear another protest site in Bangkok’s historic heart. The red shirt leaders, who are wanted on terrorism charges, say they are willing to face justice, but demand that others involved in the violence must also be brought to book.

WHAT’S THE GOVERNMENT’S RESPONSE?

Abhisit on Sunday pleaded with the red shirts to agree to his proposal, which he said was “non-negotiable”. He has not responded to their counter-demand, which a government spokesman said was “unclear”.

Analysts say the demand will likely be ignored since it would humiliate the government, which would incur the wrath of rival “yellow shirt” demonstrators and Bangkok’s middle classes, who have urged it not to cave in to red shirt pressure. Suthep has no parliamentary immunity having quit as a lawmaker due to a conflict of interest. It is highly unlikely charges will be brought against him. The government insists his appearance at the Department of Special Investigation was planned in advance and was not in response to the protesters’ demands.

CAN THE RED SHIRTS SUSTAIN THEIR PROTEST?

Countless times, the government has assumed the red shirts would run out of steam and the protest would fizzle out, but it has been wrong. It has become clear that Abhisit cannot simply wait it out, especially given the immense damage to the economy and the reputation of his government and the army.

The nine-week protest reached its peak in mid-March, with tens of thousands of rural people camping out in Bangkok’s streets. Although the bulk have returned to their farms and villages, the red shirts have tapped into the urban poor in Bangkok. Most are rural migrants — like security guards, cleaners, taxi drivers and labourers — and they are keeping the rally alive.

The numbers may have dropped off since the red shirts pledged to enter the peace process, but the movement has shown it can rapidly mobilise tens of thousands of people in the city and the provinces if it needs reinforcements.

HOW HAVE THE MARKETS RESPONDED?

Traders and investors are optimistic a solution can be reached, but remain cautious. Thailand’s stock market initially jumped over 4 percent after the announcement of a reconciliation process, but the continued standoff and renewed violence at the weekend, combined with a crisis in the eurozone, have curtailed gains.

Foreign investors, who were net buyers for almost seven weeks from late February, drawn by cheap stocks and high dividend yields, have been net sellers for the last four sessions, offloading a combined 14.5 billion baht of stocks ($449 million) suggesting political unease is taking its toll.

“It’s still not clear that all red shirt leaders will respond positively to the government’s reconciliation plan. So far, news flows are mixed and this kind of uncertainty will fuel more foreign fund outflows,” said Warut Siwasariyanon, head of research at Finansia Syrus Securities.

The baht was steady at around 32.28 per dollar in fairly active morning trade on Tuesday. Traders said external factors had an impact more than the domestic political impasse.

(Additional reporting by Viparat Jantraprap; Editing by Alex Richardson)

Health reform talks drag on

The deadlock over the federal hospital takeover continues, with Victoria and Western Australia still refusing to back the Commonwealth’s plan.

Negotiations at the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) meeting are dragging well into their second day as disagreement remains over a key element of the Commonwealth’s proposal to become the dominant funder of hospitals.

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd wants to take back a third of state GST revenue to directly fund 60 per cent of hospital costs.

Earlier today NSW Wales Premier Kristina Keneally agreed to hand over her GST share in return for further concessions from the Federal Government.

But Western Australian Premier Colin Barnett and his Victorian counterpart John Brumby will not do the same.

Instead they have pledged to allocate 30 per cent of GST funds into a pooled fund of federal and state money.

As the meeting broke for lunch, Mr Barnett said talks were going “slowly” and the GST issue had not been discussed.

When asked by reporters if he was under pressure to follow the lead of NSW, he replied, “Do I look like I’m under pressure?”.

Mr Rudd said he was talking things “one step at a time”.

“It’s going to be a challenge to get through the continued areas of disagreement,” he said.

Ms Keneally used her lunch break to post a YouTube video giving her assessment of the state of play.

“There’s no agreement unless all states sign up so later today we’re working towards that,” she said.

After meeting with Mr Rudd this morning Ms Keneally agreed to sign NSW up to the plan after securing assurances the funds would only be used for health and would be put in a state pool.

Sources say she also secured $686 million to cover transitional costs.

Mr Rudd has also put a further $4 billion on the table if the states agree to the plan.

U.N. cancels Congo trip, more Iran talks planned

The U.N. Security Council has cancelled a trip to the Democratic Republic of Congo as envoys from five key members planned further talks on a new round of sanctions against Iran, diplomats said on Friday.

The official reason for the cancellation was the ash cloud from an Icelandic volcano that has caused air travel chaos across Europe, as announced by a U.N. spokesman.

But several diplomats said on condition of anonymity that intensifying talks on a fourth round of sanctions against Iran over its nuclear program also played a role.

“The Americans are very keen to get a resolution finished this month,” said one diplomat familiar with the negotiations. “It’s no coincidence that the (six) are meeting again Monday. It was a consideration in the decision to cancel the trip.”

Diplomats from the five permanent Security Council members — the United States, Britain, France, China and Russia — and Germany are meeting almost daily as they struggle to agree on what punitive measures could be included in a resolution to put to the 15-nation Security Council.

The six envoys have been discussing a U.S. draft proposal, first circulated weeks ago, that provides for a fourth round of sanctions on Iran for its refusal to stop uranium enrichment. The West accuses Tehran of seeking to produce atomic arms but Tehran says it aims only to generate electricity.

The U.S. draft proposes new curbs on Iranian banking, a full arms embargo, tougher measures against Iranian shipping, moves against members of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and firms they control and a ban on new investments in Iran’s energy sector.

Western diplomats familiar with the talks said they are far from an agreement and the negotiations could drag on until June. The Chinese, and to a lesser extent the Russians, are pushing the Americans and Europeans to soften the draft.

PROBLEMS WITH CONGO

It was not immediately clear if the Security Council would attempt to reschedule the cancelled April 17-20 trip to Congo.

Security Council members had planned to meet in Kinshasa with Congolese President Joseph Kabila, who has been pressing for a swift withdrawal of U.N. peacekeepers from the vast central African country with the approach of the 50th anniversary of independence this year and elections in 2011.

Kabila wants the Congo peacekeeping mission, known as MONUC, to start withdrawing within months and the last blue helmet out in 2011. U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon has proposed a slower three-year phased withdrawal. [ID:nN05180488]

Council members had hoped to press him in person to allow a more gradual exit of MONUC, which diplomats and U.N. peacekeeping officials say is vital to maintaining peace in the country’s turbulent east.

Since its establishment in 1999, MONUC has become the world body’s largest force with 22,000 troops and police, and assumed many of the responsibilities of the Congolese state, which was torn apart by a 1998-2003 war that killed millions.

However, local and Rwandan Hutu rebels still roam much of the two Kivu provinces in the east. Ugandan rebels continue to wage a campaign of terror in the remote northeast and a new rebellion has emerged in recent months in Equateur province.

(Reporting by Louis Charbonneau; Editing by Eric Walsh)

(For more Reuters Africa coverage and to have your say on the top issues, click http://af.reuters.com)

UPDATE 2-SNS Reaal sees Q1 profit despite pension charges

AMSTERDAM, April 14 (Reuters) – Dutch bancassurer SNS Reaal (SR.AS) said it would report a first-quarter profit, as cost cuts and integration work on past acquisitions offset a charge to adjust pension costs for clients.

The company said on Wednesday it had no timetable for repaying the remainder of its state aid, with the chairman of its supervisory board saying it would not be repaid this year and there was only a “tiny chance” it would be next year.

SNS shares rose 2.2 percent at 0959 GMT in Amsterdam, outpacing a 0.2 percent rise for European bank shares. .SX7P

SNS said it expected to close the quarter with a “positive net result” but did not say how large a profit it expected. The result will include a 25 million euro pretax charge related to cost changes for some pension plans, an industry move that will lead to charges for other Dutch insurers as well.

The company, a top-five retail savings bank and life insurer, said cost cuts and integration programmes contributed to the profit for the quarter. SNS has been working on integrating the late-2007 and early-2008 acquisitions of AXA and Swiss Life’s Dutch businesses.

It also said the long-term winding down of the international part of its property finance portfolio was on track. SNS plans to unwind that portfolio, which has been a drag on results, by the end of 2012. [ID:nLDE61G0ZU]

“The message that the run-down of the international loan portfolio of SNS Property Finance is on schedule is important,” Theodoor Gilissen analysts said in a research note. SNS released the statement ahead of its annual general meeting, at which it addressed the remaining balance of the 750 million euros in state aid it received in Oct. 2008. It repaid 185 million euros of that aid last year.

Rob Zwartendijk, chairman of SNS’s supervisory board, told shareholders the aid would not be repaid this year and that there was only a “tiny chance” it would be repaid next year.

Given the remaining aid balance is more than one-third of its market capitalisation, as well as ongoing uncertainty about the legal treatment of aid repayments by the European Commission, SNS was not expected to repay the money in the immediate future.

Chief Financial Officer Ference Lamp added it would be “unwise” to give predictions on when and how the aid would be repaid. SNS faces early prepayment penalties if it repays any more of the money before the three-year anniversary of the aid in late 2011. (Reporting by Ben Berkowitz; editing by Will Waterman and Jon Loades-Carter)

Conan begins comedy tour as Fox talks drag on

LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) – When Conan O’Brien kicks off his U.S. comedy tour in Oregon Monday night, the most important critics will be the owners of Fox stations.

Entertainment | Television | Media

Talks between Fox and O’Brien’s handlers have made significant progress during recent days toward a deal that would bring the former “Tonight Show” host back to broadcast TV. But affiliate concerns about airing the new venture threaten to derail any agreement.

Fox entertainment chairman Peter Rice and entertainment president Kevin Reilly have been in regular discussions with O’Brien’s camp, including at least one face-to-face meeting on the Fox lot over the past two weeks.

While such issues as O’Brien’s specific compensation and ownership of a new show are still being discussed, the host has agreed to key concessions including lowering his salary and slashing production costs. “It will be leaner and meaner,” a source close to the negotiations said.

But the host won’t commit to Fox unless the network can guarantee that stations will air his show in all or nearly all of the country.

As of now, that’s far from a done deal. Some Fox affiliates are less enthusiastic about taking on O’Brien’s show. Airing it means affiliates have to eat the cost of any sitcoms or other syndicated programs already booked for the late-night slot while already kicking up a retransmission fee to carry the network. “The question is how much can one network ask of its affiliates?” an insider said.

Dissension on the Fox side is worrying negotiators that a deal might not be complete in time for the network’s “upfront” presentation to advertisers May 17 — if a deal happens at all. Without clearing the show nationwide, O’Brien and Fox would risk an uphill battle on several fronts. The show would generate lower national ratings and might fight the perception of having distribution issues, which would increase the risk of stations abandoning the format. Affiliate threats to stop airing NBC’s “The Jay Leno Show” were a key factor in the network’s decision to kill that show and return Leno to late-night.

For this reason, O’Brien’s team is looking at alternative options, declining to enter exclusive negotiations with Fox. That said, Fox and O’Brien have cleared several points of agreement. Fox and O’Brien want the show to air on Fox stations from 11 p.m.-midnight, which would give it a 35-minute jump on NBC’s “The Tonight Show With Jay Leno” and CBS’ “Late Show With David Letterman.”

The budget for the new show would be considerably less than O’Brien’s most recent stint on NBC, getting the host back to his scrappy roots after trying to fit the more bloated “Tonight Show.” O’Brien’s “Tonight” cost about $90 million a year, including O’Brien’s $12 million salary, but Fox is aiming to pay less than $60 million.

O’Brien’s show likely would be based in Los Angeles. Although some critics felt NBC made a mistake moving O’Brien from New York when he took over “Tonight,” the host has not discussed with Fox the possibility of moving back. Keeping the show in Los Angeles would make it easier to book Hollywood talent.

There are, however, several open issues. O’Brien wants ownership of his new program like Letterman, whose Worldwide Pants banner owns “Late Show.” But Fox would prefer to keep O’Brien as a highly paid employee, similar to NBC’s relationship with Leno on “Tonight.”

The comedy tour, which launches in the college town of Eugene, might help matters. O’Brien will generate plenty of headlines during coming weeks, which should help keep his profile strong as his team tries to lock down a deal. Also, local station owners get a chance to sample O’Brien’s act in person.

Petition mooted to boost hospital staffing

The former chairman of the Far West Area Health Service says unless more staff are employed at the local hospital, it will continue to have ongoing problems.

The hospital hydrotherapy pool was closed last week because of a lack of accredited physiotherapy staff to watch over clients.

Bill O’Neil says a shortage of trained physiotherapists has always been a problem in Broken Hill and will continue to be if something is not done about it.

“Until we get the powers to be to facilitate more people trained to be physiotherapists, we’re still going to have that same problem for years to come,” he said.

Fran McKinnon from the Broken Hill Health Council says she has raised the staffing issue with the Member for Murray Darling, John Williams.

“John’s been doing what he can, so we’ve got to decide whether it’s petition or deputations or whatever it is, we just need to force this issue through because it just has to happen,” she said.

“It’s just crazy that it be allowed to drag on.

“We’ll have to get to the stage where we get some petitions going and give John Williams a heap of petitions to take to Parliament and jump up and down on the Health Minister.”

Hungarian town’s plight highlights need for reform

(Reuters) – The Hungarian town of Szigetvar has achieved fame just twice in its long history.

World

The first time was in 1566 when the great Ottoman ruler Sultan Suleiman the Magnificent died beneath its walls during a siege. The second was earlier this year when it announced it had gone broke, crippled by huge Swiss franc debts.

Szigetvar ran up debts worth close to 4 billion forints ($20 million) to co-finance developments projects — a road many other Hungarian cities and villages took over recent years.

It chose to borrow in Swiss francs, far cheaper three years ago than forint financing; but it regretted this move last year when the forint fell, and debt costs soared.

Oversized, debt-ridden and inefficient, the local government sector — which operates most of Hungary’s schools and hospitals — consumes a quarter of state spending now and uses 11-13 percent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

“Local governments are in survival mode. They don’t even have enough money to perform their mandatory tasks,” said Gabor Zongor, head of local municipality association TOOSZ.

“The bomb is ticking and everybody knows that, both government players and the opposition. But no one has ever tackled the problems of municipalities.”

Most analysts in a Reuters poll called the reform of the sector the key job of Hungary’s next government after parliamentary elections on April 11 and 25.

The local government sector is a drag on the budget because the state constantly needs to plug the holes in municipality finances. The opaque system is wasting money.

A failure to overhaul the operation of municipalities could hinder economic recovery, analysts say.

The sector’s problems date back to 1990 when after the collapse of communism the transition to democracy demanded the granting of more independence to local communities.

But the law was not accompanied by a proper distribution of roles and this created a mismatch between municipalities’ tasks and financing capabilities over the years.

A deep recession last year which eroded tax revenues exacerbated the financing problem, especially in areas where the jobless rate is above the national average of 11.4 percent, including the south of Hungary where Szigetvar is located.

“Many local governments have expired obligations to utilities and it hinges only on service providers’ benevolence and patience when they launch legal procedures,” Zongor said.

MAJOR OVERHAUL NEEDED

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said in report this year that Hungary’s public sector was one of the least efficient among its members.

“Increasing the efficiency of the public sector is therefore an obvious source of potential budgetary savings,” it said.

To tackle the problem, the law on local governments needs to be amended and this requires a two-thirds majority of votes.

The main opposition party Fidesz, which has a good chance of winning two thirds of the seats in Hungary’s next parliament, has revealed very little about its reform plans and has made only vague promises to cut public sector expenditure.

Szigetvar is one of Hungary’s 3,200 local governments. Belgium whose population is also 10 million, has less than 600.

The outdated local municipality law turned municipalities into small states within the state, with tasks ranging from running schools and hospitals to building sewage systems, aiding the poor and unemployed, or financing local sports and dance groups.

Local governments are obliged by law to fight through a jungle of over 2,000 public duties and to operate thousands of institutions which could be run by national government. Over the years the central government has shifted over more and more responsibilities to the local level without proper funding.

Most municipalities are small and do not have their own revenues.

Szigetvar, with a population of around 11,000, ran into trouble earlier than others mainly because of its Swiss franc debts, which it needed to finance its hospital and co-finance EU-sponsored development projects including a thermal bath, Vice Mayor Gyula Rodek said.

Its debt repayments this year will reach 450 million forints and the town faces a financing gap of about 1 billion.

“By February it turned out that we have a considerable unsettled invoice debt, around 230-250 million forints, and these included some which have been over 60 days or 90 days overdue,” Rodek said.

The town decided to ask for a “debt settlement procedure,” which the court launched in February, and it has approved an emergency budget which finances only basic tasks.

Residents of the picturesque small town close to the Croatian-Hungarian border are understandably concerned.

“Many people did not get salaries when they announced the bankruptcy, and entrepreneurs are also very worried because when people don’t have money then demand drops imminently,” said Diana Tihanyi, who owns a pizza restaurant.

“It’s just exasperating what happened here. There could have been a different solution than announcing bankruptcy as there are many similar municipalities in the country,” added another resident, Laszlo Ludas.

DEBTS MOUNTING

The municipal sector has debts of close to 1,000 billion forints, half of that in bonds issued for around 20 years.

Many cities have put aside the proceeds in bank deposits for worse times to come, while county municipalities which do not have their own revenues have borrowed to finance the operations of their hospitals and other institutions.

“Public sector deficit goals in the next years can be threatened if the money in bond-covered deposits is spent,” the State Audit Office said in a report.

Experts say the next government should reduce and centralize tasks in education, health care and social benefits, and overcome public fear that the measures could hit the quality of life.

To save money it should take over or privatize tasks which local governments are unable to fulfill and encourage them to team up to run administration, education and other services.

“I don’t think that more money to distribute could make this system able to operate,” Zongor from TOOSZ said.

“Instead we should determine what tasks can be classified as local municipality public services, state tasks or services which can be privatized.”

Hungarian town’s plight highlights need for reform

(Reuters) – The Hungarian town of Szigetvar has achieved fame just twice in its long history.

World

The first time was in 1566 when the great Ottoman ruler Sultan Suleiman the Magnificent died beneath its walls during a siege. The second was earlier this year when it announced it had gone broke, crippled by huge Swiss franc debts.

Szigetvar ran up debts worth close to 4 billion forints ($20 million) to co-finance developments projects — a road many other Hungarian cities and villages took over recent years.

It chose to borrow in Swiss francs, far cheaper three years ago than forint financing; but it regretted this move last year when the forint fell, and debt costs soared.

Oversized, debt-ridden and inefficient, the local government sector — which operates most of Hungary’s schools and hospitals — consumes a quarter of state spending now and uses 11-13 percent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

“Local governments are in survival mode. They don’t even have enough money to perform their mandatory tasks,” said Gabor Zongor, head of local municipality association TOOSZ.

“The bomb is ticking and everybody knows that, both government players and the opposition. But no one has ever tackled the problems of municipalities.”

Most analysts in a Reuters poll called the reform of the sector the key job of Hungary’s next government after parliamentary elections on April 11 and 25.

The local government sector is a drag on the budget because the state constantly needs to plug the holes in municipality finances. The opaque system is wasting money.

A failure to overhaul the operation of municipalities could hinder economic recovery, analysts say.

The sector’s problems date back to 1990 when after the collapse of communism the transition to democracy demanded the granting of more independence to local communities.

But the law was not accompanied by a proper distribution of roles and this created a mismatch between municipalities’ tasks and financing capabilities over the years.

A deep recession last year which eroded tax revenues exacerbated the financing problem, especially in areas where the jobless rate is above the national average of 11.4 percent, including the south of Hungary where Szigetvar is located.

“Many local governments have expired obligations to utilities and it hinges only on service providers’ benevolence and patience when they launch legal procedures,” Zongor said.

MAJOR OVERHAUL NEEDED

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said in report this year that Hungary’s public sector was one of the least efficient among its members.

“Increasing the efficiency of the public sector is therefore an obvious source of potential budgetary savings,” it said.

To tackle the problem, the law on local governments needs to be amended and this requires a two-thirds majority of votes.

The main opposition party Fidesz, which has a good chance of winning two thirds of the seats in Hungary’s next parliament, has revealed very little about its reform plans and has made only vague promises to cut public sector expenditure.

Szigetvar is one of Hungary’s 3,200 local governments. Belgium whose population is also 10 million, has less than 600.

The outdated local municipality law turned municipalities into small states within the state, with tasks ranging from running schools and hospitals to building sewage systems, aiding the poor and unemployed, or financing local sports and dance groups.

Local governments are obliged by law to fight through a jungle of over 2,000 public duties and to operate thousands of institutions which could be run by national government. Over the years the central government has shifted over more and more responsibilities to the local level without proper funding.

Most municipalities are small and do not have their own revenues.

Szigetvar, with a population of around 11,000, ran into trouble earlier than others mainly because of its Swiss franc debts, which it needed to finance its hospital and co-finance EU-sponsored development projects including a thermal bath, Vice Mayor Gyula Rodek said.

Its debt repayments this year will reach 450 million forints and the town faces a financing gap of about 1 billion.

“By February it turned out that we have a considerable unsettled invoice debt, around 230-250 million forints, and these included some which have been over 60 days or 90 days overdue,” Rodek said.

The town decided to ask for a “debt settlement procedure,” which the court launched in February, and it has approved an emergency budget which finances only basic tasks.

Residents of the picturesque small town close to the Croatian-Hungarian border are understandably concerned.

“Many people did not get salaries when they announced the bankruptcy, and entrepreneurs are also very worried because when people don’t have money then demand drops imminently,” said Diana Tihanyi, who owns a pizza restaurant.

“It’s just exasperating what happened here. There could have been a different solution than announcing bankruptcy as there are many similar municipalities in the country,” added another resident, Laszlo Ludas.

DEBTS MOUNTING

The municipal sector has debts of close to 1,000 billion forints, half of that in bonds issued for around 20 years.

Many cities have put aside the proceeds in bank deposits for worse times to come, while county municipalities which do not have their own revenues have borrowed to finance the operations of their hospitals and other institutions.

“Public sector deficit goals in the next years can be threatened if the money in bond-covered deposits is spent,” the State Audit Office said in a report.

Experts say the next government should reduce and centralize tasks in education, health care and social benefits, and overcome public fear that the measures could hit the quality of life.

To save money it should take over or privatize tasks which local governments are unable to fulfill and encourage them to team up to run administration, education and other services.

“I don’t think that more money to distribute could make this system able to operate,” Zongor from TOOSZ said.

“Instead we should determine what tasks can be classified as local municipality public services, state tasks or services which can be privatized.”

SCENARIOS – Will Thailand’s PM ride out “red shirt” protests?

Thai “red shirt” protest leaders prepared for a second day of talks on Monday with Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva and vowed to press the embattled premier to dissolve parliament within 15 days.

Analysts say the dialogue, which Abhisit agreed to on Sunday to defuse tension, is unlikely to go anywhere as neither side appears to be in a mood to compromise.

Here are possible outcomes:

- PROTESTERS STAY FOR WEEKS BUT FAIL TO FORCE ELECTIONS

The ability of the “red shirts”, who broadly back ousted former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, to mobilise more than 150,000 people on March 14 has delivered a strong message of public discontent but will probably fail to topple the government.

The mainly rural movement is still attracting tens of thousands to the city’s old quarters near Abhisit’s office, and its leaders say they will stay as long as it takes.

But as time passes, financial and logistical constraints will become more prominent, as well as the challenge of keeping the crowd engaged. The leaders could temporarily call it off after a few weeks, claiming some sort of victory based on high turnout and the absence of violence.

Knowing time is his most useful weapon, Abhisit succeeds in dragging out the talks for as long as possible, listening attentively and making positive noises but ensuring he stops short of committing to any substantive deal.

Unlike in the past, the “red shirts” have avoided rhetoric such as a declaration of “a final battle”, which means they could stop without too much loss of credibility.

PROBABILITY: Most likely scenario and favourable for Thai financial assets in the short and medium term. Failure to oust the government prolongs an uneasy status quo, which markets have learned to live with. Still, deep political rifts remain unsolved and protesters could easily return in the weeks or months ahead.

MARKET IMPACT: If the protests drag on, bond yields could fall on expectations the Bank of Thailand would keep its benchmark rate at a record low of 1.25 percent on April 21. The bank has said it wants to normalise rates but that, to some extent, would depend on politics. Bond market investors have priced in the outside chance of rate rise at that meeting, although the consensus remains for a June tightening.

- VAGUE AGREEMENT REACHED, ENDING PROTEST; ABHISIT SURVIVES

Despite much heel-dragging and posturing in coming to the negotiation table, the two sides eventually reach a vague, mutually acceptable, face-saving agreement.

Abhisit has reached out to moderate “red shirts” in speeches while isolating Thaksin and hardcore leaders. A compromise such as the promise of elections within a comfortable timeframe could give protest leaders a way to end the expensive and energy-sapping rally and offer the government breathing space.

However, it also brings forward the medium-term risk of the Thaksin-allied Puea Thai Party winning the next election. If another pro-Thaksin party eventually returns to power, it could face protests of its own, a military coup or the kind of judicial intervention that ousted a pro-Thaksin government in 2008.

PROBABILITY: This is the second-most likely outcome and most favourable for markets. A promise of early polls, even in vague terms, means protesters may stay off the streets for some time.

MARKET IMPACT: While foreign investors are piling into Thailand’s stock market, foreign companies are less enthusiastic about direct investment because of longer-term risks and are forecast to cut investment pledges this year by 15 percent, the Board of Investment said this month.

- COALITION PARTNERS PULL OUT; ABHISIT’S GOVERNMENT FALLS

The orderly but frustrated protest becomes more heated, increasing tension and raising questions about the government’s stability. This could lead to deals being struck among Abhisit’s discontented coalition partners.

Some of these partners — swayed by money politics, a promise of more glamorous cabinet seats and stronger leverage ahead of the next elections — could break away when the opposition Puea Thai Party tables a no-confidence motion in the next two months.

A successful motion could put an ally of Thaksin in power.

PROBABILITY: This is an unlikely outcome, given that coalition members already control key cabinet seats and Puea Thai lacks a presentable candidate for the premiership. The benefits of sticking with Abhisit have so far outweighed internal feuding.

MARKET IMPACT: This outcome would be negative. A Puea Thai-led government would anger the military, urban elites and royalists, who wear the king’s traditional colour of yellow at protests, raising the risk of extra-constitutional intervention.

- VIOLENCE ERUPTS; ABHISIT CALLS EARLY POLLS

The protest has intensified in the last few days and mysterious bombs and grenade attacks have put Bangkok on edge. The threat of confrontation could lead to a misstep by security forces. Casualties blamed on the authorities would undermine Abhisit’s legitimacy and force him to dissolve parliament.

PROBABILITY: Highly unlikely given the government’s careful management of the protests and public relations thus far.

MARKET IMPACT: May prompt an exodus of investors fearful of heightened instability and the potential for more stalemate, unrest or even a military takeover in a power vacuum.

(Editing by Martin Petty & Jan Dahinten)

Quick fix sought to avoid more flood woes

Murweh Mayor Mark O’Brien will meet Premier Anna Bligh today to seek more assistance for flood mitigation in Charleville in the state’s south-west.

The town’s chamber of commerce and a residents’ action group are calling for urgent action on Bradley’s Gully that runs through the town.

The gully flooded twice earlier this month, inundating homes and businesses.

Councillor O’Brien, who has already spoken to the Treasurer, says he wants funding for hydrology studies and a coordinator to look at options like diverting the water.

“I have already let the Government know that we don’t want this thing to drag on for years … we do need to do these things quickly,” Cr O’Brien said.

“But we do need to do some studies on the gully’s catchment because I don’t think we have anywhere near enough documentation of how it runs or its actual catchment capacity.”

There have been concerns the council has not done enough to avert the flood threat or look at options like diverting the gully.

However, Cr O’Brien says finger pointing will not help fix the problem.

Wall Street hits fresh 17-month high after Fed

(Reuters) – Stocks rose to a fresh 17-month high on Tuesday after the Federal Reserve held benchmark rates near zero and maintained its pledge to keep them low for an extended period.

Asian Markets

The central bank also pointed to increased momentum in the economy’s recovery, and that, coupled with strength in Intel, helped the S&P 500 hit a fresh 17-month high.

“Although everything was expected here, it’s definitely a bullish sign that nothing negative came out of (the Fed) decision and the language as well,” said Cort Gwon, director of research and trading strategies at FBN Securities in New York.

Intel (INTC.O) ranked among the Dow’s top performers, up 4 percent at $22.01 on speculation that the world’s top chip maker is expected to release positive guidance for the current quarter. The Philadelphia semiconductor index .SOXX gained 2.7 percent.

General Electric Co (GE.N) gained 4.5 percent to $18.07 after the Dow component’s chief financial officer said he expects the company’s earnings and dividend to rise in 2011.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 43.83 points, or 0.41 percent, to end at 10,685.98. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX rose 8.95 points, or 0.78 percent, to finish at 1,159.46. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC added 15.80 points, or 0.67 percent, to close at 2,378.01.

The S&P 500 was able to puncture 1,150, a mark it had been unable to hold above in two previous attempts, and a level strategists cited as a significant obstacle for more gains.

“Throughout the day and the past week, we’ve been breaking out of this S&P 500 trading range of 1,050 to 1,1150 — hopefully, we are breaking into a new trading range.” Gwon added.

Earlier in the session, stocks moved higher after Standard & Poor’s ended its review for a downgrade of Greece, saying the government’s recent deficit-reduction measures are supportive of the ratings. Concerns about Greek debt have been a drag on equities in recent weeks.

Data on Tuesday showed U.S. housing starts fell last month as winter storms in parts of the country disrupted home building, while a drop in import prices pointed to muted inflation pressures.

About 7.89 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, the third slowest day of 2010, and below last year’s estimated daily average of 9.65 billion.

Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a ratio of about 11 to 4, while on the Nasdaq, nearly 17 stocks rose for every 10 that fell.

(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Jan Paschal)

Time coming for sanctions against Iran, says Merkel

(Reuters) – German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Monday the time has come to impose new sanctions on Iran over its disputed nuclear activity.

World

“I have made clear that we are entering a phase where there should be sanctions against Iran,” Merkel told a joint news conference with Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri.

Iran had rejected all constructive offers from foreign governments to resolve the dispute over its uranium enrichment activities, she said.

Western nations suspect Iran wants to use atomic technology to build a bomb, but Tehran denies that and says it is only interested in civilian power generation.

Western powers want the U.N. Security Council to approve a resolution imposing new sanctions on Tehran but is facing some resistance from China.

Some EU officials have said they need to be prepared to move rapidly to implement their own measures to rein in Iran’s nuclear program if attempts to win U.N. backing drag on for too long.

(Reporting by Hans-Edzard Busemann; Editing by Angus MacSwan)

AFL lashes out at Bingle’s legal team

AFL chief executive Andrew Demetriou has taken a swipe at Lara Bingle’s legal team as the nude photo saga continues to drag on.

Demetriou said the AFL had interviewed Brendan Fevola, who allegedly circulated the nude photo of Bingle, but the league’s numerous requests to talk to Bingle have so far been unsuccessful.

“The legal team acting on behalf of Lara Bingle haven’t been co-operative,” a clearly annoyed Demetriou said in Perth on Friday.

“We’ve made several requests to interview Ms Bingle but they haven’t agreed to those requests, that’s their prerogative.

“I’m not sure why they wouldn’t want to.

“They are pretty quick to get into the media and say all sorts of things and even tee off at the AFL but I would suggest that if they are serious then they make available Mrs Bingle.

“I know that Adrian Anderson’s team interviewed Brendan, they understand his position and that’s why they are keen to interview Ms Bingle.”

Demetriou said he had no idea how long the investigation could drag on given Bingle’s newly-appointed agent Max Markson was hampering the AFL’s efforts.

“I think Max Markson can determine how [long] that goes, he’s going beautifully,” Demetriou said sarcastically.

“He seems to be pulling all the strings and calling the shots so we’ll leave it to him.

“We treat the matter very seriously, particularly because we educate all of our clubs about taking photographs and distributing without people’s consent.

“It’s part of our respect and responsibility program, that’s why we’ve taken this up and that’s why we are keen to interview Ms Bingle.”

- AAP

Asteroids may have flocked together to build planets

London, August 18 (ANI): New computer simulations have suggested that dense swarms of asteroids collapsed under their own gravity to make the building blocks of the planets in our solar system.

The planets are thought to have formed from a disc of dust and gas around the infant sun.

The initial process is well known: dust grains clumped together, forming objects in the millimetre-to-metre range.

However, it is not known how the growth process continued.

The gas in the disc should have put a drag on the new boulders, causing them to spiral into the sun before they could grow further.

According to a report in New Scientist, evidence is now mounting that the next step was a sudden leap forward, skipping intermediate sizes to make asteroids hundreds of kilometers across – massive enough to resist gas drag.

Asteroids hundreds of kilometers across appeared – too massive to be dragged into the sun

This basic idea is decades old, but it attracted renewed attention in 2007 and 2008 following simulations by a team led by Anders Johansen of the Max Planck Institute for Astronomy in Heidelberg, Germany, and by another team led by Jeffrey Cuzzi of NASA’s Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, California.

These showed that turbulence in the nebula could have concentrated objects less than a meter across in dense enough swarms to collapse under their mutual gravity and form large asteroids tens to hundreds of kilometers across.

“If either one of these models turns out to be right, this will be a big step forward,” said John Chambers of the Carnegie Institution in Washington DC.

Now, a new study has found evidence that such a process did occur in our solar system. It is based on the size of objects in the asteroid belt.

Estimates from telescopic surveys suggest there are millions of the smallest asteroids, which are less than a kilometer across, with the numbers of larger ones dropping off sharply.

Yet this size distribution and number would once have been different: asteroids can grow by sweeping up smaller objects, and shatter if they collide with an object of similar size.

Alessandro Morbidelli of the Cote D’Azur Observatory in Nice, France, led a team that simulated the evolution of the asteroid belt, modelling a variety of starting populations.

They did find a good fit when they started with a mixture of sizes between 100 and 1000 kilometers across, suggesting that large asteroids did form spontaneously during the solar system’s development. (ANI)

Ronaldo’s greed for more than 200,000 pound-a-week wages shocks Madrid bosses

London, June 19 (ANI): Cristiano Ronaldo has stunned Real Madrid bosses by claiming their world record 200,000 pound-a-week wages offer is not enough.

The Portuguese winger is not only not ready to settle for his 9.5 million pound salary to play for the Spanish giants, but also wants a huge slice of the profits from all merchandising involving his name.

Ronaldo, 24, is demanding half the profits from the sale of shirts, scarves, books, posters and flags, and that could rake him in an extra 20 million pound over six years, the Daily Star reports.

His greed has shocked Real Madrid chiefs, who were relying on the vast income from Ronaldo merchandise to help fund his world record 80 million pound transfer from Manchester United.

Though the row will not derail the deal, it could delay it for a month, plunging Premier League champs United into chaos. Sir Alex Ferguson is relying on the Ronaldo cash to rebuild his team, but cannot splash out until it is a done deal.

A United insider said last night: “While the transfer fee itself is settled, the personal terms are still under discussion. Merchandising rights are complicated and this could drag on. Cristiano is a shrewd businessman as well as the world’s greatest footballer.”

“He owns his own CR7 brand of clothes stores and is all too aware of the value of anything with his name attached. He’s not going to give that up.”

If Real meet Ronaldo’s demands it would mean the La Liga side smashing its image rights pay structure and upsetting other stars. (ANI)