Singapore dollar on weak side, likely to rise-IMF

July 23 (Reuters) – The Singapore dollar is ‘somewhat weaker” than its medium-term equilibrium level but it is likely to appreciate as the domestic economy expands, the International Monetary Fund said on Friday.

In its annual review of Singapore’s economy, the IMF said the modest and gradual rise of the Singapore dollar SGD= “appears consistent with internal and external stability”.

Indian shares up 0.3 pct; Reliance, L&T rise

MUMBAI, July 20 (Reuters) – Indian shares rose 0.3 percent
on Tuesday led by gains in energy major Reliance Industries
(RELI.BO) and construction conglomerate Larsen & Toubro
(LART.BO), with mostly firmer Asian markets helping.

However, investors were cautious with a drop in U.S.
housing data showing cracks in the recovery of the world’s
largest economy.

Traders were watching foreign funds, who have moved $8.6
billion into Indian equities this year, for direction amid
concern a slower than expected global recovery could affect the
inflows.
By 11:11 a.m. (0541 GMT), the 30-share BSE index .BSESN was
trading up 0.34 percent at 17,989.12, with 19 of its components
gaining.

In the broader market, gainers were almost double the
number losers while 131 million shares changed hands.

“We are trading higher today looking at the strength in
Asian stocks,” said Kunal Sukhani, manager of institutional
equities at Asian Markets Securities.

The MSCI’s measure of Asian markets other than Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS was up 1.3 percent, while Japan’s Nikkei
.N225 shed 1.2 percent.

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For a video on Asian stocks' performance, view show:

link.reuters.com/kap48m

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The BSE index is up 3 percent so far this year on the back
of rebounding domestic economy, while most of its emerging
market peers have dropped.

Reliance Industries, which has the highest weight on the
main index .BSESN, climbed 0.6 percent to 1,062.50 rupees,
while Larsen & Toubro rose 1.1 percent to 1,912.80 rupees.

Sukhani said quarterly earnings would be the key driver for
the market in the near term.

HDFC Bank (HDBK.BO) was up 0.2 percent at 2,055.25 rupees,
a day after the private-sector lender reported its strongest
profit growth in more than a year and highlighted more gains
for the booming industry on robust loan demand. [ID:nSGE66I0EL]

“Quality of earnings continues to improve on the back of
margin expansion, loan book growth, and provisioning pressure,”
Edelweiss said in a note.

“We continue to like the bank’s attractive franchisee and
overall improvement in metrics.”

The stock is just 2.6 percent of its record high hit last
week.

Iron ore exporter Sesa Goa (SESA.BO) rose 1.6 percent after
its consolidated net profit for the June quarter trebled.
[ID:nSGE66J05M]

The share was also helped after a senior government
official told Reuters on Monday India had no plans to curb iron
ore exports. [ID:nSGE66I0EY]

Tata Steel (TISC.BO), the world’s seventh-largest producer
of the alloy, and rose non-ferrous metals producer Sterlite
Industries (STRL.BO) rose 1.1 percent each, while aluminium
maker Hindalco (HALC.BO) gained 0.9 percent.

The sector was supported by gains in regional peers. The
resources index for Asian shares other than Japan
.MIAPJMT00PUS was up nearly 2 percent.

The 50-share NSE index , or Nifty, was up 0.3
percent at 5,402.40.

“We see Nifty to be rangebound between 5,300-5,450 in the
near term due to mixed cues from overseas,” Sukhani said.

STOCKS ON THE MOVE

* MindTree (MINT.BO) shed 5.2 percent to 539 rupees after
its quarterly results disappointed investors, dealers said.
[ID:nWNBS0515]

* Cairn India (CAIL.BO), a unit of Cairn Energy (CNE.L),
was up 0.3 percent at 316.15 rupees as crude oil prices rose
toward $77 a barrel.

MAIN TOP THREE BY VOLUME

* IFCI (IFCI.BO) on 3.3 million shares

* Ramsarup Industries (RASW.BO) on 1.6 million shares

* Unitech (UNTE.BO) on 1.6 million shares

FACTORS TO WATCH
* For technical analysis double click on www.reutersindia.net
* Indian rupee report [INR/]
* Indian bond report [IN/]
* Dollar hovers near lows, eyes on Japan policymakers [FRX/]
* Oil gains towards $77 on expected U.S. inventory drop [O/R]
* Asia shares rise, yen strength in focus [MKTS/GLOB]
* Wall St up on tech, but IBM, TI fall after the bell [.N]
* For closing rates of Indian ADRs INADR

Seoul shares rise as investors welcome rate hike

SEOUL, July 9 (Reuters) – Seoul shares rose on Friday as investors welcomed the central bank’s surprise rate hike decision as a sign the economy was making a firm recovery, sending exporters and financials including Hana Financial (086790.KS) up.

The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) finished 1.43 percent higher at 1,723.01 points, just 2 percent away from its earlier 2010 high of 1,757.76 points.

“The rate hike came a bit earlier than expected, but investors took it as a sign the domestic economy was doing very solidly. Foreign investors’ buying confirmed that positive view,” said Kim June-kie, a market analyst at SK Securities.

“Optimistic quarterly earnings expectations are helping market make further upward moves,” Kim added.

Financials bounced as the rate hike strengthened hopes banks may see higher net interest rate margins, analysts said.

“Insurers will benefit as they can buy bonds more cheaply, while banks’ net interest margin could be helped through levying higher interest rates on lending,” said Shim Kyu-sun, an analyst at HI Investment & Securities.

Shares in Hana Financial Group rose 5.5 percent and Woori Finance Holdings (053000.KS) gained 4.14 percent.

Samsung Life Insurance (032830.KS) rose 1.43 percent and Korea Life (088350.KS) climbed 1.47 percent.

Key blue chips also outperformed as expectations for the impending second quarter earnings season mounted.

Shares in Samsung Electronics (005930.KS), the world’s No.1 memory chip maker, gained 2.71 percent and Hyundai Motor (005380.KS), South Korea’s No.1 automaker, rose 3.35 percent.

Tour and airline issues also outperformed as the won KRW= extended gains after the rate hike news. A stronger won could help boost demand for overseas travel and reduce the costs of imported jet fuel.

Shares in Korean Air Line (003490.KS) advanced 1.38 percent and major tour agency Hana Tour (039130.KQ) ended up 2.99 percent.

CCTV maker Samsung Techwin (012450.KS) jumped 5.5 percent as it was widely expected to post strong quarterly figures.

“Samsung Techwin’s margins improvement has been definitely strong, but I think shares have been a bit overbought,” said Chun Seong-hoon, an analyst at Eugene Investment & Securities, adding that shares were trading at about 25 times 2010 forecast earnings.

RPT-GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares slip; debt puts euro on defensive

SINGAPORE, June 29 (Reuters) – Asian stocks fell on Tuesday and were on course for their worst quarterly performance since the end of 2008, while funding concerns in the euro zone sent the single currency tumbling to a record low against the Swiss franc.

The tepid nature of the rich world’s recovery from global recession kept investors on the defensive, with a general flight to relative safe havens prompting a rebound for gold and falls in U.S. and Japanese government debt yields to multi-month lows.

European shares were also expected to fall, with financial bookmakers forecasting the benchmark indexes in Britain, France and Germany to open down 0.8-1.2 percent. Eurostoxx 50 Futures STXEc1 slid 1.7 percent. [.L]

Chinese stocks .SSEC fell 4 percent to a 14-month low, as investors started pulling funds from the market to prepare for a major initial public offering by Agricultural Bank of China, pointing to tight liquidity in China’s markets. [.SS]

“The market is still facing financing pressures and we are still worried about the domestic economy,” said Zheng Weigang, an analyst at Shanghai Securities.

Tokyo’s Nikkei .N225 fell 1.3 percent to a three-week closing low and MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.6 percent.

The Nikkei has fallen around 14 percent in the second quarter and the MSCI AP ex-Japan is down roughly 8 percent, putting both on track for their worst quarterly performance since the meltdown in the final months of 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

World stock markets rebounded strongly in 2009, but investors are now fretting about the uncertainty of the outlook as governments — many facing ballooning debt burdens — start to turn off the stimulus that supported the fledgling recovery.

EURO WOES

The euro fell around 1 percent against the yen EURJPY=R, dragged down by losses against the Swiss franc. It fell 0.2 percent on the day to touch 1.3323 francs EURCHF= on trading platform EBS, the weakest since its launch in 1999.

The pair has now lost 4 percent since June 17, when the Swiss central bank backed off from a pledge to fight excessive appreciation in the franc.

Traders in Asia said investors were wary of growth-linked currencies and the euro amid festering problems in the euro zone, where funding pressures re-emerged with interbank lending rates hitting their highest in almost seven months on Monday.

Banks must repay 442 billion euros ($545.5 billion) to the European Central Bank on Thursday, leaving a potential liquidity shortfall in the financial system of more than 100 billion euros. [ID:nLDE65R0LE]

The premium investors demand to hold 10-year Italian, French and Spanish government bonds, rather than euro zone benchmark German Bunds, all widened.

“Renewed debt stress stories…have weighed a bit on the euro and led to renewed safe-haven parking in the yen and Swiss franc,” said dealer at a Swiss bank.

“Investors’ sentiment towards peripheral Europe remains cautious and fragile to say the least.”

The search for safer assets pushed the U.S. benchmark 10-year yield US10YT=RR to its lowest since April 2009, while the benchmark Japanese Government Bond 10-year yield JP10YTN=JBTC fell to a seven-year low. [JP/] [US/T]

Concerns about Europe’s debt burden contributed to a rebound for gold XAU=, with spot prices for the safe-haven metal rising more than $3 to $1,239.20 an ounce. [GOL/]

“Gold is likely to remain pretty well supported in the current quarter. Safe-haven demand for gold remains prominent,” said David Moore, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.

The euro’s weakness — and consequent relative dollar strength — also contributed to falling in oil prices, making dollar-denominated crude more expensive for buyers in Europe and Asia.

Oil CLc1 fell nearly 1 percent to $77.53 a barrel, as forecasts indicated Tropical Storm Alex was likely to skirt the main production region in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. [O/R]

“Markets are concerned that European banks are pressed to pay 442 billion euros. If these worries sustain and the euro falls, a stronger dollar would pressure oil prices down,” said Serene Lim, a Singapore-based oil analyst at ANZ Bank. (To read Reuters Global Investing Blog click here; for the MacroScope Blog click on blogs.reuters.com/macroscope; for Hedge Fund Blog Hub click on blogs.reuters.com/hedgehub)

G20 to discuss bank levy and capital controls: South Korea

(Reuters) – The proposed introduction of a bank levy and possible ways to control cross-border capital flows will top the agenda at this week’s G20 finance ministers meetings, host South Korea said on Tuesday.

South Korea

Finance Minister Yoon Jeung-hyun also told an unscheduled media briefing that the euro zone’s debt crisis was becoming a factor that would delay policy “exit strategies” in some countries.

“I expect the bank levy issue to be discussed as an important agenda,” he said, referring to the proposed move aimed at making banks pay for the future bailouts of financial institutions.

Finance ministers and central bank heads from the Group of 20 leading economies meet in Busan, South Korea, on Friday and Saturday to fine-tune their views on key global issues before their leaders hold a summit later in the month in Canada.

There is broad support for the proposal but some countries, which experienced no heavy cost of bailing out financial institutions, are opposed to it.

Yoon said drawing up some form of regulations to cushion the capital flows across countries would also likely be discussed at the meetings.

“The IMF’s position has also changed (toward introducing controls),” he said.

Regarding the domestic economy, Yoon said the government’s position was to maintain its existing economic policy because private sector recovery was not yet fully self-sustaining.

But he played down the slowing pace of annual growth in the statistics agency’s composite leading indicator in recent months, which many analysts took as underlining the moderating recovery of Asia’s fourth-largest economy.

(Reporting by Lee Shin-hyung, writing by Yoo Choonsik; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

UPDATE 1-G20 to discuss bank levy, capital controls -S.Korea

June 1 (Reuters) – The proposed introduction of a bank levy and possible ways to control cross-border capital flows will top the agenda at this week’s G20 finance ministers meetings, host South Korea said on Tuesday.

Finance Minister Yoon Jeung-hyun also told an unscheduled media briefing that the euro zone’s debt crisis was becoming a factor that would delay policy “exit strategies” in some countries.

“I expect the bank levy issue to be discussed as an important agenda,” he said, referring to the proposed move aimed at making banks pay for the future bailouts of financial institutions.

Finance ministers and central bank heads from the Group of 20 leading economies meet in Busan, South Korea, on Friday and Saturday to fine-tune their views on key global issues before their leaders hold a summit later in the month in Canada.

There is broad support for the proposal but some countries, which experienced no heavy cost of bailing out financial institutions, are opposed to it.

Yoon said drawing up some form of regulations to cushion the capital flows across countries would also likely be discussed at the meetings.

“The IMF’s position has also changed (toward introducing controls),” he said.

Regarding the domestic economy, Yoon said the government’s position was to maintain its existing economic policy because private sector recovery was not yet fully self-sustaining.

But he played down the slowing pace of annual growth in the statistics agency’s composite leading indicator in recent months, which many analysts took as underlining the moderating recovery of Asia’s fourth-largest economy. [ID:nSEL003108] (Reporting by Lee Shin-hyung, writing by Yoo Choonsik; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

G20 to discuss bank levy, capital controls -S.Korea

June 1 (Reuters) – The proposed introduction of a bank levy and possible ways to control cross-border capital flows will top the agenda at this week’s G20 finance ministers meetings, host South Korea said on Tuesday.

Currencies | Bonds | Global Markets

Finance Minister Yoon Jeung-hyun also told an unscheduled media briefing that the euro zone’s debt crisis was becoming a factor that would delay policy “exit strategies” in some countries.

Regarding the domestic economy, Yoon said the government’s position was to maintain its existing economic policy because private sector recovery was not yet fully self-sustaining. (Reporting by Lee Shin-hyung, writing by Yoo Choonsik; Editing by Chris Lewis)

Restriction of foreign IT professionals can hurt US businesses: Study

Washington, May 14 (ANI): A study has shown that if skilled foreign IT professionals were restricted from working in the United States, it would actually affect American workers, as it would lead firms into hiring IT pros to work outside the US.

According to the Management Insights feature, the study, which relies on salary data of more than 50,000 IT professionals, puts into doubt calls for more restrictive policies for workers in the United States on H-1B visas.

H-1B is a temporary work visa issued to employers allowing them to hire professionals in occupations that require a bachelor’s degree and highly specialized skills.

The authors warn that enacting policies that restrict the number of skilled IT professionals would lead American companies off-shore, hiring IT pros to work outside the U.S.

They say that reports of Microsoft hiring foreign IT professionals in Canada, who were denied visas to work in the U.S., suggests that the damage may already be happening.

In a worst case scenario, they warn, policies restricting immigration of specialized workers will hurt the long-term competitiveness of U.S. firms and the domestic economy.

The authors argue that higher quotas for specialized workers benefit American companies.

“A culturally and globally diverse workforce, even if it comes at a higher price and means paying higher wages for foreign IT professionals, may prove highly effective in capitalizing on opportunities for leveraging foreign countries as source or as markets for improved competitiveness,” the authors wrote.

The findings appear in the current issue of Management Science, the flagship journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). (ANI)

Rate rises on the way

The Reserve Bank decided to raise interest rates in March because the balance of economic data showed the domestic economy was growing close to its speed limit.

The minutes to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s March policy meeting showed the central bank concluding that, while a fiscal crisis in Europe could roil global markets and the economy if not handled properly, it did not see that as the most likely outcome.

It also noted that domestic house prices were rising strongly almost across the board.

On balance, members concluded, “it remained appropriate for interest rates to move gradually towards normal levels, and that it was timely to take another step in that direction.”

AMP Capital Investors chief economist, Shane Oliver, says he thinks the word gradual means no rate rise in April.

“I get the clear impression that the Reserve Bank is signalling that it’s going to retain this gradual approach and that to me suggests that we’ll have several meetings where absolutely nothing happens,” he told ABC News.

“I think if the Reserve Bank were to raise interest rates in April they might be concerned that that would signal to the market that they’re departing from a gradual approach.”

However, Macquarie’s interest rate strategist, Rory Robertson, says a rate rise in April is as likely as May.

“Some people have grabbed onto the word ‘gradual’ and said well gradual isn’t back-to-back… rate hikes but, in fact, the Reserve Bank used the word gradual in the equivalent minutes in November, when it was just about to deliver a third consecutive rate hike in December,” he told ABC News.

“I think that the market in general is starting to think that the cash rate might be 5 per cent by the end of the year, versus 4 per cent now.

“We’re in March now, so there’s nine more meetings before the end of the year – the market has in mind there might be four more cash rate hikes – so it’s almost a 50-50 chance at any particular meeting.”

Housing, Greece concerns

The Reserve Bank indicated that it is still concerned by the strength of inflation in home prices.

“While housing loan approvals had slowed a little, house prices had gained significant momentum and were continuing to rise strongly for all but the bottom segment of the market,” the board concluded.

The RBA had raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.0 per cent in March, marking the fourth time it had tightened policy since October when rates were at a record low of 3.0 per cent.

The moves render Australian rates the highest in the developed world, and underscore the resilience in Australia’s economy.

Australia had survived the world economic crisis relatively unscathed owing to a buoyant property market, a healthy bank sector and strong Chinese demand for its commodity exports.

“Indeed, some recent indicators suggested that growth might already have been running at or close to trend for a few months,” the RBA noted.

Australia’s long-term growth potential is estimated to be around 3.5 per cent, a pace which the RBA expects to see over the next two years.

Healthy consumer spending, a pick-up in housing construction activity, early signs of a recovery in business credit, and a mining boom that should boost the economy over a number of years all underpinned the RBA’s bullish outlook.

On Greece, where a festering fiscal crisis has hammered the euro and dented investors’ demand for riskier assets of late, the RBA noted that the exposure of the global banking sector to Greece were “quite small” in absolute terms.

It said that even for countries with the biggest banking exposure to Greece, the nation only accounted for a small proportion of their total foreign claims.

“The main risk was the possibility of contagion to other sovereigns and perhaps other markets, primarily in the euro area,” the bank noted.

However, the board concluded that it was unlikely this would lead to a renewed bout of turmoil in financial markets.

-Reuters/ABC

Philippine shares up 2.08 per cent on Wall Street gains

Manila – Philippine share prices rose 2.08 per cent on Thursday on the back of Wall Street’s overnight gains despite lower growth forecasts for the domestic economy.

The 30-share composite index of the Philippine Stock Exchange gained 42.17 points to close at 2,064.66 from Wednesday’s finish of 2,022.49.

Gainers swamped losers 85 to 24, while 29 issues were unchanged. A total of 2.08 billion shares worth 2.64 billion pesos (55 million dollars) were traded.

Traders said market sentiment was boosted by the Dow Jones’ surge on Wednesday, when the industrial average gained more than 109 points.

Investors shrugged off the Philippine government’s announcement that it has lowered economic growth estimates for 2009 to between 3.1 per cent and 4.1 per cent due to weak exports.

Initial forecasts for gross domestic product growth in 2009 had been between 3.7 per cent and 4.4 per cent.

Japan’s Aso vows create 2 million new jobs in three years

Tokyo – Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso on Thursday vowed create 1.4 to 2 million new jobs in the next three years to pull the domestic economy out of the worst recession in the postwar era.

Aso’s long-term policy aims at increasing the nation’s real gross domestic product (GDP) by 120 trillion yen (1.2 trillion dollars) and create 4 million new jobs by 2020.

Aso unveiled a plan to invest in low-carbon technology, expand nursing-care facilities and the workforce caring for the nation’s ageing population, and improve medical services.

In the short run, the Japanese government plans to compile the nation’s largest-ever stimulus package of 15.4 trillion yen (154 billion dollars), or 3 per cent of the GDP, to help overcome the recession. The supplementary budget for the current fiscal year which started on April 1 is to be formally announced Friday.

Whether the government can implement the supplementary budget, however, depends on the outcome of general elections to be held by September.

Japan’s premier, whose support rate dropped below 10 per cent in February, is enjoying an increase in his approval rate to above 24 per cent after North Korea’s rocket launch, Japanese media reported. (dpa)

Tokyo stocks higher on optimism over domestic economy

Tokyo – Tokyo stocks ended Tuesday morning’s trading modestly higher on optimism over the domestic economy and a rise in carmakers’ shares caused by expectations for a resurgence in global demand.

The benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average inched up 26.52 points, or 0.3 per cent, to 8,884.45.

The broader Topix index of all first-section issues was also up 4.49 points, or 0.54 per cent, at 835.46.

On currency markets at 9 am (0000 GMT), the dollar traded at 100.43-48 yen, down from Monday’s 5 pm quote of 101.15-18 yen.

The euro traded at 1.3325-30 dollars, down from late Monday’s quote of 1.3530-33 dollars, and at 133.85-90 yen, down from 136.88-92 yen.

BSE Sensex rises 4.5pct to best close in 5 months

The BSE Sensex jumped 4.5 percent on Thursday to its best close in five months as investors across Asia and Europe rode on optimism the world economy had got past the worst.

Reliance Industries, the country’s most valuable company, led the surge as the energy giant began pumping gas from its giant field off India’s east coast.

The stock, which has the heaviest weight in the main index, rose 5.3 percent to 1,662.50 rupees, its highest close since Oct. 7, and took gains to 42 percent over the past month.

The 30-share BSE index rose 4.51 percent, or 446.84 points, to 10,348.83, its best close since Nov. 10. The market is closed on Friday for a local holiday.

ICICI Bank and State Bank of India climbed after inflation hovered above zero in mid-March, with analysts expecting it to turn negative in the next few weeks, providing room to the central bank to ease monetary policy.

Anand Shah, head of equities at Canara Robeco Mutual Fund, said, financial stocks were driving the rally because they had overdone a fall earlier due to weak global sentiment.

“Their valuations now are just too attractive,” he said.

The BSE index, which has risen almost 29 percent since hitting a 2009 low in early March, ended the week up nearly 3 percent.

“This momentum is not sustainable in the near term. There needs to be a correction,” Shah said.

Traders said a world market rebound underpinned the rise, but lingering concerns about coming general elections from mid-April and a slowing domestic economy were roadblocks.

“It strikes me as a reasonable possibility that early March was a global low,” Narayan Ramachandran, CEO and country head of Morgan Stanley India, told an investment seminar on Wednesday.

“But we are not galloping away to new highs anytime soon,” he said.

Oil and Natural Gas Corp firmed 8.3 percent to 870.40 rupees after a source told Reuters late on Wednesday the state-run explorer sold 700,000 barrels of light sweet Sokol crude for June loading to U.S. refiner Tesoro Corp at a stronger premium than its previous sale.

Government-run State Bank of India, the country’s largest lender, jumped 6.7 percent to 1,145.35 rupees. Rival ICICI Bank rose 3.1 percent to 360.25 rupees.

The banking sector rose 4.8 percent, taking its gains for the week to almost 5 percent.

In the broader section, gainers led losers in the ratio of 4:1 on heavy volume of 450.3 million shares.

The 50-share NSE index rose 4.9 percent to 3,211.05.

Japan’s Nikkei added 4.4 percent and MSCI’s measure of other Asian markets gained 5.6 percent after data on Wednesday showed U.S. factory activity in March fell at a slower rate than the month before, while pending home sales rose more than expected in February.

MAIN TOP 3 BY VOLUME

* Reliance Natural Resources on 20.1 million shares

* Suzlon Energy on 19.5 million shares

* Unitech on 14.4 million shares

STOCKS THAT MOVED

* Larsen and Toubro Ltd rose 6.7 percent to 717.25 rupees after the engineering conglomerate said it won two orders worth 11.43 billion rupees from Tata Steel.

* Power equipment firm Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd rose 4.1 percent to 1,531.85 rupees after it reported a 6.3 percent provisional rise in yearly net profit and said it expects sales to grow 20-25 percent in the year to March 2010.

* Cement firms such as Grasim Industries and ACC Ltd were up 1-5 percent after the Economic Times said several companies raised prices by 3-7 rupees per 50 kg bag in anticipation of higher demand.

* Wind-turbine maker Suzlon Energy gained 8.9 percent to 50.75 rupees after it said late on Wednesday its U.S. unit won a repeat order from U.S. firm Duke Energy for 20 wind turbines.

Maruti car sales rise 22 pct in March, up 3rd month

Maruti Suzuki, posted a third straight month of higher sales in March helped by a jump in exports of its compact A-Star and strong rural demand.

But analysts said it was too early to confirm a turnaround for the automobile sector that has been struggling in the wake of the global financial crisis and a slowing domestic economy.

Maruti, 54.2 percent-owned by Japan’s Suzuki Motor Corp, said on Thursday total sales in March rose 22 percent from a year earlier to 85,669 units, with exports more than doubling to 11,814.

Sales had jumped nearly a quarter in February and rose 5.4 percent in January from a year earlier after the government slashed factory taxes and the central bank cut interest rates to revive consumer spending.

This helped lift Maruti’s sales by 3.6 percent for the financial year ended March to 792,167 units.

Exports in 2008/09 rose 32 percent, the company said, led by 19,000 units of A-Star launched last November.

“We will have to wait for a few more months of sales for a trend to emerge,” said Hitesh Kuvelkar, associate director of research at First Global Securities.

“Crude prices are relatively down and interest rates have come down, but I don’t see much enthusiasm among banks to lend to the auto sector,” he said.

Leading utility vehicle maker Mahindra and Mahindra said on Wednesday its March domestic sales jumped 31 percent from February, but grew only 11 percent from a year earlier.

Pawan Goenka, head of automotive division at the company, told a television channel he expected general elections that begin in mid-April to boost demand for utility vehicles for campaigning, but May and June would be testing times.

“Maruti and Mahindra sales have gone up because of their new launches,” said Chetan Vora, auto analyst with Brics Securities.

“I don’t expect to see this kind of growth, going forward,” he said. “Revival will not come so fast, as manufacturing is not picking up.”

A survey showed Indian manufacturing activity contracted for a fifth straight month in March as demand remained depressed by the global economic downturn.

South Korean Hyundai Motor Co’s Indian unit reported an almost 16 percent fall in March domestic sales, though it rose nearly 17 percent from February.

“The industry is far from seeing a turnaround at this moment,” Arvind Saxena, senior vice president for marketing and sales at Hyundai Motor India, said.

The country’s leading vehicles maker, Tata Motors, said government fiscal stimulus packages were helping but it would take time to reach year-earlier levels.

Its March sales fell 13 percent from a year earlier, but rose 24 percent from February.

Bike makers also followed similar patterns. Hero Honda Motors, in which Japan’s Honda Motor Corp has a 26 percent stake, said March sales grew more than 10 percent from year ago and helped boost 2008/09 sales 12 percent.

Smaller rival Bajaj Auto, however, said March sales fall 13 percent on year but rose marginally from February.

The BSE Auto Index climbed 25 percent in the March quarter, beating the main index’s 0.6 percent gain.

Japan business confidence sinks on eve of G20 meet

Japan’s business confidence hit a record low, a key survey showed on Wednesday, showing the depth of the recession in the world’s second-largest economy as world leaders gather in London to tackle the global financial crisis.

Slumping global demand has halved exports and slashed production of cars and electronics in Japan, pushing it into its worst recession since World War Two and leading to an atmosphere of almost uniform gloom among export-reliant manufacturers.

The Bank of Japan index gauging sentiment among major manufacturers slid to minus 58 in March, more than double the previous survey and the worst in a generation.

Underlining the corporate caution, capital expenditure figures were also the second lowest on record.

Rising unemployment and falling spending data a day earlier already showed the worrying trend that the slump in external demand was feeding into Japan’s domestic economy.

“The economy may reach a bottom in the summer but is not likely to return to previous levels of growth any time soon,” said Shinko Research Institute senior economist Norio Miyagawa.

Analysts expect Japan’s economy to keep shrinking in the first half of this year, meaning a record five straight quarters of contraction. Unpopular Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso, facing an election by October, is preparing a third stimulus package to reinvigorate the economy.

U.S. President Barack Obama landed in London for the G20 meeting to address the worst global economic slowdown since the 1930s, which has already cost millions of jobs and trillions of dollars in government assistance.

He arrived on his first major overseas trip as president to a slew of bad economic news and with a fight looming with Europe over whether more stimulus or tighter regulation of financial markets was the way forward.

FAILURE NOT AN OPTION

Washington wants governments to pump more money into their economies but French President Nicolas Sarkozy is leading the regulatory charge.

“Failure is not an option, the world would not understand it and history would not forgive us for it,” Sarkozy said.

The plight of U.S. automakers was not far behind Obama after Washington forced General Motors’ chief executive to step aside this week and told GM and struggling Chrysler to come up with better restructuring plans or face bankruptcy.

GM warned on Tuesday there was a rising chance it could file for bankruptcy by June as it tries to cut its debt load, with the likelihood of more plant closings and job losses, sending its shares tumbling 28 percent.

U.S. stock futures fell during Asia trade on Wednesday and the yen rose after a Bloomberg report that Obama had decided that a prepackaged bankruptcy for GM was the best way for it to restructure. A senior administration official later called that report “inaccurate.”

Deepening the gloom, data on Wednesday is expected to show U.S. auto sales fell 40 percent in March from a year ago.

GM has been given another 60 days to come up with a way to become competitive again, while smaller rival Chrysler has been given a 30-day deadline to reach a deal with Italian carmaker Fiat SpA.

PESSIMISM

The pessimistic Japanese news was mirrored only hours earlier by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, which said the world economy would shrink 4.3 percent this year, far worse than the 0.4 percent it had previously forecast.

That would cost 25 million jobs, about half of the worldwide job losses the International Labour Organisation is forecasting in the next year or so.

“The world economy is in the midst of its deepest and most synchronized recession in our lifetime,” the OECD said.

“We anticipate that the ongoing contraction in economic activity will worsen this year before a policy-induced recovery gradually builds momentum through 2010.”

Underscoring the human cost of the crisis that G20 leaders must address in London, Japan and Germany both announced big jumps in unemployment on Tuesday, while U.S. economic reports showed low consumer confidence and plunging home prices.

In Australia, retail sales slumped 2.0 percent in February — the most in nine years — raising fears of higher unemployment and pushing the case for yet another cut in already record-low interest rates, possibly next week, to keep Australia off the recession bandwagon.

There was some good news in Seoul, where the pace of decline in South Korean exports slowed and exports per day figures fuelled talk of the economy bottoming out and raised the case for the Bank of Korea to keep rates steady again next week.

(Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in SYDNEY, Yoo Choonsik in SEOUL, Kevin Krolicki and Soyoung Kim in WASHINGTON and DETROIT, and Brian Love in LONDON)

Nikkei closes at 26-year low on economic concerns

Tokyo – Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average on Monday dropped to its lowest closing level in more than 26 years on concerns over prospects of the global financial industry and the domestic economy.

The benchmark Nikkei index fell 87.07 points, or 1.21 per cent, to close at 7,086.03.

The broader Topix index of all first section issues was also down 10.86 points, or 1.51 per cent, to 710.53.

On currency markets at midday (0300 GMT), the dollar traded at 98.32-37 yen, up from Friday’s 5 pm quote of 97.35-37 yen.

The euro traded at 1.2685-90 dollars, down from late Friday’s quote of 1.2694-96 dollars, and at 124.75-80 yen, up from 123.58-62 yen. (dpa)