TIMELINE-Guinea’s bumpy road from coup to election

(Reuters) – Guinea, one of the world’s biggest sources of the aluminium ore bauxite, will hold a presidential election on Sunday aimed at ending a political crisis that has persisted since a 2008 military coup.

Here is a timeline of recent Guinean political events:

Dec. 1998 – Lansana Conte is re-elected president in a vote held after the arrest of his main challenger, Alpha Conde, for sedition. Conte is again re-elected for a seven-year term in 2003, in a vote boycotted by the main opposition parties and whose results were disputed.

Jan. 2005 – Dissident soldiers try to assassinate Conte as he drives through the capital Conakry.

Feb. 2007 – Conte appoints Lansana Kouyate as prime minister after a general strike and protests which kill more than 180.

May 2008 – Several people are killed in an army pay revolt.

Dec. 23 – Government announces Conte’s death.

Dec. 24 – Junta chief Captain Moussa Dadis Camara is chosen as de facto head of state after bloodless coup and says he will not stand for president in elections promised in 2010.

Sept 28, 2009 – Security forces kill more than 150 people after firing live rounds to disperse thousands of anti-junta protesters.

Oct. 12 – A two-day general strike called by unions to protest the September killings begins, bringing Conakry to a halt and disrupting bauxite exports.

Oct. 27 – Human Rights Watch report accuses junta of planning the September killings.

Oct. 29 – The United States restricts the travel of junta members and the African Union imposes sanctions that include travel restrictions and the freezing of bank accounts.

Oct. 30 – France halts cooperation with Guinean institutions and suspends funding of a highway project.

Dec. 3 – Camara wounded in gun attack by his own soldiers.

Dec. 4 – Camara evacuated to Morocco hospital for treatment of head wound. Defence Minister and deputy leader Sekouba Konate returns from trip abroad to take temporary control.

Dec. 21 – U.N. report on Sept. 28 protest crackdown lays responsibility on Camara.

Jan. 12, 2010 – Camara arrives in Burkina Faso to convalesce following the assassination attempt.

Jan. 15 – In the Burkinabe capital, Camara, Konate and junta officials sign the Ouagadougou Declaration to allow a national unity Government led by a civilian prime minister designated by the opposition, and elections within six months.

Jan. 19 – Guinea appoints veteran opposition politician Jean-Marie Dore as prime minister, who forms a caretaker government made up of a mix of civilian and military leaders.

April 28 – Dore says Camara supporters are secretly plotting his return to the country, and any actions to disrupt a planned election will be quashed.

May 20 – Guinea’s army says it will support whomever wins next month’s presidential election and anyone trying to derail the vote will be crushed.

June 15 – Security forces free former head of the army and two other soldiers believed to be Camara allies, after arresting them days earlier as part of a corruption investigation.

June 27 – Presidential election.

Q+A-How serious is the Korean crisis and risk of war?

SEOUL, June 16 (Reuters) – North Korea has repeated its threat to take military action if the U.N. Security Council punishes it for what it says is a fabricated accusation by South Korea that it attacked and sank a navy ship, killing 46 sailors. [ID:nN15271522]

The sinking of the South Korean corvette Cheonan in March was the deadliest incident between the rival Koreas in decades.

Following are some questions about how serious the crisis is, whether it could escalate to an armed confrontation and how the North could react to the outcome of debate at the U.N.

(For more stories, click [ID:nNORKOR])

WILL THERE BE WAR?

Many analysts doubt there will be war, as long as South Korea holds its fire. North Korea’s obsolete conventional armed forces and military equipment mean quick and certain defeat if it wages full-scale war and Pyongyang is well aware of its limits.

South Korea has made it clear it will not retaliate despite investigations that found a torpedo fired by a North Korean submarine sank the corvette Cheonan in March.

It knows the investment community will take fright if it does attack. President Lee Myung-bak’s government has taken the case to the Security Council, rather than take the law into its own hands.

IS EVERYTHING SAFE AND SOUND?

No. As the level of rhetoric rises, there is always a risk of skirmishes which could in turn develop into wider conflict.

Lee raised the stakes by saying in a national address the South would exercise its right to defend itself if the North provoked it again. North Korea has said much the same.

Both have carefully avoided sounding like the aggressor, promising to fight only if the other strikes first.

But South Korea said it would resume loudspeaker broadcasts against the North at their armed border. Pyongyang says it will shoot at the equipment.

South Korea’s defence minister has repeatedly said it would defend itself if the North begins shooting by quickly returning fire with overwhelming intensity.

Another risk could be the build-up of U.S. military forces on the peninsula that will be seen by the North as a sign of imminent invasion, something that leaders in Pyongyang are said to be genuinely afraid of.

The United States, which has about 28,000 troops stationed on the peninsula, threw its full support behind South Korea but said it was working hard to stop the escalation getting out of hand.

WHAT WILL THE SECURITY COUNCIL DO?

South Korea, not a member of the Security Council, and the United States, its key ally who is a permanent member, want the strongest action taken against the North that hits where it will hurt the destitute state’s leaders.

But China, another permanent member and the North’s major backer, will likely veto a resolution, possibly on grounds that the ship incident, unlike Pyongyang’s nuclear tests, is a localised issue that is better addressed by the two rivals and not by the international community.

The alternative is a strongly worded statement by the Security Council that condemns the North’s actions and calls for its pledge not to repeat provocative actions. Such a statement will be non-binding and will not involve prescriptions for sanctions such as a trade embargo.

As the North’s chief U.N. representative said on Tuesday, Pyongyang is also likely to protest against such a statement.

WHAT ARE THE RISKS TO INVESTORS?

Market players have tended to think that confrontation between the two Koreas will not escalate into armed conflict because they believe Seoul will not risk the damage to its own economy and its powerful neighbours in North Asia, who together account for about a sixth of the world’s economic output.

In South Korea, even a nuclear test does little to rattle financial markets, as market players are more concerned with direct armed confrontation and have become largely inured to the North’s rhetoric.

But the latest report of Kim Jong-il calling for war readiness has unnerved financial markets.

Some analysts say historic trends suggest any market losses will remain brief, as long as the two Koreas stop short of all-out war.

(Editing by Paul Tait)

French and Benelux stocks – Factors to watch on June 16

June 16 (Reuters) – Below are company-related news and leading stories from French and Benelux media which could have an impact on the region’s markets or individual stocks.

Industrials

ZODIAC (ZODC.PA)

The French aerospace equipment supplier said on Tuesday it saw encouraging signs of recovery in the aerospace industry amid more favourable currency exchange rates as it confirmed its full-year objectives.

[ID:nLDE65E2AK] COFINIMMO (COFB.BR)

The Belgian property investment company said it had sold three buildings for a total amount of 36.8 million euros ($49.37 million). The proceeds would be reinvested, the group said.

[COFB.PA]

DASSAULT AVIATION (AVMD.PA)

France’s Defence Minister on Tuesday denied the cost of upgrading 60 Dassault Rafale jet fighters to the standard required by the United Arab Emirates had risen and said talks were being finalised with the Gulf Arab state.

Germany’s Merkel chastises bickering coalition

BERLIN, June 11 (Reuters) – German Chancellor Angela Merkel ordered the parties in her centre-right coalition on Friday to stop squabbling over government policies and trading insults with each other, saying it undermined voters’ confidence.

In the last couple of weeks, sharp differences within Merkel’s coalition of conservatives and the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP) have been exposed and politicians from the three parties have hurled insults at each other.

A government spokesman was forced to deny Merkel’s chief of staff Ronald Pofalla had described Defence Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg as Rumpelstiltskin, a fairy tale dwarf who spins gold but throws a tantrum when he loses a wager.

An FDP lawmaker this week accused Bavaria’s conservative Christian Social Union (CSU) of acting like a destructive “wild sow” for scuppering his party’s health reform plans and a senior CSU politician retaliated, calling the FDP a “bunch of clowns”.

In an uncharacteristically direct appeal, Merkel urged her colleagues to restrain themselves.

“People who talk about each other like this must not be surprised if respect is lost for politics. I am not prepared to accept that,” she told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung daily.

The infighting has caused some experts to fret about the long-term prospects of Merkel’s government.

“The current level of conflict between the conservatives and FDP certainly goes beyond the normal and some commentators have started to question the stability of the government,” said Goldman Sachs economist Dirk Schumacher in a research note.

LATEST FLASHPOINT

Discord over possible German aid to carmaker Opel is the latest flashpoint. Just hours after FDP Economy Minster Rainer Bruederle ruled out state aid for the General Motors’ unit, Merkel appeared to undermine him by saying the last word had not been said on the matter [ID:nLDE6592HJ].

She has since failed to spell out new ideas, merely making vague proposals such as using research and development funds.

Merkel is under pressure to seize the political initiative and boost her party’s support, languishing at four-year lows.

An Infratest dimap poll showed the conservative camp down 1 point at 31 percent on Friday. The FDP were down 2 points at 6 percent, less than half their score in September’s federal election.

In a bid to revive her fortunes and quash criticism of her leadership during the euro zone debt crisis, Merkel this week unveiled Germany’s biggest austerity drive since World War Two.

But even that has drawn fire from her allies. Some conservatives said it lacked ambition in terms of cuts while others argued she should have raised the top income tax level.

Merkel also faces an unexpected battle to ensure her candidate, conservative Christian Wulff, is elected president on June 30 given wide support in the German media for opposition candidate, Joachim Gauck [ID:nLDE6580OI].

“A failure of chancellor Merkel’s candidate Wulff to get a majority could easily be the beginning of the end of the coalition,” said Schumacher.

UN chief proposes joint Gaza aid flotilla probe

Tel Aviv, June 6 (IANS) United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon has proposed to Israel to set up an international commission of inquiry into the attack on the Gaza-bound aid flotilla, a media report said Sunday.

The committee would be headed by former New Zealand prime minister Geoffrey Palmer, an expert on maritime law. Its members would include representatives from the United States, Turkey and Israel, Haaretz reported.

Senior government officials said the Foreign Ministry recommends responding favourably to establishing the committee because Turkey will probably oppose it, the report said.

A senior official said the investigation would help expose links between Turkish authorities and the flotilla organisers whom Israel accuses of supporting terror groups, the paper said.

Netanyahu and Defence Minister Ehud Barak are said to be leaning toward an examination of the events surrounding the takeover of the Mavi Marmara with American or other international participation.

Israeli Navy commandos attacked the Gaza-bound aid flotilla Monday killing nine activists.

Japan ruling party support leaps on new leader

Support for Japan’s ruling Democratic Party leaped to 36.1 percent in a poll published by Kyodo news agency on Saturday after the appointment of a new leader in the run-up to an upper house election.

The figure was up 15.6 percentage points on a poll carried out at the end of May before unpopular prime minister Yukio Hatoyama stepped down and was replaced as party head, and thus premier, by Naoto Kan.

Kan, 63, will become Japan’s fifth prime minister in three years, taking over as the country struggles to rein in a huge public debt, engineer growth in an ageing society, and manage ties with security ally Washington and a rising China.

Kan’s rise and his cabinet line-up, set to be announced on Tuesday, could spell bolder steps to contain a public debt twice the size of the economy. But he faces opposition from many in his party before the election, expected in July.

He has picked Yoshihiko Noda as finance minister, Kyodo said, a choice that will be welcomed by the bond market because he favours fiscal discipline and has supported the idea of capping new debt issuance for next year.

Satoshi Arai, a former aide to the outgoing Hatoyama, is to become national strategy minister, Kyodo said. Kan will keep Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada and Defence Minister Toshimi Kitazawa, but plans to replace eight cabinet members, the agency said.

In the Kyodo telephone poll carried out on Friday and Saturday, 57.6 percent of respondents said they had high expectations of Kan, a fiscal conservative with a reformist image.

That compares with just 19.1 percent of respondents to a similar question posed in the May poll on expectations of Hatoyama, Kyodo said.

Nearly 33 percent of respondents said they planned to vote for the Democrats in the upper house election, compared with 23.4 percent for the main opposition Liberal Democratic Party, which had been in the lead in the previous poll, Kyodo said.

OZAWA PROBLEM

Unlike many recent premiers, Kan has no connection with a political dynasty. That could appeal to voters weary of leaders from well-to-do backgrounds who prove inept at governing.

He got his start in politics as a student activist, later joining small political parties before helping to found the then-opposition Democratic Party in 1996.

But among Kan’s biggest immediate headaches may be Ichiro Ozawa, the former party secretary general widely seen to have held sway over Hatoyama’s government from behind the scenes.

Kan has made clear he wants to sideline the 68-year-old Ozawa. Funding scandals linked to him, over which three of his current and former aides were indicted, were one of the main reasons for the Democrats’ loss of voter support.

Many of Ozawa’s supporters backed Kan’s rival for the top party job and on Friday he hinted he would not fade away.

“I’m sorry I did not come to the forefront this time,” the Yomiuri newspaper quoted him as telling supporters, some of whom had urged him to stand against Kan.

“But the real contest comes in September,” he added, referring to the next party leadership election.

Ozawa is known as a master campaign strategist, but is reluctant to promise bold fiscal reform steps such as raising the sales tax ahead of the upper house poll.

The Democrats have a large lower house majority and will run the government whatever the outcome of the July upper house poll. But the ruling bloc needs to win a majority in that chamber to ensure that legislation is enacted smoothly.

(Editing by Ron Popeski)

CORRECTED – Japan ruling party support leaps on new leader

In June 5 story, corrects first name of expected finance minister to Yoshihiko from Katsuhiko in 5th paragraph)

Support for Japan’s ruling Democratic Party leaped to 36.1 percent in a poll published by Kyodo news agency on Saturday after the appointment of a new leader in the run-up to an upper house election.

The figure was up 15.6 percentage points on a poll carried out at the end of May before unpopular prime minister Yukio Hatoyama stepped down and was replaced as party head, and thus premier, by Naoto Kan.

Kan, 63, will become Japan’s fifth prime minister in three years, taking over as the country struggles to rein in a huge public debt, engineer growth in an ageing society, and manage ties with security ally Washington and a rising China.

Kan’s rise and his cabinet line-up, set to be announced on Tuesday, could spell bolder steps to contain a public debt twice the size of the economy. But he faces opposition from many in his party before the election, expected in July.

He has picked Yoshihiko Noda as finance minister, Kyodo said, a choice that will be welcomed by the bond market because he favours fiscal discipline and has supported the idea of capping new debt issuance for next year.

Satoshi Arai, a former aide to the outgoing Hatoyama, is to become national strategy minister, Kyodo said. Kan will keep Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada and Defence Minister Toshimi Kitazawa, but plans to replace eight cabinet members, the agency said.

In the Kyodo telephone poll carried out on Friday and Saturday, 57.6 percent of respondents said they had high expectations of Kan, a fiscal conservative with a reformist image.

That compares with just 19.1 percent of respondents to a similar question posed in the May poll on expectations of Hatoyama, Kyodo said.

Nearly 33 percent of respondents said they planned to vote for the Democrats in the upper house election, compared with 23.4 percent for the main opposition Liberal Democratic Party, which had been in the lead in the previous poll, Kyodo said.

OZAWA PROBLEM

Unlike many recent premiers, Kan has no connection with a political dynasty. That could appeal to voters weary of leaders from well-to-do backgrounds who prove inept at governing.

He got his start in politics as a student activist, later joining small political parties before helping to found the then-opposition Democratic Party in 1996.

But among Kan’s biggest immediate headaches may be Ichiro Ozawa, the former party secretary general widely seen to have held sway over Hatoyama’s government from behind the scenes.

Kan has made clear he wants to sideline the 68-year-old Ozawa. Funding scandals linked to him, over which three of his current and former aides were indicted, were one of the main reasons for the Democrats’ loss of voter support.

Many of Ozawa’s supporters backed Kan’s rival for the top party job and on Friday he hinted he would not fade away.

“I’m sorry I did not come to the forefront this time,” the Yomiuri newspaper quoted him as telling supporters, some of whom had urged him to stand against Kan.

“But the real contest comes in September,” he added, referring to the next party leadership election.

Ozawa is known as a master campaign strategist, but is reluctant to promise bold fiscal reform steps such as raising the sales tax ahead of the upper house poll.

The Democrats have a large lower house majority and will run the government whatever the outcome of the July upper house poll. But the ruling bloc needs to win a majority in that chamber to ensure that legislation is enacted smoothly.

(Editing by Ron Popeski)

Turkey sees no impact on Israel drone delivery

June 1 (Reuters) – Turkey’s Defence Minister Vecdi Gonul said on Tuesday a diplomatic crisis with Israel after the Jewish state stormed a Turkish-backed aid convoy will not affect the planned delivery of Israel-made Heron drones to Turkey.

Israel’s long-time Muslim ally Turkey has recalled its envoy to Israel and cancelled joint military exercises after Israeli marines raided an aid flotilla bound for Gaza on Monday.

Earlier this year, the two countries, which have a close military alliance, wrapped up the purchase of 10 Heron drones in a deal worth $180 million. (Reportingby Tulay Karadeniz; Writing by Ibon Villelabeitia; Editing by David Stamp)

Iran calls on world to cut ties with Israel

May 31 (Reuters) – Iran’s defence minister called on countries around the world to cut all ties with Israel over the killing of activists trying to sail boats loaded with aid to the Gaza Strip on Monday.

“The minimum step that the international community should take regarding this horrible crime by the Zionist regime is to fully boycott it and to fully cut diplomatic, economic and political ties with the Zionist regime,” Ahmad Vahidi was quoted as saying by semi-official news agency ILNA.

INTERVIEW-Israel minister sees “scandal” over ship killings

DOHA, May 31 (Reuters) – An Israeli cabinet minister said he anticipated “a big scandal” following the killing of more than 10 activists aboard Gaza-bound aid ships boarded by Israeli security forces on Monday.

The deaths aboard the flotilla of six boats, including vessels flying the flag of Israel’s rare Muslim ally Turkey, drew calls for an inquiry from the European Union, and expressions of shock from France and the United Nations.

“It’s going to be a big scandal, no doubt about it,” Benjamin Ben-Eliezer, the trade minister, told Reuters Insider in an interview in Doha, where he was on a visit to Qatar, one of the few Arab states where Israeli officials can travel.

“The whole thing was a provocation from its beginning. They planned it almost two months ago, and we tried all the way to explain to them: ‘Gentlemen don’t try to do it because we have all the right to defend ourselves’,” he said in English.

Gaza, run by the Hamas group, is under a tight blockade imposed by Israel, aided by Egypt. Hamas, which seized control of Gaza in 2007, is hostile to the Jewish state. The blockade is itself the focus of criticism by Israel’s Western allies.

Five Israeli soldiers were wounded during the operation. The Israeli army says its soldiers came under gunfire.

“We tried our best to block the way. Everyone can judge us. When there is blood, you cannot explain anything,” Ben-Eliezer, himself a former defence minister, said.

Ben-Eliezer, a member of the left-wing Labour party inside the right-led coalition government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, renewed his calls for a peace deal with the Palestinians and said he hoped the crisis could bring pressure to advance talks. His views are rarely shared by Netanyahu.

Israel has faced a series of diplomatic storms in recent months. Israeli diplomats were expelled by Australia and Britain over the faking of passports used by the assassins of a Hamas leader in Dubai in January.

Israel’s ties with the United States, its main ally, suffered in March when the announcement of plans for new Jewish settlement building in East Jerusalem temporarily set back Washington’s efforts to get Middle East peace talks moving. (Additional reporting by Martina Fuchs and Regan Doherty; Writing by Tom Perry in Jerusalem; Editing by Alastair Macdonald)

Anti-Naxal ops: Govt yet to decide on army deployment

Defence Minister A K Antony on Monday said the government was “examining all pros and cons of various aspects” of deploying army in anti-Naxalite operations in the country.

While making it clear that government had not taken any decision in the matter so far, he said, “we are carefully examining all pros and cons of various aspects and once a decision is made, it will be binding on the military.”

“The armed forces will also accept whatever decision government takes” and implement it with vigour, Antony added.

Antony, interacting with the media after taking salute at the passing out parade of 118th course of National Defence Academy (NDA) at Khadakwasla, about 20 kms from here, refuted a suggestion that the Union cabinet was split over the issue of bringing in the armed forces to combat the Naxal violence.

Denying that the matter came up for discussion during his recent meeting with Army Chief General V K Singh, Antony said it was a routine call.

On the Naxalite menace, Antony said government was taking seriously the “emerging scenario” in which both national and internal security had assumed prime importance.

After the 26/11 Mumbai attacks, the government was taking utmost care to step up land, air and coastal security and the armed forces were fully alive to increasing threat perceptions stemming from international terrorism, he said.

Earlier, the minister reviewed a passing out parade of the young NDA cadets.

FACTBOX – South Korea punishment of North for ship sinking

South Korea said on Monday it would punish the North after investigators last week blamed the reclusive state for the sinking of one of its navy ships, killing 46 sailors.

The following are some of the steps that the South has said it would take to hold the North accountable, and what Pyongyang has threatened to do in return.

CUTTING OFF TRADE AND AID

- South Korea will ban all trade of goods. South Korean data showed a large part of trade was in farm and fisheries products, worth $286 million at its peak in 2008. The ban does not include shipments of goods to and from the Kaesong industrial park just north of the border where South Korean firms use cheap local labour and land to make consumer goods. Kaesong was once regarded as a symbol of economic cooperation between the two rivals.

- South Korea bans all travel to the North by its citizens except to Kaesong. The number of its workers in Kaesong will be reduced sharply.

- No new investment in North Korea will be allowed.

- Humanitarian aid will be suspended except assistance intended for children.

- South Korea will stop allowing North Korean vessels to sail through the Jeju Strait between the country’s south and an island off its coast, which is a cheaper route for the North’s ships. South Korea’s defence minister said there was suspicion such ships could be used for espionage.

TOUGHER MILITARY

- The South will resume broadcasting anti-North propaganda messages through loudspeakers set up along the border aimed at unsettling the North’s impoverished military. North Korea responded sensitively to the broadcasts before they were suspended six years ago, concerned about morale in its military.

- South Korea said it would take an active role in the U.S.-led Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) aimed at intercepting shipments of suspected nuclear and missile material. The South’s involvement has previously been as an observer.

- South to begin anti-submarine drills jointly with the U.S. military off the peninsula’s west coast. Seoul believes a North Korean submarine infiltrated its waters in March and fired a torpedo, sinking its corvette the Cheonan.

INTERNATIONAL SANCTIONS

- South Korea to discuss with U.N. Security Council members on measures to punish the North for the sinking. Foreign Minister Yu Myung-hwan said a full range of options would be considered.

- Tougher enforcement of existing sanctions imposed for missile and nuclear tests, which have already left the North’s destitute economy short of cash. Its lucrative arms trade has been hit hardest.

(Reporting by Jack Kim, editing by Jonathan Thatcher)

South Korea vows caution over ship, North sees war

South Korea said after a rare emergency security meeting on Friday it would respond prudently to the sinking of one of its naval ships by the North, but Pyongyang warned the peninsula was being driven to war.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Washington strongly condemned North Korea’s action and called for an international response.

The South announced on Thursday that it had overwhelming evidence a North Korean submarine had entered its waters in March and attacked the Cheonan corvette, killing 46 sailors in what President Lee Myung-bak called a “military provocation”.

North Korea denied the accusation and said it was ready to tear up all agreements with the South, with whom it remains technically at war under a truce that ended fighting in the 1950-53 Korean War.

“It was a military provocation and violation of the U.N. Charter and the truce agreement,” Lee, whose 2-½ years in office have seen relations with the North turn increasingly frosty, said in a statement.

“Since this case is very serious and has a grave importance, we cannot afford to have a slightest mistake and will be very prudent in all response measures we take,” his office quoted him as telling a rare emergency National Security Council meeting.

Lee is expected to announce his response early next week.

Clinton, speaking on Friday in Tokyo, said there must be a clear message to North Korea that provocative actions have consequences.

“We cannot allow this attack on South Korea to go unanswered by the international community,” Clinton said after talks with Japanese Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada.

“So, we will determine our best options and send a clear, unmistakable message to North Korea regarding the international community’s and most particularly, its neighbours’ concerns about its behaviour.”

South Korean Defence Minister Kim Tae-young said Seoul would work with the international community to come up with non-military sanctions against the reclusive state.

In the past, both sides had put a limit on their hostility.

“North Korea has surpassed these limits. For those acts, the government will definitely make sure North Korea pays,” Kim said.

Yonhap news agency reported South Korea and the United States were considering raising the alert status on North Korea as tensions build.

“PHASE OF WAR”

North Korea was typically defiant.

“From this time on, we will regard the situation as a phase of war and will be responding resolutely to all problems in North-South relations,” the North’s Committee for the Peaceful Reunification of the Fatherland said in a statement.

“If the South puppet group comes out with ‘response’ and ‘retaliation’, we will respond strongly with ruthless punishment including the total shutdown of North-South ties, abrogation of the North-South agreement on non-aggression and abolition of all North-South cooperation projects.”

Seoul has repeatedly said it would not strike back at the North, aware that would frighten away investors already jittery about the escalating tension on the divided peninsula.

Apart from international sanctions, there is little else it can do. Economic relations have come to a near standstill since Lee became president, apart from a joint factory park just inside impoverished North Korea which now has to rely almost entirely on China, its only major ally.

Yonhap News reported citing government sources Seoul may shut down sea routes that allow North Korean vessels sail through South Korean waters near its southern end and save costs.

North Korea has frequently threatened to attack Seoul but most analysts say that, in the face of a much better equipped South Korean army backed by some 28,000 U.S. troops on the peninsula, any major confrontation would be suicidal for the Pyongyang leadership.

Some analysts still warned the more the North’s now frail leader Kim Jong-il is pushed into a corner, the greater the risk of clashes. Kim is also trying to secure the succession for one of his sons.

China has so far maintained its support of the North and said it would make its own assessment of the investigation into the sinking of the Cheonan.

North Korea said it would send its own investigators to the South to look into the incident. But Yonhap news agency quoted a South Korean defence ministry source as saying it had no intention of allowing such a delegation.

(Additional reporting by Jonathan Thatcher in SEOUL; Arshad Mohammed and Isabel Reynolds in TOKYO; Editing by Jeremy Laurence)

No decision yet on Pakistan army chief’s extension: PM

Islamabad, May 20 (IANS) Pakistan Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani Thursday termed as ‘inappropriate and premature’ the defence minister’s assertion that army chief Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani’s tenure would not be extended, an indication that this could well be on the cards.

Defence Minister Ahmed Mukhtar’s statement earlier this week that Kayani, who is due to retire in October, would not be given an extension was ‘inappropriate and premature and he should not have given such a statement’, Gilani said during an interaction with senior journalists here.

A decision on this would be taken ‘when the time for it comes and so far no decision has been made’, Online news agency quoted the prime minister as saying.

Gilani’s comments could well be taken to mean that the issue was being considered, given Kayani’s track record in the military operations against the Taliban in Pakistan’s restive northwest, analysts here said.

Speculation had begun earlier this year on whether Kayani’s tenure would be extended, given the frostiness in his relations with President Asif Ali Zardari.

However, the repeal in April of the controversial 17th amendment completely changed the equations as key powers, including those to appoint the service chiefs, were returned to the prime minister’s office from the presidency to which then military dictator Pervez Musharraf had transferred them in 2002.

In contrast to Zardari, Kayani’s relations with Gilani are described as cordial.

In fact, Kayani, along with Gilani, had read Zardari the riot act in March last year when he was soft-pedalling on a pledge to reinstate the Supreme Court judges Musharraf had sacked after imposing an emergency Nov 3, 2007.

This had prompted the lawyers to stage a ‘long march’ to Islamabad. Zardari caved in when the procession entered Islamabad.

Kayani, described as a ‘quiet man’, became the army chief Nov 29, 2007 when Musharraf, who was wearing twin hats, stepped down from the post.

He is credited with planning the anti-Taliban operations that began last June in Swat and three other districts of the North West Frontier Province (NWFP), now renamed Khyber-Pakhtoonkhwa, that the militants had virtually taken over.

The operations later shifted to the North and South Waziristan areas of the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). The military estimates that some 3,000 Taliban fighters have been killed in the operations, which are now shifting to the North Waziristan area.

Defence Minister Antony wants high priority for coastal security

New Delhi, May 20 (ANI): Defence Minister A K Antony on Thursday asked the top brass of Navy and the Ministry to take immediate steps to ensure that proposals and assets approved by the government for Coastal Security are put in place at the earliest.

Addressing the Naval Commanders” Conference here today, Antony disclosed that the Government was equipping both Navy and Coast Guard for coastal surveillance and patrol both in terms of assets and manpower,” said Antony addressing the Naval Commanders” Conference here today.

“Proposals towards this end have been approved. It is now the responsibility of all of you to ensure that these are put in place at the earliest and used effectively and efficiently for coastal security,” he added.

The Defence Minister said the government was fully committed to the modernisation of the Navy and funds will not be allowed to become a constraint in this direction, adding that the onus of utilising allocated funds, optimally and judiciously, lies collectively on both the Navy and Defence Finance together.

“The Ministry is trying its best to suitably fine tune the procurement process from time to time to bring in more transparency, efficiency and accountability. Annual review of the Defence Procurement Procedure is one such step in the direction,” said Antony.

Antony further said the maritime frontiers, waterways and offshore resources need to be firmly secure on a permanent basis, asserting that there is a need to create necessary infrastructure for the security of Andaman and Nicobar Islands as also Lakshadweep.

“Our island territories form natural bulwarks that extend our strategic arms to our East and West and also function as the last outposts for the defence of our mainland,” said Antony.

“We need to create the necessary infrastructure in Andaman and Nicobar islands. Similarly, Lakshadweep islands, which straddle the oil artery of the world, require our undivided attention,” he added.

Referring to the threat posed by piracy, especially off the coast of Somalia, the Defence Minister said it continued to be a major concern as piracy affected the security and economy of the entire region.

He said his discussion with the Sultan and other top functionaries of Oman during the just concluded two-day visit had given us ”new hints” which India must pursue, seriously.
Turning to shipbuilding activities, Antony said the recent commissioning of the first indigenous stealth frigate INS Shivalik was a welcome development.

“There are 33 ships and submarines in various stages of construction at our shipyards,” claimed Antony, thereby calling for adherence to timelines and quality standards to meet indigenisation requirements.

“Our efforts to modernise the Navy through indigenisation will proceed at the desired pace, only if the shipyards embrace modern ideas and technology. This will enable the shipyards to produce the best quality ships in a shorter time-frame and at competitive costs,” said Antony.

“The Navy and the shipyards must interact closely with the other agencies to meet contractual timelines and adhere to the best quality standards,” he added. (ANI)

Government to discuss use of air power against Maoists: Antony

New Delhi, May 20 (ANI): Defence Minister A K Antony on Thursday said the government will thoroughly discuss the use of air power for fighting Maoists, and added that the decision would be binding on all, including the defence ministry.

“I will not entertain a public debate on this. The strategy is not to be debated in public. Government will discuss thoroughly, then ultimately government will take a decision. That decision will be binding on everybody, including the Ministry of Defence,” Antony said.

Earlier on Wednesday, Chhattisgarh Chief Minister Raman Singh had said air power could not be used to attack the insurgents as it may result in major collateral damage.

Reacting to a question about the use of air strikes against the rebels, Singh said air power could not be used to attack the insurgents as it may result in major collateral damage. He, however, favoured the use of helicopters.

“As far as the use of helicopters is concerned, military helicopters can be used for rescue and relief. I don”t think anybody would have problems with that,” said Singh.

About 35 persons including policemen were killed when Maoist rebels detonated a landmine targeting a bus in Chhattisgarh”s Dantewada District on Monday (May 17), the second major attack in as many months.

The attack in the mineral-rich state was the worst since a brutal strike by Maoists in the same region in April, which killed at least 76 policemen. (ANI)

US wants Pak Army Chief Kayani to stay for another year

Washington, May 19 (ANI): Even though the Pakistan government has clarified its stand on the tenure of Army Chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, sources in the US Central Command (CENTCOM) have revealed that he is likely to get an extension.

Insiders in the CENTCOM said that General Kayani has developed strong working relations with his American counterparts and it will be in the ‘best interest of the operation (war on terror) not to change leadership mid-stream.’

Sources also said that General Kayani has assured the Obama administration that the Pakistani armed forces would not disrupt the country’s civilian set-up, and would play in their “own sandbox”, The Examiner reports.

Earlier, ruling out the chances of giving Kayani an extension in service, Defence Minister Chaudhry Ahmed Mukhtar said that the PPP-led Government would not extend his tenure, and neither had he asked for it.

General Kayani (55) is the 14th chief of the Pakistan Army. He was promoted as a full General in October 2007, and made the Vice Chief of Army Staff.

He took over as the new Army Chief after Pervez Musharraf’s retirement on November 28,2007. (ANI)

India, Oman armies to hold joint military exercise in 2011

Muscat, May 18 (ANI): Enhancing bilateral relations between India and Oman, visiting Defence Minister A.K. Antony has said that both countries will jointly take part in a military exercise in India next year.

Addressing Indian diaspora here, Antony said: ””We have conducted joint military operations with the Omani forces and we are exploring further avenues of co-operation in trade and commerce among others.””

He emphasised that bilateral relations will witness bolstered relations between both nations.

””The bilateral relations between India and Oman are centuries old. We consolidate our relations on a regular basis while exploring newer avenues of mutual co-operation,”” he added.

He also held wide-ranging talks with his Oman counterpart Sayyid Badr bin Saud bin Harib Al Busaidi.

The two leaders discussed ways to promote military cooperation between the two countries, Gulf News reports.

This is the first high-level Indian delegation to visit Oman after Prime Minister Manmohan Singh”s trip in 2008.

Antony is accompanied by a high-level delegation, including Defence Secretary Pradeep Kumar. (ANI)

Antony asks Defence Accounts to expedite pension

New Delhi, May 12 (ANI): Defence Minister A K Antony on Wednesday called for early disbursal of revised pension and arrears to Ex-Servicemen, asking the Defence Finance officials to expedite and further streamline the pension system for the Armed Forces personnel.

“Even now, I am getting a lot of complaints from people that they are not getting pensions… Considering the past, things have improved, but even then complaints are there. So, you must take all steps possible so that they get their dues at the earliest,” said Antony after inaugurating the Controllers” Conference of the Defence Accounts Department.

Commending the Defence Accounts Department for facilitating the procurement of weapons and systems, the Defence Minister noted that the capital expenditure, utilised last year, has been an all-time record.

Antony called for transparent, timely and judicious use of Defence Expenditure, adding that the government has tried to infuse more transparency in the huge Defence outlay, which is over Rs. 1.52 lakh crores for the current financial year.

“Defence expenditure and procurement issues are complex and time-consuming and have a direct bearing on our national security. We have tried to infuse more transparency and efficiency into our procedures and systems,” said Antony.

“It is my firm belief that expenditure of public money must have an appropriate system of checks and balances”, he added.

Speaking on the occasion, Minister of State for Defence Dr. MM Pallam Raju said that the Defence Pension Adalats have become an effective mechanism for grievance redressal on the ground.

Hoping that the pension arrears for pre-2006 PBORs would soon be disbursed, he said that the Principal Controller of Defence Accounts (PCDA) would soon roll out the e-ticketing system for air travel.

The Chief of the Army Staff General VK Singh and Scientific Advisor to the Defence Minister Dr. VK Saraswat were among the dignitaries present at the inauguration of the three-day biennial conference. (ANI)

Militant infrastructure in Pakistan still a concern: Antony

New Delhi, May 12 (ANI): Defence Minister A K Antony on Wednesday said Pakistan”s militant infrastructure is still a matter of concern for India.

Reacting to a query about the resumption of talks between India and Pakistan at a time when there is an increase in infiltration attempts across the Line of Control, Antony said such attempts by militants are a matter of concern.

“Talks will continue, but at the same time we are very much concerned about the existence of more than 40 terrorist camps in Pakistan. And, our view is that Pakistan must take sincere and strong steps to dismantle these terrorist outfits,” said Antony after inaugurating the Controllers” Conference of the Defence Accounts Department.

Speaking about the China-India relations, the Defence Minister said that the bilateral relations between the two countries are improving, in spite of the border issue.

“Military relations are improving. We had joint exercise with the Chinese army. Again, we will have joint exercise with them. And this year, our Defence Secretary Pradeep Kumar had gone there for discussions,” said Antony.

“So, on the whole, the relations are improving, even though that border dispute is still there. On the whole, our relation with China is comparatively better. Our border is peaceful,” he added. (ANI)