Nikkei turns negative as yen advances

(Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

Nikkei turns negative as yen advances

TOKYO, June 29 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen JPY= and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 EURJPY=R as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares .SSEC fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei .N225 shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc (7751.T) lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co (7267.T) fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron (8035.T) shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

Nikkei turns negative as yen advances

(Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

CLEVELAND & LOS ALTOS, Kalifornien, USA–(Business Wire)–

TOKYO, June 29 (Reuters) – Japan’s Nikkei average slipped 0.6 percent on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as exporters fell on a stronger yen and charts remained grim, with the benchmark poised for its worst quarter since Lehman Brothers failed in 2008.

The Nikkei’s MACD continued to face downward after a sustained rise, while its slow stochastic, which gives near-term signals on market trends, also appeared set to dip after flattening in oversold territory.

Market players also said trade will likely remain thin, after volume hit a four-month low on Monday, as the market awaits a series of economic indicators this week including the Bank of Japan’s quarterly “tankan” survey of corporate sentiment on Thursday and U.S. jobs data on Friday.

The dollar fell 0.5 percent to 88.92 yen JPY= and the euro lost 0.5 percent to 109.10 EURJPY=R as Japanese exporters repatriated profits before the second quarter ends later this week.

“The current dollar level is pretty tough for the market, and when the day’s falls in Shanghai stocks are added in the impact is significant,” said Noritsugu Hirakawa, a strategist at Okasan Securities.

“This whole situation is fanning fears about Japanese results.”

Shanghai shares .SSEC fell 1.8 percent, and the benchmark Nikkei is poised to book its worst quarter since October-December 2008 as European debt worries pushed investors to curb their willingness to bet on risky assets, including equities.

The Nikkei .N225 shed 49.59 points to 9,644.97, with the broader Topix slipping 0.4 percent to 857.42.

For the quarter ending Wednesday, the index has shed about 12 percent so far, compared with a 21 percent drop in the quarter that finished in December 2008, following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Canon Inc (7751.T) lost 1.3 percent to 3,440 yen and Honda Motor Co (7267.T) fell 0.8 percent to 2,663 yen. Tokyo Electron (8035.T) shed 0.6 percent to 5,050 yen.

Factbox: Highlights of U.S. financial regulation reform bill

It must now win approval in each chamber before it can go to President Barack Obama to be signed into law.

Here is a brief look at the bill’s main provisions:

SWAPS PUSH-OUT: Wall Street firms that dominate the $615-trillion over-the-counter derivatives market would have to spin off dealing operations in some swaps, but could keep many swaps in-house, including derivatives to hedge their own risk.

Much OTC derivatives trading would be redirected through more accountable channels such as exchanges and clearinghouses. Many OTC contracts end-users could carry on as before.

VOLCKER RULE: A new rule would bar proprietary trading by banks for their own accounts unrelated to customers; limit the growth of the biggest banks; and curb banks’ involvement in private equity and hedge funds, except for small investments allowed by a loophole added to the rule late in debate.

Some big banks’ profits would be pinched by both the Volcker rule and the Lincoln swaps plan, with a few Wall Street giants potentially facing structural changes.

WALL ST ‘DEATH PANEL’: Aiming to prevent massive bailouts like AIG’s and disastrous bankruptcies like Lehman Brothers’, the bill calls for a new government “orderly liquidation” process for financial firms on the verge of collapse.

Authorities could seize and liquidate them, with costs covered by sales of assets and fees on other firms if needed.

CONSUMER WATCHDOG: Protection of financial consumers would be enhanced by increased government regulation.

The bill would set up a new bureau in the Federal Reserve to regulate mortgages and credit cards. The watchdog has sharp teeth, but couldn’t bite car dealers, who won an exemption.

THE BIG PICTURE: A new council of federal regulators would try to monitor the entire financial forest, not just the trees. High-risk firms could be singled out for stricter policing.

BEHIND THE HEDGE: Private equity and hedge funds would have to register with regulators and open their books to scrutiny. Not so for venture capital funds, which would be exempt.

INSURANCE COPS: The first federal monitor for state-policed insurers would be formed. It’s not federal regulation — yet.

BANK CUSHIONS: Banks would have to set aside more capital to ride out tough times, but will get several years to comply.

FED SCRUTINY: The Fed’s emergency lending during the crisis would be reviewed, but not its decisions on interest rates.

DEBIT CARDS: Fees charged on debit card transactions would be reduced — a victory for retailers over the banks.

(Reporting by Kevin Drawbaugh, Rachelle Younglai, Kim Dixon, Andy Sullivan, Roberta Rampton and Charles Abbott, editing by Anthony Boadle)

UPDATE 2-Blaze hits Dutch Rabobank tower, probes underway

AMSTERDAM, June 27 (Reuters) – Firefighters in the Dutch city of Utrecht put out on Sunday a fire that raged in one of two new towers being built for Dutch bank Rabobank [RABO.UL] as its headquarters.

Rabobank is the country’s largest retail savings bank and has recently set its sights on substantial expansion in India and China as well.

The tower had never been at any risk of collapse, however, despite earlier media reports that it could come down, a fire brigade spokesman said.

The fire broke out overnight on the tower’s top two floors and a gas bottle exploded two hours later at about 0415 CET (0215 GMT) with a few dozen firefighters inside the building.

“This caused us immediately to abandon the building and get everyone out and ensure no one was missing, but fortunately there were no injuries,” the fire brigade spokesman said. Firefighters later fought the blaze from the adjacent tower, bringing the fire under control at about 6:30 a.m. local time (0430 GMT).

The brigade spokesman said it was unclear what had caused the fire and investigations were continuing.

Firefighters, police and the construction company are also assessing the extent of the damage, working from both inside the building and using images taken earlier by a police helicopter.

Rabobank [RABN.UL] is building the new towers at a cost of 200 million euros just down the street from the central train station in Utrecht, the Netherlands’ fourth-largest city.

“It is clear there is significant damage and we are taking into account the possibility of significant costs,” Rabobank spokesman Rene Loman said, adding however that the building is insured.

According to a presentation on the bank’s website, the towers are meant to have 27 floors each and reach to a height of 105 metres (345 ft).

Employees were due to start moving in early next year, with the official opening planned for mid-2011.

“Rabobank takes into account that there will be a delay,” Loman said, but said any estimate on the costs and length of the delay cannot be made until investigations have been completed. (Additional reporting by Aaron Gray-Block)

New Rabobank HQ tower on fire after explosion

June 27 (Reuters) – An explosion on Sunday set on fire one of two new towers being built by Dutch bank Rabobank [RABO.UL] as its headquarters, and firefighters are having difficulty putting out the blaze, Dutch agency ANP reported.

Financials

The fire broke out on the tower’s 25th and 26th floors after a 4 a.m. (0200 GMT) explosion, ANP said. It was unclear what caused the blast, and there were no immediate details on possible victims, the agency added.

Dutch state broadcaster NOS said the local fire department is taking into consideration the possibility that the tower could collapse entirely, although there was no indication that a collapse was imminent.

Rabobank is building the new towers just down the street from the central train station in Utrecht, the Netherlands’ fourth-largest city.

According to a presentation on the bank’s website, the towers are meant to have 27 floors each and reach to a height of 105 metres (344.5 ft). Employees were intended to start moving in early next year, with the official opening scheduled for the second quarter of 2011.

Rabobank is the country’s largest retail savings bank and has recently set its sights on substantial expansion in India and China as well. (Reporting by Ben Berkowitz, editing by Miral Fahmy)

Fortis erred in communication before collapse-report

June 17 (Reuters) – Belgian-Dutch financial group Fortis, which was carved up October 2008 after losing the confidence of clients and investors, made mistakes in communicating with the public, a probe concluded on Wednesday.

Financials

The report, ordered by a Dutch court, could expose Ageas (AGES.BR), the Belgian insurance group that was created from the remaining assets of Fortis, to damages claims by investors.

The report also said the break-up of Fortis was “the best possible outcome under the circumstances”.

After taking on massive debt to fund its portion of a buyout of Dutch banking group ABN AMRO, Fortis was carved up in 2008 by the Belgian, Dutch and Luxembourg governments after an 11.2 billion euro ($13.8 billion) cash injection failed to stem the slide of Fortis shares.

French bank BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA) has now taken control of Fortis’s Belgian banking arm Fortis Bank. The latter also has a 25 percent stake in its remaining Belgian operation, now called AG Insurance.

“Ageas welcomes the report as a step forward in removing part of the uncertainty relating to the events that occurred in 2007 and 2008,” the company said in a statement.

The report was ordered by a commercial court in Amsterdam after two shareholder groups asked for an investigation into the collapse of Fortis. (Reporting by Reed Stevenson; Editing by Dan Lalor) ($1 = 0.8101 euro)

Cult rock band Melvins hit U.S. chart after 26 years

(Reuters) – The music industry’s collapse is good news for the Melvins, the defiantly uncommercial “thud-rock” band that just cracked the U.S. pop album chart for the first time in its 26-year career.

Music

The group, whose heavy guitar riffs and mumbled vocals paved the way for fellow Seattle-area bands such as Nirvana and Soundgarden, grabbed the last spot on Billboard’s Top 200 chart published Wednesday.

It achieved this feat by selling just 2,809 copies of “The Bride Screamed Murder,” its 19th album. With another 2,000 units, they would have breached the top half of the chart.

Exactly five years ago, the threshold for inclusion in the Top 200 was about 5,000 copies. Since then, U.S. album sales have halved, and the industry last month suffered its slowest week since the early 1970s, according to a Billboard estimate.

While the Melvins’ debut chart ranking therefore comes with an asterisk of sorts, the milestone managed to stun its members. “Top 200 what?” singer/guitarist Roger “Buzz” Osborne said via email.

The band’s biggest release is 1993′s “Houdini,” which was partly produced by Nirvana frontman Kurt Cobain, one of their biggest fans. It has sold about 110,000 copies. The 1996 release “Stag” posted the band’s best opening week after selling almost 4,000 albums. The band has sold 538,000 albums since Nielsen SoundScan began tracking data in 1991.

Osborne and drummer Dale Crover have gone through a multitude of bass players, including one of Shirley Temple’s daughters, since the band was formed in 1984. The lineup has stabilized in recent years after the Melvins expanded to a quartet by adding second drummer Coady Willis and bassist Jared Warren.

The band just began a monthlong North American club tour, with a date in New Orleans on Wednesday, and will also play the annual Bonnaroo rock festival in Tennessee this weekend.

(Reporting by Dean Goodman; Editing by Bob Tourtellotte)

MTN shares surge after Orascom talks fail

(Reuters) – Shares in MTN Group (MTNJ.J), Africa’s biggest mobile phone operator, rose over four percent on Thursday after the collapse of talks with Egypt’s Orascom Telecom (ORTE.CA) about a potential acquisition.

Hot Stocks

MTN and Orascom Telecom said in separate statements on Wednesday that talks had been called off, sinking a deal that could have created the world’s third-largest mobile operator.

While investors have sold off shares of MTN in recent weeks on concerns it would overpay for Orascom’s assets, not all markets participants saw the end of the deal as a positive.

“There can be little doubt that MTN shareholders are growing impatient and there is now likely to be a great deal of pressure on the group’s executive management to deliver new growth streams and revenues,” said Lindsey Mc Donald, an analyst at Frost & Sullivan.

MTN has now failed to seal a deal four times in the last three years, underscoring its desperation to grow beyond core markets of South Africa, Nigeria and Iran.

The failure of the Orascom talks could also fuel more speculation about a potential deal with India’s Reliance Communications (RLCM.BO).

Reliance Comm, India’s No.2 carrier, said on Sunday its board had agreed to sell up to a 26 percent stake of the firm.

Market players have speculated that MTN and Abu Dhabi’s Etisalat (ETEL.AD) could be looking to buy the stake. MTN has said it is not in talks with Reliance Comm.

Shares of MTN were up 4.4 percent at 105.85 rand as of 0927 GMT, outperforming a 1 percent gain in the Top-40 index .JTOPI.

MTN said in late April it was in talks about acquiring Orascom or some of its assets. The deal was hampered by Algeria’s government, which wants to buy Orascom’s unit in that country.

Without the money-spinning Algerian unit, Djezzy, the deal would have little meaning for MTN, which is desperate to expand and needs a foothold in North Africa.

But Frost & Sullivan’s Mc Donald said there were still some investment opportunities for MTN in Africa.

“It is now up to management to decide whether they are going to follow their traditional approach of acquiring an entire group, or if they would consider the purchase of a telecoms company operating in a single market.”

(Editing by Matthew Tostevin and Simon Jessop)

BP says has financial strength to deal with spill

(Reuters) – Oil giant BP (BP.L) said it had the financial flexibility to deal with liabilities related to its oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and that it was unaware of any justification for the collapse in its shares on Wednesday.

“BP faces this situation as a strong company,” the company said in a statement.

The cost of the response effort to date has been around $1.43 billion, the company added.

BP’s New York-listed American Deposit Receipts fell around 15 percent on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Tom Bergin; Editing by Hans Peters)

UPDATE 1-BP says has financial strength to deal with spill

LONDON, June 10 (Reuters) – Oil giant BP (BP.L) said it had the financial flexibility to deal with liabilities related to its oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and that it was unaware of any justification for the collapse in its shares on Wednesday.

“BP faces this situation as a strong company,” the company said in a statement.

The cost of the response effort to date has been around $1.43 billion, the company added.

BP’s New York-listed American Deposit Receipts fell around 15 percent on Wednesday. (Reporting by Tom Bergin; Editing by Hans Peters)

Britney Spears’ ex-manager, mom escalate legal feud

LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) – Did he manipulate, drug and cut off his client from the real world? Was she really the problem, and did she make all this stuff up?

Entertainment | People

We’re, of course, talking about “Britneygate” — the entertaining dispute between Britney Spears’ ex-manager and Britney Spears’ mother that’s now landed on the doorstep of a California appeals court.

In 2008, ex-manager Sam Lutfi filed a defamation lawsuit against Lynne Spears for things she wrote about him in her memoir, “Through the Storm.”

Last August, a Los Angeles Superior Court judge refused to dismiss the case. A few weeks ago, Lynne Spears appealed that decision, and on Monday, Lutfi filed papers, presenting his argument why the case should continue.

Now the Court of Appeal of the State of California gets to hear “Britneygate” and the two widely different tales of who is responsible for the singer’s collapse.

Lynne Spears claims that Lufti was a master manipulator who secretly drugged her daughter, cut off her communications and mobility, and set himself up as “gatekeeper” before he was fired.

In contrast, Lutfi says Britney’s life was already in turmoil before he got involved. His proof: Two failed marriages, losing custody of her child, shaving her head, a reckless driving arrest, drug rehab, etc.

That aspect of the case is really a sideshow, though, to the interesting legal questions.

In pressing her appeal, Lynne argues that Lutfi’s reputation was so low at the time the book was published, he’s “libel-proof” as his reputation couldn’t possibly be damaged further.

Au contraire, says Lutfi’s lawyer.

In his brief to the appeals court, Lutfi points out he’s never been convicted of anything and if his reputation was so badly injured based on a series of tabloid articles, it’s a decision that can only be made by a jury. In addition, he points to the case of Howard K. Stern, who sued for defamation after being accused of having a hand in Anna Nicole Smith’s death. A judge ruled in that case that just because Stern might have been falsely accused doesn’t mean he could not be further injured from false accusations again.

The entire brief is pretty entertaining. For instance, there’s a discussion about whether accusing someone of being “evil,” a “predator,” a “fake” and a “shifty man” are “opinions” or descriptive of “acts of misconduct” that are actionable as libel. There’s also an argument submitted by Lutfi that Lynne Spears is engaging in bigotry because of his ethnicity.

UK Kaupthing probe looks at Deutsche – sources

June 7 (Reuters) – Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) has become embroiled in a UK probe into market manipulation at the time of the collapse of Icelandic bank Kaupthing, sources familiar with the matter said. Britain’s Serious Fraud Office (SFO) said in December it was investigating suspected offences against the Fraud Act prior to Kaupthing’s demise in October 2008.

Financials

The suspicion was that Kaupthing tried to prop up the price of its debt through a number of investment vehicles that the bank was financing itself, the sources said.

“Generally speaking, we’re looking at potential market manipulation,” one of the sources said.

The vehicles were buying Credit Default Swaps (CDS) — instruments used to insure Kaupthing’s debt against default — sending a positive signal to markets in the hope that Kaupthing’s debt prices would rise.

Kaupthing was effectively buying the CDS itself, because it was financing the investment through a loan.

“We are cooperating with the authorities in seeking to establish the facts in this matter,” Deutsche Bank said when asked about the story, which was first reported by UK newspaper The Guardian on Monday.

The German bank declined to provide further detail, while the SFO declined to comment altogether.

Deutsche issued credit-linked notes on behalf of the investment vehicles set up by Kaupthing, one of the sources said. But that did not mean it would necessarily have known about the way the vehicles were financed.

Last month, an Icelandic court ordered the former head of Kaupthing, Hreidar Sigurdsson, to be held for 12 days pending further investigation for suspected embezzlement, market manipulation and forgery. [ID:nLDE6460Q8]

Another former Kaupthing executive who now runs a privately held bank in Luxembourg, was also arrested. (Reporting by Douwe Miedema; Editing by Louise Heavens)

Paper-made towers, windmills, tables anchor Taiwan park

Taiwan (Reuters Life!) – The Leaning Tower of Pisa stands precariously enough on its stone base, but a team of Taiwan crafts people has made a sturdy replica of it with nothing but paper scraps.

Lifestyle

The Italian landmark joins an Eiffel Tower look-alike and Dutch windmills at a 5,200 square-meter theme park that features about 500 structures, some life-sized, built entirely of cartons or cardboard.

The Carton King Creativity Park opened three years ago to help a declining family-run packaging business turn a new page and teach hundreds of daily visitors to cherish paper.

“It’s to give people an understanding of creativity and pass on an environmental message,” said Huang Fang-liang, general manager of the park’s founding company Chin Tang Paperware Co. “It’s to say that after using something, you can use it again.”

The park’s sturdy structures, such as a paper restaurant with paper furnishings even down to the utensils, occupy Chin Tang’s former printing factory that had seen business fade because of cheap labor and low costs in China.

Huang led a dozen artists in experimenting with paper, and they spent up to three months on construction.

“I thought the paper chairs would collapse pretty quickly, but now I see everybody is seated and they are still quite firm,” said park restaurant visitor Hsu Chiu-wen, 20, a university student. “This table is also made of paper, but it doesn’t collapse under the weight of all the tableware.”

Some of the building blocks can withstand water or flames and can be folded up for storage during typhoons.

Chin Tang is preparing for an exhibition in Beijing next month and plans to open a paper hot springs resort in Taiwan.

(Reporting by Christine Lu, Ben Tai and Ralph Jennings; Editing by Chris Lewis)

Kenyans back new constitution, support wanes -poll

June 4 (Reuters) – More than half of Kenyans would vote ‘yes’ to reform the constitution in a referendum due in August but the percentage in favour of the new legal framework has fallen since April, an independent poll showed on Friday.

The new charter, which would curb sweeping presidential powers and strengthen civil liberties, is seen as the centre-piece of political reforms aimed at healing the ethnic divisions that dominate Kenyan politics.

A total of 57 percent said they would vote ‘yes’ — down by seven percentage points since April, 20 percent said they were against the draft constitution and 19 percent were still undecided, the survey by pollster Synovate showed.

Most analysts agree Prime Minister Raila Odinga and President Mwai Kibaki, rivals in the last vote, would be the biggest winners in the event of a ‘yes’. Kibaki would fulfill one of his earliest electoral promises and secure his legacy while Odinga, who has been unequivocal in backing the document, would get a boost ahead of the 2012 presidential poll.

Others argue, however, that approval of the new constitution could pave the way for new alliances, threatening the fragile coalition, although a ‘no’ vote is not seen precipitating the government’s collapse.

“A ‘yes’ vote could destabilise the coalition. In the event of a ‘no’ vote, the coalition will continue, the status quo will remain although perhaps they will kick out … rebel ministers,” political commentator Mutahi Ngunyi told Reuters.

Synovate said it interviewed 6,000 registered voters across the country. In its last survey in April, which sampled opinion from 2,000 Kenyans of voting age, 64 percent said they would vote yes. [ID:nLDE63N048]

Guarantees of a new legal framework were central to a power-sharing deal in 2008, brokered by former U.N. chief Kofi Annan, that ended weeks of violence that killed about 1,300 people after a disputed poll.

But some senior politicians are spearheading a ‘no’ campaign angry at the failure to devolve power to the regions and plans to cap private land holdings.

Christian church leaders are also urging a ‘no’ vote because of a clause allowing abortions on medical grounds and the inclusion of Islamic courts dealing with divorce and inheritance.

Synovate also said its poll showed that if a snap presidential election was held immediately, Odinga would win 41 percent of the vote, far ahead of his closest rivals. Kibaki cannot run for a third term. (Reporting by Richard Lough; Editing by Wangui Kanina and Louise Ireland)

Benmosche looks safe despite AIA deal failure

(Reuters) – When large deals fail, heads often roll. In the case of Prudential Plc’s (PRU.L) failed attempt to buy American International Group Inc’s (AIG.N) Asian life insurance unit for $35.5 billion, the British insurer’s management has more to worry about than AIG’s.

Deals

Prudential CEO Tidjane Thiam, in the top job for less than a year, is facing investor speculation about how long he can remain. But AIG Chief Executive Robert Benmosche, also in charge less than a year, looks set to survive unscathed.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said AIG, which is nearly 80 percent owned by the government, is now in a position where it can “maximize the return to the taxpayers.”

“We have a very strong management team and a much stronger board in place making incredibly impressive progress, frankly, in restructuring that entity,” Geithner told reporters before departing for the G20 meeting in Busan, Korea. “So I wouldn’t look at that as a setback.

“AIG is now free to pursue a bunch of other options to help maximize the return and reduce any risk of loss to the taxpayer,” Geithner added, when asked whether the collapse of the deal hurt AIG.

MORE LIQUIDITY

Benmosche has said AIG has several options and more flexibility on timing regarding AIA now than it did when the deal was struck earlier this year.

These options could include reviving plans for an AIA IPO or selling the business piece by piece.

Benmosche has also indicated he is not going anywhere.

“I am very proud of the progress we have made together to take our company forward,” he told employees in a memo after the deal looked set to collapse on Tuesday. “I am committed to continuing this process with all of you.”

Still, the collapse of the deal sets back his plans to repay U.S. taxpayers owed billions after AIG’s $182.3 billion U.S. government rescue at the height of the financial crisis.

Benmosche has been a proponent of a deal with Prudential rather than monetizing it through a public float.

Earlier this year, AIA was well on its way to an IPO when Prudential offered to buy it. Benmosche backed the deal, but the AIG board was initially divided before coming around.

On Monday, when the board met to consider selling AIA on revised terms, Benmosche favored accepting Prudential’s new deal because, even at a lower price of $30.4 billion, it offered more liquidity and sooner. But this time the board voted against changing the terms.

AIG’s board wanted assurances from Prudential it would be able to close a revised deal, which the British insurer was not able to provide.

“Anytime there is a fundamental action in which the CEO and the board disagree, your relationship needs to be evaluated,” said Charles Elson, director of the Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware. “That doesn’t happen too often.”

But Elson said having the U.S. government as the largest shareholder made the AIG situation hard to read.

Benmosche does not appear to be taking the heat for the deal’s failure, with the focus more on how the Prudential management was unable to rally its shareholders.

AIG Chairman Harvey Golub told the Wall Street Journal the board had “full confidence” in senior management. At any rate, running AIG is not an easy job, with Benmosche the fourth CEO at the insurer since June 2008.

“Who else are they going to get? Who is going to do a better job?” said Aite Group senior analyst Clark Troy. “I don’t think Benmosche is at great risk and, frankly, I think AIA still has a very strong franchise.”

(Reporting by Paritosh Bansal; additional reporting by Glenn Somerville; editing by Andre Grenon)

DIB may take over Tamweel: report

(Reuters) – Dubai Islamic Bank DISB.DU, which owns a stake in Tamweel (TAML.DU), may take over the troubled United Arab Emirates (UAE) mortgage lender and is in talks with creditors to restructure its debt, a newspaper said.

Deals

Arabic language daily Alrroya Aleqtissadiya, citing sources familiar with the matter, said on Wednesday the long-planned merger between Tamweel and rival Islamic mortgage lender Amlak (AMLK.DU) had been scrapped.

“A proposal to merge the two companies has been dropped to be replaced with the option of Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB) stepping in to save Tamweel,” the paper said, citing sources familiar with the matter.

“While other information suggested that a Dubai government-linked company could take a similar step toward Amlak,” it added.

Dubai Islamic Bank owns a 19.8 percent stake in Tamweel.

Tamweel’s chairman and a Dubai Islamic Bank spokesman both declined to comment. Amlak officials could not immediately be reached.

Tamweel and Amlak have been hit hard by the collapse of Dubai’s once-booming property sector and shares in both were suspended in 2008 and have not traded on the Dubai Financial Market (DFM.DU) since.

Talks to boost DIB’s stake in Tamweel have begun and are conditional on creditors agreeing to reschedule the mortgage lender’s debt, according to a letter seen by the newspaper.

The report said DIB proposed Tamweel creditors agree to a minimum five-year moratorium on their debt, with a 4 percent annual return.

“Sources said that Dubai Islamic’s next step is the full acquisition of the company,” the newspaper said.

“If these transactions help facilitate financing then it will be a positive move,” said Saud Masud, head of research and senior real estate analyst at UBS in Dubai.

“But I don’t see how DIB adding more exposure to Tamweel would help putting financing back in the market. We still have concerns about Dubai and UAE banking in general,” he said.

(Reporting by Jason Benham and Tamara Walid; Editing by Sharon Lindores)

UPDATE 1-Euro zone factory PMI sinks, output growth slows

LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) – Manufacturing in the euro zone expanded in May, but at a far slower rate than April’s 46-month high as cost pressures and tighter margins drove firms to take their feet off the production accelerator, a survey showed on Tuesday.

The 16-nation bloc and its common currency have been hit by waves of investor insecurity churned up by the region’s debt crisis and fears that troubles in Greece may be spreading to other peripheral euro zone economies.

“There has been a slowdown in growth globally and in the euro zone there is subdued domestic demand due to the austerity measure implemented in some countries,” said Luigi Speranza at BNP Paribas.

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For a graphic see: r.reuters.com/quj57k

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The Markit Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May sank to 55.8 from 57.6 in April, nudged down from an earlier flash estimate of 55.9.

This is its eighth month above the 50.0 mark that divides growth from contraction, but markets were unmoved by the data.

Cost pressures were on the rise, with the price of factories’ raw materials forced up by the weaker euro.

The output index recorded its second fastest slide in the survey’s history — only surpassed in the aftermath of Lehman Brothers’ collapse — to stand well shy of April’s near 10-year high of 61.2 at 56.8. It inched up from a flash reading of 56.7.

“Importantly, however, the pace of growth remained robust, and the slowdown in May no doubt reflects a payback from April’s ultra-strong growth to some extent,” said Chris Williamson at data provider Markit.

In Germany, the bloc’s biggest economy, manufacturing activity slowed from the previous month’s survey’s record high. Neighbouring France, the second biggest, saw growth in its sector slow from April’s near 4-year high.

Spain and Italy also saw a dip in their main indexes. A separate survey on the UK showed manufacturing activity holding on to its strongest pace in 15 years.

Euro zone manufacturers were hit by rising input prices, with that index reaching its highest level since July 2008 at 73.7 last month, compared to 73.4 in April.

The euro has been battered in recent weeks, driving up costs of materials from outside the bloc, on fears that Greece’s debt problems will spread and in spite of a $1 trillion safety net set up by European policymakers earlier this month.

However, the output price index fell from last month, suggesting producers had more trouble passing on price rises to customers.

Flash data released on Monday showed prices in the bloc rose 1.6 percent in May, faster than the 1.5 percent seen in April.

Detailed PMI data are only available under licence from Markit and customers need to apply to Markit for a licence.

To subscribe to the full data, click on the link below: here

For further information, please phone Markit on +44 20 7260 2454 or email economics@markit.com

(Editing by Toby Chopra, John Stonestreet)

Mud for meals: UP cracks whip on district officials

Allahabad, May 28 — Following a damning report by a Supreme Court fact-finding team over the widespread malnutrition and total collapse of food security-related schemes in Uttar Pradesh’s Ganne village, the district administration finally cracked the whip on the erring officials. The apex court had sent the team after Hindustan Times highlighted the villagers’ plight in a report on April 5.

District Magistrate Sanjay Prasad ordered that the power of the Ganne’s gram pradhan be immediately seized and also terminated the services of anganwadi workers on charges of dereliction of duty. The district administration also decided to probe the allegations of intimidation of villagers by the kotedar (owner of the fair price shop), following their admission to the Supreme Court’s team.

On Friday, Prasad met the reporter of HT and asked for information about the situation in Ganne. “A criminal case will be registered against the kotedar, and sent to jail, if found guilty,” said Prasad.

“We have also decided to form a three-member committee comprising villagers for monitoring the implementation of welfare schemes in the village in absence of the Gram Pradhan.”.