Maruti car sales rise 22 pct in March, up 3rd month

Maruti Suzuki, posted a third straight month of higher sales in March helped by a jump in exports of its compact A-Star and strong rural demand.

But analysts said it was too early to confirm a turnaround for the automobile sector that has been struggling in the wake of the global financial crisis and a slowing domestic economy.

Maruti, 54.2 percent-owned by Japan’s Suzuki Motor Corp, said on Thursday total sales in March rose 22 percent from a year earlier to 85,669 units, with exports more than doubling to 11,814.

Sales had jumped nearly a quarter in February and rose 5.4 percent in January from a year earlier after the government slashed factory taxes and the central bank cut interest rates to revive consumer spending.

This helped lift Maruti’s sales by 3.6 percent for the financial year ended March to 792,167 units.

Exports in 2008/09 rose 32 percent, the company said, led by 19,000 units of A-Star launched last November.

“We will have to wait for a few more months of sales for a trend to emerge,” said Hitesh Kuvelkar, associate director of research at First Global Securities.

“Crude prices are relatively down and interest rates have come down, but I don’t see much enthusiasm among banks to lend to the auto sector,” he said.

Leading utility vehicle maker Mahindra and Mahindra said on Wednesday its March domestic sales jumped 31 percent from February, but grew only 11 percent from a year earlier.

Pawan Goenka, head of automotive division at the company, told a television channel he expected general elections that begin in mid-April to boost demand for utility vehicles for campaigning, but May and June would be testing times.

“Maruti and Mahindra sales have gone up because of their new launches,” said Chetan Vora, auto analyst with Brics Securities.

“I don’t expect to see this kind of growth, going forward,” he said. “Revival will not come so fast, as manufacturing is not picking up.”

A survey showed Indian manufacturing activity contracted for a fifth straight month in March as demand remained depressed by the global economic downturn.

South Korean Hyundai Motor Co’s Indian unit reported an almost 16 percent fall in March domestic sales, though it rose nearly 17 percent from February.

“The industry is far from seeing a turnaround at this moment,” Arvind Saxena, senior vice president for marketing and sales at Hyundai Motor India, said.

The country’s leading vehicles maker, Tata Motors, said government fiscal stimulus packages were helping but it would take time to reach year-earlier levels.

Its March sales fell 13 percent from a year earlier, but rose 24 percent from February.

Bike makers also followed similar patterns. Hero Honda Motors, in which Japan’s Honda Motor Corp has a 26 percent stake, said March sales grew more than 10 percent from year ago and helped boost 2008/09 sales 12 percent.

Smaller rival Bajaj Auto, however, said March sales fall 13 percent on year but rose marginally from February.

The BSE Auto Index climbed 25 percent in the March quarter, beating the main index’s 0.6 percent gain.

Russia carves out role in crisis-hit world economy

Russia is seeking a bigger role on the world economic stage during the financial crisis, submitting proposals to this week’s G20 summit and lending some of its oil wealth to crisis-hit neighbours.

The push comes at a time when developed countries are increasingly turning to the emerging world for joint moves on the worst global crisis since the Great Depression.

Russia, which never felt fully accepted as a G8 partner, now sees a chance to become a major G20 player.

With nearly $400 billion of reserves, no toxic U.S. assets in its banking system and very little state debt, Russia is in a much stronger position than when it had to go cap-in-hand to West during its last recession a decade ago.

Low levels of non-performing loans and consumer debt mean it may be better placed to cope with the crisis than many developed countries, but big corporate debts and a sharp fall in oil and metals prices have hit Russia’s economy hard — the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development forecast on Tuesday that it would shrink 5.6 percent this year.

“I think in general they see this crisis as a way to show the world that they have some answers and they’ve moved on,” said Tim Ash, head of CEEMEA research at RBS in London.

“It is a great opportunity for them to re-jig the global financial architecture and put themselves in a central place.”

Arguably Russia’s closest allies are the other BRIC nations, emerging market powerhouses Brazil, China and India. All have sizeable foreign currency reserves and are vulnerable to the global slowdown as they rely on exports.

This month the BRICs released their first communique at a G20 finance ministers’ meeting and joined the Financial Stability Forum, signalling a growing world role.

The communique reflected some of Russia’s campaigns, calling for “major reserve issuing economies…to ensure that the macroeconomic policy is more balanced” and for a reshuffle of country representation at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Russia followed that up with its own proposals for Thursday’s meeting of G20 leaders. Its suggestion to replace the dollar with a new international reserve currency quickly found support from China and sparked international debate.

MONEY, EXPERIENCE

At a time when countries need money to bail out their economies, reserve-rich nations are in a stronger position.

Russia has been using some of its cash to strengthen its position as a regional economic power, granting loans to Ukraine, Belarus, Kyrgyzstan and Armenia. It is also considering credit requests from other countries as far afield as Iceland.

“Russia needs the world as part of its own development, but the world also needs Russia as a major player in the international economy. If that is a role that Russia is increasingly playing, that is very welcome,” said Klaus Roland, country director for Russia at the World Bank.

Russia’s seemingly greater cooperation with the other BRIC countries and bigger interest in the G20 marks a turnaround from years of trying to become a full member of the more exclusive Group of Eight (G8) industrialised nations, where many key issues were discussed in a G7 format, excluding Moscow.

“Russia is keen for the G20 to become the most important global organisation,” said Chris Weafer, analyst at Uralsib.

“Russia has never been accepted as a full member of the G8 … It seems to me as though it’s given up on that and sees the G20 as a forum where it can play a bigger role.”

An argument against the G20 is that such a big group may be unwieldy and prone to factions — something Russia doesn’t want.

“There will be no separate joint (BRIC) communiques, nor should there be,” Kremlin’s top economic aide Arkady Dvorkovich told reporters ahead of this week’s London summit.

“This is the summit of the leaders of the G20 countries. There will be one statement on a single common position. We do not have the aim of pitting our countries against the others.”

Brazil, India and China are all powerful economies in their own right and may not be keen to have Russia as their official mouthpiece, but Moscow could still secure a position as the key voice for concerns which affect emerging market countries.

“A lot of the issues that Russia is concerned about are also of concern to other emerging countries. Given Russia’s greater geopolitical experience and more confidence we will probably hear a lot more from Russia,” said Uralsib’s Weafer. “Informally we may hear Russia voicing the concerns of this group (BRICs).”